Organizational Talent Rankings via Baseball America
2014 (9) | 2013 (3) | 2012 (2) | 2011 (15) | 2010 (2)

2014 Affiliate Records
MLB: [67-95] AL West
AAA: [70-74] Pacific Coast League – Round Rock
AA: [80-59] Texas League – Frisco
A+: [82-56] Carolina League – Myrtle Beach (2015: High Desert)
A: [80-59] South Atlantic League – Hickory
A(ss): [40-36] Northwest League – Spokane

Graduated Prospects
Rougned Odor, 2B | Nick Martinez, RHP | Michael Choice, OF

The Gist
This system is full of risk/reward prospects with big ceilings. It’s also deep, and I had a hard time narrowing it down to just 10 to be honest. Fringe top ten guys like Keone Kela could help the major league bullpen as soon as 2016, and Kela’s triple-digit heater looks like the stuff of a closer. Then there’s Delino DeShields Jr. who was a Rule 5 selection from the Astros. DeShields hit 11 homers and stole 54 bases in Double-A last season. You can’t throw a stone without hitting a fantasy relevant prospect on this farm. Heading into 2015, Rougned Odor will get another extended look at second base while Jurickson Profar continues to battle shoulder issues. For what it’s worth, I still like Profar in dynasty leagues and at just 22 years old he still has plenty of time to get things back on track.

Top Ten Fantasy Prospects

1. Joey Gallo, 3B | Age: 21 | ETA: 2016

PA R H 2B 3B HR RBI BB% K% SB CS AVG OBP SLG
537 97 119 19 3 42 106 16.2% 33.3% 7 3 .271 .394 .615

Obviously Gallo brings elite raw power to the table, and that is going to have massive appeal in fantasy. With an improved approach in 2014 (lowered his K% with the move to High-A), the 21-year-old third baseman shot up prospect rankings and earned a promotion to Double-A. Adrian Beltre is set to become a free agent in 2017, at which time Gallo should be ready to take over the role. He could be ready before then as either a DH or even an outfielder if the Rangers decide to got that route. While there’s big time potential here, it’s important to remember that there’s also some swing-and-miss in his game and only 291 plate appearances in Double-A so far (where his K% shot back up). For this year, look for him to continue to refine his approach between Double-A and Triple-A. He may be in line for some MLB time this September.

2. Nomar Mazara, OF | Age: 19 | ETA: 2016

PA R H 2B 3B HR RBI BB% K% SB CS AVG OBP SLG
558 78 131 28 3 22 89 11.8% 21.7% 4 3 .271 .362 .478

Mazara is a solid right field prospect with 25+ homer potential. At 19, he earned a promotion to Double-A Frisco for just under 100 plate appearances. That made him the youngest player at the level and brought some attention to the former J2 signee. He won’t leave you wanting for average either, since his hit tool grades as above average to plus (.270-.280). Mazara will likely head back to Double-A for 2015, but he could be knocking on the door in Arlington as soon as mid-2016 if he keeps hitting. Mazara is a great example of what a J2 prospect can become with some patience. If he’s available in your prospect drafts, scoop him up before his stock climbs any higher.

3. Lewis Brinson, OF | Age: 20 | ETA: 2017

PA R H 2B 3B HR RBI BB% K% SB CS AVG OBP SLG
385 53 100 16 2 13 50 8.6% 24.9% 12 9 .288 .354 .458

Brinson doesn’t have the same pop as Mazara, but the center fielder makes up that ground with plus speed. There’s potential for contributions in both home runs and steals, but the approach needs refinement and there are questions about whether he can hit enough to be a major league regular. It’s your classic high-risk/high-reward profile and the Rangers’ system is full of them. The risk might be too much for some, and Baseball America didn’t even put Brinson in their top ten this year. I’m willing to roll the dice on this one and ranked him in my Top 50 overall. The power/speed combos are gold in fantasy.

4. Jorge Alfaro, C | Age: 21 | ETA: 2016

PA R H 2B 3B HR RBI BB% K% SB CS AVG OBP SLG
536 75 127 26 5 17 87 5.4% 22.9% 6 5 .261 .323 .440

Catching prospects aren’t always a good bet in fantasy, but Alfaro’s offensive game is good enough to warrant top five in this strong farm system. He’s also relatively close to contributing at the MLB level. There’s 20-homer power in his bat and he’s fast enough to chip in the occasional steal. He might still be a little raw and will certainly benefit from more seasoning at Double-A on both sides of the ball, but after Blake Swihart and Kyle Schwarber are off the board this is your best fantasy catching option right here.

5. Chi-Chi Gonzalez, RHP | Age: 23 | ETA: 2015

W L ERA G GS SV IP H R ER HR BB/9 K/9 AVG
12 6 2.67 26 25 0 138.0 123 52 41 6 2.7 7.4 .234

Hopefully I can get through this blurb without confusing Gonzalez with Chi-Chi the golfer. One strategy in dynasty leagues is to go for prospects who are close to the majors and can feed your MLB roster for a championship run in the short term. Gonzalez is one of those prospects. He doesn’t have huge upside (#3 starter) and the home park isn’t ideal for pitchers, but this is a talented arm with a double-plus fastball that can help your team soon. He’s a great target after some of the sexier names are off the board and you’re trudging through the middle rounds of a dynasty draft. He’s also a good target for redraft league streaming in the second half of 2015.

6. Jake Thompson, RHP | Age: 21 | ETA: 2016

W L ERA G GS SV IP H R ER HR BB/9 K/9 AVG
10 5 3.12 25 24 0 129.2 113 47 45 6 3.3 9.0 .234

Like Gonzalez, Thompson’s upside is limited to a #3 starter and he’ll have to navigate the unfriendly confines of the Rangers’ home ballpark. But that will also help dynasty owners land him at a slight discount. Thompson has two plus pitches in his fastball and slider with an average changeup. The 21-year-old righty was originally drafted by Detroit in the 2nd round, but came to Texas in the Joakim Soria deal. Thompson has seen his prospect stock rise considerably in the last year and earned a promotion to Double-A at just 20. He’ll return to Double-A in 2015 with a chance to see the majors as soon as next year.

7. Nick Williams, OF | Age: 21 | ETA: 2016

PA R H 2B 3B HR RBI BB% K% SB CS AVG OBP SLG
486 68 128 30 6 13 74 4.5% 28.8% 6 8 .283 .331 .462

Here’s another toolsy outfield prospect that has a high ceiling but also a lot of risk attached. There are some lists that rank Williams ahead of Brinson, but it’s not worth pulling your hair out trying to decide between the two. Like Brinson, there’s the chance Williams just doesn’t hit enough for it all to come together. But if it does, the plus power and speed makes for another outfield prospect in this system with 20/20 potential. Williams also saw a promotion to Double-A in 2014, and that’s where he’ll likely return to start this year.

8. Ryan Rua, 3B/OF | Age: 24 | ETA: 2015

PA R H 2B 3B HR RBI BB% K% SB CS AVG OBP SLG
529 65 144 26 3 18 74 9.6% 18.3% 6 5 .306 .378 .488

Rua gets a boost from his ability to contribute in the short term, and while he may not end up being more than a utility player, he’s got above average power that could translate into 15-20 homers at the MLB level. Rua makes a solid grab for depth in leagues that have deeper reserves or if you’re looking to use your farm to stash MLB-ready help as opposed to the far away guys we typically like to dream on. With Jake Smolinski currently penciled in to play left field in 2015, I wouldn’t be surprised if Rua got some playing time there in 2015. AL-only players should have him on their radar in drafts this year as well.

9. Travis Demeritte, SS | Age: 20 | ETA: 2018

PA R H 2B 3B HR RBI BB% K% SB CS AVG OBP SLG
466 77 84 16 2 25 66 10.7% 36.7% 6 2 .211 .310 .450

Let’s focus on the homers and not the strikeout potential because that’s way more fun. Even though it was at Low-A Hickory, Demeritte’s 25 homers were impressive for a 19-year-old. The stats took a nose dive in August and the strikeouts are obviously a major concern, but Demeritte still holds the potential to be a 20-homer threat from the middle infield at the major league level. He’s a fun one to dream on even though he’s a long way from contributing to your MLB roster.

10. Luis Ortiz, RHP | Age: 19 | ETA: 2017

W L ERA G GS SV IP H R ER HR BB/9 K/9 AVG
1 1 1.77 9 6 1 20.1 16 4 4 1 2.7 8.4 .211

The Rangers took Ortiz in the first round of the 2014 draft, and the 19-year-old impressed in his professional debut between the rookie level Arizona League and Low-A. He has a big fastball and his slider has plus potential as well. While he’s more of a flier at this point and should be reserved for deeper dynasty formats, you can also snag him much later than the other first-round high school pitchers from the 2014 class like Toussaint and Kolek. He’ll likely head back to Low-A to start the 2015 season.

Rangers Previews: 2014 | 2013

AL T10 Prospects Index

 
  1. J-FOH says:
    (link)

    NOMAHHHHHHHH!

    • Mike

      Mike says:
      (link)

      ha!

  2. Always enjoy your analysis, thanks.

    You: “I still like Profar in dynasty leagues….”

    Me: How MUCH do you still like him?

    Guessing you kept Profar off the list because he’s out–sigh–for another year. But if you were drafting from scratch in a dynasty wouldn’t you be tempted to gamble on Profar over, say, #9 Travis Demerrite? I’m pretty sure that the answer’s already in your list but…maybe it’s not?

  3. Wake Up says:
    (link)

    Great work on all the prospects Mike.

    • Mike

      Mike says:
      (link)

      thanks Wake!

  4. A Wesley Snipes Life says:
    (link)

    is chichi’s real name gabe, as i can only find gabe gonzalez in fantrax under TEX players.

    • Mike

      Mike says:
      (link)

      Alex Gonzalez

      • A Wesley Snipes Life says:
        (link)

        @Mike: thanks.

        • Mike

          Mike says:
          (link)

          no problem!

  5. Ralph Lifshitz

    Ralph Lifshitz says:
    (link)

    I feel like my Kela pick from last night was justified! Thanks for vindicating my faith. I’m a big fan of this systems depth.

    What’s your take on Ronald Guzman?

    • Mike

      Mike says:
      (link)

      haha nice! I liked the pick…Guzman was just kind of all over the place and needs to do better than .330 SLG to rank in a strong system like this, especially if he’s limited to first base, where the bat will have to carry him

      • Ralph Lifshitz

        Ralph Lifshitz says:
        (link)

        @Mike: Still young at 20 I’m hoping he finds some of that power. Last year was a down one for sure.

        • Mike

          Mike says:
          (link)

          absolutely…kind of like Smith with the Mets in some ways

  6. Marley says:
    (link)

    Hey Mike, you helped me the other day with my Aaron Judge seclection in my dyno lge. Thx for that as always. Im having a lil bit of drafters remorse over not taking Manuel Margot with that pick now tho. How do you view Margot in general and vs Judge?? After i looked more at Margot I really liked his contact % and of course the defense and power/speed. From a straight scouting perspective is Margot head and shoulders above Judge? Judge takes a walk at a great rate but the contact rate is pretty low and with a large frame like that I get worried that will ever change. Does his eta compared to Margots even up their value a bit? Hope breakin down some players is exactly what ya wanted to do on this thurs!! lol thx Mike. For the record I never did present Margot as an option in my selection question to you so your not on the hook as choosing judge over him!! haha!! Jus curios now after the fact

    • Mike

      Mike says:
      (link)

      No problem…I prefer Judge. Margot is solid but doesn’t have the power potential of Judge.

  7. Marley says:
    (link)

    Margot vs devers?

    • Mike

      Mike says:
      (link)

      Devers

  8. Marley says:
    (link)

    In need of a ss in this same dyno lge. It’s only the 2nd round out of 11 after 25 keepers. 36 roster. Do I pluck Jimmy Rollins and wait on other prospects Later n draft?

    • Mike

      Mike says:
      (link)

      Rollins works

  9. Marley says:
    (link)

    couldnt do it lol. too early of a pick. went Peraza instead. thx

  10. Marley says:
    (link)

    So I’m in the 3rd round now, could consider a ss again or go prospect route again. If I did go mlb ss who would u like? Rollins, kang, flores, hardy, semien? Prolly wouldn’t have to take the latter two here. I do have correa on my roster. I’ll copy and paste my roster below. Thx Mike, look fwd to midnight for ur next article!

Comments are closed.