The Cardinals said Alex Reyes will be in the rotation to start the year.  Schwing.  Or, in relation to him, schwing and miss.  If I haven’t mentioned this before (I have but deal with it), I focus on redrafts with rookies.  I want to know what a guy is going to do in 2017.  A good way to eliminate a lot of mystery is to hire a talking dog and a group of stoner kids.  One dog; you can keep Scrappy-Doo.  Another way to eliminate mystery is to focus on players that have already gotten a strong taste in the majors.  *reaches into top hat*  Ali Cadabra… Ali Kazam… Alex Reyes.  Frank Voila!   A rookie has a starting job for 2017 and I’m immediately more interested in said rookie over said rookie who has unsaid starting job.  Then you throw in the Cards, whose pitching admittedly looked like crizzap last year, but they have history on their side of being better than they should be.  Or herstory if one of our five girl readers are following along.  Or theirstory if we have Social Justice Warriors reading and they just can’t stand non-gender neutral language.  Not to completely 180 this snitch, I don’t know how Alex Reyes is supposed to be in the rotation when they already have five without him.  It’s all right, Lance Lynn, Mike Leake, Jaime Garcia and Adam Wainwright have never seen an unexpected injury they can’t get themselves into, so Reyes will get his innings, and he can’t throw 200 next year anyway.  So, what can we expect from Alex Reyes for 2017 fantasy baseball?

You can see everything you need to know about Alex Reyes in his stats from the 46 innings he threw in 2016 with the Cardinals.  His 10.2 K/9 shows how devastating all his pitches can be.  He has a 12-6 curve that’s knee-buckling. *someone runs past*  Why did Carlos Beltran just run past crying?  Hmm.  Reyes’s change works off his 97 MPH and is swing-and-miss.  Sadly, he can’t truly control any of them, which goes to his 4.5 BB/9 that was 4.4 in Triple-A and 4.7 in Double-A, i.e., his control has never been good and it didn’t suddenly get better.  His 1.57 ERA from last year shows how great he can be, but his 4.05 xFIP shows that he needs to leave a ton of runners (walks) on base.  It’s the only way he’s going to succeed.  To give you a small sample size snapshot — that’s what she said when she saw your Snapchat! — he needed 17.2 pitches per inning.  That would’ve been 8th worst in the majors if he qualified, let’s just say guys he would’ve joined are not the best company to keep — James Shields, Pineda, Liriano, Gio Gonzalez, Robbie Ray.  With Reyes, you’re looking at a guy that will average about 5 2/3 IP and strike out seven guys each start with a 1.40 WHIP.  You know it’s not terrible, because you just owned Pineda last year, but there’s a ton of risk here until Reyes shows he can control his pitches a bit better.  For 2017, I’ll project him for 9-7/3.89/1.37/132 in 120 IP, bouncing in and out of the rotation until there’s a serious injury.

 
  1. Ante GALIC says:
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    Grey!

    Great write-up. One for getting high on scooby snacks!

    a. Will definitely be hungry like the wolf for Reyes. I could see Garcia and Lynn both getting injured in 2017. Garcia because he healthy all year and was mostly ineffective. Lynn should be good for 100 IP – 20 starts of 5IP per. So yeah, I could see Reyes getting 25 starts – mostly in April/May and August/September.

    b. Have a nice weekend. Don’t do anything that I wouldn’t do. Riddle me that, Boy Wonder.

    Cheers,
    Ante

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      @Ante GALIC: Thanks! A. Yeah, agreed B. Haha… You too!

  2. Ralph Lifshitz

    Ralph Lifshitz says:
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    Love Reyes! Probably my favorite pitching prospect in the land.

    Luke Weaver should factor into the rotation too. Wouldn’t shock me to see the Cards move one of their older starters, maybe Lynn.

      • Ralph Lifshitz

        Ralph Lifshitz says:
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        @Grey: For this year, yes. He’s more of a lottery ticket than a need to draft guy. With that said if he floats between the pen and rotation he has a lot of value still. Particularly in setups like RCL’s where high K/9 totals from relievers are a difference maker.

        I think your analysis is spot on. I’d take a flier on him with one of my last 4-5 picks in a 12 team mixed. For dynasty I’ll take him over Giolito, Hader, Martes, Kopech, Glasnow, and De Leon.

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          Wow, pretty high praise… Or do you just not trust Giolito? Glasnow? De Leon? Hader?

          • Ralph Lifshitz

            Ralph Lifshitz says:
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            @Grey: I trust them, I just think all around Reyes is better and closer. BP is now asking if Giolito is maybe a reliever and not a frontline starter.

            Hader, who I love, will have to pitch in Milwaukee, and I’m not sure his stuff is any better.

            De Leon will probably start the year in minors will Kazmir not opting out.

            Glasnow has all the same warts as Reyes, but they’re bigger, on his face, and they leak from time to time.

            • Grey

              Grey says:
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              Fair enough points… I’d be shocked if Giolito gets bullpen duty already

              • Ralph Lifshitz

                Ralph Lifshitz says:
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                @Grey: Me too, but I thought it was an interesting take, I hadn’t heard before. Pitching prospects that can’t miss often miss, look at Archie Bradley.

                • Grey

                  Grey says:
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                  TINSTAPP

                  • Ralph Lifshitz

                    Ralph Lifshitz says:
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                    @Grey:A classic!

                    I need to step my acronym game up. All the greats have acronyms.

                    • Grey

                      Grey says:
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                      Yeah, get yo shizz together! You watch Black Mirror?

                  • Ralph Lifshitz

                    Ralph Lifshitz says:
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                    @Grey: Not yet, I recorded the pod last night, and then watched a little of the Football game before bed.

                    I will tonight for sure.

                    • Grey

                      Grey says:
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                      You sound like an old man, said the guy who went to sleep at 1030 last night

      • CMUTimmah says:
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        @Grey: Reyes figures out his control issues before Glasnow. I think he’s the better guy by far for 2017.

        • Ralph Lifshitz

          Ralph Lifshitz says:
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          @CMUTimmah: I think he will, I think he leapfrogged Giolito last year, and that’s saying something.

  3. Michael Utzig says:
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    Who would you want as an 8th and final keeper?

    Alex Reyes, Makiel Franco, or Pujols?

    Keepers
    Rizzo
    Story
    Harper
    Marte
    Dahl
    Scherzer
    Archer

  4. Ciwa says:
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    How about reyes in a keeper?
    I had Reyes, C-Mart,Kluber,Stras,W.Davis,Hammel and I had to choose 3 of them. Naturally is too early now but i almost prefer to keep Reyes over Stras. Klub and CMart are assurances(i think).

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      @Ciwa: I’d go Stras, but his health in Feb/March will factor into that decision

      • Ralph Lifshitz

        Ralph Lifshitz says:
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        @Grey: Can always keep Stras and trade him in March-May if he’s good to go, and looks okay.

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          Yeah

  5. Scott says:
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    My son watches Scooby Doo in the car. He thinks Scrappy is hilarious. I fear for the next generation.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      @Scott: He an grow out of it still…Hopefully.

  6. Big Odio says:
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    You remember that one time I owned Reyes and I won the perts league by ten points? C’mon…you ‘member?

      • Big Odio says:
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        @Grey: you probably rang your own bell beating your head against the wall over and over trying to figure out how this SOB is winning

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          Still nothing, you said you won? Have blocked it out

          • Big Odio says:
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            @Grey: traumatic experiences will do that. You must be suffering from PHSD

            • Grey

              Grey says:
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              Haha… I can’t see above the 2nd place team in my mind’s eye!

              • Big Odio says:
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                @Grey: yeah Post Humiliation Stress Disorder will do that to a man

                • Grey

                  Grey says:
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                  Reminds me of being pantsed in 3rd grade gym class

                  • Big Odio says:
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                    @Grey: ODIO RULES! *puts arms in air*

                    • Grey

                      Grey says:
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                      *realizes forgot deodorant, lowers arm*

                    • Big Odio says:
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                      Hell no, my stench is my strength

                    • Grey

                      Grey says:
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                      Ha!

    • Ralph Lifshitz

      Ralph Lifshitz says:
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      @Big Odio: I memeber

  7. Malicious Phenoms says:
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    Andrew Cashner now a $10 million Texas Ranger

    • Ralph Lifshitz

      Ralph Lifshitz says:
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      @Malicious Phenoms: To do list
      1. Build time machine
      2. Go back in time
      3. Learn how to become a average MLB starter
      4. Make way too much money

      • Malicious Phenoms says:
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        @Ralph Lifshitz:

        I’ll help you build it and I will go back with..I want to be a lefty this time..

        Did you get my Tweet, involving trade offer I am thinking of sending..Do NOT answer me here, they could be watching…

        • Ralph Lifshitz

          Ralph Lifshitz says:
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          @Malicious Phenoms: Haha not sure I saw it yet. I love that you can’t talk your leagues on Razzball LOL

          • Malicious Phenoms says:
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            @Ralph Lifshitz:
            sent it again

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Avoid!

      • Malicious Phenoms says:
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        @Grey:
        No doubt, Cashner will get hammered in the AL.

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          And in that park…Oofa

  8. Polka

    Polka says:
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    Love the unexpected injury jab, so true and very funny. Great info as usual from one of Fantasy Baseball’s greatest minds- alright, back to the new Metallica

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Ha, thanks!

  9. Malicious Phenoms says:
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    The Twins have outrighted third baseman Trevor Plouffe, according to Mike Berardino of the St. Paul Pioneer-Press (via Twitter). He’ll become a free agency today unless he’s claimed by another organization.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Plouffe goes the Plouffe

      • Malicious Phenoms says:
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        @Grey:
        I would think this would mean Sano is now a full time 3B in Minny Soda.

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          Still early in the trading season, but, yeah, he has inside track now

  10. Packers says:
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    Grey, what do you think is fair value foe Story or Conteras? Duffy, Hendrick, Salazar, O. Arcia, Vogt, Fowler, Lamb are a few guys I could offer. 12. team league one or both. Is Kleberg or Scherez to much?

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Could try Hendricks for Contreras and Salazar for Story

  11. Packers says:
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    That would be Kluber. Spell check. Lol

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Kluber for Story might work

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Salazar first

      • Packers says:
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        @Grey: @Grey: @Grey: ok. Thanks

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          No problem

  12. Maverick says:
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    Hey Grey
    Would you trade
    Antonio Brown and Tannehill for Mariota and Jarvis Landry? I have Bortles as a QB….

    Thanks

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Football.razzball.com

      • Big Odio says:
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        @Grey: football question? Somebody didn’t read their information packet

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          Apparently

  13. Chris says:
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    Cardinals getting Brett Cecil, your thoughts?

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      He’s a middle reliever, a good one, but not much for fantasy

Comments are closed.