Don't be shellfish...Share on FacebookTweet about this on TwitterShare on Google+

We at Razzball realize that exporting our views across the country has damaging consequences on the blogosphere. To help make amends, we are reaching out to leading team blogs and featuring their locally blogged answers to pressing 2014 fantasy baseball questions regarding their team. We feel this approach will be fresher, more sustainable, and require less energy consumption (for us anyway). The 2014 Phillies Fantasy Baseball Preview comes courtesy of Matt Winkelman from Phuture Phillies.

1) Domonic Brown broke out in a big way in 2013 with 27 home runs. Do you think his success will continue in 2014 and should fantasy owners expect more than 30 homers?

I don’t think you will see the same Domonic Brown in 2014 that you saw in 2013. Pitchers are adjusting to him and not giving him that pitch to pull out of the park for the HR as much as they were earlier in the season. I would expect to see a little more patience and OBP from Brown this year and a HR total closer to 20-25 if he is healthy for a full year.

2) Cody Asche is considered a fantasy sleeper for 2014 here at Razzball. What’s your take on Asche?

Asche is never going to be a flashy option in real life or fantasy. It is a line drive approach that is going to yield more singles and doubles than home runs. He is going to give you a batting average around .270-.280, around 15 HRs, and probably 10 or so steals. The biggest question with Asche is playing time, he should win the starting 3B job out of spring training, but top prospect Maikel Franco is right behind him and that cut into Asche’s playing time if Franco forces the issue.

3) The core of the Phillies’ infield for years has been Jimmy Rollins and Chase Utley. Which of the veteran middle infielders do you think will provide more offensive production in 2014?

I think it is Chase Utley and it is not particularly close. Rollins has clearly lost a step or two and it shows in the severe drop-offs in both power and speed. I don’t think either of those is going to rebound and you could see him losing playing time or traded once he passes some Phillies records. Health is the big concern with Utley, but he had a good bounce back season last year and looks on track to enter this season healthy as well. There are less stolen bases then last year and he is poor against LHPs, but his ISO in 2013 was the highest it has been since 2009 and that should continue,

4) PhuturePhillies focuses on prospects. Which prospect from the organization should fantasy players be most excited about for 2014 and beyond?

The big name prospect it Maikel Franco, who is an even better fantasy prospect than real life prospect. He should hit for a decent batting average, but could be a 30+ home run a year guy not long after arriving in the majors. For 2014 impact, if Papelbon is traded at any point Ethan Martin or Ken Giles could quickly find their way into the closers role. Both feature big time fastballs and above average breaking balls.

5) Charlie Manuel provided Phillies fans with a lot of good memories. Outside of the Series win in 2008, what was your favorite Charlie Manuel moment?

Less of a moment and more of experience that was post-game press conferences. Charlie was going to say what he felt, was going to put it simply, and you had an excellent chance at great or ridiculous quote. Too many sports figures are polished in how they talk to the media, and Charlie was exactly the opposite.

Here’s a great example of what Matt is referring to…notice the seamless transition from Pat Burrell to Ric Flair to Space Mountain.

  1. Chuckles Tiddlesworth says:
    (link)

    Really enjoy this series, Mike. Good stuff. Thanks.

    • Mike

      Mike says:
      (link)

      Thanks! As a Phils fan and dynasty player I really like the work they do at Phuture Phillies.

  2. joeg414 says:
    (link)

    Whats the latest on Asche? He a FA in my deep daily mixed league. Is he worth more than ..Ike Davis ?

    • Mike

      Mike says:
      (link)

      I actually like Davis as a deep sleeper, but I’d rather have Asche in my CI slot.

      • James says:
        (link)

        @Mike:

        I sort of agree, it depends on what you want/need. Ike still has 40 hr potential, but that is now a long shot and a full work in progress. IF you have 10 bench slots for lottery tickets/prospects, he is a better pick up, Ashe will never be elite, but Seager Lite is about right 15hr/10sb and a decent average. I would start Ashe, not ike.

  3. I Want A Pretty Girl from Indiana says:
    (link)

    Is Kendrick as bad as his rankings (or lack of) make him appear to be? Looks like I’ll need to replace Corbin in my Yahoo 20 team H2H league – not much on the wire. Some 3% – 2%, but mostly 1% owned and below. Kendrick appears near the top of the list if I sort by 2014 projections, but I can’t find any rankings where he’s rated highly. Other guys I’m looking at are: Odorizzi, Harrison, Hale, Vogelsong, Delgado, etc. Grey likes Ororizzi so I might give him a spin, but he hasn’t made the rotation yet has he? At least Kendrick has a job, right? Any ideas or other SPs off the radar I should look at?

    Thanks. Keep up the good work.

    • Mike

      Mike says:
      (link)

      Thanks! Yeah, I think Kendrick is a decent option. You could also stream from a pitcher slot if that’s doable in your league. I haven’t heard anything definite, but my guess is Odorizzi wins the job, so if you want to go with more of an upside play, he might be a better pickup for you than Kendrick.

  4. Xavier says:
    (link)

    What is your feel on the Cole Hamels injury? Ace at a discount (NL-only) at auction or let someone else take that chance?

    • Mike

      Mike says:
      (link)

      Shoulder injuries are always worrisome, but I think you take the injury discount and run with it if you can. 200IP/200K arms don’t grow on trees and he might be getting overlooked. The player rater still has him valued at $14 for 12 team NL only.

      • Xavier says:
        (link)

        @Mike: Thanks Mike. Also thinking of stashing Ethan Martin in hopes of him closing. But he has a shoulder injury as well…capsule I think? Any word on his injury, and thoughts on him as a potential closer?

        • Mike

          Mike says:
          (link)

          Anytime. From what I’ve read of Matt’s stuff, Martin is the guy if you’re speculating on saves from within the org. this year, even with the injury, whereas it’s Giles in the long run.

        • @Xavier: With the injury I would put Martin behind Papelbon, Bastardo, and Diekman if I was speculating on saves. Martin is still the most likely to keep the job if he gets it, but he may never get a chance at it.

          Long term I would say that Giles is the one you want. The stuff is nasty and he is finding the zone consistently now.

  5. de nachos says:
    (link)

    Is the media making this Ryno-Rollins thing into bigger than what it is? Or are they really going to butt heads all season? I kind of believe there’s some drama in the making EXCEPT I thought Bowa was a big Jimmy fan.
    And what’s your take on how often will Sandberg give Bastardo save chances, think he plays any lefty matchups since Paps hasn’t exactly lived up to his contract?

    • Mike

      Mike says:
      (link)

      From what I’ve read, Ryno didn’t like Jimmy’s “Who cares” comment referring to spring stats. But then made the (IMO) mistake of not talking to him about it right then and there. Apparently they buried the hatchet and to me it’s not worth another thought.

      Bastardo is an interesting handcuff, but I think it’s Pap in the ninth until his arm falls off or he gets traded.

  6. Tehol Beddict says:
    (link)

    DOMONIC!!!!!

    • Mike

      Mike says:
      (link)

      YESSIR!

  7. Ghost of the Dsappeared says:
    (link)

    MIke: So as to be allowed to come back next year and enjoy your great team analysis Q/A show, I think, I’ll be real short today.

    I may be a fool, Mike. But first and foremost, I’m a born again chicken and before that, was always a devout coward. One never ever walks into to someones house and disrespects it.

    So here it goes with my best patronizing foot forward.

    The Phillies are the MLB team of destiny and they will wear the MLB World Series Champions ring in 2014.

    Yes, the Phils are thinned by the years. But, they have enough left in the tank to go halfway in success. IMO

    Begging my question, is there the wherewithal and the will in Phillyland to invest in the mid season trade market strongly enough to go all the way to pull the ring??? A critical question.

    I love, the Phillie Phanatic. All other mascots in sports are phonies === Well, almost

    Excepting,” OSKI” the California Golden Bear of UC BERKELEY GO BEARS!!!

  8. Ghost of the Dsappeared says:
    (link)

    MIke: So as to be allowed to come back next year and enjoy your great team analysis Q/A show, I think, I’ll be real short today.

    I may be a fool, Mike. But first and foremost, I’m a born again chicken and before that, was always a devout coward. One never ever walks into to someones house and disrespects it.

    So here it goes with my best patronizing foot forward.

    The Phillies are the MLB team of destiny and they will wear the MLB World Series Champions ring in 2014.

    Yes, the Phils are thinned by the years. But, they have enough left in the tank to go halfway in success. IMO

    Begging my question, is there the wherewithal and the will in Phillyland to invest in the mid season trade market strongly enough to go all the way to pull the ring??? A critical question.

    I love, the Phillie Phanatic. All other mascots in sports are phonies === Well, almost

    Excepting,” OSKI” the California Golden Bear of UC BERKELEY GO BEARS!!!

    • Mike

      Mike says:
      (link)

      The Phanatic is the man

  9. Ghost of the Dsappeared says:
    (link)

    Mike: Poor old Puter is acting up. Plus I get real excited when I say, GO BEARS!!!!

    GLODEN BEARS!!! GLODEN BEARS!!!, O, WE ARE LOYAL SONS OF CALIFORNIA, FIGHTING FOR THE BLUE AND GOLD, O FIGHT YOU STURDY GOLDEN BEARS, GUUR GUUURRR GGGGGGGGGGGGGGRRRRRRRRRRRRRRR RRAAAHHH!!!!

    Our sturdy Golden Bear
    is watching from the sky
    Looks down upon our colors fair
    And guards us from his lair
    Our banner Gold and Blue
    The symbol on it too
    Means Fight! for California
    For California through and through.
    Stalwart girded for the fray
    Will strive for victory
    Their all at Mater’s feet will lay
    That brain and brawn will win the day.
    Our mighty sons and true
    Will strive for us anew
    And Fight! for California
    For California through and through.

    http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/File:Oski.jpg

  10. G Penny says:
    (link)

    In an OBP League in which we keep 10 players (scoring includes HR/RBI/OBP/Doubles/Triples/Runs/SB)

    I am on the bubble between keeping Dom Brown or Jayson Werth. Werth is ranked higher on most lists, including Razzball’s, but the reason I am leaning toward keeping Brown is because I know that several other owners value him and would snatch him up, whereas Werth just might be undervalued and fall back to me. Is it worth giving up a player with the upside of Brown who just might be on the verge of a breakthrough (though you seem to think not so much) in a league where the odd triple can win you a week, or to go with the safe OBP and diminished speed of Werth, injury risks and all?

    It’s would kill me to have to throw back Brown, a guy whom I traded for last year with the intention of keeping for years, but most fantasy writers seem to think he won’t come anywhere near his hot-streak inflated numbers from last year.

    Do I ditch Brown and keep the bearded one, a seemingly unanimously higher ranked player? Or do my scoring system and keeper settings make a difference that points toward Brown?

    • Mike

      Mike says:
      (link)

      I actually like Brown. I’d be okay with grabbing him and seeing if Werth falls. Vets like him sometimes slip through the cracks.

      Sorry I wasn’t able to get to this reply sooner.

  11. Clint says:
    (link)

    I likely missed this in Razzball’s plethora of pre-draft information, Mike, but in Roto leagues, what’s a good number to target for steals when drafting? Say I get the SAGNOF King, Raji Davis, how much more emphasis do I need to place on speed players I draft? Is it different for H2H Points leagues?

    • Mike

      Mike says:
      (link)

      If you use the War Room as a guide, about 190 SB gets the job done. I like to get players who are balanced obviously and can chip in steals across the board, but getting a guy late like Rajai or Revere is usually enough to balance out a guy like Stanton who won’t help you in steals but makes up for the power lost. I also try to snag MIs who can run. To put it simply, you shouldn’t need two Rajais if you keep steals in mind when choosing some of your other players.

Comments are closed.