It is better to be lucky than good. It is best to be lucky and good.

That is how I would describe the charmed 4-year run I have had in the 15-team ToutWars Mixed league where I have finished 2nd/2nd/1st/1st. I take a lot of pride in those finishes but it is not faux modesty that stresses the ‘charmed’ and ‘lucky’ aspect. All it takes is one or two big injuries to torpedo an otherwise strong draft – ESPECIALLY in a competitive league with weekly vs daily lineup format where there are less ‘grind’ points to gain by using Streamonator or Hittertron. I would feel even more special/lucky about it if the Nadal to my Federer (Adam Ronis) hadn’t gone 1st/1st/5th/2nd in those same years. At least I know I will have good company when the fantasy devil takes my soul and forces me to play in a 4 catcher 13 category H2H NL-only league for the rest of eternity.

Last year, everything broke right for me. As I describe in this season’s draft write-up, that was the ‘dream’ season where drafting, in-season pickups, trades and good fortune conspired together to run away with a competitive league (137 points out of 150 – 19.5 points ahead of #2).

You cannot really follow that up in any grand way. You just keep learning, refining the process of leveraging our preseason rankings and in-season tools, and show up for next year’s draft.

What Were The Final Standings This Year?


The Draft

One nice feature in this league’s OnRoto.com set-up is a ‘Toy Box’ which has the projected standings based solely on the draft. Looks like “Draft Rudy” was the genius and “In-Season Manager Rudy” was like a wealthy man’s son who just needed to not f*** things up too much. My draft is here. In summary, I had pick #1 (spoils of winning in 2017), took Trout, and then leveraged the surplus hitting value he provides (even more so in 5×5 OBP) to invest a little heavier in pitching (62% H /27% SP /11% RP vs typical 67/23/10).

The picks that mattered most (besides Trout) were: Christian Yelich (3.1), Aaron Nola (5.1), Charlie Morton (13.1), Blake Snell (15.1), Shin-Soo Choo (16.15) and Michael Brantley (19.1).

The picks I had to overcome were: Kevin Kiermaier (10.15), Steven Souza (11.1), Jon Gray (12.15), Jorge Polanco (14.15).

The overwhelming factor was great health and performance from my drafted pitchers. Besides Nola/Morton/Snell, I had Thor, a very reliable closer duo in Rivero/Iglesias, Eduardo Rodriguez, Tyler Skaggs, and Hyun-Jin Ryu. Only Jon Gray could be considered a disappointment and the pitching depth allowed me to minimize his damage (In Lineup: 21 GS/123 IP/9 W/4.769 ERA/1.3043 WHIP/124 K’s, On Bench: 10 GS/50 IP/3 W/5.980 ERA/1.4497 WHIP/59 Ks). This was great as two of my other expert league teams had massive injury issues so I could focus the Streamonator’s laser beam eyeballs at those rosters.

In-Season Management

Last season, I hit on Whit Merrifield and Tommy Pham AND traded high on McCullers for Dee Gordon. No such brilliance this season.

I had plenty of holes to fill with garbage at 2B/MI (Harrison, Jorge Polanco) plus the injury/awful years of Kevin Kiermaier and Steven Souza. Looking through my team stats, the only free agents with more than 100 PAs were: Niko Goodrum (296/36/10/32/6/.317 OBP), Mitch Garver (248/32/5/41/0/.343), Daniel Palka (121/15/6/16/0/.348), and Curtis Granderson (111/21/5/17/1/.381). All generally productive but supporting characters at best.

Same for pitching. The only non-drafted pitchers that pitched 30+ IP for me were Andrew Suarez (57 IP) and Blake Parker (31 IP).

Conclusion

While I led for a good chunk of the season, Adam Ronis made a hard-charging run and made me sweat out the last week. His 121 points are actually the 3rd highest standings points in the 6 year existence of this league.

Thanks to ToutWars LLC for letting me participate and for wisely not becoming a full-fledged corporation with massive liability exposure.

Some people say the second time is sweeter. Those people are lying. The first time is sweeter. The second time is still sweet though.

Now I have an offseason to work with Foley’s to figure out what kind of honorary sandwich I want on next March’s Champions Menu.

 

  1. FrankGrimes says:
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    You da man! Thanks for another great season.

  2. Caught Looking says:
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    Yelich was a dream to own this year. Glad I followed Razzball’s insight and drafted him.

    • nice. yeah, began year thinking i could get him in 4th round and kept moving him up. 31st pick was justified in this league b/c Yelich was projected as higher OBP value than AVG i think.

  3. knucks says:
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    Well done, sir. Rudy can’t fail.

    So Grey won Tout NL last year and didn’t request the Dirt Burger w/ Chee (Burger topped with Pork Roll) as his honorary sandwich?!?

    • thanks. they don’t have Pork Roll in NYC. saw it on three menus in the decade i live there and they were always out of it.

      grey went with fish and chips, dressed like he was in a Victorian movie, and told people to call him Lord Earl Grey of Albright

  4. Simply Fred

    Simply Fred says:
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    Did you get a chance to compile stats on your streamers starters (non-drafted starters)? If so, what did they produce?

      • Simply Fred

        Simply Fred says:
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        @Rudy Gamble: Yes, looks like low streaming numbers. I see:
        236.4 IP
        195 K
        15W
        3.85 ERA
        1.36 WHIP

        Can’t see ERA/WHIP for drafted starters for comparison…?

        • @Simply Fred: Updated to split up all three types of pitching. My in-season moves salvaged an awful SP draft (did well w/ Rivero/Boxberger)…just league average in ERA/WHIP but above average in Wins/K’s just from grinding.

          • Simply Fred

            Simply Fred says:
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            @Rudy Gamble: Thank you! Clearly those streamers did well. Might have to pay that fee for Streamonator…again!

  5. Malicious Phenoms says:
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    Well done Rudy!

  6. Roto-Wan

    Roto-Wan says:
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    What’s one thing you would suggest someone who’s a solid player, engaged/active, focus on to get their team to the next level in 2019?

    • @Roto-Wan: In weekly leagues, it’s building a process for FAAB incorporating Streamonator/Hittertron data. Systematically find a way that reviews all available players. and how they compare vs your team. Leagues don’t make it easy though b/c hard to download free agents (except for Fantrax) and occasional name conflicts.

  7. Bill says:
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    Well done Rudy! Thanks for all the work for this site. Thoughts on Dee Gordon next year?

    • @Bill: Thanks! Interested to see how far Gordon falls in redraft leagues. I made a conscious effort last year to avoid investing in any SAGNOF without potential for 15+ HRs. I just didn’t like the values of any SB threat (Gordon, Hamilton, etc) that had < 15 HRs. That is always subject to change. Biggest concern with Gordon IMO is if he's relegated to bottom of lineup. That's close to 1PA less per game. He's also getting older and I'm assuming is OF-only next year? Once NFBC ADPs start stabilizing in January, I'll have a better picture but, right now, I'd guess he won't be on any of my teams.

      • Bill says:
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        @Rudy Gamble: Agreed. I think the scuffle that he and Segura had affected them both. There were definitely problems in that clubhouse especially after Cano returned, Segura is a free agent next year. It will be interesting to see how this shakes out. Change of scenery might be needed. His OBP was .288 compared to a average OBP of .322 and also turned 30. I see myself not investing in more than one player with floors of 5 SBs and 10 HRs. Gordon might be the one based on cost. Thanks for the chat.

  8. Schmohawks Bob says:
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    Congratulations Rudy!

    Not to take away from anything you did, biut I also had Mike Trout in two leagues and I won them by 18 and 19 points, including the original RCL.

    One final thing, thank you so much for your tools. I feel like the combo of the hittertron and Mike Trout is almost cheating.

    • @Schmohawks Bob: ha! awesome, congrats on the victories and giving my tools some of the credit :)

  9. Lickety Splits says:
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    Congrats Rudy ….thanks to your robot & Razzball insights I am far ahead of the game….3-Peat!!

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