Share on FacebookTweet about this on TwitterShare on Google+

Austin Hays‘ rebellion against minor league pitching was so alarming this past year that Jon Jay began arguing for a stronger centralized league office to ratify the MLB Constitution, and guarantee no prospect could take down the major leagues through sheer moxie.  “Your moxie is manifest, and we call on Washington to leave his family home in Mount Vernon and return to public life.”  That’s Jon Jay arguing to team representatives about UL Washington, who was minding his own business in Virginia.  “Say what now?”  That’s UL Washington as he sips sweet tea.  Then again, it might be because I went to see Hamilton this past weekend.  Of course, this rebellion I’m speaking of — the Hays’ Rebellion — thrust Austin Hays from also-ran minor leaguer to full-blown Trey Mancini clone.  I will call him Robotcini.  So, what can we expect from Austin Hays for 2018 fantasy baseball?

As a Seminole, Austin Hays hit six homers in 42 games, while batting .382, as a freshman.  Since he was in a Florida college, I will also assume he got more tail than a guy with a filled Red Lobster stamp card.  Glory, glory Halle Berrylujah, for Florida colleges.  He then moved to Jacksonville — a love ’em and leave ’em kinda guy, I suppose — and hit 3 HRs and .271 in 56 games as a 19-year-old.  Snooze.  You suck.  Go home and work in your dad’s bait and tackle store!  But wait, there’s more!  He was drafted by the Orioles, because they’re taking in flyers like a hockey fan in Philly.  This is when Hays began to rebel.  He hit .336 and four dingers in only 38 games, and the O’s scratched their chin and were like, “Hey, maybe we backed into something.”  Backed they did, because he then broke out at the age of 21.  He hit 32 HRs (!) and .329 across High-A and Double-A in 128 games — 16 HRs in High-A, 16 HRs in Double-A and .328 vs. .330.  The stats for him at both stops are nearly identical.  Spooky!  Prospector Ralph said, “You want to see a model of consistency?  Look at Hays’ slashline from 64 games in High A (.328/.364/.591), then look at his slashline from 64 AA games (.330/.367/.594).  That’s some weird statistical OCD!  Hays is a contact over approach player with plus-power in the mold of a Willie Calhoun-type.  He’s been the biggest offensive breakout in the minors this season, and, speaking of offensive, Grey looks like he smells.”  Hey!  Impressed with his makeup like a judge at RuPaul’s Drag Race, Ralph put him 20th on his top 50 prospects for 2018 fantasy baseball.  One big plus that hasn’t been mentioned that I will mention after saying I haven’t mentioned it, he looks like the starting right fielder heading into the offseason.  Of course, the O’s could sign someone, but they have a nice core of young players — Mancini, Machado, Beckham and Schoop — so I think Hays, uh, plays, but I will be conservative and say Hays, uh, stays down until June.  For 2018, I’ll give Austin Hays the projections of 54/17/67/.270/6 in 334 ABs, with a Chance Sisco for more.

   
  1. Bbboston says:
    (link)

    Off topic I know, but two players I’d love your 2018 knee-jerk read on:

    Aaron Hicks
    Blake Parker

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Hicks, is a solid AL-Only gamble or deep mixed leagues, has some power and speed, but never stays on the field… Parker is SAGNOF, he’s Angels’ closer as of right now

  2. Tweak says:
    (link)

    You can keep your Shay’s Rebellion references. I’m sticking with the Whiskey Rebellion. Don’t you tax my booze! Thanks, Obama!

    Anyway, Hays does look good and should fit into Baltimore’s lineup well. I hope they don’t keep him down until June, though. Despite the jump from AA to MLB, he didn’t look too uncomfortable in his 60ish ABs.

    If they want to compete instead of burn the team down, the Orioles should just cut Chris Davis, move Trumbo to full time DH, have Mancini hold down 1B and sign Lorenzo Cain or Carlos Gonzalez. An OF of Hays, Jones and Cain/CarGo is pretty solid. Add a couple of passable SP (Cobb? Cashner? Chatwood? Garcia? Take a flyer on Pineda?) and they’re conceivably in the fight for the AL East again. If they’re not in the hunt by mid-season, move Machado and others for all that you can get and start over with an eye on 2019.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Haha — damn you, Obama! I don’t disagree with you that they should make a run for it, but with how Wild Cards are, really every team could make a run — look at the Rockies — just small tweaks could get the O’s there… Still not sure if that means Hays in April

      • Tweak says:
        (link)

        @Grey: I just want Hays to go off so I can see a Willie Mays Hays headline somewhere along the line.

        • Grey

          Grey says:
          (link)

          It’ll happen at some point…

  3. TheeHen4 says:
    (link)

    Great read! Random, but where do you think JD Martinez is going to end up?

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Team or draft spot?

      • TheeHen4 says:
        (link)

        @Grey: Team

        • Grey

          Grey says:
          (link)

          Hell if I know, maybe the Rangers? They seem to like to spend a lot on 30+ year old players

          • Tweak says:
            (link)

            @Grey: Plenty of people thinking Boston since they were short on pop this season and the JDongs-Dombrowski connection, but they’d have to move JBJ (for pitching? Could work.).

            Staying in Arizona makes sense: vet presence on a relatively young team with Pollock (hopefully?) having a healthy and productive year next season.

            However, my money is on Washington. I think their ownership wants a title before Harper leaves town. An OF of Harper, Eaton, JDongs with Taylor on the bench and Robles soon to arrive looks mighty fearsome alongside Murphy, Rendon, a rejuvenated Zimmerman and Trea Turner. Sign Morrow and Minor and you’re looking at a possible WS favorite.

            • Grey

              Grey says:
              (link)

              You might be right with Washington…Of course, they don’t need him and would crush my dreams of Robles… I think they’re top 5 for World Series favorites already prolly…

  4. El Famous Burrito says:
    (link)

    Put “Will he play Hays” pun in back pocket for later use.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Haha

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Haha

      • J-FOH says:
        (link)

        @Grey: have you given Tin Star a longer leash. Trust me it gets better

        • Grey

          Grey says:
          (link)

          Nah, it’s not good… I think I’m out on it…

          • J-FOH says:
            (link)

            @Grey: how many episodes in did you get? I gave your shows a fair shake

            • Grey

              Grey says:
              (link)

              I gave it three episodes… I looked up reviews, they were like, “I watched so you don’t have to,” because it’s so bad…

              • J-FOH says:
                (link)

                @Grey: Those people are smoking drugs. The last half of the series is what makes it good. But on the other hand I read lots of great reviews on the Wire and that turned out to be one of the most overrated shows I’ve ever seen.

                • Grey

                  Grey says:
                  (link)

                  Haha, this isn’t a The Wire vs. Tin Star comparison… I might finish it, since I rarely stop watching a show… But the beginning of this show is a bit of a mess…

                  • The WIRE was WAAAAAAAAAAAY overrated says:
                    (link)

                    @Grey: It will all make sense. I only mention the wire because you love it and I thought it was good but not great.

                    • Grey

                      Grey says:
                      (link)

                      Haha, nice new username… A side character like Herc is more interesting than any character on Tin Star

                    • The WIRE was WAAAAAAAAAAAY overrated says:
                      (link)

                      No, Herc was garbage for the most part. Tim Roth’s character is way more interesting…when you get to know Jack

                    • Grey

                      Grey says:
                      (link)

                      Herc was incredible! Working as the bodyguard was hilarious… are you sure you watched the right show?

                    • The WIRE was WAAAAAAAAAAAY overrated says:
                      (link)

                      Incredibly boring. Best contribution was in last season as the body guard. Maybe that dude just can’t act but he was so blah up until that point. Boring as fuck.

                    • Grey

                      Grey says:
                      (link)

                      Boring?! Oh my God, I wanna watch him losing his tennis ball right now!

                    • The WIRE was WAAAAAAAAAAAY overrated says:
                      (link)

                      okay the tennis ball was amusing, but he didnt do anything special

                    • Grey

                      Grey says:
                      (link)

                      I think it was too real for you, you want more heightened drama… You ever watch Breaking Bad?

                    • The WIRE was WAAAAAAAAAAAY overrated says:
                      (link)

                      It was too real? HAHAHAHAHAHA. It might have been based on some real shit but all my hood homies felt the same way I did. We loved the “realistic” characters, and yes I did love the real ones, it was the boring phony cats that we rolled our eyes at. But besides the characters the show was a clusterfuck. Some storylines should have been left on the cutting room floor.

                    • Grey

                      Grey says:
                      (link)

                      Let me guess, you didn’t love Ziggy or the entire second season?

                    • The WIRE was WAAAAAAAAAAAY overrated says:
                      (link)

                      Actually I loved the second season, it was one of the most organized of the seasons. So good. Great story and I have a connection to the long shoremen from my drinking days in Long Beach at baby’s mama’s local bar which happened to be where all of them hung out. Frank was basically Papi from my bar.

                      I also loved season 4 the most, 2 second best.

                    • Grey

                      Grey says:
                      (link)

                      So what was your least favorite? 5?

                    • Grey

                      Grey says:
                      (link)

                      Gotcha… We haven’t even talked about Omar, please tell me you loved Omar…

                    • The WIRE was WAAAAAAAAAAAY overrated says:
                      (link)

                      Omar was one of the great antiheros of all time and really the main reason I stuck it out.

                    • Grey

                      Grey says:
                      (link)

                      Omar’s coming yo! He was so badass… One of the best TV characters of all-time… Glad we agree on him, at least…

                    • The WIRE was WAAAAAAAAAAAY overrated says:
                      (link)

                      Im going to lay it out for you below

                    • Grey

                      Grey says:
                      (link)

                      Give it to me, baby!

                    • The WIRE was WAAAAAAAAAAAY overrated says:
                      (link)

                      Oh behave

                • Anon Gonzalez says:
                  (link)

                  @J-FOH:
                  I’m laying in bed with a broken rib on Hydrocodone immersed in Razzball and my otherworldly B.O. and the 3-part combo had me hallucinating that someone was saying THE WIRE wasn’t the shizz.

                  • Grey

                    Grey says:
                    (link)

                    It’s a nasty dream, man, no one would say that…

  5. Claw dawg says:
    (link)

    Hey Grey, I’ve got a keeper question for you. We keep 8 and its a 5×5 H2H with 12 teams. I have a group of like 9 or 10 guys that are all possibly keeper worthy and some are definitely obvious.

    Nolan Arenado
    Mookie Betts
    Joey Votto
    Max Scherzer
    Stephen Strasburg
    Edwin
    Khris Davis
    Elvis Andrus
    Nelson Cruz.

    It really comes down to those last 4 and not knowing which 3 of them to keep.
    Thanks!

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Not Davis

  6. Bryce and Nice says:
    (link)

    Grey, do you see any post World Series regression in any of the Final Four teams and their performance in 2018? I just mean with extra innings and at bats, maybe some injuries or fatigue. Or am I worried about nothing?

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      I don’t think at-bats matter, extra innings are never a good thing… I’d be concerned about all pitchers who threw too many innings…

      • Bryce and Nice says:
        (link)

        @Grey:

        What’s the definition of too many innings? More than their career per season average?

        • Grey

          Grey says:
          (link)

          Standard thought is if a guy is under 25 years old, he shouldn’t throw more than 30 IP… Of course, anyone throwing an extra 50 IP when pitchers are already resting is not a great thing…

  7. The WIRE was WAAAAAAAAAAAY overrated says:
    (link)

    Omar is the best and this leads me to my issues with the show. They had some amazing characters. Omar, Snoop, Chris, Bunk, Bubbles, Michael. All great. Others were also likeable but not something I could say I love like McNulty at times. My issue is the clusterfuck of a story I watched. Hated the news media stuff and just toooooooooo much city hall nonsense. The fake serial killer stuff was also a waste of time. I told you I loved season two, really good story. I also loved season 4 that focused on the street kids and the paths they went down. The school district stuff didn’t bother me. But at the end of it I have to watch a 3 minute montage to tie the whole thing together because it was such a cluster fuck. If they would have stuck with the cops and the criminals it would of gone a lot better for me. It was a failed attempt at being complex that just didn’t work for me. But like I said above, some of the best characters ever but that doesn’t make a show great. I try to avoid romanticizing shows and see them for what they are not what they try to be

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Fair enough, you’re not the only one who had problems with the serial killer stuff. It’s prolly the biggest flaw in the series. David Simon has contempt for Templeton, and it shows in the character. I like what it was saying about sensationalism of journalism, which feels even more apt ten years later. Also, Lester going along with it feels like a misstep. he was too much of a moral center. McNulty is an utter screw up in his real life, and cares too deeply about the job and it’s screwed him up repeatedly. Love McNulty. I also enjoyed Carcetti too, and think the City Hall stuff is solid way to show top-down systemic breakdowns. A show that starts as what seems to be a police drama to unfurl to an indictment of an entire city is pretty remarkable, and just not something you see done at all or well.

      • The WIRE was WAAAAAAAAAAAY overrated says:
        (link)

        @Grey: Fair enough on the city hall element, but still too much Carcetti BS for my liking. Clay Davis character though is hilarious. That sensationalism of journalism is way over blown, nothing new then, it was redundant. I question the well done. Feels like a show that needed to be at least 7 seasons. but if its not about Police then why call it the wire? Anythehoo, its super over rated, IMO, and a lot of his main characters are crap. I’ll leave it at that and tell anyone who asks me the same thing. I don’t believe the hype! Like Mad Men, many people built it up to only make themselves look bad for doing so. Im still getting shit from babys mama about that one.

        I like police shows, Homicide is a good one for those type of shows.

        • Grey

          Grey says:
          (link)

          Fair enough, Homicide is a great show, also a lot of the same guys behind The Wire… Oh, Mad Men is SO OVERRATED! Don’t even get me started on that show… The first season was great, 2nd season was solid, and each season was progressively worse, ending with a mess of Dick Whitman on a yoga retreat in a Pepsi commercial…

          • Grey

            Grey says:
            (link)

            Cougs loved Mad Men too, I think she just loved Hamm tho

            • The WIRE was WAAAAAAAAAAAY overrated says:
              (link)

              @Grey: it was Coke! That sums it up so perfectly. I literally watched the last two seasons for Roger.

              In my house, every time I suggest a show to babys mama she says, “this better not be some Mad Men bullshit again”

              • Grey

                Grey says:
                (link)

                Haha, yeah, Coke, whatever, it was so effin stupid… Roger was good, and Joan, and some of the side characters, but Draper and his wife in LA were such a bore… I forget, did I tell you you should watch Line of Duty on Hulu? That’s awesome…

                • The WIRE was WAAAAAAAAAAAY overrated says:
                  (link)

                  @Grey: Many times, yo have this British TV thing, which is funny because Tin Star is British. You really need to finish it. I love when Jim becomes Jack

                  • Grey

                    Grey says:
                    (link)

                    Did you watch Line of Duty tho?

                    Damn, Roy Halladay…

                    • The WIRE was WAAAAAAAAAAAY overrated says:
                      (link)

                      @Grey: Damn too. That’s awful

                      I watched half an episode. I was tired when I started and have been blazing through Curb

                    • Grey

                      Grey says:
                      (link)

                      Please watch the first 3 episodes, I promise you won’t be disappointed, and it gets better as it goes along…

                    • The WIRE was WAAAAAAAAAAAY overrated says:
                      (link)

                      @Grey: It’s got my boy Lenny James in it. Im still down

                    • Grey

                      Grey says:
                      (link)

                      Nice! You’re gonna love it, but I’m raising expectations super high now, aren’t I?

                    • The WIRE was WAAAAAAAAAAAY overrated says:
                      (link)

                      @Grey: nah, that’s when half the world says I’m going to love it. I’ll be honest in the world of streaming shows, I almost don’t even want to watch til its all over, or at the least power a whole season at a time. I feel I get a better sense for it vs. the wait and anticipation that leads me to over look things.

                    • Grey

                      Grey says:
                      (link)

                      I hear ya… Speaking of waiting, I didn’t love The Deuce, you might like it now, but it was okay… All of this David Simon talk and I almost want to revisit Treme — almost, unlikely tho…

  8. Dr. Kenneth Noisewater says:
    (link)

    Ric Flair 30 for 30 tonight!

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Aw sookie!

      • Grey

        Grey says:
        (link)

        Excuse me, WOOOOO

        • Dr. Kenneth Noisewater says:
          (link)

          @Grey: Woooo!

  9. F-FOH says:
    (link)

    Let’s talk Curb. I finished 6,7 and 8 and now am going back to rewatch 1-5.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      It’s a brilliant show, and I think it shows how prevalent his voice was in the success of Seinfeld. The entire misanthropy running through Seinfeld — oh, they are so unlikable — is all Larry David. Seinfeld doesn’t do unlikable comedy — the Bee movie? Blech — whereas David goes out of his way to piss people off, which I appreciate…

      • F-FOH says:
        (link)

        @Grey: So brilliant. I love the long jokes. The questioning of the social norms and the commentary on our world. Its like he goes beyond what was put out into the world for Seinfeld and nails it. Its a pretty…preeetty…..preeeeeetty good show. Larry David, the social assassin

        • Grey

          Grey says:
          (link)

          The guys behind David are also the guys behind Eurotrip — Piscotty doesn’t know! — and one of the guys went on to do Veep, another brilliant show…

          • F-FOH says:
            (link)

            @Grey: I loved Eurotrip! So many good jokes. I just powered all of Veep a few months back and it was brilliant too.

            One of my favorite episodes was when he was in New York and he’s competing with Rosie O’Donnell for the same girl. The end of that episode when the viagra falls out of his pocket and he gets denied access to the Hall of Fame for juicing was one of the most brilliant jokes/set-ups of all time. Two days later and I still keep randomly chuckling about it.

            • Grey

              Grey says:
              (link)

              Eight year later (or something like that) and I still remember it… Also, everything with Leon is effin hilarious…

              • F-FOH says:
                (link)

                @Grey: the Blacks! I love Leon. So many scenes to list, i wonder if there is a best of Leon on YouTube.

                I kinda hate that not that many people liked the New York stuff but I think Leon had one of the best moments When he drives to New York and larry asks whats with the baby seat. I can’t explain why but that had me dying

                • Grey

                  Grey says:
                  (link)

                  Ha! The Blacks! I love them so much… I actually thought of something, I never watched Louie, maybe I’ll watch that next…

                  • F-FOH says:
                    (link)

                    @Grey: I started watching it and its good but powering it was a bit much. Its no Curb

                    • Grey

                      Grey says:
                      (link)

                      That’s the sense I got from the few episodes I’ve seen periodically while Cougs was watching…

                    • F-FOH says:
                      (link)

                      Doesn’t mean I’m not going to watch it, its like my show I pop on from time to time.

                    • Grey

                      Grey says:
                      (link)

                      Is that a balding Nic Cage as your avatar? I’m dying…

                    • Grey

                      Grey says:
                      (link)

                      h My God, that’s the best picture ever…

                    • F-FOH says:
                      (link)

                      I need to brighten it up to make it really pop in here

                    • Grey

                      Grey says:
                      (link)

                      I forwarded the pic to Cougs, and she had no idea who it was…

                    • F-FOH says:
                      (link)

                      You’ve seen one Jew you’ve seen them all

                    • Grey

                      Grey says:
                      (link)

                      If you’ve heard one neurotic Jew, you’ve heard them all!

                    • F-FOH says:
                      (link)

                      doesn’t mean I don’t want to hear them *said in old jewish man’s voice*

                    • Grey

                      Grey says:
                      (link)

                      Haha

  10. chenry says:
    (link)

    Jorge Polanco or Chris Owings going forward in dynasty? Someone offered me Polanco and Gattis for Gyorko and Owings.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Polanco

      • chenry says:
        (link)

        @Grey: Thanks! Do you like the trade?

        • Grey

          Grey says:
          (link)

          Yeah, sounds fine

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Haha, now I have to waste at least 10 minutes!

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      That’s awesome!

Comments are closed.