Games that are played in Colorado are more likely to produce a higher score because Coors has 12% more scoring than the average game. DFS players know this and love to roster opposing offenses in Colorado, but the players’ prices increase as well. Aaron Judge had his price raised nearly 10% because of this matchup and the other players got similar price bumps. PHI is coming off a series in Coors and their players are still experiencing a price bump as they head to another great hitters park in Sacramento.
Plenty of other teams have not experienced pricing increases even though they are going from bad to good DFS scoring environments. BAL and BOS are going to be playing this series in the second best park for runs scored, and none of those prices have moved much over the past few weeks. We can take advantage of good pricing and good matchups by targeting these two teams. LAA and TOR are still fairly cheap and playing in matchups they can conceivably perform well in. NYM and HOU are both teams that I have fringe interest in.
When lineups are released this afternoon I will look to make game stacks of the BAL-BOS game as well as finding some 5 man stacks with LAA and TOR that work well and give me plenty of salary to roster higher priced one offs or a high priced 3man stack from LAD or ARI. That’s my plan for today!
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Chris Sale, SP: $9,400 – There are 4 pitchers at the top of the pricing scale tonight, and they are all really good SPs facing decent opponents tonight. Chris Sale is the cheapest of the bunch and has the best K/BB numbers and projections tonight. I like Sale, especially on a night where I don’t predict any stud SP to go for a ceiling type score. I will settle just fine with Sale’s possible 25+ point outing. He has 3 in his past 4.
Yusei Kikuchi, SP: $8,200 – Kikuchi was a revelation in 2024, but he has definitely lost something in 2025. Most DFS players hold that bias, but its also very possible that Kikuchi simply had a slow start as evidenced by his low swK%. This data point has ticked up in his last three starts, but the results have not been there, possibly because Kikuchi faced TOR, SD, and LAD in those starts, three very well disciplined offenses. Kikuchi gets a nice landing spot for a pitcher who is making his way back to his 2024 form. I am going to take the risk and enjoy a high K count.
Ryan Jeffers, C: $3,700 – Jeffers should bat high in the order since MIN is so injured and void of good hitters. Jeffers is an exception and the only Twin I would roster.
Alec Burleson, 1B: $3,500 – There are plenty of good 1B options (as always), and finding someone who is on the rise (therefore a cheaper price) is really important here. I like the Cards today even against Gallen – I feel STL can make Gallen work hard and avoid Ks – and Burleson is coming on after a cold start.
Jackson Holiday, 2B: $3,900 – if BAL hadn’t been so bad lately, this lead off bat for an above avg offense would surely be priced much higher. BAL has to snap out of their cold spell, and Holiday will lead them and benefit from the offense if it happens here.
Isaac Paredes, 3B: $4,000 – There seems to be a theme of low priced players on the rise in good matchups that I am liking to target here. Paredes stacks up against Bergman in terms of the matchup and skills, but he is much cheaper.
Gunnar Henderson, SS: $4,700 – If I am targeting the game in Boston, I need to include one of the most dynamic players on the Orioles, even if his K rate is a bit up this year. He still hits the ball very hard and can find a way to exploit Giolito if his stuff is still slow to come back.
BOS-BAL, OF: $2,000 – 5,200 – O’Hearn, Mullins, Abreu, Rafaela, Kjerstad, etc. I like these offenses and will probably include these well priced OFs on most lineups. There are always one offs in the OF who go for 30+ points, and usually are accessed by people who roster a stack of players. I feel like this game could be one of the more explosive and wouldn’t mind filling my OF with them.
I’m Only Happy When It Rains
The Northeast is currently getting wet, so check BOS-BAL closer to lock before jumping on those stacks. Some people might avoid it, but if it plays, that’s an even bigger advantage in large contests.
