Predicting rookie call-ups is a lot harder this preseason than in past, because of the previous year shizzshow. Usually a team calls up a guy in September, lets them play for a few weeks, then they appear ticketed for an April call-up in the next season. Or a guy isn’t called up, but you know there will be minor league teams playing in April so you can sorta gauge whether or not a guy will be playing in April in the minors and called up by May, June or later. We might know by mid-March if there will be a minor league season, and what it will look like: Will there be Single, Double and Triple-A? Will there only be Triple-A and camp? Will there just be an alternate camp? I have no idea. I’m flying blind right now, like Howard Hughes with undiagnosed syphilis. Every time someone mentions minor league baseball, I mimic Little Carmine with, “Your minor league baseball, whatever happened there?” If there’s only a Summer Camp again, Wander Franco might start the year with the Rays. If there’s relatively normal minor league baseball, and we can remember what relatively normal is, Wander Franco might not be up until June. It’s worth saying that I think we start the MLB season on time. So, what can we expect from Wander Franco for 2021 fantasy baseball?

This is going to be an annoying post of “Look what we’ve said previously,” but I mean, golly, a lot has been said about him previously, and, yes, I used “golly” to make this even more annoying. Here’s what I wrote last April, “I didn’t even rank Wander Franco in my top 500 for 2020 fantasy baseball. Don’t suddenly love him now that his first name sounds like a glorious day outside. Won’t now start calling him Shelter-in-Place Franco. How’sever, the minor league season is not happening. I still firmly believe the major league season will happen. That’s because of TV money. Revenue. The cha, and the ching. If they play minor league baseball, no one makes money. Not even the players. There’s no reward for the risk. Was talking to Marlins beat writer, Craig Mish, the other day about this and he agreed. He hypothesized that the major league clubs would have an extended roster in case they need guys, due to injury. Minor leaguers who aren’t on the roster but are getting workouts at the major league facility and if someone on the major league roster is broken, i.e., in case of emergency, a minor leaguer steps in. They might even rejigger what service time means this year. So, a larger than normal roster at the major league level, say 35-man rosters (with ten guys sitting in the stands to work as replacements and cheerleaders), then another five to ten minor league prospects, who the major league club doesn’t want to lose an entire year of development, will be allowed to workout at the major league park and will be promoted if needed. For minor leaguers, it will come down to this:  Does the major league club want them not playing baseball at all this year? My guess for Wander Franco is absolutely 100% no.” And that’s me quoting me! Other than getting team size slightly larger, that was pretty spot-on.

Now, here’s what our prospect writer, Hobbs, previously said, “Franco comes equipped with an 80-hit tool, 55-legs and 60-power on the 20-80 scale. Although he hasn’t truly tapped into the power yet, there’s no reason to doubt that it won’t continue to develop even through the early stages of his Major League career. As a lifetime .336/.405/.523 hitter in two minor league seasons, Franco batted .327/.398/.487 last year at Single-A And A-Advanced with nine home runs (43 XBH) in 495 plate appearances. With that, he produced a minuscule 7.1 K% against an 11.3 BB%, walking 21 times more than he struck out. Franco has a mature approach and as the top prospect in the game, should be contributing as a Big Leaguer in 2021 and be a potential star by 2023. He’s a sleeper to be the best shortstop in the game come 2023. Speaking of sleepers, I’d like to put Grey to sleep with a forearm smash.” What the hell, my dude!

Wander has for some time been the #1 prospect in the game. He still is. He’s numero uno on the top of the top 100 prospects for 2021 fantasy baseball. His value for this year will one-hundred percent come down to when Wander Franco is promoted. If it’s in April (it won’t be), he’s the number one rookie to own and should be drafted in the top 100. More than likely, he’s up some time in the middle-to-late summer, and I wouldn’t be surprised if he’s still a rookie for 2022. I love him, but his ETA is wildly unclear. For 2021, I’ll give Wander Franco projections 19/4/16/.291/4 in 110 ABs and not up until the end of the year. It’s worth noting I’m way more conservative than other projections I’ve seen for Wander, and he’s currently going around 175th overall in early NFBC drafts. Wouldn’t be me. Speaking of NFBC drafts, take on the super-easy-to-beat Donkey Teeth in his league which is under this long, drawn-out sentence.

72 Comments
Newest
Oldest Most Voted
Inline Feedbacks
View all comments
goodfold2
goodfold2
Reply to  Grey
1 year ago

no problem, when one of the best comedy writers writes a book finally i figured you’d know or be interested. wonder how MF’ing long he’s been working on this, based on a lot of the at least partially seeming semi-biographical movie characters written by him it could be a very long time.

John Pacca
John Pacca
1 year ago

NFBC league- that starts 11/30? Is there a promo code?

Malicious Phenoms
Malicious Phenoms
1 year ago

You like Pablo Lopez?

Also these free agents are available, Smyly, G. Richards, Wacha, Cueto, Justin Dunn, Matz, Disco, Alzolay

Malicious Phenoms
Malicious Phenoms
Reply to  Grey
1 year ago

I traded a pair of Justins, Turner and Upton for Carassco, I added Alzolay, only 25, who was a top prospect and pitched well in 2020 and with 3 Cubs SP’s FA’s he should have a mid rotation spot in 2021.

Thoughts

Malicious Phenoms
Malicious Phenoms
Reply to  Grey
1 year ago

Thanks on the trade. I like Alzolay a lot, his numbers are solid from last year, BUT if he flops He’ll be the first to go for the next big thing out there lol

Malicious Phenoms
Malicious Phenoms
Reply to  Grey
1 year ago

Not many hits though, he fixes those walks and he could be at least a 3 behind Yu and Hendricks. I like he is young with some upside, plus Theo is gone, Cubs not spending money and want to give in house guys a chance to make a diff. I’ll keep him for now and see how it goes. Still like to get Soroka, but owner is tough to trade with, always wants the trade in his favor, don’t we all. lol

dill
dill
1 year ago

Love those rookies reports. Can’t wait for the sleepers.

Would you do my Giolito vs Wander in dynasty ? What about Giolito vs Kelenic ?

Thanks !

Wake Up
1 year ago

The Spruce Goose!

So timely since I’ve been shut in for eight months now…wiping everything down with wet wipes…dipping my foot long finger nails in milk…Wanderlust still Wanderlust

Wake Up
Reply to  Grey
1 year ago

I did that this Halloween in fact I’m still wearing it right now on a zoom !

Malicious Phenoms
Malicious Phenoms
1 year ago

So dude is not going for France for Soroka, would you trade Lourdes for Soroka?

Malicious Phenoms
Malicious Phenoms
Reply to  Grey
1 year ago

I agree and I really like Lourdes. Tryin to add an inexpensive SP as I have Verlander and Clevinger both out for awhile. What is Carassco worth right now or stay.

Malicious Phenoms
Malicious Phenoms
Reply to  Grey
1 year ago

he wants Gore. I asked him who his 2nd choice is lol

Gator
Gator
1 year ago

Get to keep a player for 3 years. How would you rank W Franco, Soler, Gallo, Semien & Villar? Thanks and have a great Thanksgiving!

Pretty Ricky
Pretty Ricky
1 year ago

Working on keeper league trades and wanting some input – currently in an 8 team, 6 keeper league so it’s pretty shallow. Which of the following combinations would you rather have in a keeper league?

A – Betts & Bichette
B – Tatis & Luis Robert
C – Tatis & Kyle Tucker

Thanks!

Squat Cobblers
Squat Cobblers
1 year ago

Golly, a 20/20/.290 pace from the jump??!?! Humina!

Currently in an NFBC draft around pick 310…and Wander still on the board. Would you pick him up now or finish filling out starters first?

Dave D
Dave D
Reply to  Grey
1 year ago

Plus, since it’s the Rays, he might be in the mix for some SV opps too.

Dave D
Dave D
Reply to  Grey
1 year ago

Good point, could go either way some weeks. Maybe he’ll even relieve Snell after he hits 63 pitches.

Dave D
Dave D
Reply to  Grey
1 year ago

Yeah, only way I draft him is if he’s traded. He should be throwing 110-120 pitches per start at this point in his career and 200 IP. I wish the Angels would trade for him and do that…

Dave D
Dave D
Reply to  Grey
1 year ago

Yeah, use him like the Rays didnt. He’s great when healthy. Have him throw 8-9 innings every playoff start until he shatters. If that nets even one WS title it’s worth it.

The Great Knoche
1 year ago

Think better chance we see Kelenic before Franco. I like him better for this year for sure. I won’t own him either though at 203 ADP

Dave D
Dave D
Reply to  The Great Knoche
1 year ago

He may be 203 ADP but in my first two DC’s he went 155 and 175. There are a lot of valuable players available in that range that are pretty much a guarantee to be more helpful for roto cats. There is an absolute 0% chance the thrifty TB Rays bring him up earlyand lose a year of control, not even if Adames starts dating Madonna and goes AWOL.

Dave D
Dave D
Reply to  Grey
1 year ago

Just for comparison, the position players that went right after him in his range were Gallo, J.D. Davis, Santander, Brantley, Scharber. Right before him were Franmil, DiDi, Kepler, Solak, Soler.

Dave D
Dave D
Reply to  Grey
1 year ago

Yeah, agreed. They’ll reward more #’s. Not as “cool” though.

BTW, my 2nd DC team that you liked also got a major endorsement from FantasyPro’s:

“Grade: D Overall Points 66 Rank: 14 Strengths: None Weakness: R, RBI, W, K, ERA, WHIP”

Can anybody top that?

Dave D
Dave D
Reply to  Grey
1 year ago

Yeah, apparently Abreu, Tatis, Machado, Gurriel, Rizzo, Yaz won’t get me many RBI’s or R this year.

Dave D
Dave D
Reply to  Grey
1 year ago

I’m not sure why NFBC has them involved at all. It seems like Williams Sonoma featuring Kmart brands or something like that…

Dave D
Dave D
Reply to  Dave D
1 year ago

They should feel dirty for that!!! They should be careful, they might end up in Ed Buck’s apartment eventually…

Rebar
Rebar
1 year ago

Where would you rank Wander for a start up dynasty draft? Is he in the top 25?

Joe
Joe
1 year ago

Great post. Assuming an adp of 175 would be a redraft league, is Franco worth keeping in a 12 team league where each team can keep up to 10 players forever?

Joe
Joe
Reply to  Grey
1 year ago

Keepers: Trout CF, Tucker RF, Abreu 1B, Story SS, Arenado 3B, Alonso UT, Y. Alvarez UT, C.Burnes SP, Z.Plesac SP, T.Glasnow SP.

Those are my tentative ten. Would you replace any of those with:

W.Franco, G.Stanton, S.Strasburg? Again, can keep 10 forever.

Thx!

Donkey Teeth
Admin
1 year ago

Come play in the Super Easy To Beat Donkey Teeth NFBC league! It’s a free money giveaway!

Dave D
Dave D
Reply to  Donkey Teeth
1 year ago

Where will you be drafting Wander, DT, round 1 or 2?

Donkey Teeth
Admin
Reply to  Dave D
1 year ago

I’m just praying he makes it to me in the 1st

Dave D
Dave D
Reply to  Donkey Teeth
1 year ago

Splendid! Will you be taking Sixto or Ian A. as your ace in round 3? Sixto went #63 in a draft I did, and Ian #66 in another, so consider yourself warned. Round 4 could be too late!!!!

Donkey Teeth
Admin
Reply to  Grey
1 year ago

I think I need to draw it out a couple more years

Hernan
Hernan
Reply to  Donkey Teeth
1 year ago

I’m so used to Donkey’s Donations…, I’ll let other people take that candy…, dynasty, 15 teams roto, Flaherty or Sale/Paterson(Mets)??

Robert H. Tock
Robert H. Tock
1 year ago

I love reading your analysis. I do think your Howard Hughes comment was trashy.