Have you seen Aaron Judge hit?  This is the first thing I say to people.  Shoot, I should qualify that.  This is not the first thing I say to everyone.  “Would you like to hear the specials?”  “Have you seen Aaron Judge hit?”  No.  Not quite like that.  It’s the first thing I say to people who ask me about Aaron Judge.  In fact (Grey’s adding on already?  Well, let’s get it!), I like to watch everyone hit (and pitch, but we’ll get back to that).  I try to watch video of every single player.  It’s not some weird voyeur thing.  Okay, it’s that, but not only that!  If someone’s minor league stats look like, say, .290, 35 HRs and 25 steals, and you watch them and they have a huge hitch in their swing, they don’t look fast and/or they’re a buck-fifty soaking wet, then you have a guy that could very well be hitting and running better against weaker competition than they will find in the majors.  It’s important to watch the players.  I bring this up now because I watch Aaron Judge and I see Giancarlo Stanton.  I do not invoke my novio’s name willy nor nilly.  I don’t say Giancarlo comparisons early nor often.  If you saw Aaron Judge’s first major league home run, it was a simple, back-up-the-middle stroke.  Only the ball went about 420 feet out in center.  Aaron Judge hit only 4 homers last year in 84 ABs in the majors, but three went 419 feet or more and one homer went 457 feet, which was top twenty in the majors last year.  Cause long balls get you excited like an older woman, here is Judge mollywhopping.  If that doesn’t excite you, you have no soul.  I don’t mean you have no soul as in you find it hard to get the rhythm of a song, I mean you are kin to the devil.  Anyway, what can we expect of Aaron Judge for 2017 fantasy baseball?

We can expect him to drop bombs on your moms, eff car alarms, and Grey will check yo self before you wreck yo self.  Speaking of Ice Cube, I saw a highlight during the Dodgers game of Cube being tossed a baseball by a player.  I was really sad not to see the same treatment for Larry King.  Imagine, “Grandal tosses a ball to Larry King and…Oohhh, bounced off King’s head.  Yeah, he might not be alive.”  By the way, how is Russian TV’s Larry King getting those seats?  Putin?  Putin using Seat Geek?  We demand answers!  Okay, back to Judge.  He can hit 40 homers as early as 2017.  Like no foolsies.  The big question for me is will he hit above .220.  Last year, he hit .270 in Triple-A with a 24% strikeout rate.  Essentially striking out once every fourth time (look at the big brain on Grey!).  That’s not great, but — and this is a Serena Williams well-defined but — he struck out 29% the year before at Triple-A.  That tells me he can learn and adjust.  In Triple-A, Kris Bryant once had a 29% strikeout rate, then 30+ in the majors, and last year only 22%.  Players can get better.  Judge is slightly older than Bryant, and I don’t know if we’ll ever see huge gains on his contact.  Though, it might not matter.  Giancarlo has had a 29% K percentage in his career and he’s hit .266.  .260 does feel generous on Judge out of the gate in 2017.  Stanton was much younger when he broke into the majors (Stanton is only barely older than Judge now, and he has 827 games in the majors already).  Judge could even flame out, not that there’s anything wrong with that, and be an occasional 475-foot bomber with a .190 average.  Think half of the guys that make up Kennys Vargas.  Due to the big power, I’m going to say Judge will be worth a draft pick in every league next year and project him for 68/28/79/.232/3 in 488 ABs with huge upside from there.

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Scott Kimmel
Scott Kimmel
5 years ago

so the new deal looks like this:

I give: deGrom, Duvall, Quintana, Allard and Zimmer
I get: Stanton, Sale and Britton plus a minor leaguer

Make the deal or say nay

Scott Kimmel
Scott Kimmel
5 years ago

Grey

He added Bradley Zimmer in the deal going to him from me

Scott Kimmel
Scott Kimmel
5 years ago

Grey,

The latest offer on the table is this.

I giv: deGrom, Duvall, Quintana and Allard
I get: Stanton, Sale and Britton

Would you make that deal?

Scott Kimmel
Scott Kimmel
5 years ago

what do you think of this offer:

I give him: Quintana, Snell, Duvall and Zimmer
I get: Sale Stanton, Britton,and a minor leaguer

Scott Kimmel
Scott Kimmel
Reply to  Grey
5 years ago

is it fair?

Scott Kimmel
Scott Kimmel
5 years ago

the offer he originally wanted to do

I give him : Duvall, deGrom, Snell, Diaz, Allard and Zimmer
I get: Sale, Stanton, Britton and Dickerson

Scott Kimmel
Scott Kimmel
5 years ago

Grey,

He said no to that

Scott Kimmel
Scott Kimmel
5 years ago

i want to acquire those guys from him but he is asking too much. Who can i offer to make it reasonable?

My roster looks like this:

C,1B Buster Posey (SF)
1B,3B Yuli Gurriel (HOU)
1B Albert Pujols (LAA)
1B Joey Votto (CIN)
2B Jose Altuve (HOU)
2B,3B,SS,OF Jose Ramirez (CLE)
3B Josh Donaldson (TOR)
3B,SS Manny Machado (BAL)
SS Carlos Correa (HOU)
OF Lorenzo Cain (KC)
OF Adam Duvall (CIN)
OF Carlos Gonzalez (COL)
OF Starling Marte (PIT)
OF Mike Trout (LAA)
SP Madison Bumgarner (SF)
SP Johnny Cueto (SF)
SP Jacob deGrom (NYM)
SP,RP Danny Duffy (KC)
SP Kenta Maeda (LAD)
SP Jose Quintana (CWS)
SP Max Scherzer (WAS)
SP Blake Snell (TB)
SP Justin Verlander (DET)
RP Wade Davis (KC)
RP Edwin Diaz (SEA)
RP Sam Dyson (TEX)
RP Jeurys Familia (NYM)
RP Ryan Madson (OAK)

MINOR LEAGUERS
SS J.P. Crawford (PHI)
OF Bubba Starling (KC)
OF Jesse Winker (CIN)
OF Bradley Zimmer (CLE)
LHP Kolby Allard (ATL)
RHP Tyler Glasnow (PIT)

Scott Kimmel
Scott Kimmel
Reply to  Grey
5 years ago

i’ll ask him.

Scott Kimmel
Scott Kimmel
5 years ago

Grey,

A guy in my league made an offer to me. He is offering me Britton, Stanton, Sale and either dickerson or Martinez for duvall, Snell, degrom, Allard, zimmer , and either madson and diaz. I said no. Am I right?

Dave
Dave
5 years ago

I’m thinking of trying to sell him plus a pitcher like Gausman for Moncada in my AL only league.

Swfcdan
Swfcdan
5 years ago

Who else is missing Harold Reynolds from the booth. He might not be the most intelligent guy but is always entertaining to listen to and passionate about the game. Smoltz knows pitching and is better than Verducci, but they should have Harold in the booth too. What happened to him? The commentary just feels boring now.

Packers
Packers
Reply to  Swfcdan
5 years ago

@Swfcdan: agree I like Harold. Lester not throwing to 1B is unreal. Go Ross.

Big Odio
Big Odio
Reply to  Packers
5 years ago

@Packers: this is the first time ever I’ve seen two people who actually like Reynolds. What’s next, you two going to be praising the fine work of Buck

Malicious Phenoms
Malicious Phenoms
5 years ago

Such a bush league play when Guyer doesn’t even try to get out of the way on an inside pitch. Guyer should have been called out for not trying to move…This home plate home sucks..

Big Odio
Big Odio
Reply to  Malicious Phenoms
5 years ago

@Malicious Phenoms: He wasnt crowding the plate. He moved his knee a little. That’s baseball

Dazzle
Dazzle
5 years ago

Hey Grey –

Rough fantasy year for me so looking ahead to next year in my 10 team ESPN points league. We get four keepers and lose a draft pick based on the round we initially drafted the player. Which 4 would you keep from the list below?

N. Arenado (6th round)
C. Correa (24th round)
T. Turner (25th round)
A. Bregman (25th round)
D. Dahl (25th round)
N. Mazara (25th round)

I think I’ll take the first three for sure, but having a hard time with my last selection. Thanks for your input!

Malicious Phenoms
Malicious Phenoms
5 years ago

You know GA or should I now call you M.E.G., I have always wanted to know your real name and now I don’t. It wouldn’t be the same..You are Grey Albright and that is all I need to know!

Malicious Phenoms
Malicious Phenoms
Reply to  Grey
5 years ago

@Grey:

Exactly and that’s the way it shall stay.

Count de Monetball
Count de Monetball
5 years ago

Since Fred asked, I just spent the last hour reading your previous “rookies post”. This one from Kris Bryant’s from 2015 struck me:
“A Nubian genie is offering me three wishes and I’m taking three Cubs prospects. I already gave you my Jorge Soler fantasy. Today, it’s Kris Bryant and his mollywhopping stick. Maybe next will be Addison Russell. (Can I get a Starlin Castro to Yankees trade already? You know you want to, Yanks.) ”
How did you know CBG (Crystal.Ball.Grey)?

Count de Monetball
Count de Monetball
Reply to  Grey
5 years ago

I might also mention M.E.G (Mother.Effin’.Genie) was the only one on RBNation to call Treat Urner as a top 5 rookie…. Damn I wish I had picked him up off waiver’s last year…

BTW, the Cubbies front office haven’t done many things wrong the last few years (Edwin Jackson who?), but bringing in Schwarbs for the WS roster and he’s batting 5th tonight? Eesh, I don’t know about that one Theo’n Epstien-joy, I hope Chicago doesn’t give you the Ramsay Bolton treatment if that doesn’t work out….

Count de Monetball
Count de Monetball
Reply to  Grey
5 years ago

That would be a GREY Sky an otherwise ray of sunshine season. Nothing wrong for hoping for a long fun series; i’m flying down to see my father who’s been very ill and would be able to watch a game seven with him if it went that far; I think I could live with seven games

Count de Monetball
Count de Monetball
Reply to  Count de Monetball
5 years ago

Well what kind of catastrophic ending do you mean?

Malicious Phenoms
Malicious Phenoms
Reply to  Grey
5 years ago

@Grey:
I think Bartman riding a ‘Billy Goat” onto the field during a crucial fly ball would be even better..

Malicious Phenoms
Malicious Phenoms
Reply to  Grey
5 years ago

@Grey:
Lets make it happen. I know a a guy in San Diego that is always jumping out of planes. I know farmers here in Ireland who have goats…What next, you call Bartman and set it up??

Count de Monetball
Count de Monetball
Reply to  Grey
5 years ago

Ugggg, not another Bartman reference….LEAVE HIM ALONE, He’s just a fan that ***mumbles in a low voice*** dressed like a geek and interfered with a fly ball that Moises Alou would have caught and the Cubs would have won the world series in 2003 and Alex Gonzalez would of played like a gold glove shortstop and Mark Prior would have no hit the Marlins for the rest of the game ***

Malicious Phenoms
Malicious Phenoms
Reply to  Grey
5 years ago

@Grey:
What would Madonna want Bartman’s sperm for??

Count de Monetball
Count de Monetball
Reply to  Grey
5 years ago

haha! I surrender have a good time watching the game tonight guys !

Malicious Phenoms
Malicious Phenoms
Reply to  Grey
5 years ago

@Grey:
I wud think some irate Cubs fan or fans had Bartman castrated back in 2003..

Malicious Phenoms
Malicious Phenoms
Reply to  Count de Monetball
5 years ago

@Count de Monetball:

You too Count…GO CUBS!

Malicious Phenoms
Malicious Phenoms
Reply to  Malicious Phenoms
5 years ago

@Malicious Phenoms:

Maybe for payback, Bartman would like to be parachuted on a goat into Wrigley during a crucial fly ball, say in in game 5..Maybe he would even pay us to set this up for him!

Count de Monetball
Count de Monetball
Reply to  Grey
5 years ago

No kidding… Prices are Redonkulous… The price of getting to the WS every half-century or so…

Big Odio
Big Odio
Reply to  Count de Monetball
5 years ago

@Count de Monetball: well they are also 60% responsible, (Boston 30%, LA 10%)for changing how cuban and other non asian prospects will be signed. The new proposal on the table is an international draft so the rest of baseball has a chance to land some of these kids. Its funny that the Sox got busted but Chicago slid right through especially with that Giants fiasco

Count de Monetball
Count de Monetball
Reply to  Big Odio
5 years ago

@Big Odio: sounds familiar but what Giants fiasco are you referring to

Simply Fred
Simply Fred
5 years ago

How do I get a list of who you recommended in prior years (similar to this year’s Moncada/Judge). Wanting to see how they performed.

Simply Fred
Simply Fred
5 years ago

Grey, is there a hot key on the site to get a list(s) of prior year Moncada/Judge recommended grabs?

Malicious Phenoms
Malicious Phenoms
5 years ago

Who you like tonight. Cubs or Indians? Who do you like to win the series?

Malicious Phenoms
Malicious Phenoms
Reply to  Grey
5 years ago

@Grey:
agree, they split in Cleveland and than the Cubs sweep them in Wrigley.

Big Odio
Big Odio
Reply to  Grey
5 years ago

@Grey: I don’t know. Indians have moxy. They had more walk off wins and I believe come from behind wins after the 7th inning than any other team. I also think they have the managerial edge. So basically the intagibles favor them and the Cubs have the talent. Just don’t hang sliders to the cubs and throw flat fastballs and tribe will make this interesting. Besides the cubs don’t have jobu

Big Odio
Big Odio
Reply to  Grey
5 years ago

@Grey: Im going to punch you in the mouth next time I see you

Big Odio
Big Odio
Reply to  Grey
5 years ago

@Grey: sorry, I actually played sports, so I know what its like to defeat a superior opponent on heart alone

Big Odio
Big Odio
Reply to  Big Odio
5 years ago

laugh it up water boy. Its a football thing, you wouldn’t get it

Count de Monetball
Count de Monetball
Reply to  Grey
5 years ago

Hahahaha

Big Odio
Big Odio
Reply to  Count de Monetball
5 years ago

@Count de Monetball: laugh all you want, but as much as I hate the Giants I will give them credit for winning world series titles with some of the if not the worst teams ever. Its not a paper game. Heart, moxie, momentum are all parts of the game.

JeF WiTh 1 F
JeF WiTh 1 F
5 years ago

Do you share my short girl love for Jessie James Decker…..I want me some of that!!

JeF WiTh 1 F
JeF WiTh 1 F
Reply to  Grey
5 years ago

@Grey: Shes right in our height range

JeF WiTh 1 F
JeF WiTh 1 F
Reply to  Grey
5 years ago

@Grey: That makes two of us

Big Odio
Big Odio
5 years ago

Looking at his minor league profiles he can hit to all fields and really improved his AAA numbers the second time around. I agree with ralph about the injury risk and at his height you should ask JB if he gets hurts more than average sized people? Seriously though he doesn’t hit the ball on the ground a ton and his 24% line drive rate is muy interesting. I like him but I think the breakout is more likely 2018. I have to wonder to if getting regular AB’s out of the gate help bump that confidence and we see a better player this coming year. He got jerked around…..a lot

Big Odio
Big Odio
Reply to  Grey
5 years ago

@Grey: that makes me want to make a late bloomers list

Big Odio
Big Odio
Reply to  Grey
5 years ago

@Grey: I know uggla was. Isn’t donaldson a late one. I shoukd ask magoo. He probably already has one

Geoff
Ralph Lifshitz
Reply to  Big Odio
5 years ago

@Big Odio: @Big Odio: E5, Joey Bats, Ryan Ludwick, are a few of the top of my head.

Branta
Branta
5 years ago

Both of the dudes you wrote up as your first two rookies are guys I’ve got on lock in my keeper league. That’s got me like Alyssa Milano in the late 90s: Super fine.

boomer19
boomer19
5 years ago

Good day Grey and Razzball peeps. Looking forward to Game 1 of the World Series tonight. I’ve been weeding through keepers and sending out offers to stay sane. Have a solid squad but looking at the last two spots for keepers and deciding between Carrasco, Bregman, Buxton, Moncada, Schwarber. It’s a keep 7 5×5 13 team roto league. Already keeping 4 hitters and 1 pitcher. Carrasco could be kept for 1 year and the others for 2 years. Thoughts on which two of these guys?

JeF WiTh 1 F
JeF WiTh 1 F
Reply to  boomer19
5 years ago

@boomer19: Id go with Bregman and Moncada….could really go a bunch of different ways with these guys as they are all for the most part on the same upside level.

boomer19
boomer19
Reply to  Grey
5 years ago

I actually like both clubs but I have a wager on the Cubs so I guess I am hoping for them. Should be a good series. I like the Cubs lineup and starting pitching but the Indians have a solid club in many ways too. I’m interested to see the impact of guys like Schwarber and Salazar.

bossmanjunior333
bossmanjunior333
5 years ago

Have you seen the trailers for a new FX show called Legion? I was a comic book geek as a kid but so far have been disappointed by every single “superhero show” on TV outside of Heros. Really interested to see how FX handles it. Trailers looked good and it even has Aubrey Plaza!

Ekard
Ekard
5 years ago

Yo Grey. Serious question: Does Delino Deshields have any value in a dynasty league? I’m in a deep, and I mean deep (20 team, 35 man roster) dynasty league, and he’s still on the board. Is he worth a late round flier? Any upside?

JeF WiTh 1 F
JeF WiTh 1 F
Reply to  Ekard
5 years ago

@Ekard: In a league that deep his upside has enough value to make him worth it late

Chris
Chris
5 years ago

10 team H2H points league. Keeping one and trying to trade the other:

Jake Arrieta or Rick Porcello.

Which to keep? Thanks.

JeF WiTh 1 F
JeF WiTh 1 F
Reply to  Chris
5 years ago

@Chris: If you can cash in on Porcellos season and trade high that’s what i would do.

Duda Want to Build a Snowman?
Duda Want to Build a Snowman?
Reply to  Chris
5 years ago

@Chris: I would feel a lot better holding Arreita than betting on a Porcello repeat, but you’d probably be able to get a much better bat with Arreita, unless you can convince the guy who kept Keutchel last year to trade for Porcello.

JoeG414
JoeG414
5 years ago

30 Years Ago Today: Bill Buckner Commits An Error For The Ages! (October 25, 1986)
Where has the time gone ?

Swfcdan
Swfcdan
Reply to  Grey
5 years ago

@Grey: Hahaha

Stewzilla
Stewzilla
5 years ago

I have him at $3 in my auction keeper. Basically I can have him for 10 years at no more than $5, and keep him on my MiLB roster until I feel he is worth to join my now 3x Championship squad that won in 2016.

I like him a lot and picked him up a few years back when he was fringe top 100, bit that said the red flag K rate sticks out a bit and I am considering dealing him if I can upgrade a position. I guess I would be doing so at my own peril.

What caliber of MLB talent would you look to get for a cheap judge in a keeper?

Duda Want to Build a Snowman?
Duda Want to Build a Snowman?
5 years ago

If that doesn’t get ya pumped for Judge I don’t know what will (particularly for Yankee fans like myself)!

Given the sheer upside, would you now prefer a $3 Judge (lowest possible keeper salary) as your 7th and final keeper over more boring and/or expensive guys like $4 Conforto, $5 Schoop, $8 Tim Anderson, $4 Ozuna, and $5 K Brox? (For reference, my other 6 keepers are Betts, Rizzo, Kershaw, Story, Moncada, Khris).

Also, where ya at in Justified?

Big Odio
Big Odio
Reply to  Duda Want to Build a Snowman?
5 years ago

@Duda Want to Build a Snowman?: I’d want schoop or ozuna over judge

Duda Want to Build a Snowman?
Duda Want to Build a Snowman?
Reply to  Grey
5 years ago

@Grey: Thanks. Season 3’s a great one. Neal McDonough steals every scene he’s in (no easy task with Goggins and Olyphant).

Malicious Phenoms
Malicious Phenoms
Reply to  Grey
5 years ago

@Grey:
Neal McDonough looks like an older version of Matt Damon

Malicious Phenoms
Malicious Phenoms
Reply to  Grey
5 years ago

@Grey:
There ya go, excellent!