Well we weren’t talking about deep fried empanadas.  We were talking about the retro-chic lads from that Navy town of San Diego…  Yes, those Padres of the last place origin.  The ones with 16 whole wins in their favor on the year.  Sneaky Hold situations make my world go round.  Which, in turn, makes me spurn to you on the recycled tip of the serving platter from a fantasy analyst.  Over the last 14 games, the Padres have endured some good fortune in the reliever ranks, namely Brandon Maurer.  Maurer has netted himself 7 Holds over that time, or in fantasy bullpen coverage terms here at the Razz-nation, a hold the fort(night). Maurer is the 8th inning guy and if you are in a holds league, then he is probably taken.  Him of the 14-plus K-rate over the last 10 games and because they strung a few victories in a row, boom! Stats.  But we all know how many holds he has in the last umpteen days… because we can all read stat lines and understand that one plus the previous amount equals today’s total.  Math catch-up lesson over.  The Father’s depth in the pen doesn’t just end with Brandon.  Take a look deeper and we will come across not the candlestick maker, nor the baker, but the Butcher.  As in Ryan Butcher.  While Maurer seems to get all the decent looks in the 8th for the beloved hold, Butcher seems to latch onto him like a paramecium in heat looking for a Padres win.  Averaging over a K per inning, and duly entrenched as the bridge to the bridge to Fernando Rodney (which probably really isn’t much of a bridge of at all, but just a rope with board entwined with hope aspiration and tears), so with this brief biopic on the San Diegans bullpen fellas, lets look at what else is bouncing around in the world of set-up, set-up to get beat down.  I get nothing but a hold.

  • A braves reliever suggested by me?… no the heck way.  Check out Hunter Cervenka‘s stats.  Batters are 1-23 against him on the year.  Yeah, the stat lines are empty, basically because the Braves are awful at bullpen goodness.  Deeper league? You need this guy as a ratio boost, and smaller leagues? Stand idly by.
  • Joel Peralta turns 40 and makes us remember when he was 35 and a bullpen asset, instead of just an ass.  K-rate over 18 in his last 14 games… seems to have found the Viagra for his fastball.
  • Go to your wire, if Trevor May or Sam Dyson are there, leave your league, form your own league, and win that league all by yourself.
  • Remember last year when Cam Bedrosian was a thing? Well, he is soon to be a thing again.  The Angels aren’t going any-wheres fast, and will be testing the square pegs in the round holes real fast.
  • I don’t get the Hector Neris is bound to fail eventually because of (insert random bad statement of fantasy goodness).  He is a better pitcher long term than Gomez, there, I said it.
  • Congrats everyone who brought in Caleb Cotham on the save speculation thing.  10 earned runs over 5 innings pitched works wonders for the overall morale of your fantasy team.  Cingrani was the add in closer bingo for the Reds.  For the next week at least.
  • Stay patient with the Tigers bullpen,  Justin Wilson and Mark Lowe will settle down their collective ERA is over 13 for the last fortnight and it won’t stay there.  If you are a nervous Tiger owner of the Siegfried and Roy persuasion, Alex Wilson seems to quell all ills currently.  They still have quantity in their favor, so please for the love of all that is Grey, be patient.

 

Player Holds/BS App with Lead IR Runners/IR Scored
Brandon Maurer 10/1 11 0/0
Joel Peralta 10/2 13 1/0
Zach Duke 9/1 15 12/4
Sam Dyson 9/1 14 8/0
Nate Jones 9/1 13 5/1
Koji Uehara 9/1 12 0/0
Justin Wilson 9/1 14 6/3
Jake Diekman 8/0 12 6/1
Neftali Feliz 8/1 11 10/1
David Hernandez 8/1 10 3/2
Hector Neris 8/0 10 9/4
David Phelps 8/1 14 4/1
Pedro Strop 8/2 16 7/1
Tony Watson 8 11 4/1
Matt Albers 7/1 12 10/3
Pedro Baez 7/1 8 8/6
Kyle Barraclough 7/0 9 4/0
Dellin Betances 7/0 9 7/1
Jim Henderson 70 10 6/1
Will Harris 7/0 7 4/1
 
  1. JakeTPE says:
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    Hi Smokey,

    Love the column! For Holds-du-jour type, would you go Phelps or Mauer?

    And Siegrist over either/both of them? I haven’t owned him this season. Seems like the #s are there, just no Holds, kind of like O’Day last year. Man, that was frustrating. Do you see him getting more Holds (or SV) opportunities going forward?

    Thanks, Smokey!

    • Smokey

      Smokey says:
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      @JakeTPE: I would go with Maurer, he seems to be in almost every close game for the Pads. Siegrist numbers are there just not the hold stats. Siegrist will get them in bunches but gotta go with hot hand approach at holds and not ne afraid to change quickly

      • JakeTPE says:
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        @Smokey: Thanks, man. I’ll definitely give Maurer a look next week and continue to be a monocled cyclops with Siegrist. Double-header coming up for MIA so Phelps (currently rostered based on last week’s advice) gets the call on Saturday. Hoping for one Hold. He’s been good for me so far.

        • Smokey

          Smokey says:
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          @JakeTPE: nice good luck

          • JakeTPE says:
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            @Smokey: Hold the fort(night) continues! Damn. Ah, well. Your call was on the money, sir! At least Dyson got a 1-pitch hold (the best kind) before Tolleson blew it. Maurer for Tolleson may be the move yet!

            • Smokey

              Smokey says:
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              @JakeTPE: yea Tolley looks a little gassd by the opportunity, I think they may ease him out for a while.

  2. Mm says:
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    So both May and Dyson will be closing for their teams soon?

    • Smokey

      Smokey says:
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      @Mm: In my opinion they will be, and are dynamite rosteralble guys on spec

    • mauledbypandas says:
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      @Mm: That would require Min to have a lead late in a game. Dyson is the perty choice to take over for Tolleson, but Tolly has actually been fairly decent since his one blow up to start the year. Dyson is great for holds though.

  3. peacecoast says:
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    Trevor May doesn’t have a single hold though. what gives? why would I pick him up if I need holds or saves?

    also appreciate the Justin Wilson support. I loved this guy, but maybe he is hurt? This week he blew up. 5 appearances, 7 ER. Only 1/5 was clean. Very ugly. Really worth holding on to with guys like Feliz, Diekman, Duke on my waiver wire?

    • Smokey

      Smokey says:
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      @peacecoast: Well the world covets saves. and I still think he is the best option there. No I would shift my allegiance to the better guys with better match-ups this week. Duke especially

  4. Wacha wacha says:
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    Hey smokey

    Which two closers do you like best ros between Gomez, k rod, osuna, and Rodney in h2h?

    Thanks!

    • Smokey

      Smokey says:
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      @Wacha wacha: I would say Osuna and K-Rod just based on total accumulation of saves, but Gomez is making it very interesting in this debate. Can I pick 3 instead..hehe

  5. tbone13176 says:
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    (4×4) smoak,cron ,moreland which one

    • Smokey

      Smokey says:
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      @tbone13176: I like Cron, but all three are similar on the hot schmatato thing and can have a good week followed by 2 bad.

  6. Ralph Lifshitz

    Ralph Lifshitz says:
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    West Boston slag vs suffragette slimeball?

    • Smokey

      Smokey says:
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      @Ralph Lifshitz: both just awful people, can I just pick the pickle fetchers of the world and not have to choose

  7. Noam says:
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    Leading my league in holds thanks to you!

    Is Granderson worth a number two waiver claim in a 12 team ESPN Roto league? I’d drop Rickard, Hicks, or Peraza….if not is he worth an add at all?

    • Smokey

      Smokey says:
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      @Noam: at the end of the year I can say that Grandy will have 20 hr’s and 60-70 RBI’s. Can you say that and mean it about the others

  8. Scott says:
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    Ooh nasty inning by May last night. Saw somebody dumped him in one league (not holds).

    • Smokey

      Smokey says:
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      @Scott: If better options are there I wouldn’t the relief game is a hot havnd situation and fluid always. Minnesota has had a bad time getting save opps so if looking for quantity over save speculation then let him be.

  9. Jim says:
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    Thank you Smokey
    Picked up Barraclough in 2 leagues last week and Lo and behold he has had 2 horrible outings. 2 outings, 1.1 innings pitched , 27 era and 3.00 WHIP. I picked him up just for the ratios in 12 team leagues.
    Thoughts on Barraclough? I feel I should hold and hope the era and whip right themselves as I reap all those Ks/9, but need your opinion on him….
    Thank you.

    • mauledbypandas says:
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      @Jim: last night he walked Rendon and gave up a bomb to Harper. How did he react? He struck out the side. I’d hold for a little bit, though he has bounced around quite a bit in his career so don’t invite him to move in just yet.

    • Smokey

      Smokey says:
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      @Jim: better things to come, a Hr to the best player on the planet is an honor sometimes.

  10. Scott says:
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    Who’s a better trade target for saves? Casilla or Tolleson?

    • mauledbypandas says:
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      @Scott: tomato potato. I would go with Tolleson personally but I am sure that bucks the trend around here.

    • Smokey

      Smokey says:
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      @Scott: Ill disagree just to be different and side with Casilla, over the last 2 years SF has more wins with 2 runs or less . Which just means more quantity. But it’s close like Pandas said

      • mauledbypandas says:
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        @Smokey: I can’t tell if Bochy is secretly pissed at him for his antics lately, but not like the Giants have anybody else. Even Romo when he comes back seems like a cuddle boy. Strickland maybe eventually?

        • Smokey

          Smokey says:
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          @mauledbypandas: I think its an over work thing also as he is trying to not burn Casilla out. But yea Strickland is there and Osich is no slouch at all.

        • Joey Jo Jo Jr Shabadoo says:
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          @mauledbypandas: romo FIP/XFIP last year 1.91, 2.42.

  11. Jon says:
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    Do you like May and Dyson over Neris in a 5×5?

    • mauledbypandas says:
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      @Jon: Neris for me. Not close

    • Smokey

      Smokey says:
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      @Jon: Dyson maybe, but I love me some Neris.

      • Jon says:
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        @Smokey: I have May and Dyson currently. Drop May for Neris?

        • Smokey

          Smokey says:
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          @Jon: Yes, no need to save spec when there are better options out there

  12. The discarded head of Ted Williams says:
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    Smokey!

    I am in need of saves in a very competitive league where nothing is ever even close to available. I am in first by 20 pts in a 5×5 roto, but am in almost last place with saves.

    Got a trade partner who has j.gonez, Ramos or the son of Gregor on the block. Which guy would you target?

    Also… I have may, colome, chapman, Strickland and, siegrist to fill out my 4 spots. Should I be trading or holding? IM FREAKING OUT MAN!!!! How am I winning with no saves???

    • Smokey

      Smokey says:
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      @The discarded head of Ted Williams: You will slowly climb up with Chapman accumulating now, but it never hurts to try and acquire a stout closer. See what he wants for Gomez first if price is ridiculous just try for Ramos then because well he is better but will be about same price then. Jedi mind trick him, these aren’t the droids(saves) you are looking for

  13. Lville Jim says:
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    Does Boone Logan take over closing duties if and when McGee gets moved at the trade deadline?

    • ohbilly2134 says:
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      @Lville Jim:

      Is McGee on the block? I wasn’t aware.

      Now I’m curious. Smokey?

      • Lville Jim says:
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        @ohbilly2134: He is on a one year deal and arbitration eligible next year. Unless they are playing great ball at the deadline I figure they move him to a contender as a set up man and pick up a low minors prospect.

      • Smokey

        Smokey says:
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        @ohbilly2134: currently probably not but in a month absolutely

    • Smokey

      Smokey says:
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      @Lville Jim: Logan not so much, Castro or Estevez or a returning from injury Ottavino would be ahead of him I would think

  14. GMoney says:
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    Can I Drop Severino NOW ???? Thoughts

    I would pick up Betances…just because he is so good…

    • ohbilly2134 says:
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      @GMoney:

      He should’ve been dropped weeks ago. So in short, YES.

      And if Betances is around on your ww, go grab him for Sevy. Definitely…

    • Smokey

      Smokey says:
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      @GMoney: Yea, betances is a better play

  15. Phil B.

    Phil B. says:
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    Smokey my man, May is taken and I have Jepsen; would you drop Jepsen for Dyson? I’m leaning that way…

    • Lville Jim says:
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      @Phil B.: I just went and picked him up everywhere he was available after another Tolleson implosion tonight.

    • Smokey

      Smokey says:
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      @Phil B.: heck yea you should

  16. ryanoger says:
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    10 team h2h redraft holds league

    RPs- Gomez, Madson, K-Rod, Casilla, Dyson

    1. I know I should be playing it by week, however, how many ‘holds guys’ should I look to roster, 2?
    2. Which closer from above should I lose if you think i need to pick up another ‘holds guy’? Surprisingly for a holds league there are plenty of solid holds guys for the taking, which FA should I pick up if yes to question 1: Neris, Will Harris, Maurer, Justin Wilson, Trevor May, Peralta, Duke, Siegrist, Oh, and Carson Smith?

    thanks smokey!
    ryan

    • Smokey

      Smokey says:
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      @ryanoger: 1. 2 holds guys with a swinging in and out spot for spot starters and hot hand with holds.
      2. You can’t lose anyone there, never drop saves into the pool. Try a trade route and consolidate first then add Neris, but I would hold all those guys before dropping for a holds guy

      • Ryanoger says:
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        @Smokey:

        Thanks man!

  17. SheriffMcRawDawg says:
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    what up smoke?

    in a 15-team, start-5 RP S+HLDS dynasty, who might have the most value going forward (potentialy long, long term)? these are basically who are left on the wire. any names stand out? maybe rank a few?
    Mike Morin
    Kirby Yates
    Nick Goody
    Steve Johnson
    Dan Jennings
    Andrew Faulkner
    Matt Bush
    Chirodo (also has SP elig, which is nicee)

    and SP related – is Sean o’sullivan worth holding on to as the backup for Red sox starters going forward? I’ve been hanging on to Brian Johnson for a while, but just trying to maximize starts.

    thanks man love the stuff!

    • Smokey

      Smokey says:
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      @SheriffMcRawDawg: O’sully just got DFA’d today so that should be that. With Kelly and the Sawx pining for Erod into the rotation he is nothing more than depth.

      Morin, Yates and Steve Johnson are the names here. Bush is a feel good story right now, could ride that into a decent set-up role.

      • SheriffMcRawDawg says:
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        @Smokey: thanks man I’ll see what I end up with through waivers

  18. And Now the Jon Lovitz Dancers! says:
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    16 team h2h with holds. which 2 out of these:
    kelley/bearclaw (starting to get hit, and behind phelps)/hudson/maurer/j.peralta (starting to get hit, his FIP is gross)/vincent.
    i have bearclaw/hudson currently. except vincent i have these ranked by FIP. kelley is so much better it’s not close, can’t think he’s not one of the 2 i should have.

    • And Now the Jon Lovitz Dancers! says:
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      @And Now the Jon Lovitz Dancers!: throw diekman in there too, i have him as well. so 3 out of all those.

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