In a week where Clayton Kershaw is slated for two starts (pour one out for that first one. It should have been another epic matchup of Madison Bumgarner against King Kershaw, but alas…dirt bikes. Ugh!), the pitcher drawing the most attention, or at least the most reaction like the one above, is from none of other than the guy doing the reaction above! It’s like those Gronk wearing a shirt of Edelman, wearing a shirt of Gronk, wearing a shirt of Edelman things. You’ll get through this. I promise. And no more mention of anything Boston in this post. You have my word. (Still butt hurt about the Super Bowl. Always will be.)
Now, back to the matters at hand. Jason Vargas. Jason freaking Vargas. I was in an AL-Only auction at the end of March. $270 budget, 33 roster spots, 10 teams. Jason Vargas? Thrown out around #300 and went for a cool $2. I mean, who in the I want to cuss right now ever saw this coming? Certainly not ol’ Vargas himself. Why? Because this version of Vargas, the 34 year-old version, is every bit the same version as last 11 years who never held a K/9 north of 7 when pitching more than 12 IP in a year. And yet, here we are in Week 4 and Vargas is the ever-deserving candidate to be highlighted leading into this week, joining the echelon previously only befitted by Kershaw and MadBum.
Paul Sporer at FanGraphs said, “Jason Vargas is pitching out of his mind right now…His velocity has always been underwhelming (~86-88 mph) and it’s on the low end this year at 86.6. Vargas is using essentially the same pitch mix, too…I don’t really know what to make of this.” It’s a fascinating article that shines some light on the deeper stats of Jason’s breakout. Go nerd out for a bit after you finish here, because somewhere between his last healthy season in 2014 and now a beast has emerged. An 87 MPH beast. Can it last? Let’s hope it continues for at least his next two!
(For the record, I nailed the Eric Thames Top 100 and Andrew Triggs Two-Starts highlights last week. That probably means Vargas implodes this week, haha.)
Pitchers are listed in order by rank. Colors represent 8 toughest or 8 easiest opponents according to team wOBA for last 14 days.
THE BEST
| Player | Opponents | ERA/FIP | K9/BB9 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Clayton Kershaw LAD | @SF, PHI | 2.54/2.68 | 10.16/0.64 |
| Chris Archer TB | @BAL, @TOR | 3.20/1.71 | 9.59/2.84 |
| Stephen Strasburg WAS | @COL, NYM | 2.89/2.04 | 9.32/2.25 |
| Jason Vargas KC | @CHW, MIN | 0.44/0.98 | 10.02/0.87 |
THE REPLICAS
| Player | Opponents | ERA/FIP | K9/BB9 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dallas Keuchel HOU | @CLE, OAK | 0.96/3.00 | 7.07/1.93 |
| Zack Greinke ARI | SD, COL | 3.28/3.06 | 7.30/2.19 |
| Felix Hernandez SEA | @DET, @CLE | 3.65/4.27 | 7.30/0.36 |
| Michael Wacha STL | TOR, CIN | 2.41/3.97 | 8.20/2.41 |
| Amir Garrett CIN | @MIL, @STL | 1.83/2.03 | 9.61/1.37 |
| Luis Severino NYY | @BOS, BAL | 4.05/3.10 | 12.15/0.90 |
THE STANDARDS
| Player | Opponents | ERA/FIP | K9/BB9 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Julio Teheran ATL | @NYM, @MIL | 3.52/4.16 | 7.04/4.30 |
| Joe Ross WAS | @COL, NYM | 3.86/3.18 | 9.00/1.26 |
| Wade Miley BAL | TB, @NYY | 1.89/3.16 | 11.37/3.79 |
| Marco Estrada TOR | @STL, TB | 2.63/3.77 | 9.00/3.38 |
| Chad Kuhl PIT | CHC, @MIA | 2.60/2.84 | 7.27/3.63 |
| Rick Porcello BOS | NYY, CHC | 5.32/4.33 | 8.75/1.90 |
| Matt Shoemaker LAA | OAK, @TEX | 4.98/6.26 | 7.89/3.74 |
| Robert Gsellman NYM | ATL, @WAS | 5.09/3.46 | 10.19/3.06 |
| Patrick Corbin ARI | SD, COL | 3.27/3.80 | 6.14/2.86 |
| Miguel Gonzalez CHW | KC, @DET | 2.84/3.79 | 7.11/3.32 |
| Wei-Yin Chen MIA | @PHI, PIT | 3.94/4.02 | 5.63/1.69 |
THE KNOCKOFFS
| Player | Opponents | ERA/FIP | K9/BB9 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Francisco Liriano TOR | @LAA, TB | 5.11/2.90 | 12.41/5.11 |
| Vince Velasquez PHI | MIA, @LAD | 7.20/6.03 | 11.40/6.00 |
| Jesse Hahn OAK | @LAA, @HOU | 3.00/3.23 | 7.00/3.50 |
| Clayton Richard SD | @ARI, @SF | 3.04/4.28 | 6.08/2.36 |
| Hyun-Jin Ryu LAD | @SF, PHI | 5.87/6.94 | 9.98/2.35 |
THE 
| Player | Opponents | ERA/FIP | K9/BB9 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Zimmermann DET | SEA, CHW | 5.94/3.92 | 5.40/3.78 |
| Phil Hughes MIN | @TEX, @KC | 5.40/4.63 | 6.60/1.80 |
| Brett Anderson CHC | @PIT, BOS | 4.40/3.31 | 6.91/3.14 |
| Jhoulys Chacin SD | @ARI, @SF | 4.70/3.90 | 5.87/3.13 |
| Ricky Nolasco LAA | TOR, @TEX | 4.76/5.81 | 6.75/1.19 |
| Ubaldo Jimenez BAL | TB, @NYY | 5.51/5.47 | 4.96/3.86 |
| Josh Tomlin CLE | HOU, SEA | 11.68/4.44 | 5.84/1.46 |
| Ty Blach SF | LAD, SD | 4.76/4.31 | 3.18/4.76 |
| Tyler Anderson COL | WAS, @ARI | 7.32/5.54 | 7.78/3.20 |
| Matt Cain SF | LAD, SD | 3.31/5.28 | 6.61/4.41 |
| Tommy Milone MIL | CIN, ATL | 5.63/4.02 | 6.75/0.56 |
| Martin Perez TEX | MIN, LAA | 3.60/4.40 | 7.20/5.40 |
| Dylan Covey CHW | KC, @DET | 7.84/7.73 | 1.74/4.35 |
All pitchers are projected for two-starts as of Friday night.
Good luck in Week 4! Keep checking back for your weekly lineup needs. Oh, and don’t be afraid to ask your questions. On life. On pitchers. On ranks. On…well, just…
DROP THOSE COMMENTS!
Follow M@ on Twitter at @matthayes for far more than just fantasy advice.
