Miggy Jr. Fantasy sleeper. Future stud. Prince Fielder look-alike. These are just some of the terms and phrases that have been used to describe Avisail Garcia over the past few years. Ok, maybe not the last one. I’m pretty sure that was just a poor attempt at making an excuse for certain indiscretions by Fielder’s ex-wife. But the other terms have been thrown around for awhile now. Last season was supposed to be his coming out party, but a left shoulder injury sustained in April kept him out for over four months and derailed those plans. Is this the year that the soon to be 24-year-old Garcia breaks out?

The situation that Garcia finds himself in couldn’t be much better for a young hitter with significant power upside. US Cellular Field has ranked as the 3rd best park for home runs for right-handed hitters in each of the last three seasons. Hitting in the heart of the order behind on-base stalwarts Jose Abreu (.383 OBP in 2014 – 10th highest in MLB) and Adam LaRoche (.362 OBP – tied for 25th best) should provide him with ample RBI opportunities as well.

Of course, a player needs to hit the ball in the air to reach his power potential. This has been an issue for Garcia during his young career. Among players who have made at least 400 plate appearances across the 2013-14 seasons, Garcia’s 56.2% GB% was the 18th highest mark in MLB, above such notable sluggers like Skip Schumaker, Michael Bourn, and Emilio Bonifacio. That number has dropped to 49.4% in 120 PA this season, which places him 45th out of 181 qualifiers. That’s certainly a nice improvement, but still remains higher than players such as Elvis Andrus, Didi Gregorius, and Ben Revere. Not exactly ideal for a middle of the order bat.

When Garcia has managed to elevate the ball, it hasn’t resulted in much power thus far. Entering Wednesday’s play, he’s hit just 2 home runs and managed a measly .096 ISO through 29 games, while his 280.38 ft average fly ball distance ranks 111th among MLB qualifiers.

In terms of plate discipline, Garcia’s 20.8% K% is just about league average and slightly lower than his 22.4% career mark. However, his 4.2% BB% is slightly below his 5.0% career mark and well below the 7.9% MLB average this season.

Sounds like a bunch of doom and gloom, but something must be going right for Garcia to be sporting a .316/.350/.412 triple slash line, right? His 29.2% LD% is 13th best in MLB and has led to that .316 batting average. It’s also come with an unsustainable .391 BABIP, which, paired with his MLB-leading 17.3% SwStr%, is likely to send his batting average crashing down into the .270 range sooner rather than later.

Final Verdict:

Brown Bear Walking in Snow

 

 

 

 
  1. Adam says:
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    Soler or JD Martinez ROS??
    Thx

    • J-FOH says:
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      @Adam: It’s close but I’d go JD.

  2. jal179 says:
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    Depressing to read as a mini Miggy owner.

    The only thing keeping my hopes afloat is his BA but if a ++ regression is being called for I’m gonna be very bummed out.

    I reached on Leonys Martin, was snowed by Steve Pearce, missed Joc P and Cain by 1 pick, and shot a blank with Arcia… my wait on OFers failed miserably.

    • J-FOH says:
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      @jal179: it happens to the best of us. I like him more than Magoo. At this point you ride it out. The Sox have been awful as a team so you got that glimmer of hope going for you ( that they collectively turn it around and start hitting for power)

      • jal179 says:
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        @J-FOH:

        I’ll continue to hold strongly. Alex Guerrero WILL play everyday goddammit make my OF troubles witheraway

  3. Skeezix says:
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    Folks, I surprisingly had another owner sniffing around about Ryan Howard, who is sitting on my bench backing up Rizzo and Duda at 1B (deep league, extremely limited waivers). Given that I mercifully don’t need him in my lineup right now, is it a safe risk to try and offer Howard for Moreau? That same owner has no 1B backup, and Morneau left last night with dizziness. Is it a smart buy-low, or stupid given Morneau’s concussion history?

    • J-FOH says:
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      @Skeezix: If you get Morneau then he sits and doesn’t play. I would try and move howard to that owner for a usable piece

      • Skeezix says:
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        @J-FOH: That’s what Howard is doing. My thinking is that I would be more likely to insert Morneau into my DH slot long term (Solarte and Vargas are in there now for better or worse). The offer on the table is Howard and Micah Johnson for Morneau and Michael Taylor. I would think that the only thing I’d consider is a straight trade of Howard for Morneau, especially considering we have a rookie slot too, where I’m currently playing Odubel Herrera, and Taylor is way more valuable than Johnson.

        • J-FOH says:
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          @Skeezix: Id want the deal with Taylor in it.

  4. GhostTownSteve says:
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    Nice one, partner. I’m with you all the way.

    • J-FOH says:
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      @GhostTownSteve: I’m covering for magoo Today And I disagre. I like the avisail

  5. Adam says:
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    To lease rank Dee Gordon,Dozier,Travis ROS?
    Lookingo trade one
    Thanks!

    • J-FOH says:
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      @Adam: You just ranked them.

  6. Atlas says:
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    Have these opinions changed now that Avisail has 3 HR in his last eight games ?

  7. Marc WRubel says:
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    Since your article Avisal has gone 7-12 / 1 HR/ 6 RBI. As Woody Allen’s character said in Little Big Man, after advising Gen. Custer did not take his advice to avoid Little Big Horn…of course general Custer went against the advice…..
    “You are a reverse barometer, everything you say I will do the opposite and succeed!”

  8. Joey Jo Jo Jr Shabadoo says:
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    yikes, worst swinging strike rate in WHOLE league! that’s not good for business (that’s not good for anybody). Making me feel a little better for drafting jew don at 88th overall when avisail went 138th overall in my recent dynasty draft (similar, sort of, to razznasty league, except we only have 5 NA prospect slots rather than 10)

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