For my annual Spring Training trip, Sky and JayWrong are joining me in Arizona.  Road trip!  I leave today and return on Sunday.  Of course, JayWrong’s already committed us to a Padres game, and standing outside the stadium to get Padres autographs, and standing outside their hotel to help them with their luggage, and sneaking in to pretend to be chefs at their favorite hibachi restaurant so we can flip a shrimp tail at Kemp.  Don’t pull your latissimus dorsi reaching for that crustacean!  I believe that was how Flipper injured itself.  Any hoo!  Baseball, like a flower, blooms in the spring.  They also share equally effusive PR people.  Just the other day I read about how a petunia’s branches gained 15 pounds and was in the best shape of its life.  Sure, it’s always good to look at spring training numbers to give you an idea what you can expect from guys during the season — can I draft Kolten Wong yet?!  Players in spring training are facing the top pitchers who are all displaying their best stuff.  No one needs time to get warmed up.  No one’s trying new pitches or getting a feel for the ball.  They are at the height of their game in March.  Our former commissioner, Bud, once doffed his toupee and tried to have the World Series played in March.  Since these spring training numbers mean so much, I decided to look at some players stats so far:

Chris Heisey – Leads the world in homers with six.  Do I hear super sleeper?!  I do because my dog, Ted, is whispering it in my ear.  See that, you don’t have to sit in a stuffy auditorium surrounded by Apple users to hear a Ted Talks!  Maybe I’ll just do an opening bid of $45 in my next auction to secure Heisey’s services.

Michael Choice – Not to be outdone…Okay, to be slightly outdone, Choice has five homers, but also a .369 average.  Choice cuts!  P to the erhaps we can give him some kind of early MVP award and have a computer play out the season.

Mike Olt – Okay, he only has five homers, but it’s in only ten games started.  If he starts only 100 games this season, he will hit 50 homers.  You can put it on the…Oops, wrong Chicago team.

Justin Masterson – I know, I know, he had a rough year last year, but he has a 1.09 ERA and four wins in six spring starts.  I just got goose pimplies.

Marco Estrada – Has a 2.16 ERA in six spring starts.  I’m not saying he’s going to be amazing, but he will be amazing.

Oh, please.  This is such nonsense.  Now we get to grade everyone’s reading comprehension because these are LAST YEAR’S spring training stats.  If someone can read everything but capped words, I apologize in advance if you draft Chris Heisey.  (I DON’T.)  I like to do this post every year because every year I get the same comments about how well a player is doing in the spring — Oh my God, I love Semien almost as much as Wong.  Do you still accept me? — and if I’m going to change my ranking because of it.  Spring Training stats are a joke.  They mean nothing.  Let me say it again for emphasis, spring stats mean nothing.  Choice, Olt and Heisey made the top Padres prospect, Nadir Bupkis, look like Mickey Mantle compared to what they did once the season started.  Estrada and Masterson?  They were more like Esucka and Mastersuckerson.  You should only be looking at who’s healthy, who’s winning position battles and who’s winning rotation spots.  The rest is meaningless.  To give you one last idea of how much Grapefruit League stats matter, Billy Butler is Mr. Grapefruit because of how well he does every year in the spring, and we see how well that translates every year.  Here’s the most meaningful spring graph for Billy Butler:

Billy Butler

 
  1. J-FOH says:
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    consider this now officially awkward

    • J-FOH says:
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      I’m growing out my moobs in support of billy butler….when they ask who ate all the bacon at the buffet they said the butler did it.

      • Grey

        Grey says:
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        @J-FOH: With the candlestick of butter?

        • J-FOH says:
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          @Grey: with the piping bag of frosting?

  2. BlushingPansy says:
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    Great stuff as always Grey. Losing sleep over my roster. I just made a trade in my deep keeper/shallow dynasty league moving Bryant, Bogaerts, and Duffy for Kershaw. Help me rank these MI youngsters.

    Rougned the elder, Correa, Profar (Mets??), Moncada, Lindor, and Russell

  3. Ante GALIC says:
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    Grey,

    Gr8 read. I think I like Gibbons and Sandberg ST soundbites more than extrapolating Semiens HR total or BA.

    Cheers,
    Ante

  4. Matt says:
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    I can still extrapolate from regular season stats, right? Terrance Gore had 1 AB, 5 SB. So assuming the royals are smart enough to give him a full time gig this year, he’ll steal at least 2000 bases, and become the face of SAGNOF.

    That makes sense, doesn’t it?

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      @Matt: *Over* 2000, yes

  5. Sky

    Sky says:
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    Usually a love of Wong leads to Semien. I’m just sayin…

    • Ralph Lifshitz

      Ralph Lifshitz says:
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      @Sky: Seriously, everytime I hold on Wong too long I end up with Seimen.

    • Jay

      Jay says:
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      @Sky: You just need to go Fuquhar there.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      @Sky: This is who I’m staying with? Jay, help

  6. The Theory says:
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    Moob. Moob. Gut.

    Life = complete

  7. soul kitchen says:
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    As a former Butler keeper owner I find your Moobie/Gut diagram delightfully pathetic, yet unabridged. I plan on projecting it to my 11th grade emerging writers when I introduce character maps.

    On another note, thanks so much for a rousing and nutrient 2015 thus far. You made the indoor-non stats months disk by with your rankings and etc. Really appreciate.

    d. If you don’t mind, I’d love your wisdom on this. In a nine player keeper league, which of the names would you keep of the bottom chunk?

    Adam Jones
    Ian Kinsler
    Bumgarner
    Alex Cobb

    Evan Gattis
    Wil Myers
    Javier Baez
    Gyorko
    Chris Carter
    Moob Adams
    Matt Shoemaker
    Maikel Franco
    Joey Gallo
    José Fernández

    • zeus says:
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      @soul kitchen: how long can you keep these guys?

      • Soul Kitchen says:
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        @zeus: thanks for the interest, zeus. I can keep them indefinitely.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      @soul kitchen: Myers, Baez, Shoemaker, Gattis, Fernandez

      • Soul Kitchen says:
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        @Grey: Your picks are fresh and alternative. So appreciate your time and thought.

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          No problem

  8. Strolg says:
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    Any truth to the rumor that as the trainer was coming out of the dugout, after Pence got beaned, he said ‘Good Lord, what has this buffoon done now?’

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      @Strolg: Poor Pence, got his feathers ruffled

  9. papasmurf says:
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    Grey what do you think of this crop of Smurf hitters? 16 team, 6×6 (standard 5 + obp).
    c Grandal
    1b Duda
    2b Altuve
    3b Longo
    ss Peralta
    lf Dickerson
    cf Leonys
    rf Stanton

    utils: Hosmer, Avisail, Pedro Alvarez

    PS, oh ya Masterson was so great last spring and even came out the gate strong with 6 shutout innings in his first start…

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      @papasmurf: Ha, yup… Papa Smurf! I think those hitters are balanced in an imbalanced way… I.e., you have power and speed, just not from the same person except Dickerson… Not bad for a 16 teamer though

  10. Edward Scherzer Hands says:
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    Hi,

    Who should I keep in a 12 player H2H league with OBP, R, 1b, 2b, 3b, Hr, SB, W, L, CG, K, ERA, WHIP, BSaves, Saves as categories? I can keep them for 3 years and have to draft them 3 rounds earlier in each year I keep them. I can keep 4. Thank you!

    Wong-round 17
    Zack Wheeler-round 18
    Frazier–round 14
    Javier Baez– round 20
    Xander Bogaerts– round 17
    Kole Calhoun-round 16
    Adam Eaton-round 9

  11. Nico says:
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    haha I thought this post was just going to have one word, “DON’T!”

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      @Nico: Maybe you only read caps like the guy in the post’s inverse…

      • Nico says:
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        @Grey: I consider that one of my strong points.

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          Right now I’m in an Uber and the guy is calling me a pickle sniffer… I’m scared…

          • Nico says:
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            @Grey: Ha! Sounds like a good NFBC team name haha Have you asked him what kind of pickle?

            • Grey

              Grey says:
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              By the time I got out of the Uber, I was friends with him on FB, Instagram and made a double date for next week… Seriously…

              • Nico says:
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                @Grey: Wow. I feel like my Uber tonight will not yield the same results, but damn it if I don’t try! Well done, Pickle Dick.

                • Grey

                  Grey says:
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                  I think my first mistake/advantage was sitting in the passenger seat.

                  • Nico says:
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                    @Grey: Haha, he didn’t force your head into his lap? I’ve seen that once, swear to FML.

                    • Grey

                      Grey says:
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                      I think that’s Lyft not Uber that offers that

                    • Nico says:
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                      Oh, right! I thought you’d prefer Lyft since they rep the ‘stache.

                    • Grey

                      Grey says:
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                      Oh man, you’re right… No wonder I was accosted in a Uber!

                    • Nico says:
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                      If I were an Uber driver, I would strap you to my hood (non sexually), and give a big middle finger to all those stupid pink mustaches around the world! “Ef all you guys! Only I have the Mustache of the Fantasy Master Lothario!” Notice Mustache is capitalized bc, used here, it’s a proper noun!.

                    • Grey

                      Grey says:
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                      I’m surprised I haven’t received a similar offer yet!

            • Cram It says:
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              @Nico: I used Pickle Belt as a team name once.

      • the swinging says:
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        @Grey: told u that u had yu too low… king grey. Bahh

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          Yeah, and Cliff Lee

  12. AMolnar says:
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    I need some advice.

    I am in a 10 person standard roto league. Just had Pence go down and I have Corbin already on my bench waiting for him to be put on a DL spot. I have 2 DL spots. My team is listed below:

    C: NA
    1B: Albert Pujols
    2B: Wong
    3B: Rendon
    SS: Hanley Ramirez
    OF: Gomez
    OF: Kemp
    OF: Marte
    Util: Joc Pederson
    Util: Xander Bo.
    DL: Hunter Pence

    I need to pick up a catcher first. Available in my league are both Weiters and d’Arnaud. Which do like better of the two. You can add in Russell Martin too I guess but I like the other two better. More upside.

    I also want to pick up another bat as my bench is very short as I have a ton of pitching depth and I like that given we don’t have an innings limit. Available on waivers are: Alex Rios, Denard Span, Lucas Duda, Austin Jackson, Pedro Alvarez, Marlon Byrd, Khris Davis. Which of those do you like best?

    My initial thoughts are Weiters and Khris Davis as I think I need RBI’s but Lucas Duda also seems like it would be a solid fit at a Util spot given he will be batting 4th in that Mets lineup (not so good) but batting 4th with solid power and a decent avg. is always a good thing.

    Thanks in advance.

    • Hawk says:
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      @AMolnar:

      Wieters is a funny guy to own. He never lived up to TNBT hype of his SI cover photo but he hit over 20 HR, 80ish RBI in 3 straight years, His BA isn’t great but BA’s across the league have gone down considerably. It won’t hurt you as much as it might have a few years ago. Not sure how much of the season he’ll miss in his TJ surgery though.

      D’Arnaud got his first “full” season last year and was an average league catcher. He has potential for more and as he was a top prospect, potentially a lot more.

      I think I probably go D’Arnaud just because of Wieters injury but I could see going the went other way. It’s a no win / no lose situation really. Very even.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      @AMolnar: You don’t need to stash Corbin in your league… Duda…Wieters

  13. Jay

    Jay says:
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    10/10, would flip shrimp again.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      @Jay: He’s going 50/50 on the shrimp flipping

  14. Lincecuminmypants says:
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    Well played. I believe one Brad Miller had a very gold spring last year. Just some high socks, no batting gloves and a dream.

    If anyone here use the phrase “ripping the cover off the ball this spring,” may they end up drafting a thousand Grady Sizemores.

    • Lincecuminmypants says:
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      Good spring. Not gold, Ponyboy.

  15. pickleball says:
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    hmmm i was on the fence about keeping this “trout” guy. after his post… would you keep heisey over trout!?

    great stuff as always.

    have a good day.

  16. G says:
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    Hey Grey,

    In a 12 team keeper league and just found out my draft position is 6th. Have Abreu, arenado, harvey, and arrietta as my 7th, 10th, 11th, and 12th pick respectively. Thinking about my first pick. Lot of top guys are being kept and the 5 picks before me will add a few more. I never draft pitchers early but would you take Kershaw if available? I think the only players I have a shot at in your top 15 is cabrera, jones, Bautista, Harper. My thoughts are if jones or cabrera are there I easily go with them, but what’s your thoughts on Keyshawn vs Bautista, Harper. Thanks in advance as always.

    • Hawk says:
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      @G:

      That’d give you three pitchers out of your first six picks, sorta.

      That said, yeah I’d take Kershaw unless Trout, McCutchen, Stanton or Goldschmidt were available,

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      @G: Bautista, Kershaw

  17. WarwickDavisKilledMyFamily says:
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    The only spring training statistic that really matters: how many of my drafts targets got hurt, and how long will they be on the DL? I guess the trajectories of position battles are something to monitor, but yeah, pay no attention to the hot bats in March.

    Wherezabouts does Pence fall in your rankings after his injury?

  18. Maestro says:
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    Reaching out for advice on software, , pay or free, for the following league type. Any help is greatly appreciated!

    I play in AL and NL only keeper H2H auction points leagues with a budget of $260, and need to leave the draft with a 26 man roster. I need to be able to customize categories and points. I checked out Rotochamp and really like the set up but the one thing it doesn’t have, as far as I can tell, is points.

    Thanks again!

      • Maestro says:
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        That’s okay. Love the site and will likely just copy and past the Razzball/Steamer projections on an excel sheet and calculate the numbers.

        @Grey:

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          Cool

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          And thanks!

        • goodfold2 says:
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          @Maestro: check fantasy pros, but i don’t know if they have pts version in their auction calculators. about $15 total.

          • goodfold2 says:
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            @goodfold2: upon checking, fantasy pros appears to have all sorts of options for auction values and rankings, but few to none or pts leagues, at least that i can find.

  19. Clint says:
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    So, you’re telling me the Ryan Reynolds hit Voices was actually a ghost written biography based on one Grey Albright? Now I’ve gotta see it more than I already wanted to. What’s your pooch say about my dual T Shirt order I placed a while back, Grey?

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      @Clint: Ha… Damn, I’m sorry about the shirts… I’ll ping the shirt people, they usually take 2 weeks, sometimes they take longer

      • Clint says:
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        @Grey:
        No problem, my liege. Just hold the lunch breaks from those Afghanistan kids for a day & they’ll get those Razzball shirts out faster for you ;)

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          I switched to Taiwan, hence the issue…

  20. Panda says:
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    Auction value question. I won my long running 12 team 6×6 (+OBP, and H/9 + BB/9 instead of WHIP) keeper (5 keepers, 3 years max contract) league last year but lost a few key players back to the auction pool as it was the last year of their contracts. Unfortunately heading into this year a lot of teams have managed to hang onto a number of the power bats at market or below market value. My struggle heading into the auction is how do I value the remaining sluggers. Do I just bump them all $10 in value or something? Do I just go after them at whatever cost knowing that I will struggle to keep up in some of the counting stats if I don’t get them? Do I just forgo HRs and focus on guys who get RBIs without the audacious HR numbers?

    To give you a better idea, out of your ~top30 hitters the only guys left with more than 25 HR projected are Encarnacion, Jones, Cabrera, Upton, and Pujols. Below this but also available are a few guys like Beltre, Tulo, CarGo who have the ability to hit more HRs but have a few questions with them as well i.e. injuries, declining power numbers, or whatever.

    Thanks for all your help and advice!

  21. Dom says:
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    10 team, 5×5 roto with 10 keepers:

    I’m keeping Mesorac, Rizzo, Arenado, Ryan Zimmerman, Alcides Escobar, Cole Calhoun, Ozuna, Sandoval, Chapman, David Robertson.

    I’m heaving on 3B/CI, do I try to trade Sandoval and Cuddyer (not a keeper for me, would be for him) for Danny Santana?

    Not sure if it makes a difference but with my first two picks in the draft I’m selecting two of these three: Adam Jones, Jose Bautista, and Bryce Harper. Team No-Stud Pitchers!

  22. sasquatch sluggers says:
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    In commentor league now. ESPN is all new to me. I would at least like to use my ESPN personal pre draft rankings during a MOCK draft. Or will they only come up during the live draft. FRUSTRATED…..help please!

    • Ra'zball Al Ghul says:
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      @sasquatch sluggers: Yeah only during the real thing, not during mocks, lame fosho

      • Can you imagine..., the gallons of human spit says:
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        @Ra’zball Al Ghul: wow, that’s garbage, you can mock at yahoo with yr own rankings, why would a site not even allow that. asinine.

  23. Cram It says:
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    Is there any way to get this Marques guy in our draft to, I don’t know, be a little less of a douche with the time? I couldn’t find out where he lives so I can’t pay him a visit.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      @Cram It: I’m not sure why he can’t check in periodically on his phone…Or use the autodraft

      • Cram It says:
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        @Grey: I’m not sure about a lot of things with this guy.

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          I wish he would just explain his situation so I knew when to expect him…

          • Cram It says:
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            @Grey: I got at him through email. He said he works as a driver, has odd hours and no set schedule. And for whatever reason his phone doesn’t allow him to draft in HTML. He tries to assure 2 picks a day. So, that’s what we’re dealing with.

            • Grey

              Grey says:
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              Ah… Gotcha… That’s actually good to know… I don’t fault him, I just wanted to know what to expect…

  24. sniff test says:
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    Funny stuff.

  25. Beastman says:
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    Hey all, have 2 openings in a Razzball league. $100 buy in, 3rd year running. Payouts are $150/250/800.

    Draft scheduled for Sunday 3/29 at noon.

    Email [email protected] to join. Thanks!

  26. Happyharry says:
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    Good stuff as always.
    12 team, roto, keeper-Would you keep Alex Wood at Rd.17 or Gomes at Rd.20?

    • Curtis says:
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      @Happyharry: Is that Jonny Gomes? Wood by a mile.

  27. JeF With 1 F says:
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    Does the ESPN app let you draft from your phone….i’m going to be out during a draft and ill be damned if i’m auto drafting that shizz

      • JeF With 1 F says:
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        @Grey: Yeah it doesnt look like it

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          That sucks

    • nick the dick says:
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      @JeF With 1 F: No sex in the champagne room and no autodrafting in The Underground Jef! Just go sign in on the actual espn website on your phone, i’ve done it. App sucks anyhow

      • JeF With 1 F says:
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        @nick the dick: I tried a mock draft like that but it wont load saying i need adobe flash

        • nick the dick says:
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          @JeF With 1 F: Can’t you just install that on your phone?

        • nick the dick says:
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          @JeF With 1 F: or you can use their ‘lite draft’ application which works if you dont have adobe

          • JeF With 1 F says:
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            @nick the dick: Yeah you cant install it on the phone…ill try the lite draft

            • Grey

              Grey says:
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              I thought you were divorcing your wife so you could draft anytime you want…

              • JeF With 1 F says:
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                @Grey: Yeah but my monitor on my computer took a shit…im moving out the week after all of my drafts…bad timing…ill have to just get a new monitor this weekend

                • Grey

                  Grey says:
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                  Give your wife the old monitor! Muahahahahaha

            • nick the dick says:
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              @JeF With 1 F: yeah i guess thats how i did it before. Just did a mock on there and works fine

    • Bye Felicia says:
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      @JeF With 1 F: yes you can. I only draft with my phone. You don’t use the app though. Just use chrome and click on the lite draft option. Works perfectly for me.

  28. Curtis says:
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    Anybody interested in joining my keeper league? In year 5, $200 buy-in, will have solid keeper options and only keep 5 anyway. Auction draft, standard 2C 23 man starting lineups with 2 bench slots and DL slots, FAAB.

    Email me at jonescurtisw at gmail if so. Thanks razzballers.

  29. dem ribbies says:
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    sup Grey,

    You think if Pedroia’s wrist holds up that he could be a good bounce-back candidate this season? I’ve got him on the cheap in a keeper and his 3-3, day w/ a 4 run shot has my attention. You think this is just a flash or maybe dude is for real?

    thx

  30. Baezaworldseries says:
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    So. What round would you target the super sleeper Heisey in a 12 team mixed snake? I don’t want to grab him too early. But I also don’t want to miss out on him. So… second round?

  31. Peet says:
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    3 year keeper auction H2H league. Pick one of these 2 por favor…

    Julio Teheran ($1)
    Matt Harvey ($5)

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Harvey

  32. Teddy Heater says:
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    Hey BFF, I did my 2nd draft for RCL last night and I figured I’d employ an interesting strategy. I drafted the best available to a T based on your rankings and it seems like it worked pretty well, thoughts……….

    C-Grandal
    1b-Pujols
    2b-Kipnis
    3b-Arenado
    SS-Santana
    2b/SS-Gyorko
    1b/3b-Crush
    OF-A Jones
    OF-Harper
    OF-Bruce
    OF-Tomas
    OF-Cain
    Util-Hosmer
    Bench-Vargas

    P-Samardzija
    P-Iwakuma
    P-Wood
    P-Latos
    P-Fiers
    P-Liriano
    P-Hutchison
    P-Giles
    P-Sanchez
    Bench-W Davis
    Bench-Cecil

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Why are we not hanging out every day? I like the hitting a lot, maybe a tad low on average but not bad… Your pitching is insane… Seriously solid team…

      • Teddy Heater says:
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        @Grey: Thanks Mang, but the credit goes to you for the rankings. I will say that I was surprised how good it came out especially going against fellow readers.

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          Yeah I think it’s hard to get read on, uh, readers… For where they’re gonna draft

  33. The Dude says:
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    Hello Grey,
    Thanks, as always, for the excellent pre-season content. I’ll thank you later for the in-season content.

    Until yesterday I had Pence slated in my 5th keeper slot for $13. Now that he’s injured I have to steer clear. I’m left with Will Myers ($11) and Alex Wood ($12) from my available team. My other keepers are:

    Carlos Gomez ($15)
    Jose Altuve ($16)
    Josh Donaldson ($15)
    Tyson Ross ($8)

    It’s a 10 team OBP league with a $260 draft budget (yahoo format).

    The only other viable option I have at the moment is an offer from the guy who owns Bryce Harper, who wants $2 draft dollars for his rights. I would then also have to keep him at a hefty $39 price tag. WWGD?

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      I’d keep Myers

      • The Dude says:
        (link)

        @Grey: Thanks,

        Word is spreading about Pence and I’m getting offers from other owners:

        Player (keeper cost) – Price to purchase

        Chris Davis ($15) – $6
        Jorge Soler ($10) – $2

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          What’s the offer here?

        • The Dude says:
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          @The Dude: Mistyped on Soler – the purchase price is $5

        • The Dude says:
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          @The Dude: Offer is I send cold hard draft dollars $6 for Davis, $5 for Soler, in exchange I can now keep one of them at the keeper price of $15/$10 respectively.

          • Grey

            Grey says:
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            I’d take either, Davis first

  34. Mostsuckass says:
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    I’ve got a deep keeper league question. Right now I have Alex Rios as a bench bat behind Jason Heyward. The one catcher on my roster is Matt Wieters. Our league is so deep that each team really needs to carry a backup at every position, since the free agent pool is generally no more than the likes of Robbie Grossman and Jordan Pacheco. We allow daily lineup changes.

    Here’s my dilemma. I’m thinking of offering Alex Rios to my league mate who owns Hunter Pence. He has Wilson Ramos, and I’m thinking of offering to swap Rios for Ramos. Rios probably gets better stats, and contributes in more categories, than Ramos in 2015. Then again, Ramos is younger (important in a keeper league), will probably play more for my team (since Wieters won’t play 162 games and is likely more injury-prone than Heyward), and provides insurance at a thinner position. What do you think–who would you rather have in this scenario, Rios or Ramos?

    • Mostsuckass says:
      (link)

      @Mostsuckass: Should mention also that we use LF/CF/RF rather than OF slots.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Rios

      • Mostsuckass says:
        (link)

        Thanks, Grey! How about if we substitued Yan Gomes for Ramos. Would you take Gomes for Rios, or would you keep Rios?

        • Grey

          Grey says:
          (link)

          That’s fair, I could see taking Gomes

          • Mostsuckass says:
            (link)

            @Grey: Very helpful for my trade negotiations. Thanks again!

            • Grey

              Grey says:
              (link)

              No problem

  35. And Now the John Lovitz Dancers! says:
    (link)

    has joyce been updated in player rater, top 400?

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Nope

      • And Now the John Lovitz Dancers! says:
        (link)

        @Grey: is hamilton not expected out very long? joyce appears as starter (righties anyway) now.

      • Grey

        Grey says:
        (link)

        Young has been, not Joyce

        • And Now the John Lovitz Dancers! says:
          (link)

          @Grey: oh, i see there’s no timetable yet for any hamilton suspension so you couldn’t yet i suppose.

          • Grey

            Grey says:
            (link)

            Yup

  36. jal179 says:
    (link)

    Moob Venn diagrams always win

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Yup!

  37. Tom says:
    (link)

    Who says Spring Training means nothing? The graphic in the article shows that you are in mid-season form!

    I’m in a 6×5 10 team H2H each category league where I think I can get the following pitching staff in the rounds listed. All other rounds would be for hitters. Given how many hitters I’m getting early, I think I can average 5.5 offensive category wins every week. I think this pitching staff wins K’s every week & the save wins should be there after May 1st as well. Wins are probably a toss up every week especially since I will be streaming (say ½ a win). Conservatively I say that I don’t win ERA or WHIP ever (or the lucky win there balances out the unlucky loss in another cat.). So….my average week would be 8 wins, 3 losses.

    Agree? If not, where am I going wrong?

    Chapman 4
    Jansen 9
    Ryu 10
    Wood 11
    Stroman 13
    Kennedy 14
    Doolittle 15
    McHugh 16
    Hughes 17
    Fiers 18
    Salazar 19
    Hutchison 25

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Thanks! I think you can win ERA and WHIP too… I like the staff a lot…

      • Tom says:
        (link)

        @Grey: Thanks! So you agree that my hitting should be dominant as well (given 7 out of the first 8 picks to hitting)?

        • Grey

          Grey says:
          (link)

          No problem… Yup, I agree…

  38. Big W says:
    (link)

    Hey Grey Cakes!

    6×6 (OPS + K/BB) yahoo roto keeper. We keep 12 players and draft 13. I know I’m keeping 11 guys for sure, but having trouble with the 12th… Here’s the 11 for sures:

    1b Bautista
    2b Kipnis
    3b Arenado
    SS Hanley
    OF A. Jones, Rusney & Avisail
    UT Frazier & __________?
    SP Kershaw, Arietta & Shoemaker

    Here’s my options for the final keeper spot:

    Matt Adams, Danny Santana & Britton

    I’ve been leaning towards Adams, but people keep writing good stuff about Santana so wondering your take… Gracias Amigo!

    Big W

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      I’d go Santana

  39. Steve D. says:
    (link)

    Travis d’Arnaud or Yasmani Grandal at catcher in a 10 team redraft?

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      See my rankings

  40. GhostTownSteve says:
    (link)

    Interesting Trevor Bauer start yesterday. I think it’s ok to look at the way players approach spring and get the qualitative stuff so long as we don’t focus on numbers/results. Anyway, KFFL reports Bauer working on his two seam sinking fastball and he goes out yesterday and goes 3 (seems early to go 3) without walking a guy and without striking anybody out. Last year he threw almost exclusively four seamers. Might be looking to get early contact and take some of the BBs out of the game. Be interesting to keep track of.

    Speaking of hot springs, remember Chris Shelton’s hot spring in 2006? Then he came out of the gate in April with a 17/10/20/.326 slash. One of the great, weird fantasy months ever.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Can’t ever forget Chris Shelton, it was like the inverse Maas…. Yeah, there could be something to trying new pitches or a stance, but I don’t know if results are as obvious as no walks in one game…

  41. Spammer Jay says:
    (link)

    Hi Grey. Can I get your advice on keepers please? 12 teams standard, $260, unlimited keepers. I marked the ones I was thinking of going with. Thanks again!

    1B Paul Goldschmidt 1B | ARI $15 ***
    SS Ian Desmond SS | WAS $22 ***
    3B Nolan Arenado 3B | COL $5 ***
    OF Adam Jones OF | BAL $23 ***
    OF Andrew McCutchen OF | PIT $38
    OF Joc Pederson OF | LAD $9
    U Todd Frazier 1B,3B | CIN $9 ***

    P Carlos Carrasco P | CLE $9 ***
    P Alex Cobb P | TB $24
    P Sonny Gray P | OAK $13 ***
    P Felix Hernandez P | SEA $36
    P Max Scherzer P | WAS $23 ***
    P Marcus Stroman P | TOR $9 ***
    P Matt Shoemaker P | LAA $9 ***

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Why not keep all of them? Will you be over budget?

      • Spammer Jay says:
        (link)

        @Grey: Here is how that would breakdown if I kept all. I would need to find an ultra cheap 2B, C and a handfull of potential Closers. I guess it’s definitely feasible. Llight on speed though, no?

        C XXX $2
        1B Paul Goldschmidt 1B | ARI $15
        2B XXX $2
        SS Ian Desmond SS | WAS $22
        3B Nolan Arenado 3B | COL $5
        OF Adam Jones OF | BAL $23
        OF Andrew McCutchen OF | PIT $38
        OF Joc Pederson OF | LAD $9
        U Todd Frazier 1B,3B | CIN $9

        P Carlos Carrasco P | CLE $9
        P Alex Cobb P | TB $24
        P Sonny Gray P | OAK $13
        P Felix Hernandez P | SEA $36
        P Max Scherzer P | WAS $23
        P Marcus Stroman P | TOR $9
        P Matt Shoemaker P | LAA $9
        P XXX $5
        SUB TOTAL $253
        Bench x 7 $1 Each

        • Grey

          Grey says:
          (link)

          A bit light on speed but SAGNOF… I say keep them all, you can find a cheap C and 2B… The closers could be an issue…

        • Montezuma's Revenge... right now says:
          (link)

          @Spammer Jay: jose ramirez available in every 12 teamer (pretty much every 16 teamer i’ve seen too)

  42. The Flayed Man says:
    (link)

    Hello all,

    Quick keeper question…

    Adam Jones for a round 7 cost for 1 year or
    Brantley for a round 17 cost for 3 years?

    Thank you.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Brantley, but tough call

  43. John Gibbons' Speech Coach says:
    (link)

    Keeper League.

    Which side wins the trade?

    I get- Abreu ($21) and Holland ($21)

    for- Brantley ($10) and Rendon ($10)

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Nice username… Rendon side

  44. JeF With 1 F says:
    (link)

    Harvey…6 up, 6 down…three K’s hit 99 on the gun

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Damn

      • JeF With 1 F says:
        (link)

        @Grey: The Dark Knight is Back

        • Grey

          Grey says:
          (link)

          Yes *said in a super sexy voice*

  45. Jay (Work) says:
    (link)

    12-tm, 6×6 roto (OPS/SHO). Currently keeping:

    – Trout
    – Gomez
    – Abreu
    – Rizzo
    – F-Her

    Should I consider trading Abreu for Donaldson and an 8th Rd Pick (92nd overall with first 5 rds being the keepers)?

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Any relation to Jay Wrong? I wouldn’t do that trade

      • Jay (Work) says:
        (link)

        @Grey:
        We have the same step-dad. Coincidentally it’s the same as Roger Clemen’s. We’re all getting heart disease. I digress….
        Would you do the same deal, just for Rendon rather than Donaldson?

        • Grey

          Grey says:
          (link)

          Oh no! So sad! Yup

  46. Josh says:
    (link)

    Hey Grey, in a 20team H2H mixed league with standard ESPN rosters (1C,MI/CI,5OF,9P, etc) what categories would you recommend punting and what would you recommend for a draft strategy?

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      I don’t believe in punting anything… You should only draft one closer very later there though…. And go light on speed…

  47. Nick says:
    (link)

    1st draft of the season, ESPN 10 teams HtoH
    using Grey’s top 100

    5. José ABreu – 1B – Encarnacion, Cabrera were onboard
    16. Anthony Rendon – 2B – infield before OF
    25. Ian Desmond -SS – love the guy, in all my teams for 3 years
    36. George Springer – OF1 -Reach of the DRAFT? before J.Upton, Dickerson, Marte, Cargo but upside
    45. Johnny Cueto – SP1 – i was aiming for Cobb but it’s too early, so free pick, should have taken J.Zimmerman instead for more confidence
    56. Alex Cobb – SP2 – gotcha, top tier Pitcher this year
    65. Nolan Arenado – 3B – steal of the draft #1
    76. Gerrit Cole, – SP3 – prefered him out of Shields, Gray, Gio
    85. Kolten Wong – 2B/SS – STEAL of the Draft #2 – wanted Yelich but InField 1st
    96. Alex Wood – SP4 – i love him in round 10
    105. Marcel Ozuna OF2 – no better other options at OF
    116. Jorge Soler OF3 – breakout year? took him ahead of Mookie Betts – HR for SB?
    125. Cody Allen RP1 – i bet a top5 closer / Salvador Perez was queued …
    136. Zack Wheeler SP5 – what do you think of this rotation! / Salvador Perez was queued
    145. Yan Gomes C – Salvador Perez gone @138, got same value 1/2 round later
    156. Zach Britton – RP2 – i was aiming Cishek gone @151
    165. Will Myers OF – OF3 – risk/reward, but round 17 is a steal
    176. Kris Bryant 1B/3B – i like the guy, Laroche gone just before
    185. Danny Salazar SP6 – late draft value for daily SPs rotation
    196. Steven Souza – ROY
    205. Khris Davis – cheap cheap power
    216. James PAXton SP – i may find better on the wire (Tillman is avb!!)
    225. Yasma Tomas – ROY !!! or J Pederson ??
    236. Addison Reed RP – saves, but high ERA (Santiago Casilla just released on waiver)
    245. Jessy Hahn – betting on last pick lost cost value, but couldn’t find Cingrani burried in the rankings

    My team is FULL !! High Powerpotential with maybe not enougth speed without Mookie Betts, but George, Desmond , Wong, and maybe Souza should offer me enougth
    Real Young OFs with lots of expectations
    I love my rotation, even i don’t know what to expect about Cueto. A healthy Cobb should pay big, and be complementary egouth got get wins whip Ks… era may be a concern with the youngsters:
    and 3 closers in Allen Britton and Reed should bring me nice possibilities each week…

    Nick

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      I agree with your assessment… I like Tomas per my rankings, but I also love Pederson…

    • Montezuma's Revenge... right now says:
      (link)

      @Nick: that’s about ozuna’s ADP in yahoo as well.

  48. John Gibbons' Speech Coach says:
    (link)

    One more keeper question…

    $10 Brantley for $33 Desmond?

    Which side?

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Brantley

  49. Jobu Needs a Refill says:
    (link)

    Hey Grey,

    I can keep 6 of these guys going into next season:
    McCutchen, Abreu, Ellsbury, Posey, Adrian Gonzalez, Billy Hamilton, Arenado, Kemp, Soler, Dozier, Neil Walker, Josh Harrison

    head to head league, 10 teams

    Some are obvious to me:
    McCutch, Abreu, Arenado

    But I’m having a hard time bottoming out on other 3. Thoughts?

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Hamilton, Dozier, Soler

  50. booya says:
    (link)

    H2H 6×6 Keeper w/ OPS & K/9

    Which side do you want…Stanton & Encarnacion or Goldy, Harper & Teheran?

    I’m leaning towards the Stanton side.

    Thanks

    • booya says:
      (link)

      @booya: would also be able to grab Carlos Martinez to replace Teheran…

      • booya says:
        (link)

        @booya: Or Gausman

        • Grey

          Grey says:
          (link)

          Still Stanton side

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Stanton

  51. Curtis says:
    (link)

    Uh oh Grey.

    Eno Sarris [email protected] 1h1 hour ago
    Tomas looked terrible today. @jeffwzimmerman had him at 4.7 to first, flailed at everything, looked big, swung too much.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Still early!

  52. dickerson's jock...strap says:
    (link)

    Grey do you think i lead off most of the year if everyone stays healthy?

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Not likely

    • Joey Jo Jo Jr Shabadoo says:
      (link)

      @dickerson’s jock…strap: you aren’t projected to do that now even.
      mlbdepthcharts.com
      save that site, it’s the best (linked to at razzball somewhere), and might save a bunch of ?’s like this one.

  53. gdey says:
    (link)

    trade freddie freeman and a 5th round pick for rendon in a 14 team obp keep 5 league?

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Yup

  54. Slick says:
    (link)

    Grey,

    I hold you opinion highly. Tell me which Ranking System you believe to be most realistic. Pick one: Steamer, Composite, Zips, CAIRO, or Rotochamp.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Steamer

  55. pondfrogsplash says:
    (link)

    I need help deciding on Soler or V-Mar as a keeper. I’m in a 10 team roto OBP league with 3 keepers. My first two are McCutchen and Tulo. Thanks!

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Soler

      • pondfrogsplash says:
        (link)

        @Grey: All of the other sites have V-Mar significantly ahead of Soler, so it made it tough. Soler is young and apparently he is bigger and stronger this year. My gut told me to go with the more exciting option. Thanks I feel better.

        • Grey

          Grey says:
          (link)

          No problem

  56. SwaggerJackers says:
    (link)

    @Grey: I just found out I got the first pick in my 12 team H2H OBP keep forever league.

    This is a blessing and a curse!

    The good: Rizzo and Bautista will be available.

    I usually draft a young stud with my first pick since it’s a keep forever league. That would be Rizzo.

    The twist: My keepers are Stanton, Abreu, Goldy

    Am I really starting out the draft with three 1B after 4 picks?

    Joey Bats is a fine player for 2015 but Rizzo is a better long term keeper.

    #firstworldproblems

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Damn, that is a blessing and a curse… I’d go Bautista

    • Joey Jo Jo Jr Shabadoo says:
      (link)

      @SwaggerJackers: might list some other options (those could be by far best ones), another option if you have higher pick than most is to try to see about trades before you make that pick, like “i’ll be getting rizzo if you want, team X, if you trade me player y”, that way you might be able to find a younger top bat more even to rizzo in value.

  57. gut-punch says:
    (link)

    Yu should have had surgery four months ago!

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Yup and yup

  58. dem ribbies says:
    (link)

    Aaaaaaand the news comes out that Darvish might need a TJ. Too bad he couldn’t have made it another week or two to help sink dumb $ GMs in the draft.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Yeah, at least I avoided writing a Darvish schmohawk post

      • Can you imagine..., the gallons of human spit says:
        (link)

        @Grey: “but grey you were too low on him and such…” Hey geniuses show up and claim it! (they aren’t present anymore)

        • Grey

          Grey says:
          (link)

          Yeah exactly…

          • Can you imagine..., the gallons of human spit says:
            (link)

            @Grey: it’d be something along the lines of “how could we have foreseen that something was wrong with him, he said he was ok, so did the team he plays for”

            • Grey

              Grey says:
              (link)

              Haha

  59. Dan says:
    (link)

    Hey Grey

    In a dynasty would you trade Felix(3) for Gregory Polanco (8) or am I better off holding for a bigger (possibly lower round) bat?

    10 teams H2H …. 15 keepers with round values attached…. My team :

    C. Davis (8)
    C. Santana (6)
    Myers (24)
    Xander (15)
    Gonzalez (1)
    Pederson (27)
    Sano (21)
    Gallo (27)
    Buxton (1)

    Felix (3)
    Tanaka (1)
    Richards (27)
    Betances (27)
    DRob (22)
    Holland(12)

    Thanks man!

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Hold

  60. Jay says:
    (link)

    So i have quite the conundrum here. I need to pick 5 out of the following:
    Stanton (no brainer)
    Jones. (Samsies)
    Then it gets interesting
    Desmond
    Upton
    Donaldson
    Arenado
    Edwin
    Scherzer

    I have no picks until pick 102. I currently do not own Edwin but í have offered Upton and pujols.

    What can do?

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Edwin and Upton are in your list to pick from, you have them both or no?

      • Jay says:
        (link)

        @Grey: right niacin have upton not Edwin.

        In negotiations for Edwin. Would cost Upton plus.

        So yeah don’t consider Edwin….my bad.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Stanton, Jones, Desmond, Arenado, Scherzer

      • Jay says:
        (link)

        @<a href="#[email protected]Grey: you lean scherzer over Donaldson because of the late first pick?
        I ask because I mocked s bunch of times and pitching was available for me to build a formible staff.
        I was kinda thinking Donaldson here. And honestly I thought you’d have confirmed this.

        • Grey

          Grey says:
          (link)

          Yup, Scherzer cause of late pick… You can go Donaldson over Arenado if you like though if you want slightly less risk…

          • Jay says:
            (link)

            @Grey: ok cool. Nah I’m gonna stick with Arenado.

            Right now it’s a coin flip for me with Donaldson and scherzer. If I can consistently mock it to the point where I’m comfortable with my staff i might just go with bats.
            But then again who knows if the actual draft mimics the mocks I might be better with max

            • Grey

              Grey says:
              (link)

              Yeah, if you’re comfortable waiting until 100 for a SP, then go for it… I think it’s risky and Scherzer should be amazing this year

              • Jay says:
                (link)

                Grey: you give any consideration to keeping Donaldson over desmond. We roster an IF spot plus util. I know desmond gives me production at a shallow position but overall Donaldsons power looks sweeter.

                • Grey

                  Grey says:
                  (link)

                  Sure, go Donaldson

                  • Jay says:
                    (link)

                    @Grey: that’s what I’m saying I’m going to flip a coinbecausr I read on the internet that when you do that you subconsciously make a decision by hoping it lands on one side versus the other. And if Its on the internet…thanks bud for guidance. Its like being in a sweat tent with a native American chief and peace pipe is going round. I dig what your putting in the pipe.

                    • Grey

                      Grey says:
                      (link)

                      Haha… No problem

  61. jal179 says:
    (link)

    10-12 team H2H Yahoo redraft with no keepers max 2 moves per week. Based on the 7 hitter cats vs 6 pitcher cats, I’m curious how most would tackle the pitcher spots– how many closers, how many ratio mid relievers vs starting pitchers? When to start taking SPs…. I’m planning on waiting on SPs until the Arrieta type tier (7 or 8th d)

    Secondly, how many bench bats?

    Roster Positions: C, 1B, 2B, 3B, SS, CI, MI, OF, OF, OF, OF, OF, SP, SP, SP, RP, RP, P, P, P, P, BN, BN, BN, BN, DL, DL, DL, DL, NA

    Batters Stat Categories: Runs (R), Hits (H), Home Runs (HR), Runs Batted In (RBI), Stolen Bases (SB), Batting Average (AVG), On-base + Slugging Percentage (OPS)

    Pitchers Stat Categories: Wins (W), Saves (SV), Strikeouts (K), Earned Run Average (ERA), (Walks + Hits)/ Innings Pitched (WHIP), Quality Starts (QS)

  62. Tom says:
    (link)

    Oh great fantasy master Lothario, please answer me this:

    How worried should I be about Drew Smyly’s shoulder injury? Keepers are due tonight, have him as $1 for 2 more years in a 13 team, $260 Roto. I could throw him back & keep Anibal or Salazar at $4.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      I’d go Salazar

  63. Red Barons says:
    (link)

    The Adverb is shut down for elbow soreness. MRI showed no ligament damage, but it’s the same pain he felt last year. Hoping it’s just spring soreness and nothing serious—not for fantasy, but for real life.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      I hear ya

      • Chris says:
        (link)

        Hey Grey,

        quick question: Who should I keep? Can keep 5 players.
        12 team standard scoring league. $300 auction draft

        Matt Carpenter $11
        Michael Brantley $6
        Springer $10
        Joc Pederson $10
        Arenado $7
        Goldy(duh) $31
        Machdo $17
        Gerrit Cole $15
        Tehran $20
        Strasberg $25
        Kluber $10

        Kluber and Goldy seem a sure bet but after that I’m not positive

        Thank you for the help!

        • Grey

          Grey says:
          (link)

          Brantley, Arenado, Goldy, Kluber,Springer

  64. Mithta mithta says:
    (link)

    Hey dude!
    How do you like my RCL team?
    c chirinos
    1b encarnacion
    2b pedroioa
    3b arenado
    ss tulo
    ci c davis
    mi baogarts
    of braun
    of cargo
    of trumbo
    of pollock
    of d santana
    dh a garcia
    sp arrietta
    sp iwakumma
    sp wheeler
    sp salazar
    sp mccarthy
    p perkins
    p britton
    p krod
    p rondon
    p parnell
    p soria
    p neshek

    TIA in advance. You rock!

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Barf! Kidding, looks solid, you look light on speed but nice pitching and hitting otherwise…

  65. Last years champ says:
    (link)

    Can keep forever, $5 inflation each year. Need 7 guys…Goldy $33 Rendon $28 Altuve $24 Harvey $6 Wong $5 Calhoun $7 Baez $5 JoseFernandez $5 DannySantana $5 AvisailGarcia $5

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Not Santana, Avisail or Calhoun

  66. Hal Incandenza says:
    (link)

    For the War Room download to work in Excel 2003, can anyone tell me what I need to change in what formula? I get displays of #NAME? for the players. I think I had to edit a formula last year as well.

    Thanks for any help, or even a link to where this may have been posted previously.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      I’d comment tomorrow on my newest post

      • Hal Incandenza says:
        (link)

        @Grey: Thanks, will do.

        • Grey

          Grey says:
          (link)

          No problem

Comments are closed.