We at Razzball realize that exporting our views across the country has damaging consequences on the blogosphere. To help make amends, we are reaching out to leading team blogs and featuring their locally blogged answers to pressing 2012 fantasy baseball questions regarding their team. We feel this approach will be fresher, more sustainable, and require less energy consumption (for us anyway). The 2012 Dodgers Fantasy Baseball Preview comes courtesy of Mike Scioscia’s Tragic Illness.

1) What’s your thoughts on Jerry Sands for 2012?  What would your projections for him be?

Coming off a big 2010 (35 homers, .981 OPS) between Single- and Double-A, Sands was so impressive in camp and in the first few weeks at Triple-A that the Dodgers surprised us all by making it only to April 17 before recalling him. In his time in the bigs, he was really two different players; the first edition of Sands lasted with the big club until June, struggling terribly to put up a .200/.294/.328 line. After mercifully being sent back to the minors, he made some significant mechanical adjustments and returned to the Dodgers in September, playing every day and bashing out a .342/.415/.493, admittedly over just 20 games.

He’s going to be 24 in 2012, gets phenomenal reviews for his makeup and coachability, and he has absolutely nothing left to prove in the minors, so my outlook should be bright. I’d like to say that he could do a .260/.340/.450 line with ~15 homers and ~35 doubles, which isn’t exactly superstardom but is still plenty good from a player in his first full year.

Unfortunately, Ned Colletti was so infatuated with the one good month Juan Rivera had that he felt the need to go throw $4.5m at him, and the Dodgers don’t pay that kind of money to someone who they don’t plan on starting every day. So it remains to be seen if Sands starts the year on the bench – there’s plenty of room for a righty bat who can spell Andre Ethier in RF and James Loney at 1B – or if he starts back in Triple-A to get daily playing time.

2. Andre Ethier is a popular bounce back candidate for 2012.  Do you have the same feelings?  What do you expect from him this year?

I agree. Ethier has always been the type of player who’s never really been as good as he thinks he is, but I do think everything has lined up for him to have a really good season this year. Most importantly, he’s healthy, after dealing with a broken finger in 2010 and suffering through a knee that eventually required surgery in 2012. You can see that he started well in each year and went downhill after trying to return too soon (in 2010) or trying to play through it (in 2011).

In addition, Ethier is a notoriously emotional player, one who thrives on the idea that he doesn’t receive enough respect. (This is the same guy who complained, just hours before Opening Day last year, that the Dodgers might actually non-tender him following the season.) He’s entering his walk year in 2012, and there’s been no progress on an extension for him, after the Dodgers have locked up both Chad Billingsley and Matt Kemp in the last year, and he’s clearly behind Clayton Kershaw on the priority list. There’s also been plenty of noise that he’s unhappy in Los Angeles and might prefer to play at home in Arizona, or in Boston with buddy Dustin Pedroia, or anywhere else, so a healthy Ethier with a lot to prove should turn into offensive production.

3) Dee Gordon — over/under for 45 steals?

Over. He might only get on base 45 times this entire season, but he’ll steal at least one every time. Seriously, just look at this animation-heavy post that may destroy your browser – he’s the fastest player I’ve ever seen. It remains to be seen if his zero-power approach will prevent pitchers from ever giving him a free pass, but if he’s healthy, he’ll get his 45. That’s really the biggest issue with him, because he’s so scrawny that it’s not hard to see him getting banged up easily, as we saw near the end of last year.

4) Javy Guerra didn’t do horrible last year, but everyone, including me, wants Kenley Jansen to close games in 2012.  Will it happen?  How do you see the saves breaking down this year for the Dodgers?

Guerra’s going to start the season as the stopper, simply because he’s now a Proven Closer™. You know, nerves of steel, guts of lava, balls of adamantium, all that. I think that status comes with a merit badge and a pass to the secret Proven Closer™ lounge in the basement of every stadium. He was actually pretty surprisingly effective last year, so he hasn’t given the team a reason to make the switch, and while this doesn’t help fantasy players, you could make a pretty good argument that having Jansen available to put out fires in the 7th and 8th is a far more effective use of his skills than shoehorning him into the 9th.

All that being said… Guerra walked 7.3/9 in the minors in 2010, and was decidedly less effective in the second half of 2011 than in the first. Meanwhile, Jansen struck out four guys while I was writing this sentence. It won’t happen immediately, but sooner or later Guerra’s going to blow some leads and Jansen will be racking up saves by midseason.

5) If Frank McCourt owned a fantasy baseball team, how would he distinguish himself vs. the other owners in his league?

You know the guy who “forgets” to pay his entry fee before the draft, and then keeps claiming “oh, it’s in the mail” throughout the season, and then as his team falls further out of the race he ignores the question entirely before claiming that the league was unfair anyway? We all know that guy. We hate that guy. He’d be that guy.

 
  1. tyler says:
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    in the minor league section of our 6×6 (h and ops) twenty team draft (under 50ip/130ab)
    i have pick 8, so far harper, darvish, moore, montero, trout are gone,
    i need help at c,1b sp/rp (hey it is a 20 teamer)
    on my board i have in order: teheran, mescaro, reed, javy guerra,s miller

    as i think the rp help from reed and guerra comes sooner then miller.

    any changes or additions? also where do the cubans fit? should i take either cepesdes or soler?
    tks.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      @tyler, Teheran, Mescaro, Reed, Guerra, Cespedes, Miller… If you don’t need an outfielder… Just know, you’re not getting him.

  2. Matt Moore OR Madison Bumgarner FOR DYNASTY KEEPER LEAGUE

    • Beej says:
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      @Mr Baseball, Moore

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      @Mr Baseball, Can’t go wrong going either way… Moore…

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      @Mr Baseball, Ha!

    • chata says:
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      @Mr Baseball,

      what does that mean ?

      • Grey

        Grey says:
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        @chata, There Is No Such Thing As A Pitching Prospect

  3. Tony says:
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    A) balls of adamantium, ha i was so intrigued by the word I had to google it, very nice.

    B) Frank McCourt sounds like a couple guys i know, what deusches, in the non-paying for your league fee context, this is why you use league safe or set a deadline for money to be in, if its not in YOU DELETE THEIR TEAM and get a new owner. God I hate people that pull that crap, its fantasy baseball for christ sakes and mosta the time its $20-$100, if you don’t have that to spare, you probably shouldnt be playing!

    C) there is no C, hey-yo!

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      @Tony, B) Yeah, hopefully you don’t get Selig to run the team though.

      • Tony says:
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        @Grey, ha true, but im thinking at least selig would pay….

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          @Tony, He’d pay but you might have to draft from Japan to try and win fans for your league then whoever won a meaningless exhibition midsummer game would have a huge advantage in your H2H playoffs…

  4. the grate one says:
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    grey, got the endcap picks in a new keeper (points) league…no limit on howlong we keep

    who are your top 3 selections (in order) from these remaining (as of now) guys

    votto, a-gon, fielder, longo, cano, upton, braun (top point guy – but obv. suspension for this year sucks – good in future years tho)

    thanks!

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      @the grate one, Votto, Longoria, Upton…

      • the grate one says:
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        @Grey, i could only get upton….so that leaves me with:

        stanton (620 points last season)
        braun (793 points last year)
        fielder (781 points last year)
        agon (774 points)
        and cano (744)

        which one???

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          @the grate one, Fielder…

  5. I am picking my dynasty team now

    If it comes between a solid starting pitcher or a solid closer – i imagine you have to go for the starting pitcher since closer’s career does not last as long and there is a big turnover at that postion

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      @MrBaseball, Yup, go with a starter.

  6. Anthony says:
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    @Grey: This might be the best team I have put together through mock drafts so far! what are your thoughts ? PS I had the #9 pick

    Longo
    Kinsler
    Mike Young
    Pence
    Dan Haren
    Mauer
    Cain
    Victorino
    Heath Bell
    Dee Gordon
    Nick Markakis
    Cory Luebke
    Ike Davis
    Tim Hudson
    Neil Walker
    Chris Perez
    Yoenis Cespedes
    Ted Lilly
    D Robertson
    Scott Baker
    Carlos Quentin
    Brandon Belt
    Alfredo Aceves

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      @Anthony, No idea how many teams.

  7. Jon D says:
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    OK, since you said I should go with Heyward and Rollins (which I dig), my 3 pitchers I’m keeping are Lester, J-Zimm and Anibal (I also have Minor as a minor leaguer who I can “call up” June 1). Any suggestions on the type of pitchers I should target? I don’t have a list of who’s available as we don’t actually set keepers til March.

  8. James says:
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    Dynasty league question. I have Sizemore on my bench but I can drop him for Rios. Which is the lesser evil?

    Thanks!

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      @James, Rios

      • Steve says:
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        @Grey, Damn Rios. Just waiting to reel us in (emoticon).

        • Steve says:
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          @Steve, And Joey Devine is right alongside him.

          • Grey

            Grey says:
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            @Steve, Yeah, I know. Ugh…

  9. 12 Team Keeper (5×5)

    I’m keeping Hosmer, Pedroia, Wright & CarGo.

    5th keeper help – Panda or Strasburg and why? If I were only worried about this year, I’d keep Kung Fu, but the idea of having Strasburg for a decade is fun (I realize Panda is young too, but fat guys, on average, don’t seem to have as long of careers, bla, bla, bla) and I doubt I’ll get another chance at Strasburg if I let him go now.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      @[email protected], Strasburg, not sure there’s reason to keep another 3rd baseman out of five keepers.

    • anarchy burger says:
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      @[email protected], agree with grey (i’m sure my opinion doesnt matter as much as his though lol)

  10. anarchy burger says:
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    quick keeper question
    12 team 5×5 league.
    i have to dump one of these guys. i can only keep 7
    lawrie 12
    c santana 15
    kimbrel 10
    beachy 16
    b norris 20
    holland 24
    trout 27
    j zimm 23
    before u say dump kimbrel closers are pretty valuable in my league so i am gonna keep him. i’m thinking its down to trout, norris or holland. which one goes????

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      @anarchy burger, Don’t think Kimbrel’s near being dropped for the price tags on the other guys… Norris and Holland are way overpriced, but so is Trout… I’d go Trout…

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      @anarchy burger, Oh, that’s the rounds not the prices? Lose Norris…

      • anarchy burger says:
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        @Grey, jesus i just posted that. you are the man. ps thats who i was thinking of dumping too. daquiri time!!!!!

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          @anarchy burger, Thanks!

  11. I’d drop Norris first and then Holland.
    Re: Trout, how many bench spots do you have available? I’d hang onto him for sure if you have enough space.

    • anarchy burger says:
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      @[email protected], we have a 10 man bench. i drafted him last year and held onto him the whole year. he would be hard to drop considering the round. i figure he’d go in the 13-17 range this year. thanks for the quick responses guys.

      • chata says:
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        @anarchy burger,

        10 man bench ?
        that must really cut down on the number of add/drops

  12. Think of it this way, the Astros will probably win 10-12 games this year (the Texans will probably win more next year in 146 less games) and Norris can only win so many of them.

    • anarchy burger says:
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      @[email protected], lol to all my razzball friends- i am gonna drop norris in the 20th round. that means he is a strong BUY for this year. he might win the cy young.

  13. Anthony says:
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    @Grey: I was the 9th pick out of 12 teams. Thoughts on my team ???

  14. Anthony says:
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    1. Evan Longoria (TB – 3B)
    2. Ian Kinsler (Tex – 2B)
    3. Michael Young (Tex – 1B,2B,3B)
    4. Hunter Pence (Phi – OF)
    5. Dan Haren (LAA – SP)
    6. Joe Mauer (Min – C,1B)
    7. Matt Cain (SF – SP)
    8. Shane Victorino (Phi – OF)
    9. Heath Bell (Mia – RP)
    10. Dee Gordon (LAD – SS)
    11. Nick Markakis (Bal – OF)
    12. Cory Luebke (SD – SP,RP)
    13. Ike Davis (NYM – 1B)
    14. Tim Hudson (Atl – SP)
    15. Neil Walker (Pit – 2B)
    16. Chris Pérez (Cle – RP)
    17. Yoenis Céspedes (Oak – OF)
    18. Ted Lilly (LAD – SP)
    19. David Robertson (NYY – RP)
    20. Scott Baker (Min – SP)
    21. Carlos Quentin (SD – OF)
    22. Brandon Belt (SF – 1B,OF)
    23. Alfredo Aceves (Bos – SP,RP)

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      @Anthony, Can’t say anything that negative, very solid team. Only small issue is your closers, but it’s workable.

  15. Jarred says:
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    Hey Grey,

    I’m in a 12 team H2H Keeper league and currently have depth at pretty much every position but 1B.

    I have:
    Uggla
    Wright
    Granderson
    Bruce
    Pence
    Lee
    Lincecum
    Strasburg
    Hudson
    Romero
    Ubaldo
    Wandy
    Wade Davis

    I have 1 keeper spot open, and can tag Dunn, Morneau, or Jeter. I’m currently in talks for Kemp (would give granderson and probably romero) and votto (lee and pence). Would either of these trades make my team better? or am I better served going to the draft?

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      @Jarred, Get Kemp and Votto…

      • Jarred says:
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        @Grey, lee and bruce worth votto?

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          @Jarred, Too much…

          • Jarred says:
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            @Grey, I think I can get votto for lincecum and pence. Should I pull the trigger?

            • Grey

              Grey says:
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              @Jarred, It’s fair, it’s not great. I like you giving Lee better.

  16. Cosmo says:
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    Infuated? WTH does that mean? lol You always keep it interesting.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      @Cosmo, That’s not me, if I’m the one you’re referring to.

      • Cosmo says:
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        @Grey, OK, whew! I see that now. I should have known…lol.

  17. Cosmo says:
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    PS- Oh, and as far as the Dodgers are concerned, I think this may be the worst team since I started following them in 1960. I have the Dodgers and Angels in my Fantasy Team league and only 3 Dodgers will play, Kershaw, Kemp and Ethier. That’s just sad. GLA

  18. Ben Roethlisberger got a talk show and Starlin Castro is his first guest –

    Its not too soon is it

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      @MrBaseball, Ha!

  19. TheNewGuy says:
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    Grey do you see Peacock starting the season in the A’s rotation. I need to decide whether I should promote him from my farm now (and can draft another player probably Hicks in his place), or play it safe and keep him down until he’s pitching in the bigs and having success sometime this year.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      @TheNewGuy, Yes, I do.

  20. TheNewGuy says:
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    And going back to the bryce Harper post, if he doesn’t make the club out of ST, when would you recommend picking him up (in non-keepers)? Or is he that good he should be carried on someones team all year.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      @TheNewGuy, I’d draft him in non-keepers in the last round if he’s there then drop him if he doesn’t make the club. Then pick him up mid-May.

      • TheNewGuy says:
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        @Grey, Nice plan, thanks man.

  21. Bust her O says:
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    Hey long time poster…first time reader…I probably should have been reading this whole time…good stuff

  22. sandles says:
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    @Grey
    Good morning sir!
    I see in your top 100 were you state you would look to select your second OF(in 5 OF’s league).
    When would you target your 2nd OF(in 3 OF format)? Also no MI or CI just two UT slots.
    Thanks!

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      @sandles, In that league it’s a little more fluid what you can do. You should take best available.

  23. elwood blues says:
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    NL Only 4×4 ($260 Salary protecting at least 7)
    I have Goldie at $20.
    I have an offer of LaHair $5, Thole $5, and Shelby Miller $5/2 years (with the option on Miller to still put a contract on him)

    Looking at 1b, I guess Cuddyer and Loney will be available in the auction.. everyone else would be protected.
    keep Goldie, right? LaHair is interesting.. but seems like a reach.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      @elwood blues, I’d hold.

      • elwood blues says:
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        @Grey, yeah, if i want a minor league pitcher, I can pick up Bauer, Cole, or Skaggs in our minor league draft. I’m not 100% sold on Goldie, but even at $20.. he’s better than those alternatives.

  24. SwaggerJackers says:
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    @ Grey:

    12 team H2H 3 keeper league
    Players can be kept indefinitely
    OBP instead of AVG

    I’m strongly considering keeping Stanton instead of Ellsbury. My other keepers are Tulo and Cano. Do I really throw Ellsbury back in the pool?

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      @SwaggerJackers, Ellsbury was probably way more valuable last year, but Stanton could be more valuable going forward. I don’t think it’s a terrible move to keep Stanton.

      • SwaggerJackers says:
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        @Grey, Ells was definitely the man last season.

        However, unlike standard AVG leagues where Stanton lags behind, with OBP Stanton has that edge.

        My hesitation is that Ellsbury ended the season on fire while Stanton was pretty average. The fact that I could keep Stanton for as many seasons as I want is pretty appealing though.

  25. Eddy says:
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    Grey,

    When are we to expect that big announcement you mentioned to Tony a couple of days ago?

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      @Eddy, I need to make sure it happens first before we should talk about it every day like it is definitely going to happen.

      • Eddy says:
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        @Grey, Understood.

  26. fitz says:
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    Hi Grey, is the Top 300 excel spreadsheet going to get posted this week?

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      @fitz, Tuesday afternoon

  27. royce! says:
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    Tim Hudson is likely to be out for at least the first month of play. This makes me happy because Minor will get at least a month of starts and they will be forced to start a prospect. As to the latter, got an educated guess as to who will get the call, Teheran or Delgado?

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      @royce!, Yeah, figured he would be out. Teheran…

  28. the grate one says:
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    hey grey…2 questions that require a “gut” response even though theres going to be no data to back it up

    1. what do you think hosmer’s ceiling is (i guess, what im asking is, what do you think his season stats will look like 5 years from now? 100/25/100/10?

    2. same question with lawrie?
    thanks1

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      @the grate one, 100/32/100/10 — 100/30/100/15

  29. the grate one says:
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    wow, i hope those both come true. thanks

    another question.

    are you still selling tshirts?
    is your e-book still selling?
    and i havent bought you a drink in a while, so ill prob do that next paycheck.

    i was looking for some way to compensate you for the awesome advice (the tshirt is for selfish reasons tho)

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      @the grate one, Not sure what the deal is with the t-shirts. E-book’s for sale still, yup. Thanks!

Comments are closed.