As mentioned in the Dylan Crews fantasy, guys who are up are good. Better even. Maybe. That’s actually subjective. Better, I mean. “What’s better?” I believe that was Socrates quote. Not the famous philosopher. Guy I went to school with named Socrates who would always be asking, “What’s better? Getting kicked or punched in the groin?” Freakin’ Socrates and his stupid questions. This brings us (not really) to Coby Mayo. So, before I do any of these posts, I go back and look at what I (and Itch) wrote previously on the prospect, and for Mayo the reading was more extensive than English Lit 303. Firstly, Itch had him ranked 12th on the top 50 prospects for dynasty fantasy baseball. Flirtsly, what the hell is a flirtsly? Secondly, here’s what I said when he was called up, “Serious question: Hellmann’s, Miracle Whip, Kewpie, Duke’s or Coby? So, Coby Mayo has boku power. Looks like a 40-homer power hitter in most parks, prolly 30-ish homers in Camden. Maybe they can move the fences in again for next year. I’m not being facetious when I say I wouldn’t be shocked if he’s up for only a week or two or platoons. There’s a very real chance the O’s want to keep his at-bats below the rookie threshold so he can win them an extra draft pick next year if he wins Rookie of the Year. It’s a remote possibility, but I just want to give it to you. With that said, I would grab him everywhere. Mayo could possibly be a difference maker for power and that BLT.” And that’s me quoting me! Thirdly, there’s no thirdly. Fourthly, Itch said about him coming into this year, “The first time I saw Coby Mayo, he reminded me of Ryan Braun. It was the hip snap, which is immediate and drool-inducing for a baseball junkie. The left field fence is a long way away in Baltimore, but the 6’5” 230 lb officer and a gentleman will be able to clear it on the regular. Across two levels last year, Mayo hit 29 home runs and stole five bases with wRC+ outcomes of 178 in 78 games at Double-A and 127 in 62 games at Triple-A. He’s ready to compete at the major league level, and I’d like to compete in a Most Punches To Grey’s Head competition.” What on earth? So, what can we expect from Coby Mayo for 2025 fantasy baseball?
Coby Mayo fractured his rib on May 17th of this year, so this year was a stinker, huh? Yeah, you might want to hold up on jumping to conclusions. Coby Mayo hit 22 HRs and .287 in Triple-A this year in only 345 ABs. He’s ready to be a Major League power hitter. Now. Not tomorrow. Here’s some clips to make you drool:
Coby Mayo, MLB’s No. 29 prospect, sizzles a 106.6 mph no-doubt homer.
The @Orioles‘ No. 3 prospect is slashing .367/.387/.700 through his first six games with the @NorfolkTides: pic.twitter.com/zV1qkWzVzN
— MLB Pipeline (@MLBPipeline) April 5, 2024
That’s insane power. He could dong 40 dingers in Camden.
What a start! @cobymayox gets things going with his sixth home run of the season! 2-0 Tides#RisingTide pic.twitter.com/oNBnLqPbWd
— Norfolk Tides (@NorfolkTides) April 20, 2024
That’ll be it for the clips, because you know what homers look like, and Coby Mayo hits them. The speed is basically “maybe he steals a few on hit and runs but I wouldn’t count on more than a handful,” but the average might be a real concern. He usually figures out his K% after some time at a level, but I don’t really want a 25-homer, .220 hitter this year with an eye on 2026. That’s not what we’re doing here. We are redraft-focused and, if Mayo can’t get acclimated quickly, then his type of bat is replaceable in most redraft leagues. Think Mayo or, say, Carlos Santana? Not a huge difference if they’re both hitting .225.
Also, I like how many prospects the Orioles have from a real baseball standpoint, but they are jammed-up from the jelly up with guys who could steal ABs. I’d guess Santander is gone, so O’Hearn goes to DH (or Mayo goes to DH), but Gunny, Westburg and Holliday are not disappearing. Mountcastle? He’s gotta eat. Are they so stacked that Mayo only faces lefties? God, I hope not. So, for the O’s lineup, as one might say to your local sandwich artist, hopefully Mayo’s in there somewhere. I love Mayo’s power. Can they trade him to the Yanks who need a 1B and have a great park? No? Okay. If it sounds like I’m lukewarm here, I am, and lukewarm on Mayo is a good way to get botulism. For 2025 fantasy baseball, I’ll give Coby Mayo projections of 29/11/34/.219/2 in 232 ABs with a chance for more power and average.
O’Hearn is a nice player but he gets the boot once Basallo is ready. Basallo will take his ABs at first base and DH, just a matter of time. I must say, O’Hearn has been a very nice placeholder, as they wait for the rookie being ready.
Are you doing any Gladiators? Its a pretty nice option at $50. Finishing my first slow today and just starting my second. I bought a “six-pack”. It should stave off any potential for winter offseason boredom.
Yeah, I’d like to! I haven’t yet tho
Someone invite me! haha
Haha. Ill let you know when I join my next one!
Thanks!
Sounds good. We’ll be fighting over Kristian Campbell and Jordan Lawlar in rounds 20 through 22 (I got them both in my draft in that range).
Haha, I’m coming for them!
I did the two hour. Its was perfect. We are on target to complete all 23 rounds in exactly a week.
That sounds like the perfect amount of time
Mayo + McDermont + pair of prospects for Crochet?
Even losing Santander they have too many OF/OF types. Mullins, Kjerstad, Cowser, for some reason traded for Cameron, and have interest in Hernandez.
Infield is even more packed. If Basallo is hot doesnt that block Mayo at 1B? He would have to play 3B and he was shaky there.
Meanwhile in minors Beavers, Bradfield, and Honeycutt (down the road) all will be up soonish if things go right.
Works for me! I don’t know when Basallo’s coming but I don’t see he comes up any time soon
It’s crazy how important it is that a guy not only be good but have a path to PT
You dont think he makes it up ASB or for cup of coffee at end of season?
I don’t know, I’d currently put him between July and Sept.
I think you probably became certifiable if you tried to stash an O’s prospect this year. What a logjam.
The Marlins & O’s seemed like perfect trade partners a few years ago. Too bad many of the mia pitching prospects got hurt. The Norby trade showed it may still be feasible.
They also got Basallo who has to be in the mix sometime in 2025. He probably moves to 1b.
Haha, yeah, it’s the direction of madness…They should trade more guys for more arms
I forgot to include that they traded joey ortiz earlier in the year too. It’s crazy how they have so many guys at once who ready or who are close.
Haha, yeah, they are *stacked* stacked — they could trade away two more guys, not bring back Santander and still have too many guys
I keep hearing the song Freebird in the back of my head. Ortiz may actually have an everyday job once Adames signs with LAD.
Yeah, Ortiz is interesting actually…more so than Mayo
Def feels like a guy who will explode as soon as he’s given a full time gig (prob on another team!).
Totally unrelated, but safe to assume that James Wood outside of rookie post eligibility due to games played? Def not me asking because he’s on both my keepers + I’m already way too excited about his 2025…
Yeah, he could
Wood has too many ABs, he’s not a rookie anymore…He looks dope tho
Thanks! Yea – esp seeing that walk rate. put that guy at 1 or 2 in the lineup!
Yeah, we should be every teams’ manager