Hey, how’s everyone doing? Enjoying your preseason? That’s nice. Have you see Parasite? It was great–*intern whispers in my ear* Yeah, I will talk about DJ LeMahieu and why he’s overrated. It’s so obvious, though, I thought I’d take this opportunity to check in on people. You know, give the impression I care about other people. What’s that? They can read this? Ohhhh…So, DJ LeMahieu just had a better season than any dream an acne-faced, 12-year-old DJ LeMahieu ever imagined while he was launching imaginary home runs in the back of the Party City his family ran. His father, Noisemaker LeMahieu, speaks to a customer, “Do you need a DJ for your party?” DJ overhearing, “Dad, I don’t want to go to anymore parties.” Noisemaker turns to his wife, “Piñata, straighten your son out, or I will.” Piñata, “¡Dios mio!” Then DJ would run into the parking lot, crying. After he composed himself, he would mimic the crowd noise of Yankee Stadium, and imitated Bob Sheppard announcing him to the plate. Or so the 30-for-30 that I’ve imagined has told me, i.e., DJ LeMahieu’s wildest dreams <are less than or equal to> His 2019 season. For s’s and g’s, I’m going to tell you his last three seasons stats, two of which were in Coors:  95/8/64/.310/6; 90/15/62/.276/6; 109/26/102/.327/5. Yo, am I the only one cackling? Giancarlo didn’t miss all of last year; he peed in the same fountain as DJ LeMahieu and, magically, they inhabited each other’s bodies. So, what can we expect from DJ LeMahieu for 2020 fantasy baseball and what makes him overrated?

Everything? Who’s drafting this schmohawk? Okay, let’s take yours truly out of the equation and look at Steamer’s projections for him:  90/19/71/.285/7 in 594 ABs. Honestly, I think that’s optimistic, but leave that alone for now and say that is his projections. That makes him the 117th best player on Steamer rankings for 12-teamers in ESPN. (We have rankings for every imaginable league on that page — Yahoo 15-teamers; ESPN OPS; well, you get the picture.) 117th overall is obviously nowhere near where he’s going, so obviously overrated. 117th overall makes him less valuable than Trey Mancini, Carlos Santana, Mike Moustakas, to name a few. That’s according to Steamer, so you can @ me but I’m just relaying info to you before even inserting myself — that’s what he said right before charges were levied! Now, for me. His Launch Angle was 6.7. That’s pretty flat. Great for line drives (23.7%), not great for fly balls (26.2%). Major league averages were 21.4% and 35.7%, respectively. Or disrespectively, LeMahieu sucks for fly balls. He had the 7th lowest rate in the majors, surrounded by Tommy Pham and Jean Segura. As you can imagine, the bottom ten for fly ball rate is not packed full of 20-homer guys. In fact, Eric Hosmer had the most homers of that bottom ten with 22 HRs in 619 ABs. That’s hilariously bad. If you’re hitting worm killers, you’re not hitting homers. LeMahieu’s HR/FB last year was 19.3%, which is goofy high for him. His career mark is 9.6% (that’s including his goofy 2019, too — if Siri just read you that, you’re like, “Whoa, the year is 20192? How long was I asleep for?”). If he has the same fly ball rate, and there’s little reason to think it would be higher, and his career HR/FB%, LeMahieu is gonna hit 14 homers. He’s not a 19-homer guy going on 25 homers; he’s a 19-homer guy going on 15 homers. Of course, that’s gonna ding his RBIs. I won’t talk crap about his average; he can hit .300. He had a .322 xBA last year, which was 2nd best in the league (behind Cody Bellinger). All of his line drives will keep LeMahieu’s batting average afloat. It definitely won’t be his speed. He was 342nd in the majors for sprint speed, the same as Jay Bruce. I will now cackle until it turns to a wheezing cough and someone calls the paramedics. I’m glad that he’s made Noisemaker and Piñata proud, but LeMahieu is wildly overrated for 2020 fantasy baseball.

 
  1. Crazy J says:
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    What is a DJ if he can’t scratch?

  2. Ryan says:
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    I just received an interesting offer in my 14 team h2h dynasty league. I was offered wilson contreras andrew vaugn seth corry for gary sanchez casey mize and logan gilbert, not sure how I feel about losing all this sp depth, but getting vaugn seems like the safer prospect. Should I consider this trade?

    c gary sanchez

    1b jose abreu
    2b ozzie albies
    3b rafael devers
    ss bo bichette
    lf juan soto
    cf ronald acuna
    rf austin meadows
    Util max kepler

    bn cj cron

    bn domingo santana

    na robert puason
    na corbin carroll
    na jeter downs
    na julio rodriquez

    sp brandon woodruff
    sp julio urias
    sp max scherzer
    Sp robbie ray
    rp ty buttery
    rp ryan pressly
    P Kevin Gausman
    p zach efflin
    p jon lester
    bn alex wood
    bn deivi garcia
    bn sixto sanchez

    bn edward cabrera
    na logan gilbert
    na luis patino
    na casey mize

    • Ryan says:
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      Oops forgot to remove Kepler from my lineup. Since he was recently traded.

    • Slappy Jack says:
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      I’d take Vaughn
      but , see if you can upgrade Corry a little ( he isn’t terrible)

      • Ryan says:
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        Unfortunately he won’t upgrade corry. Should i still take it?

    • Donkey Teeth

      Donkey Teeth says:
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      Agree with Slappy

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      What Slappy said

      • Ryan says:
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        Should I be concerned about losing my sp depth, since I’d be moving both mize and gilbert?

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          Potentially

          • Ryan says:
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            Do you think my remaining sp prospects is good enough depth?

            • Grey

              Grey says:
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              Yes

  3. Marty says:
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    Grey,

    Yahoo 10 team, 6×5 including OPS, keep 7 players which are tied to the round they were drafted last year. I have 10 players and get to keep 7. Which 3 would you throw back? Thanks!

    Trevor Story (round 9)
    Mookie Betts (round 7)
    Jose Ramirez (round 5)
    Alex Bregman (round 2)
    Aaron Judge (round 24)
    Ozzie Albies (round 14)
    Eddie Rosario (round 4)
    Nelson Cruz (round 6)
    Blake Snell (round 16)
    Trevor Bauer (round 10)

    • FANTASY ICON says:
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      Rosario, Cruz, and Bauer for me.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Agree with Icon

      • Marty says:
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        Thanks!

        I’m torn if I should keep Bregman because of the whole Bangazi thing and also because he holds such a high keeper value (round 2). I THINK I may be able to throw him back and re-draft him, which would allow me to keep someone else and essentially have “8 keepers.” If I throw Bregman back in an attempt to re-draft him, who of Rosario, Cruz or Bauer would you then keep?

        Also I’m a little shocked you would throw Bauer back and keep Snell with the elbow news that came out about Snell. Maybe Snell at round 16 is that much better than Bauer at round 10?

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          Meh, I guess Rosario

          Snell is much better, but if news gets worse, which it might, I could see changing to Bauer, but right this second I’m going Snell still — He’s a top 5 SP in the league if healthy, Bauer is barely top 20 if everything clicks

          • Marty says:
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            Thanks!

            I guess this is more about keeping the better player (Bregman) instead of trying to get cute. I can always try and re-draft Rosario or Cruz.

            Gotcha. I’ll keep my eye out on Snell news and go from there. If nothing serious changes with Snell then he’s my guy.

            Thank you for all of your help!!

            • Grey

              Grey says:
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              Yeah, No problem

  4. galica says:
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    Grey!!!

    Nice schmohawk report, DJ is a bust!

    a. Only ‘nice schmohawk report’? How dare you? That’s you to me not me to you, get it? Ah, Grey. I just wanted to avoid using the word ‘awesome’ for 10 days in a row. You broke my 10-day ‘awesome report’ streak. Shame on you and shame on me for thinking it.

    b. As of now I’ll be in 2 leagues. One is an RCL (#47), I dropped out of #22 ’cause there is no one there. The other is a CBS 10-team roto. What are the differences when drafting in a 10-team roto and a 12-team roto? Are there any differences? I imagine there will be a larger free agent player pool to choose from in a 10-teamer, right?

    c. MLB quote of the day for April 30, 1981

    ‘Man, if I made one million dollars I would come in at six in the morning, sweep the stands, wash the uniforms, clean out the office, manage the team and play the games.’

    Edwin Donald ‘Duke’ Snider (aka The Silver Fox and The Duke of Flatbush), the ‘then’ last living player on the field for the 1955 Brooklyn Dodgers WS final out dying in 2011.

    Cheers,
    Ante

    • ozone ranger says:
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      The Duke of Flatbush is sooooooo under-appreciated for how good he was a CF because of him playing in the same city with both Mantle and Mays. A leader of men.

      I’ve met all three of them:
      The Duke was as nice as could be.
      Mays, not so much. Terribly bitter man.
      Mantle was drunk… and annoying, like most drunks are.

      • galica says:
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        Ozone Ranger!!!

        Thanks so much for your precious insight and testimony. It is worth way more than any quote!

        Cheers,
        Ante

        • ozone ranger says:
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          Thank you, Mr. Ante. I am definitely a head full of useless (and sometimes not-so-useless) knowledge.

          • KrazyIvan says:
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            Thanks for sharing. As a young kid I visited an uncle in Florida that was close to Port St Lucie. My excitement was off the charts when I learned the Mets were in town. The very first person I met was David Cone- I was so exited. Until I waited, and waited and finally met….Mackey friggin Sasser. That was the day I learned about the term pitchers and catchers. Coney was really cool though

            • Grey

              Grey says:
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              Mackey Sasser tossed you a baseball and it hit a car’s window about 125 feet away

              • KrazyIvan says:
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                Probably better that I wasn’t there a week later. Greg Jeffries would have signed my glove with a Jackie Treehorn doodle illustration.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      A. Damn it! Sorry, shame on me!

      B. Yeah, way shallower

      C. Haha, oh Duke

      • galica says:
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        Grey!!!

        Shame on me!

        So if the player pool is more shallow I should take a tier 1 pitcher in round 3? Is there a bible according to 10 teams somewhere? Or should I scrap this idea of a 10-team roto and stick to RCLs? I could drop out of my CBS league pretty quickly.

        Cheers,
        Ante

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          Nah, my draft ranks are for 10-15 teams…15 is more wonky than 10…Only difference in 10 is you’re gonna be able to wait even longer for SPs, maybe another round

  5. Dave D says:
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    Prediction: Ian Happ will outperform DJ. Take that ADP slaves!

    Meanwhile, MIA starters are all looking good. You nay have been a year too early on the enthusiasm. I’ve got Yamamoto everywhere but good values up and down that rotation. Shoemaker and Thornton looked great for TOR yesterday too. Discount shopping looks pretty good right now for rotation back enders.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Agreed!

      I like Pablo Lopez a lot, Yamamoto is solid IP gamble and, well, Shoemaker might throw 50 IP

      • Dave D says:
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        Yeah Pablo looked good yesterday. That’ll be a superb 50IP from Shoe though. Maybe whatever Ryu did last year to finally keep himself healthy he needs to show Matt.

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          Haha, yup!

  6. LOLmets says:
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    The only thing here is the big box sites just don’t have DJ ranked that highly. I’ve been doing mocks on ESPN and in their draft room they have DJ leMahieu ranked 81st overall on the big board. If the leadoff hitter for the Yankees just hits for a 300 avg and does nothing else they probably return that 81 overall value.

    On last year’s razzball player rater DJ was 20th overall (right AHEAD of jorge Soler, Bryce Harper, starling marte and Francisco lindor).

    So yeah I get everything about what you’re saying about him regressing, but you don’t have to draft him 20th overall. You can literally get him in like round 7 or 8. Unless he gets hurt he’s ruturning value at that draft price I think as the Yankees leadoff hitter.

    So I agree regression, but don’t agree schmohawk becasue, well he’s just not that expensive in drafts. There’s times it totally makes sense for him to be taken him as your second basemen in round 7, especially if you started with like Jose Ramirez mondesi and Matt Olson in the earlier rounds for power and speed then grab dj to stabilize avg little later. Again he’s just not expensive in drafts. He may be a bargain where he’s going in fact.

    He’s a schmohawk if you expect him to be the 20th best fantasy player, sure I agree with that. But in ESPN draft rooms at least he seems like he’s very reasonably priced.

    • Cram It says:
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      Did your screen name used to be Wally Pipp?

      He’s “rated” at 117, but his ADP is 60.

      • LOLmets says:
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        All I’m saying is when you draft that ESPN he’s 81st on the list. I’ve been able to get him a few times pretty late. Seems like a decent buy to me.

        • LOLmets says:
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          Seems like a decent buy in that range. Everything is relative

        • Cram It says:
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          Ok. Is that the ESPN ranking or ADP? Fantasy pros shows his ADP in the 50’s for yahoo and ESPN. I guess it depends on what the room is going by, but if his ADP is in the 50’s and his stats produce a ranking around 100, that’s where this post is coming from.

          • LOLmets says:
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            Not sure all I know is if you do a draft at espn he’s #81 on the list. I mean that seems about right, Grey has him at 91 and Grey doesn’t even want him.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      He’s being drafted 63rd on average, he’s a barely top 100 player

  7. Barker says:
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    Good morning Grey –

    Who are you keeping here ?
    Keep 3 – I was leaning Rendon rd 3 Soto rd 9 Bichette rd 26

    José Abreu (CWS – 1B) Round 4
    Adalberto Mondesi (KC – SS) Round 4
    Anthony Rendon (LAA – 3B) Round 3
    Marcus Semien (Oak – SS) Round 21
    Juan Soto (Was – LF) Round 9
    J.D. Martinez (Bos – LF,RF) Round 1
    Miguel Sanó (Min – 1B,3B) Round 17
    Nelson Cruz (Min – Util) Round 6
    Anthony Rizzo (ChC – 1B) Round 1
    Andrew Benintendi (Bos – LF,CF) Round 1
    Bo Bichette (Tor – SS) Round 26
    Javier Báez (ChC – SS) Round 14
    Trevor Bauer (Cin – SP) Round 13
    Luis Castillo (Cin – SP) Rd 12

    • The Great Knoche says:
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      Soto, Baez, Rendon for me

    • Donkey Teeth

      Donkey Teeth says:
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      Soto, Rendon, Bichette for me

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Morning!

      Agree with DT

    • WhiteRabbit says:
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      Baez, Rendon/Sano and Soto … although i would go Sano seeing he is 17th round

  8. Matty says:
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    That average would look good if he were going at an appropriate price.
    Last night I had my RCL draft (RCL #3)- DJ went in the 6th.
    It’s always interesting to draft with eleven people who are using the same exact list. I suppose that’s what a Yahoo league with no one who does any more prep than logging in before the draft would be like.

    For those who want to see how things are going in preparation for their own RCLs, here’s the full draft grid: https://i.postimg.cc/28jHdndZ/RCL-Results.png

    A few thoughts on my draft if anyone is doing prep/ cares- I leaned a little more heavily into saves, steals, and average- in a perfect world I can deal some closers near the deadline. Also, I think I overestimated some 2B position eligibility (JoRam, Baez, Happ), but will make do. It was funny to see Trout still on the board for the third pick- first time that’s happened for me in a long time. A little bit of risk in my outfield, but I’ll pay that for my infield. It may have also been a function of being in the 11th spot, but it did feel like everyone got the same idea around round 11 or 12, and all of the serviceable closers were gone by the 16th.
    And apologies for March Madness who was after me at the turn and whose picks I sniped nearly every time (funny how that goes when everyone is going off of similar research).

    C- Jansen (25-299)
    1B- Olson (3-35)
    2B- Chavis (19-227)
    3B- JoRam (2-14)
    SS- FTJ (1-11)
    MI- Javy Baez (4-38)
    CI- Jose Abreu (7-83)
    OF- Laureano (6-62)
    OF- Franmil Reyes (11-131)
    OF- JD Davis (14-158)
    OF- Alex Verdugo (17-203)
    OF- Ian Happ (18-206)
    UT- Trent Grisham (20-230)
    BN- Nick Madrigal (22-254)
    P- Yu Darvish (5-59)
    P- Sonny Gray (8-86)
    P- Lamet (9-107)
    P- Lynn (10-110)
    P- Giles (12-134)
    P- Nick Anderson (13-155)
    P- Joe Jimenez (15-179)
    P- Ian Kennedy (16-182)
    P- Ryne Stanek (21-251)
    P- Adrian Houser (23-275)
    P- James Karinchak (24-278)

    • Matty says:
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      Whoops. The rest of the thought on DJ (to tie it all back to the original post)- DJ went in the 6th; I would have grabbed him in the 7th or 8th if he were still there for the average.

      • AL KOHOLIC says:
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        checked out your draft,thanks

    • Gigorilla says:
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      Love your pick in round 11.

      Looking at the draft board, Ketel Marte at pick 32 just seems so wrong.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Good stuff, Matty! Exactly type of team I would draft…Excellent speed/power and solid enough pitching…You are a bit low on safe saves tho

      • Matty says:
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        Hah. I guess it’s all relative. That’s a lot of saves compared to my usual approach.
        I wanted more, but Raisel, Neris, Workman, Gallegos, Leclerc, Robles, Bradley, Doolittle, and Will Smith were grabbed between my Nick Anderson/ JD Davis picks and when I was able to get.
        11 of the 24 picks in 14/ 15 were closers; let that be a lesson to upcoming RCL drafters.

        • Matty says:
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          * able to get Jimenez/ Kennedy

          • baby seal says:
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            Your OF is fine, IMO. I think saves are actually OK, but a bit shaky. Team looks pretty solid to me. A lot to work with there.

            Your biggest issue might be Ks / SP depth. WHIP could get wonky too. Seems like a lot of relievers, but IDK.

            What do you expect if you’re waiting on a closer until pick 170!? lol

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          Yeah, I don’t love drafting top closers, but yours aren’t very safe…They’re fine tho

          • Grey

            Grey says:
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            Honestly, it’s a small quibble

            • Matty says:
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              I’ll call it some kind of middle ground.
              Usually I wait for a close-pocalypse and grab the guys who slide into the 9th.
              This year I’ll get a couple saves, have my ratios ruined by said closemageddon, then (hopefully) end up with this year’s version of Liam Hendricks 2019.

              • Grey

                Grey says:
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                Haha, I hear ya

    • return2earth says:
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      thanks for sharing this Matty. drafted on Sunday night and both of our squads have a lot of similarities, especially in the saves department. drafted Jimenez & Kennedy with the thought that if for any reason they lose the role it will be an easy cut for another reliever without having to invest much in the draft. there’s a chance for 25-30+ saves from each or it’s an absolute disaster that you can move on from. some people don’t want to take that ride but here we are ..

      jumped into another RCL on the 17th to test a different strategy. one spot available if anyone out there is interested.

      https://www.fantrax.com/newui/fantasy/joinLeague.go?leagueId=3amyzr7ak61h76b9&isSubmit=y

  9. BaseballisBack says:
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    How high would you draft Mondesi in an OBP 12 man, 6 keeper league? 5th or 6th round? I have Bellinger, Story and Areando as my 3 surefire keepers. Rizzo could be my 4th and Eloy my 5th and was wondering if I should make Mondesi my 6th pick or if I should cut and run since this is an OBP league.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      So, after 6 rounds (due to keepers)? I’d take Mondesi immediately so 7th round

      • BaseballisBack says:
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        My bad. He would be my 6th keeper.

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          Keep him

          • BaseballisBack says:
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            Thanks for this! Would you be counting on the other guys to carry my OBP category?

            • Grey

              Grey says:
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              Yeah, I would

  10. Garrett says:
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    Hi Grey,

    Had my mixed lague H2H Keeper draft this past weekend. Below is my team. I see on waivers Dansby Swanson and JD davis were both undrafted. Would you drop Mcmahon or Edman for either. kind of felt like i need Edmans speed until Carlson Comes up. Also based on this spring are you buying more into Freddy Peralta?

    C – Will Smith $5
    1b- Matt Olsen $41
    2b- Marte $5
    SS – Story $28
    3b- Dozier $5
    CI – Ryan Mcmahon $3
    MI – Tatis Jr $3
    OF – Eloy $3
    OF – Meadows $3
    OF – Harper $51
    OF – Soto $10
    Util – Robles $3
    Util – Christian Walker $3
    Util – Tommy Edman $5
    Bench – Dylan CArlson $1

    • Donkey Teeth

      Donkey Teeth says:
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      Could go Davis over McMahon if you want, they’re pretty close.

      I’m in on Freddy P…again.

      • Garrett says:
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        Thanks for this Would you drop Mchmaon or Edman for Freddy P. Has he gone up your ranks at all to Musgrove Tier or still way behind that for you?

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          Meh, not over bats

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Agree with DT

    • WhiteRabbit says:
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      I’d probably go Swanson/Davis over Carlson/Walker

  11. Dong Show says:
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    Rate my team if you would! Got sniped multiple times, but I still think I did okish

    C. Realmuto
    1B. C. Walker
    2B. Hiura
    3B. Arenado
    SS. Bogaerts
    CI. Edman
    MI. C. Seager
    OF.Harper
    OF.Springer
    OF.Buxton
    OF.Castellanos
    OF.Aquino
    UT. Segura
    Bench. Votto
    Bench. A. Riley

    P. Bauer
    P.Canning
    P.Gray
    P.Greinke
    P.Manaea
    P.E. Rodriguez
    P.Pagan
    P.Rogers
    P.W. Smith
    Bench. Keuchel

    • Matty says:
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      Hey Dong-
      Figured there would be some overlap here in the comments.
      My post above has the full results if anyone wants more context.
      And sorry for the times I was the one who sniped you (Edman and Pagan were the ones that I missed by a few picks because you grabbed them)

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      How many teams?

      • Matty says:
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        Unless he drafted the same team elsewhere as well, that’s his RCL team.

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          Ah, I didn’t know

          • Matty says:
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            Figured I’d chime in for him in case he is a responsible worker who doesn’t spend the whole day refreshing Razzball.

            • Grey

              Grey says:
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              Haha, thanks!

  12. ozone ranger says:
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    “In fact, Eric Hosmer had the most homers of that bottom ten with 22 HRs in 619 ABs. That’s hilariously bad.“

    Did Hosmer already retire in San Diego two years ago, but just has not told the Padres yet?

    • Little known fact. Hosmer is an anagram for Mosher so he’s used to being pushed aside

      • Grey

        Grey says:
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        Haha

      • ozone ranger says:
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        Well played.

    • Big Magoo

      Big Magoo says:
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      Haha, nice! I’d respond on your twitter if I had an account. Didn’t realize we mirrored each other so closely positionally.

      • jeez with that pitcher run. was hoping Montas or Fried would make it back for my 8th and not even close.

        • Big Magoo

          Big Magoo says:
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          I was thinking of trying to wait another round on Montas, but it sounds like I would’ve missed him. Was hoping for Lynn or Fried in the 8th, but it wasn’t to be.

    • Big Magoo

      Big Magoo says:
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      Btw, I texted OTS my first six picks last night, and comparing one ageless DH to another, he bestowed upon Cruz the nickname “Big Boppy.” Think I’m just going to call him that for the rest of the year.

      • Grey

        Grey says:
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        Texted OTS? Is he not in the league with you?

        • Big Magoo

          Big Magoo says:
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          I’m flying solo this year. I think he’s running three stores now. No time for fantasy unfortunately.

          • Grey

            Grey says:
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            Wow, who died and left him boss…Wait a minute, did he take over after the death of Trader Joe?

            • Dave D says:
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              TJ’s and TJS are eerily similar. Don’t let you SPs shop there. They should stick to Whole Foods and their higher prices.

              • Grey

                Grey says:
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                Whole Paycheck

            • Big Magoo

              Big Magoo says:
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              When opportunity knocks…

              • Grey

                Grey says:
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                Hopefully I get lots of knocks

      • J-FOH says:
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        I miss the OTS vs Grey debates

    • J-FOH says:
      (link)

      The Million Dollar Man is trying to get you in the million dollar dream

  13. JaysforDays says:
    (link)

    I know I asked yesterday, I just forgot to mention I have Baez as well, and wanted to see if tha changed anything.

    The offer to me is Sherzer and Lindor for my Soto and Corbin.

    Keeper league, and I already have baez at SS. Still take the Sherzer/Lindor side and play one of them at util?

    • Donkey Teeth

      Donkey Teeth says:
      (link)

      Yes, I’d take it and play one at util or try to make another deal…

      • Cram It says:
        (link)

        Yo, stop posting and make your pick. You’ve been on the clock for an hour!

        • Grey

          Grey says:
          (link)

          HAHAHA

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Agree with DT

  14. Wrong Burrito (Hernan) says:
    (link)

    With LeMahieu is all coming down to Launch Angle, can he have another slight increase??, that 47% hard contact, 91.7 average exit velocity are in line with a 20% HR/FB rate, plus the 36% opposite rate, in that park, plus the obliterating lineup and the horrible pitching staffs the Yankees face in that division, even the Rays ( too many lefties logging a lot of innings), makes his career year repeatable, we’ll see, slight launch angle increase= 30 homers!!!!!

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Haha, I don’t know, man…Ain’t feeling it

  15. Marty says:
    (link)

    Grey,

    Yahoo 10 team, 6×5 including OPS, keep 7 players which are tied to the round they were drafted last year. I have 10 players and get to keep 7. Which 3 would you throw back? Thanks!

    Trevor Story (round 9)
    Mookie Betts (round 7)
    Jose Ramirez (round 5)
    Alex Bregman (round 2)
    Aaron Judge (round 24)
    Ozzie Albies (round 14)
    Eddie Rosario (round 4)
    Nelson Cruz (round 6)
    Blake Snell (round 16)
    Trevor Bauer (round 10)

    • Dingo37 says:
      (link)

      Didn’t you ask this earlier? Eddie, Nelson, Trevor

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Agree with Dingo

  16. MrBaseball says:
    (link)

    Matt Olson Oak – plus a solid starting pitcher for Pete Alonso NYM – 1B

    been offered something like this above

    Rafael Devers Bos – 3B for Pete Alonso

    I think this might be an offer to come

    would you do anyone of these trades

    • Mr Baseball says:
      (link)

      Matt Olsen and _________________________ fill in the blank for Pete Olonso

      everyone can play

      The answers are in the form of a question like Jeopardy!

      • Cram It says:
        (link)

        Who does the Olsen owner have?

        • MrBaseball says:
          (link)

          Freddy Peralta Mil – SP,RP
          Max Fried Atl – SP
          A.J. Puk
          Zack Wheeler Phi – SP
          Mike Minor Tex – SP
          Dinelson Lamet SD –
          SP Dylan Cease CWS
          SP Aroldis Chapman NY
          RP Hyun-Jin Ryu Tor – SP

          • MrBaseball says:
            (link)

            Left something out of all these deals – KEEPER LEAGUE

            NEW OFFER JUST CAME IN

            Wheeler + Goldy + Mallex + Desclafani for Alonso?

            • Grey

              Grey says:
              (link)

              Alonso side

      • WhiteRabbit says:
        (link)

        Fried and/or Lamet

  17. FrankGrimes says:
    (link)

    You’re on the clock…

    • Cram It says:
      (link)

      DT and Grey must’ve gone on a bender together last night and are spooning it off in bed.

      • LennyDykstraIsJustMisunderstood says:
        (link)

        Oh Lord!

        • Cram It says:
          (link)

          I’m seen it a hundred times.

      • FrankGrimes says:
        (link)

        Haha. Seems ours is the slowest of the razz drafts.

        • Cram It says:
          (link)

          At our pace, we’re not going to be done by Opening Day. Like seriously.

          • FrankGrimes says:
            (link)

            We are in first half of round five. Grey just took Vlad!

            • Cram It says:
              (link)

              We’re at the back end of 5. He went in RD 3 for us. Good value by his own projections!

            • Grey

              Grey says:
              (link)

              1st share ever of Vlad

              • The Great Knoche says:
                (link)

                I was the third round teacher.

                • The Great Knoche says:
                  (link)

                  Reacher

                • Grey

                  Grey says:
                  (link)

                  Haha, nice!

          • Fungazi 2.0 says:
            (link)

            We get nice runs here and there but those couple of guys are literally adding 10+ hrs of wait time per day

            • Cram It says:
              (link)

              Yeah Thayer is THAT guy. Which team are you?

              • Fungazi 2.0 says:
                (link)

                Ohhhh! We got some draft shaming, nice. I don’t want to use my name on the site, I just picked Moustakas a few rounds ago.

                • Fungazi 2.0 says:
                  (link)

                  Few picks ago.. Not rounds

              • The Great Knoche says:
                (link)

                Was me this morning. Waiting and waiting for DT and then had a catholic funeral. You two picked exactly 2 minutes after mass started.

                • Cram It says:
                  (link)

                  Haha, and condolences. DT was holding it up this a.m. for 2 hours.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Dudes, I’m on the west coast…I ain’t trying to wake at 5 AM to draft, cut yo boi some slack!

      • FrankGrimes says:
        (link)

        We need a west coast only next year…

        • Grey

          Grey says:
          (link)

          Such a great idea! Seriously, we should make this happen

          • Burrito (Lame Hernan) says:
            (link)

            I’ll move to west coast, just to be in that draft

            • Grey

              Grey says:
              (link)

              Haha, perfect!

  18. I am the Walrus says:
    (link)

    Hey Grey! Have you given any thought to doing posts about auction drafts? I understand most posts are about player evaluations but it seems it’s also mostly geared toward snake drafts. I would think us auction drafters would appreciate some auction strategy posts since there’s really more strategy (IMHO) in auctions than snakes. Like when to put up to bid to drain the dollars and when put up your $2 sleeper, being patient with $ but when it’s OK to overspend, going in with a plan to not overspend but being flexible for bargains, how to appropriate your $260 (% to closers, to SP, to hitters, etc.). Just a thought!

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      I we have 1,000+ players ranked for every conceivable league for auctions drafts https://razzball.com/2020-fantasy-baseball-rankings/

      On strategy, I’ve written auction draft strategy before, it would be repeating myself at this point… I bet if you google Razzball auction draft strategy you’ll find something

        • Grey

          Grey says:
          (link)

          Thanks, Ante!

          • galica says:
            (link)

            Grey!

            No problems, boss.

            Btw, how was your trip back from the LABR draft? Any corona stories? See any pock-marked Honduran/Salvadoran types on your flight over? Did you get soaked and did you really have to use the airport hooters rain jacket?

            Cheers,
            Ante

            • Grey

              Grey says:
              (link)

              Yeah, I flew Hooters airline… No drug mules, thankfully! And I washed my hands while singing Happy Birthday, so I’m coronavirus-free!

        • ozone ranger says:
          (link)

          I never read that article until now. That was on the money.

          My $260 budget of cents:

          I like to throw near elite guys early I don’t want to see if they go for elite dollars. Last years was Realmuto first throw. He went for $30 in my big keeper only league. This year will be Kris Bryant.

          Also, hot pitching rookie prospects with good spring trainings work well in the ~3rd to 7th round throws. Flush with dollars, people will overspend, especially in keeper leagues. Hype sells , and rookie pitchers are terribly inconsistent, rarely retuning their purchased value.

          Throwing has-beens with more name value than actual value is a favorite of mine. Those not as prepared will pay for stats of a past age.

          As a catcher punter, I typically throw only catchers for a stretch. Fill out other’s rosters so I can get those $1-$2 Catchers I’m targeting. The big thing is you do have 1/12th (in a 12-teamer) control of roster filling supply. Use it to your advantage.

  19. AL KOHOLIC says:
    (link)

    i think i no who Grey is getting ready to draft in the 5th round of the razzslam

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Haha, I can’t stop myself

  20. Duda Want to Build a Snowman? says:
    (link)

    Hey Grey! Two quick ones for ya as I prep for a draft later this week…(also, it’s amazing how high people are on DJL, and I’m a yankee fan!). Anyway, this is a 12 team weekly roto league where I’m strapped for auction dollars but keeping 5 elite bats plus Scherzer + Bieber to top my rotation:

    1. Would you feel OK having Madrigal as your starting 2B in a 12 team keeper league? Madrigal would of course have a placeholder 2B like a Schoop/Wong/Starlin/LaStella type until he’s up. That said, Madrigal’s gotta be up in April/May if he doesn’t break camp, right?

    2. Similar question. With an SP1/SP2 of Bieber Scherzer, how long can I wait to draft an SP3?
    Houser/Lucchesi/Smith/Archer/Desclafani (~SP60)? I’ll be aiming for Odorrizi/Maeda, but may be outbid since I’ll be one of the poor guys in the room. Pretty sure the pitcher pairing tool actually reaches out of the screen and slaps you if you try to take Scherzer after Bieber!

    Thanks.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Yeah, I know, it’s crazy

      1. Nope, he’s a bench flyer

      2. You have two high #1s — So Lamet-ish

      • Duda Want to Build a Snowman? says:
        (link)

        Thanks!

        • Grey

          Grey says:
          (link)

          No problem

  21. Clive says:
    (link)

    Can keep 5 in a 6×6 (standard + OPS and QS), would love some advice!

    Rd 18 Bellinger
    Rd 19 Tatis
    Rd 10 T Turner
    Rd 22 Alvarez
    Rd 16 Alonso
    Rd 22 Meadows
    Rd 22 Giolito
    Rd 6 Bieber
    Rd 5 Harper
    Rd 1 Degrom

    Can keep them at similar values for years to come.
    Thanks!

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Rd 18 Bellinger
      Rd 19 Tatis
      Rd 10 T Turner
      Alonso
      DeGrom

      Very solid keepers

  22. Puiggy says:
    (link)

    Hey Grey,

    Last keeper slot in 14tm H2H OPS/QS league:
    Cueto $1
    or
    A. Riley $3
    ?

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Riley

  23. Keeks says:
    (link)

    Morning Grey,
    Been doing some mock drafts for my 5×5 league with HR, RBI, SB, OBP, and SLG
    One are where you and rudy really differ for this format is at 1B, he’s got rizzo at third (above Albombso!) and Olson all the way down at 7th.
    I’ve got pick 11 of 12 and plan on picking a 1B with one of my top 4 picks. Rizzo and Olson usually both available on the 3/4 turn and both gone by 5/6 so pretty much deciding which I want to pick.

    Your thoughts on Rizzo v Olson for my league?

    • Keeks says:
      (link)

      Fwiw, I’m pretty locked in on Bryce or Soto (if he falls) for one of my first two picks so my OBP floor should be solid.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      He hates Albombso…

      I like Olson

      • Keeks says:
        (link)

        Well that makes one of him, must be lonely.

        Thanks! Have Super Tuesday haha

        • Grey

          Grey says:
          (link)

          Haha

  24. TJ says:
    (link)

    Hey Grey. Just drafted. Looking for your insights on this team. Keeper league. H2H 10 team league, 8×8. OPS/AVG and QS + K/BB. Appreciate it.

    C- Will Smith
    1B – Jose Abreu
    2B – Cavan Biggion
    3B – Anthony Rendon
    SS – Javier Baez
    OF – Mookie Betts
    OF – Aaron Judge
    OF – Victor Robles
    UTIL – Yuli Gurriel
    UTIL – Dansby Swanson

    BN – Kingery, Verdugo

    SP’s – Kyle Hendricks, Yu Darvish, Zack Wheeler, Brandon Woodruff, Marcus Stroman, Luke Weaver, Zac Gallen
    RP’s – Kirby Yates, Raisiel Iglesias, Brandon Workman

    Prospects – Kieboom, Carlson, Alex Reyes

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      You look low on pitching, a tad at least, low on QS — I don’t mind the guys you have tho — Your hitting looks solid, but low on SBs, which I guess is fine in OPS

  25. return2earth says:
    (link)

    yo DT, Grey & everyone else involved,

    thanks for the invite to the RazzSlam. appreciate y’all.

    as for this schmohawk .. LeNoThankYou

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      No problem!

  26. Earl says:
    (link)

    What are people’s thoughts as to when following prospects make it to big league (if at all):
    nate pearson, mackenzie gore, jo Adell

    Also thoughts on AJ Puk as perhaps SP6. Guess his innings will likely be limited along lines of McCullers. Would you take Puk or McCullers?

    Do you see Maurico Dubon’s start in spring as good sign of things to come or just simply spring training for what it is worth (not much).

    Thanks

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      McCullers

      I went over Dubon in my rankings

  27. Tigres says:
    (link)

    Chris Sale heading for elbow MRI…

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      I only wish more people would’ve drafted him before it happened

      • hot corner says:
        (link)

        Damn, that’s cold…

  28. galica says:
    (link)

    Grey!!

    Mock draft 10 teams, CBS, 5X5, 2C, 5OFs 2U, 2 bench bats, no MI, no CI,.

    Rate the draft, I drafted out of the 3 hole.

    My picks

    Acuna (3)
    Story (18)
    SMarte (23)
    Flaherty (38)
    Alonso (43)
    Yates (58)
    Hader (63)
    ERosario (78)
    Devers (83)
    Robles (98)
    Darvish (103)
    Gray (118)
    Laureano (123)
    Bieber (138)
    EdRod (143)
    Hiura (158)
    Woodruff (163)
    Olson (178)
    McNeil (183)
    Ryu (198)
    Garver (203)
    CVazquez (218)
    McMahon (223)
    Soler (238)

    The lineup would be
    Garver
    Vazquez
    Alonso
    Hiura
    Story
    Devers
    Acuna, ERosario, Laureano, SMarte, Robles
    Olson, McNeil
    Bench: Soler, McMahon
    SP: Flaherty, Bieber, Darvish, SGray, EdRod. Woodruff, Ryu,
    RP: Hader, Yates

    My comments? CBS cares!

    Cheers,
    Ante

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Looks solid, Ante! You look solid on power and speed, and your pitching is insane…Nice team!

  29. toolshed says:
    (link)

    If drafting this weekend, would you even mess with judge, stanton, sale even if they are priced at a “discount”? Or would the discount have to be essentially free, which isn’t going to be happen. Thanks

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      No way…though, if the price is cheap enough on the bats, fine…But no way no way no way on Sale

  30. baby seal says:
    (link)

    Yo G!

    This Razzball DC just gets more and more Razzball / Grey as it goes on, lol. People take your guys exactly where you have them.

    We’re at pick 86 (just got on the clock!) and still have Greinke (just went at 85!), DJLM (*how dare you!*), Glasnow, Goldy on the board. Pretty hilarious.

    I’m at pick 5. Team 4 still doesn’t have a single pitcher, and team 3 only has Hader. *lolwtf.gif*

    Team 12 got a steal with Nola at 79 as his first SP. (That’s Cram It! How did we let this happen?!)

    Team 1 has a really interesting start — never seen this before — Cole, Stras, S Marte, Robles, Robert. (Obviously needs power and AVG is a bit shaky.) But that speed pairing is interesting at the least.

    I was thinking of grabbing my first Robert share. I was so off him initially just because high priced rookie. But I watched some tape, and it reminded me of when I watched Eloy tape last year and fell in love. This guy has a damn good swing. I know you’re on him, so I wanted to take a closer look. Seems like a good target for my home league!

    Donkey: Turner, Freeman, Hiura, Sale, Stanton, Thor. No me gusta.

    Knoche: Tatis, Buehler, Vlad, Villar, Castellanos, Woodruff. Fine so far.

    Cram It: Arenado, Harper, Xander, Laureano, Abreu, Nola. Pretty nice but needs some speed.

    Seal: Bellinger, Bieber, Albies, Darvish, Moncada, Anderson/Semien

    I like Anderson there for the bags. What do you think?

    Pretty much went as planned. I wanted to try a draft pushing up SP a bit from what I normally do. Maybe would’ve gone Robert in the 5th over Moncada if he was still there. And I like Morton over Darvish, but he went a couple picks before. Eh, wtv.

    I’m thinking picks 100-170 will be a mad dash for pitching and I can zig when others zag. Let’s see!

    Either that, or these guys have no idea how a DC works and that there isn’t a waiver wire. I may remind them if this gets out of hand!

    • baby seal says:
      (link)

      Yeah, I went Anderson. Pretty easy choice

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      TBH, I like your team the best and I’m not just saying that…Okay, a little bit, I also like Cram’s team a fair bit

      • baby seal says:
        (link)

        Let’s go!!! And I know u tell it how it is, G.

        I’m on deck rn. Can’t wait to get this next guy–don’t have a share yet!

        Have to be careful ’round these parts. Clearly we have lurkers!!

        • baby seal says:
          (link)

          I got my boy Montas. Recently got very high on him.

          The interesting guy w/ Cole, Robles, Robert, etc. went Donaldson and Cruz, so he got that power, finally.

          • Grey

            Grey says:
            (link)

            Montas is great, wrote a sleeper post on him in December

            • baby seal says:
              (link)

              got high on Montas, hehe

              I know you did. Lourdes just went at pick like 104 lol. Be careful with those things! ;)

              That’s the min by about 25 picks. Wild.

        • Grey

          Grey says:
          (link)

          Haha, shhh

    • Cram It says:
      (link)

      Don’t worry about my speed, Seal! You only have 20 more than me at this point, per Steamer. Go get some RBIs then talk to me ;)

      • baby seal says:
        (link)

        Hahaha. You gotta get runs early! I’ll get my RBIs (hopefully, *gulp*)

        Still very early, obviously :)

  31. lct says:
    (link)

    Pick a side
    2 years of rendon and freeman
    1 year of machado, rizzo, and scherzer

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Machado

  32. Jr says:
    (link)

    What do you think of Austin Riley long term? I have him in a dynasty league and can lock him up for cheap for 4 years, but if I do it I’m locked in for all 4 years. Can’t get rid of the tag if he doesn’t live up to potential.

    I want to buy in because of his first 40ish games last year, but is it worth the risk?

    • Cram It says:
      (link)

      Depends what “cheap” means, but sure, worth it

      • Jr says:
        (link)

        We have a set amount of tag years to spend every year. If I put 5 years on Mike trout, I’d have 25 left on the rest of my roster. With rookies, the tag is 4 years long but it only counts as 1 year towards that total racing year. We can put two tags on players then they go back to the draft.

        So I can put one year on him this year and then tag him one more time next year, or I can lock him in for four years plus two more tags after that.

        • Cram It says:
          (link)

          These rules are too confounding for me to understand, or care enough to understand! But maybe just one year then if you don’t have to lock him in.

          • Jr says:
            (link)

            It’s honestly a pain in the ass, but it’s a friend league so I stay in it.

            And that’s what I was thinking too. Thanks!

          • Jr says:
            (link)

            Oh it’s a pain, but it’s a league with a bunch of friends so I put up with it.

            And thanks! That’s what I was thinking too.

        • Grey

          Grey says:
          (link)

          Meh, I don’t even know if he’s making the team out of camp…how deep is this league?

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Not worth locking him up like that

  33. FrankGrimes says:
    (link)

    Muncy!

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Haha

  34. Nick says:
    (link)

    Grey

    Welcome back

    Team 1 Dynasty : who would you drop ?
    C : no C yet
    1B : Abreu
    2B ; Villar
    3B Rendon
    SS : Lindor
    OF1 Acuña
    OF2 JD Martinez
    OF3 Castellanos
    Util : tim Anderson
    Bench :
    Encarnacion too old to Dynasty?
    Krush “no more” Davis
    Artist Ides Aquino
    Lourdis Gurriel JR
    Andujar “son of a bench” 3B? DH?

    SP1 : Snell (traded for Alonso last season)
    SP2 Giolito
    SP3 Glasnow
    SP4 5 6 7 Lamet /Heaney / Yarbrought / Montas
    RP Iglesias
    RP Pagan
    Bench Domingo PED Germano

    i would keep Aquino and Gurriel appealing OFs and see
    i would drop :
    German and pick a C : Alfaro ? Mejia? Sean Murphy…Salvador ? wait and C ?
    Pagan … for another RP Magill Oberg Karinchak ,, who knows who cares
    Andujar dor an IF or multiplayer
    then in a dis-cushion for the future : Krush and E5

    i can get ASAP :
    Batters : Ahmed Rosario + / Urshela / Berti / Brian anderson + / Danny Santana / Hays / Madrigal / La Stella / Solak / Dubon / Adames / Christian Walker
    Pitchers : Urquidy / Civale / Reynaldo Lopez / Desclafani / BASSITT +/ Alex Reyes / Pablo lopez / Caleb Smith …

    My bet would be :
    DROP: German Pagan Andujar
    Pick : Rosario Alfaro + RP
    MAY BE DROP then : Encarnacion Krush
    MAY PICK : Santana or Anderson ? another SP or RP ?

    waiting for your callS$

    Nick

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      No idea how deep this league is…I guess German, Pagan — Alfaro, Rosario

      • Nick says:
        (link)

        12 teams – 23 active players

  35. Sal says:
    (link)

    Is anyone part of a keeper league where some rule or system has been implemented to make the league a little more fun?

  36. Nick says:
    (link)

    GREY
    me again ;;; easier

    Team 2 KEEP-ers 10 players

    1. Acuña
    2. Trea T
    3. Alonso
    4. Altuve
    5. Springer
    6. Corbin
    7. Giolito
    8. Bauer

    you can call the last twos
    9. SP Lamet / Lynn / Woodruff
    10 RP KJansen / Will Smith/ Archie Bradley

    others to considerate as keepers
    Goldsmith : i have Pete
    Castellanos : i have Acuña + George
    Tim Anderson : i have TreaT

    i’ll miss a 3B at the draft
    i could get Sano /Kingery / McMahon / Dozier

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Woodruff, Kenley

      I like Sano, Kingery and Dozier

  37. zzelasko2 says:
    (link)

    Hey G!! We’re geared up for a 3rd title run in 4 years….. LETS ROCK!!! This year we’ve expanded to a 12 team league with H2H Categories 6×6 (OPS and Holds). We get 4 keepers this year, for as long as we want to hold on to them. It’s an auction draft and their values factor into our $260 budget. Which 4 you thinkin?

    $55 Trout
    $36 Acuna Jr.
    $31 Treat Urner
    $26 Rizzo
    $24 Gerritt Cole
    $23 Bellinger
    $21 Baez
    $16 Strasburg
    $9 Mondesi
    $1 Sano

    Really appreciate it!!

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Bellinger, Acuna, Treat, Cole — insane keepers

      • zzelasko2 says:
        (link)

        Thanks to you!!

        • Grey

          Grey says:
          (link)

          No problem

          • zzelasko2 says:
            (link)

            Was it a close one for you between Treat and Baez/mondesi?? And would recommend still going after them in the draft for $28/$20 respectively?

            • Grey

              Grey says:
              (link)

              Yes, it’s close, but you can just redraft em…I’d for sure redraft Trout

              • zzelasko2 says:
                (link)

                Trout might end up being closer to $60 in this league because alot of teams are keeping 1 dollar players with good value. But I can definitely try because I plan on going low for SP, obviously the way to win!

  38. BBQ Warren says:
    (link)

    AL only – who do you like better for an MLB future (preferably in the AL) Clint Frazier or Myles straw. Does Frazier get traded? IS straw worth acquiring cheaply for the Clint Frazier I need to sign?

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Ha, neither…Frazier I guess

  39. Harley Earl says:
    (link)

    I’ve seen several places recommending LeMahieau as the #7 second baseman on the board, ahead of Hiura and Muncy. There’s no way I’d take him over either. I agree with you, there should be some major regression with this Schmohawk this year! I don’t want any part of this guy either!

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Nice!

  40. Duda Want to Build a Snowman? says:
    (link)

    Keeper deadline tonight! Toying with offering my $34 Scherzer for the other team’s $16 Snell while there’s still concerns over his elbow (though, still expected to debut during week 1 of the season).

    Worth the risk, or don’t bother going after Snell?

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      WUT…No

      • Duda Want to Build a Snowman? says:
        (link)

        haha thanks!

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          Ha, No problem

  41. Duda Want to Build a Snowman? says:
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    While I have ya (people going nuts at the deadline after being inactive before then hah!)…

    1. My $34 Scherzer for $3 Woodruff

    2. Scherzer for $9 Victor Robles

    Also, no concerns that Mondesi is still ramping up in ST, right?

    Thanks!

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      1. Nah 2. Nah

      Mondesi could roll out of bed on May 1st and steal 45+ bags

  42. Curious George says:
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    Grey- I was doing a bit of “mock” ish drafting (more just seeing potential targets round by round and drafting against myself on a spreadsheet)… I had kind of put ohtani into an “avoid bucket” but his xRank (order they are listed in on the draft board) on yahoo has him at 131/145. This is obviously quite a bit lower than even you ranked him! Its a 2 keeper league and I have acuna in the 6th this year (4th next year) and soto in the 21st (19th 2021). However if I win, I get an extra keeper. Should I be in on ohtani with the following team construction if he is available this late? Or trying to figure out a shortstop and some speed instead? 8×8 H2H cats

    Matt Olson
    Max Muncy
    Nolan Arenado
    Ronald Acuna
    Bryce Harper
    Franmil Reyes
    Juan Soto

    Yu Darvish
    Sonny Gray
    Lance Lynn

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Around 130th overall sounds fine for him

      • Curious George says:
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        Cool. Any advice for the team so far? Any favorite late round SS? Just not seeming to line up on any given my draft position.

        avg, ops, r, rbi, xbh, hr, net sb, and k’s

        Thanks!

          • Curious George says:
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            12 teamer. Been combing thru yahoo XRanks hard. (25 total keepers in league)
            Player – XR minus keepers; where I hope to draft them

            Matt Olson – XR 46/ 42 overall
            Max Muncy – XR 63/ 55 overall
            Nolan Arenado – XR 10/ 7 overall
            Ronald Acuna – Keeper
            Bryce Harper – XR 19/ 18 overall
            Franmil Reyes – XR 86/ 90 overall (this one might be hopeful)
            Juan Soto – Keeper
            Yu Darvish – XR 36/ 31 overall
            Sonny Gray – XR 82/ 79 overall
            Lance Lynn – XR 107/ 103 overall

            Here is to hoping! Thanks again!

  43. gino napoli says:
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    I respectfully disagree. The yankees injury train is already starting early, which is why DJ performed so well last year — he became the ballast for the bronx bomber squad. Plus he’s hitting in the AL East which means vs. the pathetic-to-mediocre pitching staffs of Boston, Baltimore, and Toronto for 3 times 18 games out of 162.

    1) His K% has been less than 15% for the last 4 years.
    2) 3 out of the last 4 years, his ISO has been greater than .147 (0.099 in 2017).
    3) LD% has been greater than 20% for the last 7 years
    4) IFFB% has been less than 6% for every year except 2016 (10.2%)
    5) His Opposite Field % has always been greater than 70%
    6) HardHit% has been greater than 35% for 3 out of the last 4 years (30.6% in 2017)
    7) Swinging Strike % has been less than 6.6% for the last 5 years
    8) Z-Contact% has always been greater than 90%
    9) O-Contact% has been greater than 75% for 3 out of the last 4 years, and has always been greater than 70%
    10) Batting Average greater than .300 for 4 out of the last 5 years

    Granted I admit I could be cherry picking the data but look at his Brooksbaseball heat map since 2014

    He is a 300 plus hitter in 8 out of 9 boxes within the strike zone AND a 500 plus Slugger for 6 out of 9 boxes. That’s a smart hitter who can wait for a pitcher’s mistake.

    The guy can hit. Maybe his homers are less than 20, but so what. Because 200 Runs+RBI’s are feasible with DJL this season, which comes with a highly likely .300 Batting Average hitting a top that Bronx Bomber lineup. Add the position flexiblility and why do people think he is a bust if you get him in round 8 or 9. Mind you I wouldn’t reach for him before round 8, and it really depends on my team build. If I am strong at 2B and solid at 1B I might skip DJ, but I don’t think he’ll be a BUST.

    • gino napoli says:
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      Am I the only one making a comment relevant to the blog topic?

      I don’t get why all these people want you to acknowledge or give advice to whom they drafted. Regardless of whom you draft, the strength of your team depends more upon the strength of the other teams in your league. Most of the time you really can’t judge an MLB lineup out of the context of the other team rosters. Its largely relative to the competition. In some leagues your weak spots will be minor. In others your 2 or 3 weakness matter.

      • FrankGrimes says:
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        Haha

      • Sinkhole Demayo says:
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        his current ADP is like 61st, so early 6th round.

        • Sinkhole Demayo says:
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          and in espn/yahoo the most popular sites, it’s middle 50’s. 5th round in those.

  44. Stupid Sexy Glanders says:
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    AL only slow draft. this is for pick 1.6, some people were kept in some slots ahead of me here, we use last year’s ADP prices from fantasy pros averaged ADP data at end of 2019 season. OBP over AVG, net steals over steals, QS over wins, holds added and total bases added 10 team h2h.
    i have already:
    C
    1B
    2B
    SS
    1 CI
    1 MI
    3B vlad (3)
    OF (4): gallo (5), mercado (25)
    util (1)
    SP (want 8 or so)
    RP (4)

    these guys are left (i’m just showing this year ADP list guys). i pick again after 5 other picks too. clearly i don’t need another OF at all yet, wondering if i should go like bogaerts or bieber/snell here
    these are all not drafted/kept yet:
    bogaerts
    judge
    bieber
    altuve
    sale
    snell
    n.cruz
    morton
    olson
    moncada
    merrifield
    eloy
    clevinger
    abreu
    rosario
    greinke
    lemahieu
    donaldson
    brantley
    robert
    t.anderson
    a.chapman
    correa
    osuna
    benintendi

    OPS rater numbers: bogaerts (22.4), altuve (24.6), judge (12.9), olson (17.8), moncada (17.8), mondesi (18.5)
    QS + holds rater numbers: bieber (20.7), snell (19.2), sale (14.1), clevinger (10.1)

    the first 4 picks were verlander, bregman, jose ram, rendon (stanton was somebody else’s keeper too in the 1.1 slot). i know you have bogaerts like 5 spots ahead of bieber in your rankings, but those are set for 12’ers, in QS and AL only and already having 3 hitters it might be bright to lock up the ace here or do it in 6 more picks. and yours aren’t for OPS/OBP either.

    • Stupid Sexy Glanders says:
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      just did some homework on the keepers and the teams drafting in between my 1.6 and next pick after 5 other people picked (one of them twice). it’s very likely at least 2, maybe 3 pitchers would go in those 5 picks if i went hitter here.

  45. Duda Want to Build a Snowman? says:
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    Keeper league, $16 bieber for $9 Victor Robles and $3 woodruff? Is it close?

    • Stupid Sexy Glanders says:
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      probably bieber just since the cheap ace price (and the confidence in him vs woodruff). if he was a lot more (like 30 or something) it would be a lot closer.

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