*places an order on Amazon for a megaphone, goes with the free shipping option, waits three to five days, sits outside the door for shipment, begins to rain, yells for Cougs to hand me an umbrella, shakes head annoyed when she hands me a drink umbrella, on the fifth day, the megaphone arrives, opens box, groans, heads out to CVS for some batteries for my new megaphone, buys batteries, unable to wait any longer, places batteries in megaphone while inside the CVS, grimaces at feedback, then cackles into megaphone for ten minutes straight until escorted out of the store*  I am ordering megaphones to laugh into because it’s so hilarious I am writing an overrated post for Vladimir Guerrero Jr.  Can we all agree that at least 30% of the people drafting Vlad “The Mini Impaler” are doing it because they have so much FOMO after Ronald Acuña Jr. last year?  Maybe even 50% or more are drafting Impaler Jr. due to FOMO.  Even ESPN and Yahoo are ranking Vlad for that FOMO factor.  Yo, Yahoo and ESPN, you can’t make up for Mr. Bungling Acuña last year with your ranking for VGJ this year.  You just can’t.  By the way, I wanna see a show on MTV called The FOMO Factor hosted by Ludacris, and it’s the worst show ever but everyone on the show feared it was going to be the best show.  Anyway, what can we expect from Vladimir Guerrero Jr. for 2019 fantasy baseball and what makes him overrated?

Figure this one out, last year Yahoo and ESPN ranked Acuña 173 and 155, respectfully.  (I ranked him 66th.)  That’s Acuña, who was projected to do 25/20/.280, vs. Vlad, who is projected to do 24/5/.305.  Y’all realize Acuña’s projections are better, right?  Not y’all y’all, but them y’all.  Does that square with anyone?  Am I literally the only one injecting common sense into fantasy baseball?  I don’t think I’m that smart; some would even argue I’m actually quite dopey.  Thanks, dad!  There’s no way Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is better right now than Acuña was going into last year.  Somehow, their ADPs are insanely different though.  I was regularly drafting Acuña last year after 100 overall.  The Glad Vuerrero spoonerism is going in the top 40 in some drafts.  Taking me out of the equation for objectiveness, Steamer projections (all rookie hitter projections, if you’re interested) for Guerrero:  90/27/93/6/.306 in 586 ABs.  That feels a bit high on runs and ABs, tee bee aitch, but let’s go with that.  To keep this apples to apples, that puts him on line with another 3rd baseman, Eugenio Suarez, and around the 80th best player on the 12-team auction values.  80th!  It’s clear why he’s not a top 40 player; he’s a negative in steals.  It’s hard to be a negative in steals and be a top 40 bat.  I will list those who are negative in steals and are top 40 bats:  Arenado, Giancarlo and J.D. Martinez.  That’s it.  Does Vlad Guerrero Jr. seem to belong in that company with no firm ETA to the majors, a garbage lineup and no history of a 40+ homer season?  Shoot (not you deranged white man), he has no history of anything.  Of course, he seems as can’t miss as they come.  Still, where’s the steals to help his fantasy value?  Even if he produces a 30/5/.300 line, he’s missing steals (and I think runs and RBIs).  I’d love to see him promoted quickly and be a huge star, but there’s still no way he’s going to return anything close to his ADP price, so stamp him schmohawk and look elsewhere.

  1. Ante Galic says:
    (link)

    Grey!!!

    Great VGJ Schmohawk report.

    a. So, taking him off waivers in a re-draft points league is okay, right? Anything after 100, he’ll return value if he stays healthy, if he gets called up and if he doesn’t crap out and get sent down to AAA again, right?

    b. Subdued Norm MacDonald quote of the day for February 22

    1. Former porn star Jenna Jameson was arrested this weekend after allegedly assaulting someone. This may be the most damaging thing to happen to her image since her 16 year career in pornography!

    2. Veterinarians in Colorado have reported that marijuana use is on the rise amongst dogs. They say you’ll know if your dog is too high if it starts making a really tall sandwich.

    3. My doctor told me I should start juicing. The problem is I don’t think he meant ham juicing.

    4. Porn actor Ron Jeremy is back at work after having open heart surgery. The name of his next movie is I’m gonna have to sit down for most of this.

    5. How many comedians does it take to screw in a light bulb? Two, one to do it and the other to say ‘How long has he been up there’?

    6. My brother-in-law is so stupid. He came up with a bucket list and the first thing on the list was committing suicide!

    7. Did you hear about the four NFL players that are coming out of the closet? It’s about time. My guess it’s the four guys who are banging each other.

    8. Because of massive droughts forecast for most of Europe, scientists are predicting a global shortage of olive oil. Soon the world will know how Popeye felt after the death of his wife (get it she’s Olive Oyl).

    10. Barbara Walters is planning to announce her retirement. What’s next for Barbara Walters? Her slow eventual death.

    Cheers,
    Ante

    • LennyDykstraIsJustMisunderstood says:
      (link)

      @Ante Galic:

      i empathize w/ your brother i was so depressed the phillies did not get Muchado i tried to commit suicide by swallowing a bottle of aspirin but i felt better after the first two.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      @Ante Galic: A. Don’t think he will crap out, but I do think he’d have to have 90+ runs and RBIs to come close to his current ADP B. 7. Haha

    • Timberlandslide says:
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      @Ante Galic: that’s a couple quotes from norm, buddy. Any more and I have half a mind to notify his attorneys

  2. Nick says:
    (link)

    Hi Grey ,

    here is my Y! keeper team 2018 winner

    1. TreaT SS
    2. Acuña -OF- unchained
    3. Goldy 1B
    4. Alty 2B
    5. Springer OF
    6. Aguilar 1B
    7. Bauer SP
    8. Corbin SP
    9. Severino SP
    10. KJansen RP

    would you keep :
    Encarnacion/Gallo/Archer/Hader
    over one of the list?

    HOW COME none of those kept the 3B eligibilty ,,, !??

    Nick

    over one of those?

    • Whatevs says:
      (link)

      @Nick: if you break up that keeper group you should be banned from fantasy baseball for life. Lol

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      @Nick: So 10 keepers? I think you have them

  3. Fanciful Basesball says:
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    Manny Machado has agreed to play third base for the Padres… what do you think are the chances of Grand Titas the second outperforming Vlaguero in 2019?

    • The Great Knoche says:
      (link)

      @Fanciful Basesball: Urias gets the job there to start. I bet Tatis doesn’t come up until Super two or even September, and if they aren’t in contention they do what White Sox did with Jimenez and wait until 2020.

      I don’t think there’s any chance.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      @Fanciful Basesball: Tatis seems destined for June/July at earliest… Sept at latest

  4. bigbear says:
    (link)

    Ok, I confess. Full on FOMO here. I love the rookie nookie. From Acuna back to Braun, I did it all for the rookie. No amount of nay saying from the sayers of Nay will steal my joy! (Now I’m thinking to remember the rookie hype trains that I’ve jumped on before during drafts… Weiters, Longo, and a plethora of others.)

    In reality you make some good points regarding Acuna’s strength with SB outweighing the 0.20 BA bump with Vlad. Acuna’s success swung the pendulum back to overhype mode. I am hoping Vlad falls some in drafts. But I’m in this for fun as much as points. So I’ll be drafting him in one of my leagues. Just cause.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      @bigbear: I hear ya with Vladito, and I hate FOMO, but the price is too rich right now

  5. Quality Sharts says:
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    How about a guy who will produce less than Vlad but still be top of his position? I’m talking, of course, about JT Realmuto. How much of a premium would you place on a guy like him? His stats are great for a catcher, fine for just about anywhere else. Does it make sense to spend big to get him?

    • Sweatpants Nation says:
      (link)

      @Quality Sharts: Welcome to Razzball.

      • Quality Sharts says:
        (link)

        @Sweatpants Nation: Longtime lurker.

        Still trying to figure out in what way my question is stupid. Stupid to pay for a catcher or stupid to overlook productivity in search of greener pastures.

        • Cram It says:
          (link)

          @Quality Sharts: The question isn’t stupid. Depending on how intently you’ve followed Razzball, you might know that you’re advised not to pay for a catcher. Even during Buster Posey’s greatness, he was overvalued.

        • Tom says:
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          At least your question is not another tedious, hey Grey look at my wonderful team post, then they post their whole team for everyone to admire. Or the somewhat less tedious look at all my wonderful keepers, which are proudly displayed, then it’s I’ve got to keep eight out of these nine who do I get rid of. Lots of posters here need continual approval.

    • Shill Team 6 says:
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      @Quality Sharts: Let me take your coat. Have a seat. The show will begin promptly.

      • LennyDykstraIsJustMisunderstood says:
        (link)

        @Shill Team 6:

        get the popcorn

  6. Crime Dog says:
    (link)

    Grey Albright, injecting common sense into fantasy baseball since…??

    Such a great point made here. I think some of it has to be his name value and the fact his name is the exact same as his HOF dad with a Jr. on the end. If his name was Kyle Guerrero or even Mateo Guerrero he’d probably be going at least 10 spots later. I do agree and think it’s mostly FOMO though from acuna.

    • LennyDykstraIsJustMisunderstood says:
      (link)

      @Crime Dog:

      Truth

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      @Crime Dog: Hehe, yeah, I think so…

  7. Gonzo_The_Great says:
    (link)

    Damn it Grey!

    I have Vlad Jr. as a keeper in my dynasty league and was looking forward to trading him for 150 cents on the dollar to some sucker. Don’t let your logic and reason (which I agree with entirely) ruin it for me!

  8. LastPlace says:
    (link)

    In some AL & NL Only leagues, you simply lose a player if he gets traded to the other league.

    What are the odds that Haniger finishes the season in Seattle?

    “Likely in-season trade candidates” would be a much appreciated Post!

    Thank you!

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      @LastPlace: Haniger’s on the M’s for the year, at least 90% chance of it

  9. Uncle Ernie says:
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    Nice to see there trying to “Make San Diego Great Again” Now let’s work on the pitching staff. Keeper question. 8 team espn keeper league. My $15 Blackmon and $7 Merrifield for his $8 Tre Turner. Thanks man.

  10. Robert Glade says:
    (link)

    Grey

    Good Morning. I had asked you this question about a month ago, but since then I have ;made a few trades ( trades that both you and commenters had given me the thumbs up on ) so I apologize in advance for the partial redundancy.
    I am in a 14 team mixed auction ( $260 ) with standard 5×5 cats. You can keep up to 11 ( or anything less than that if I choose to ) , The player’s salaries increase slightly for the first three years ( rate of which depends on price of player ) In years 4 and 5 that players price doubles and after that he must go back into free agency. Should be some nice talent available in this years draft ( Trout, Arenado, Stanton, Scherzer to name a few ) including the two big names I probably will be throwing back.
    Anyways, to finally ask my long winded question, who would you keep on this team?

    Bryce $47 – yr3
    Dahl $11 – yr2
    C Mullins $10 – yr1
    Palka $10 – yr1
    Schebler $5 – yr2
    Y Molina $3 – yr2
    Abreu $23 – yr2
    Smoak $12 – yr2
    R Zimmerman $8 – yr2
    Machado $47 – yr3
    A Mondesi $10 – yr1
    K Bryant $ 56 – yr4
    W Myers $28 – yr3
    V Guerrerro Jr. $ 10 – yr1

    W Buehler $10 – yr1
    L Castillo $12 -yr2
    B Treinen $13 -yr2
    R Iglesias $17 -yr2
    K Gibson $3 – yr2
    M Gonzales $10 – yr1
    V Velasquez $4 – yr2
    F Pena $10 – yr1
    Vargas $10 – yr1
    Chirinos $10 – yr1
    Beeks $10 – yr1
    Leake $10 – yr1
    Odorizzi $10 – yr1
    W Leblanc $10 – yr1

    Some of the garbage is obvious ( many of the pitchers were late season streamers that ended up on final roster ). The two biggies I am certain I can throw back and get cheaper if I wanted them again. I threw the whole team out for your inspection regardless. As always, thanks in advance for both your wisdom and your humor .

    • Robert Glade says:
      (link)

      @Robert Glade: Damn it. I left off one guy from this roster :

      Nelson Cruz $20 – yr2

    • WhiteRabbit says:
      (link)

      @Robert Glade: Dahl, molina, abreau (maybe), mondesi, VGJ, Buehler, Castillio (maybe), Treinen, Iglesias

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      @Robert Glade:

      Cruz
      W Buehler $10 – yr1
      L Castillo $12 -yr2
      B Treinen $13 -yr2
      V Guerrerro Jr. $ 10 – yr1
      Mondesi
      Molina

      But this is not an easy question to answer when you give so many obvious guys to cut, might be missing someone
      Abreu, Dahl

  11. Hawk says:
    (link)

    I think people get too caught up in “what a rookie is projected to be” vs. “what a rookie is in their first year”.

    When guys like John Hart or Jim Bowden or Tom Verducci are on the MLB network saying “Vlad Jr will be the best hitter in the game”, they mean in a few years or more. They do not mean in 2019.

    But people draft him as if that’s going to happen THIS year. That’s a mistake.

    I get drafting Vlad very high in a keeper or dynasty but if he’s going in the 3rd round of a redraft? You’re better off letting someone else have him.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      @Hawk: Agreed

  12. 6-God Jeffrey says:
    (link)

    Astute as always…love Vladito and he may be a golden god in a few years, but not where he’s being selected!

    Been offered Rizzo for my Kluber in a 12-team, 10×10 dynasty, which would stack my bats, but leave my pitching keepers like so:

    Verlander, Carrasco, Wheeler, Tanaka, Lucchesi, Ryu, Maeda and Soroka as a minor league keeper.

    I love both guys, but generally go bat over arm, especially when they’re 4 years younger…pull the trigger and figure out pitching later?

  13. Donkey Teeth

    Donkey Teeth says:
    (link)

    Grey, I’ve pulled out my crystals balls again this morning. Rubbing them now…crystal balls show Vlad Jr with .330, 30 homers and 5 steals in 500 ABs. Top 20 overall player in 2019.

      • Donkey Teeth

        Donkey Teeth says:
        (link)

        @knucks: Stop trying to look at my crystal balls! They’re actually showing top 5 in 2020.

      • Grey

        Grey says:
        (link)

        @knucks: Haha, nice, with one asterisk, knucks hands DT an L

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      @Donkey Teeth: I’m not sure you’re looking at the right balls

      • The Great Knoche says:
        (link)

        @Grey: Definetly Not Rubbing the right balls.

        • Grey

          Grey says:
          (link)

          Buzzfeed Quiz: Is there loose skin around your crystal balls? Then they’re not crystal balls.

          • Donkey Teeth

            Donkey Teeth says:
            (link)

            @Grey: I had the skin tightened up when the crystal implants were installed.

            Are you ready to go to war for Mondesi in this AL-only? Will Rudy allow it?

            • Grey

              Grey says:
              (link)

              As Rudy says, “Can you just do that CBS draft for me, please.” So, he allows it… I just bid $40 on Mondesi, sending my bid silently to Scott White

              • Donkey Teeth

                Donkey Teeth says:
                (link)

                @Grey: One second bid on Big Erv? C’mon man!!

                • Grey

                  Grey says:
                  (link)

                  Haha, I don’t even want him, but $2 seemed too good to pass

  14. Evan Tobias says:
    (link)

    Trade evaluation question:

    14 team, deep mixed keeper, $260 budget, roto

    Offered:
    $8 Luis Castillo

    For

    Odor – $16
    Pivetta – $1

    Should I go for it or hold?

    Other keepers:

    Acuna – $8
    Peraza – $9
    Pivetta – $1
    Glasnow – $1
    Yates – $1
    Knebel – $8
    Andujar – $1
    Aguilar – $1

    Thank you!

  15. Evan Tobias says:
    (link)

    Clarification – I was offered Castillo and I give up Pivetta and Odor.

      • Evan Tobias says:
        (link)

        @Grey: Thanks so much!

        • Grey

          Grey says:
          (link)

          No problem

  16. knucks says:
    (link)

    Just finished a great podcast listen w/ Bubba and Rudy. Unsure what the protocol is for linking to another fantasy baseball site, so I’ll refrain… but lots of good info from Rudy about his LABR draft rational. Supplemental to Rudy’s post from the other day of course.

    Today I refrained from logging in, so that I can remember what its like to scroll past the ads I would get. I work with medical data, so my googling often requires strange medical terminology. I’m sure that’s what leads to these bizarre ads that I’d see on my work laptop here. Its been a dream not having to avoid ads about disgusting boils and so forth… Was a great idea and happy to pitch a few sheckles to avoid. Kudos to the evolution of Razz.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      @knucks: Nice! Yeah, I’m sure Rudy dropped some golden nuggets

      • knucks says:
        (link)

        @Grey: “Grey handles the writing on the website. He does a decent job. But most of the traffic to the site is because I write the article titles.”

        And that’s me FAKE quoting Rudy!

        • Grey

          Grey says:
          (link)

          Ha! You’ve captured his voice well!

          • Mark Hudson says:
            (link)

            @Rudy Gamble: hey Rudy, is there a reset button on the War Room? I plugged my targets in there and I can’t get them out and I am about to draft. Love the tool btw

  17. Wass says:
    (link)

    Love this. I want to own Vlad but won’t touch him cause of that draft price. Way too high.

    Asked this last year but we’re a little closer to drafting now… I am keeping Rhys, Acuña, Snell but get to keep 2 more. 10 team H2H points, Only 8 SP starts a week so SP are really valuable (top 90 SP will be owned).
    Top 2? Rounds in parentheses:

    Soto (5)
    Suarez (6)
    Clevinger (9)
    Taillon (10)
    Mondesi (16)

    I am leaning Clev and Mondesi.

    Thanks for all your work Grey!

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      @Wass: Mondesi, Soto

      • Wass says:
        (link)

        @Grey: Thanks Grey! So even with the extra value on pitchers compared to 5×5 roto its worth going Soto?

        Also, I’m on E8 of Gomorra, had a really busy week so didnt watch as much as expected… Ending of E7 is probably top 2 favorite show ending of all time for me. I was hyped.

        • Grey

          Grey says:
          (link)

          It’s so good! I just finished watching the 3rd season for the 2nd time… I really love Soto, so I’d lean that way, but it’s likely a coin flip tbh

          • Wass says:
            (link)

            @Grey: The 3rd isnt on Netflix yet right? It’s tough. I think there is a decent chance of me being able to draft Soto so I might gamble… I appreciate the advice! I can’t wait for Mondesi in the 16th, we go off ESPN adp, so I’m hoping that doesn’t change too much.

            • Grey

              Grey says:
              (link)

              It’s not on Netflix, I had to download it off the internet

              • Wass says:
                (link)

                @Grey: Sketchy haha its probably worth it though.

                • Grey

                  Grey says:
                  (link)

                  Totally worth it!

                  • Grey

                    Grey says:
                    (link)

                    Plus, I got a Gomorra virus on my ‘puter!

                    • Wass says:
                      (link)

                      @Grey: LOL the greatest!!

                    • Grey

                      Grey says:
                      (link)

                      The Immortal Virus

                    • Wass says:
                      (link)

                      @Grey: The Immortal Virus never dies, just keeps getting stronger and better as time goes on…

                    • Grey

                      Grey says:
                      (link)

                      Until you need a new computer

  18. Evan Tobias says:
    (link)

    Trade evaluation question:

    14 team, deep mixed keeper, $260 budget, roto

    I was offered:
    $8 Luis Castillo

    I would give up:

    Odor – $16
    Pivetta – $1

    Should I go for it or hold?

    Other keepers:

    Acuna – $8
    Peraza – $9
    Pivetta – $1
    Glasnow – $1
    Yates – $1
    Knebel – $8
    Andujar – $1
    Aguilar – $1

    Thank you!

      • Evan Tobias says:
        (link)

        @Grey:

        I was now offered:

        His $8 Castillo for my $1 Pivetta

        Yes or no?

        • Grey

          Grey says:
          (link)

          Coin flip, I like Castillo more

          • Evan Tobias says:
            (link)

            @Grey: the deal is made. Can he replicate the 2nd half all year? Please say yes….ha.

            • Grey

              Grey says:
              (link)

              I think so

              • @Grey: Thank you and fingers crossed. My keepers are now set and a huge help from you. Rudy helped me change my username so it’s a Razzball love fest going on today.

                • Grey

                  Grey says:
                  (link)

                  Nice!

  19. Jake says:
    (link)

    I’m in a NL auction dynasty league and I can spend 40% of my money on Sherzer and Degrom which will proabably give me the best pitching(or 2nd best) as well as probably the 2nd, maybe the 1st best offense in the league based on my keepers. The thing I keep debating is if one of them go down I’m screwed. Do you like the idea of grabbing both and if healthy I have a good chance to win the league or just grab one and spread the money out a bit more on the pitching to hedge my bet.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      If your hitting keepers are really that good, then sure, grab a top SP

      • Jake says:
        (link)

        @Grey: To clarify, is grabbing both those guys a bit too risky and hope no injury or grab only one of them and get a couple of quality arms instead to go along with the stud SP

        • Grey

          Grey says:
          (link)

          @Jake: If you can afford both, then sure… Impossible to say without knowing your hitters… You really only need one

  20. B oomer19 says:
    (link)

    I get it with Vladdy. But then I look at Steamers projections between him and say Rendon and they match up pretty well. I am debating giving up Acuna (keep for 1 more year) for Vladdy (keep two years) and Buehler (keep for two years) in my 13 team 5×5 roto league. Would I be crazy like a fox or just plain crazy?

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Think just crazy

      • Boomer19 says:
        (link)

        Ok. I will try to drown my FOMO in beer til my draft. Enjoy the weekend.

        • Grey

          Grey says:
          (link)

          Thanks, Boomer!

  21. OaktownSteve says:
    (link)

    NFBC status? Rudy?

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Think we have 2 leagues filled, trying to get 2 more

  22. big league choo says:
    (link)

    10 team dynasty 5×5 obp

    my starlin marte/ryu for khris davis/happ

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Khris side, assuming JA

  23. Champ says:
    (link)

    Any update on the downloadable version of the war room? Asking for a friend.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      There is one already if you sign up for tools… For free one, it’s next week ETA

  24. Bobby says:
    (link)

    Who would you rather have: Blackmon, Mondesi, or Merrifield?

  25. Old School Brother says:
    (link)

    Auditors were caught on camera last night going into our supply room, grabbing a 12 pack of blackberry bubly, putting a couple in their purses, then placing the rest in the breakroom fridge. Our admin is FURIOUS

    I wish i was making this up, but I’m not

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      You should go to work dressed as a can of Bubly, wait until your co-workers attack then sue their asses!

      • Old School Brother says:
        (link)

        @Grey: The nerve of these Auditors!

        They know they have us by the balls. Surrender all of your premium Bubly flavors or we’ll flag you

        • Grey

          Grey says:
          (link)

          Drop the Bubly cans and put your hands in the air!

    • Crime Dog says:
      (link)

      @Old School Brother: haha this makes me laugh. I’m a former public accounting auditor. We actually had the reverse happen to us. I was on a large client. Large enough where we had our own room at the client and our own snacks. We work late hours parts of the year and one night on my way from another client I stopped into our audit room and found 3 late night cleaning people sitting at our desks, feet up on the desks, eating our snacks. I’ve never seen someone look so dumbfounded and awkward when they saw me open the door and walk in around 11pm.

      • Old School Brother says:
        (link)

        @Crime Dog: Hah! That’s a good story. I’ve scared a couple cleaners late night before when I’ve had to run up to work at 8-10pm to print out maps for meeting at 8am the next day

  26. Keeks says:
    (link)

    Grey how would you adapt your pitching draft strategy going from 12 to 10 teams? Can I still use your pitcher pairings tool?

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Yes, it’s meant for 10 or 12 up to 14

      • Keeks says:
        (link)

        @Grey: Beautiful, thanks G!

        • Grey

          Grey says:
          (link)

          No problem

          • Keeks says:
            (link)

            @Grey: Also wanted to ask.. My league uses OBP and SLG as categories and Rudy’s projections have Soto at 9th overall, would you take him second round with people like Goldy, Bryant, Story, or Freeman still on the board?

            • Keeks says:
              (link)

              @Keeks: I have pick 2 so planning on having Mookie already

            • Grey

              Grey says:
              (link)

              Yes, I’d follow Rudy’s OBP rankings

  27. Tyler Magnus says:
    (link)

    NL only, 12 team auction. We can keep 5 players

    keeping

    Treat Urner $20
    Bellinger$18

    which 3 of the below would you want to keep

    Grandal $8
    Corbin $23
    Archer $5
    Luis Castillo $10
    Folty $17

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Corbin, Castillo, coin flip… I guess Grandal

  28. Fungazi 2.0 says:
    (link)

    So the upside is limited due to a large backside?

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Vladdy got back

      • Fungazi 2.0 says:
        (link)

        @Grey: Lol. We might be adding tailfeather shaking cat this year in our league, so he could get a boost.

        • Grey

          Grey says:
          (link)

          Anything to get a leg up! (Pun)

  29. Licketty Splits says:
    (link)

    If you happen to recall I asked the last question last night regarding my next 2 picks but I ended up on the clock & did select my 1st C in Kelly. So I will definitely wait till several more C’s are off the board for the next guy.
    I was mistaken & Marwin was indeed picked.so I still need a backup for Rizzo with the best available being Bour, O’Hearn, Belt, & Guzman. Seems like Bour would be useful in Utility for HRs & RBIs batting clean-up when he is playing because it looks like a platoon situation. Lineups are biweekly. My other option IF I miss out on any of these guys would be possibly Caratini since I believe he is Rizzo’s backup.
    Looks like Chase will fall to me with just one pick in front of me ….he is by far your highest ranked SP.
    But to muddy the waters a bit your highest ranked available hitter would be Yolmer Sanchez. The only deficiency in my hitting is SBs & he does add a bit of speed.
    1) So I take Chase for sure …then Yolmer? or one of the 1B I listed??
    2) Is it a viable option to add non closing high K & good ratio RPs like Pressly or C Green to give your pitching a boost in Ks & ratios without putting in total junk SP?? or better to just grab as many SPs as possible then plug & play using Rudy’s streamonator to pick the best of what you have for the biweekly lineups?
    3) Ideally how many SPs would you want on a 50 team roster with no trades & waivers?

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      1. yes 3. About 11-13

      • Licketty Splits says:
        (link)

        @Grey: So would your choice be: the higher ranked Yolmer with some added speed (which I do need) or 1B. If 1B which one? they all have their warts I guess…to me Bour has more pop & RBI potential but overall my starting hitting is solid in both cats as well as Avg.

        • Grey

          Grey says:
          (link)

          Yolmer… Those 1Bs do nothing for me

          • Licketty Splits says:
            (link)

            @Grey: Cool thanks for the help. Sorry for being a pain …now I have a good idea on 12 ish SPs so I can just fill in with back-up hitters & a few high K RP or MRs while trying to get 12 or 13 decent SP options

            • Grey

              Grey says:
              (link)

              No problem

  30. Eric Radden says:
    (link)

    Will you be hosting the Oscars on Sunday? And if so, can I be your +1?

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Yup, see you there!

  31. erad says:
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    I have no idea what happened to the comment above – just bought the ad free option though

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Nice!

  32. RICE says:
    (link)

    RAZZBALL is unbeatable in coverage and rankings!!!!

    I have a 4-player keeper league team and based on Razzball’s coverage of minor league players I’ve been consistently a year in front of the curve on picking up players.

    My keepers for this upcoming season and the round I get them in as a result:

    B. Harper (Round 4)
    A. Bregman (Round 22)
    R. Acuna (Round 23)
    V. Gurrero Jr. (Round 24)

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Thanks! Nice keepers!

  33. BJFOHOHL says:
    (link)

    Hey Culligan Man!

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Flukazy!

      • BJFOHOHL says:
        (link)

        @Grey: You get to start Vikings yet?

        • Grey

          Grey says:
          (link)

          Nah, not yet… I’m actually in Wyoming right now, don’t ask

          • BJFOHOHL says:
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            @Grey: City Slickers?

            • Grey

              Grey says:
              (link)

              They managed much better than I am

              • BJFOHOHL says:
                (link)

                @Grey: ah, so this is like Son In Law

                • Grey

                  Grey says:
                  (link)

                  Never saw it but I feel like I’m in show on the Discovery Channel

                  • BJFOHOHL says:
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                    @Grey: Im thinking you are on that show where Paris Hilton goes to a farm and you’re Paris Hilton

                    • Grey

                      Grey says:
                      (link)

                      Only Paris Hilton has someone to carry all her crap and I’m out here lugging shizz!

                  • BJFOHOHL says:
                    (link)

                    @Grey: Stay alive

                    • Grey

                      Grey says:
                      (link)

                      That is my hope!

  34. Brian says:
    (link)

    Yo Grey, need to cut down my mlb roster. unless i can trade somebody I’m going to need to drop 1 or 2 guys. i’m in a 16 team 6×6 h2h dynasty league with 30 mlb roster spots per team. for pitching we use QS and k/bb

    C – Wilson Ramos, NYM
    1B – Eric Hosmer, SD
    2B – Jose Ramirez, CLE
    SS – Carlos Correa, HOU
    3B – Kris Bryant, CHC
    OF – Giancarlo Stanton, NYY
    OF – Charlie Blackmon, COL
    OF – Starling Marte, PIT
    UT – Nelson Cruz, MIN
    UT – Michael Brantley, HOU
    BN – Ryan O’Hearn, KC
    BN – Carlos Santana, SEA
    BN – Jorge Polanco, MIN

    SP – Justin Verlander, HOU
    SP – Davis Price, BOS
    RP – Blake Treinen, OAK
    RP – Felipe Vazquez, PIT
    P – Madison Bumgarner, SF
    P – Mike Clevinger, CLE
    P – Jose Quintana, CHC
    BN – Julio Teheran, ATL
    BN – Kevin Gausman, ATL
    BN – Sonny Gray, NYY
    BN – Jose Leclerc, TEX
    BN – Brad Peacock, HOU
    BN – Mike Minor, TEX
    BN – Ross Stripling, LAD
    BN – Alex Wood, CIN
    BN – Dellin Betances, NYY
    BN – Seranthony Dominguez, PHI
    DL – Danny Salazar, CLE

    It’s going to probably come down to me dumping either Salazar, Minor, or Teheran. Which 2 would you axe? I’m kinda leaning teheran and minor since I can at least stash teheran on the IL once the season starts and free up a roster spot.

    Thank you sir.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Minor, Teheran (or Wood)

  35. The Great Knoche says:
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    Jeff Sullivan to the Rays? When is Rudy getting a gig with the Rangers?

    You can put Mike Leake in this afternoons Buy column. 2 innings of shutout ball.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Sounds like you sprung a Leake

  36. Licketty Splits says:
    (link)

    Kershaw shut down “indefinitely” …”some kind of arm thing ” per Roberts

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Damn, wish more people drafted him already

      • Licketty Splits says:
        (link)

        @Grey: Yeah, downplaying it of course but not what you want to see if you drafted him as your ace. Now my C-mart does not look quite as bad …misery loves company.

        • Grey

          Grey says:
          (link)

          Yeah, I wouldn’t touch him

      • Al KOHOLIC says:
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        @Grey: no shit. I like early drafts better

        • Grey

          Grey says:
          (link)

          Yeah, thinking that too now

  37. Wally Pipp says:
    (link)

    Any plans to live stream a drat you do?

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Not yet, I should tho

      • Wally Pipp says:
        (link)

        @Grey: i had a thought about gleyber, lets not forget that he had major surgery and missed a bunch of time right before last season. maybe that explains some of his poor second half.

        i smell a gleyber schmohawk post coming.

        • Grey

          Grey says:
          (link)

          I smell that too

          • Wally Pipp says:
            (link)

            @Grey: come through on the live stream draft!!

            • Grey

              Grey says:
              (link)

              I know, I gotta do this… maybe next Friday

  38. Mookiewilson says:
    (link)

    Best way to spend $5 of keeper cost?
    $3-Strasburg, Gary Sanchez
    $2-David price, Hosmer
    $1-Osuna, Tanaka, wade davis, dozier, morrow, Betances, Guerra.

    6×6 with holds and OPS; Other keepers are Benintedi, Cruz, Abreu, Severino

    Thanks!

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Depends on depth of league prolly but Strasburg/Gary

  39. MR BASEBALL says:
    (link)

    IN THE YEAR 2525

    In the year 2525
    If man is still alive
    If woman can survive
    They may find-

    In the year 2020

    Brent Honeywell TB – SP   OR   Andrew Heaney LAA – SP who would you want to own
    in a Dynasty League

    In the year 9595
    I’m kinda wondering, if man is gonna be alive

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Haha, Vlad Jr Jr Jr Jr Jr in the year 2525… Heaney for this year

      • MR BASEBALL says:
        (link)

        I was serious about 2020 next year

        • Grey

          Grey says:
          (link)

          About 2020 being next year? I agree

  40. mookiewilson says:
    (link)

    How would you spend $5 of keeper cost in this scenario? $12 Budget:
    $3: Strasburg, Gary Sanchez
    $2: Price, Hosmer
    $1: Osuna, Tanaka, Wade Davis, Dozier, Eaton, Buxton…

    6×6 with OPS and Holds. Other keepers are Benintendi($2), Abreu($2), Cruz($1), Severino($2)

    Thanks!

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Answered above

  41. Mikey says:
    (link)

    Keeper league proposal sent my way (12-teamer with OBP & SLG):
    J-Ram & JD Martinez
    for
    Lindor & Bryant

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      JD

  42. Duda Want to Build a Snowman? says:
    (link)

    Hey Grey! Full agreed on this post! Funnily enough, I’ve got a keeper selection question in a league where I have Vlad (but not at this price – he’s league min.). Anyway!

    12 team 6×6 H2H categories – OBP and OPS (no AVG), QS with the traditional 5 pitching stats.

    Keep 5 forever (+$3/yr). Do you agree with my planned keepers?

    1. $8 Bellinger
    2. $8 Rhys
    3. $9 Nola
    4. $5 Buehler
    5. $4 Vladito

    Other options: $5 Suarez, $5 M Chapman, $11 Albies, $20 Marte, $47 Trea.

    Lots of tasty nonkeeper bats in this league (Trout, Betts, Trea, Harper etc.) so definitely a particularly strong benefit to having a very low keeper salary + then going HAM to snatch up 2-4 first/second round talents (having Nola + Buehler so low is a big help…league format favors streaming anyway, so I don’t plan on spending at all on pitching in draft).

    Thanks!

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Hard to argue with a bunch of those… Maybe Albies in there but prolly not

      • Duda Want to Build a Snowman? says:
        (link)

        @Grey: thanks!

        • Grey

          Grey says:
          (link)

          No problem

  43. Charlie Harper says:
    (link)

    Ten team keep six forever as first six picks of course would u trade Vlad Jr for lindor

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      I would want Lindor

  44. Bill Lumbergh says:
    (link)

    Managed to land many OF sleeper targets this week in my 14 team dynasty league: Teoscar, Bader, Laureano, Souza and Tapia…only cost me Justin Turner, Jorge Polanco, Greg Allen, Chris Stratton & Willie Calhoun. You like? thanks!

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Nice! I do like

  45. zombie says:
    (link)

    Greetings, weekend Grey. Just drew draft slots in a restart 12 team H2H and was dealt the final position/12. Thoughts on that spot? Limited moves league, so streaming is frowned upon and unwise due to that structure. Think that I probably need to grab an almost-ace at 3/4, due to this? I know depends on how the draft is going, but doubt that there will be any reliability at 5/6. Also, to piss off the room and their prevailing Yankee hatred, would a Judge-Stanton 1&2 be unwise? Would have to get some steals and middle infield at 3. But do you think that the team could recover from that defiant and bold move? Or stop f’in around & grab from your rankings with a multi category Baez or similar with hopefully one of those the Yankee OFs following??? Thanks Grey. Happy for you & Rudy for where the site has arrived and continues to grow. Pondering the no ads, but sometimes they amuse me when your having an off day. Just kidding, that really doesn’t happen.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      You need to draft a pitcher with your 4th pick prolly, but depends on how the draft goes… before that all bats… follow rankings…. no ads makes the site super fast

      • zombie says:
        (link)

        @Grey:@Grey: super fast sounds good. Ad free Monday it will be. Thanks again Grey. Happy weekend.

        • Grey

          Grey says:
          (link)

          You too!

  46. peacecoast says:
    (link)

    sup G, greetings from The Florida Keys. Weather is here, wish you were beautiful. Chuck you Farley. Mary had a little lamb, the doctors are still puzzled. Workin hard or hardly workin? Just regurging some sayings my dad thought were hilarious in the 80’s.

    Kershaw oof. Soroka oof. CMart done.

    Did I miss anything else FBB news wise?

    I agree on the Vlad blurb. I think it’s just the fun factor and all the GD waiting last year that is pumping his value. I don’t remember Acuna having lame service time issues the year before he came up.

    The ad-free membership is great especially on mobile where the ads were cancer. And like Cran said I don’t have to enter my username every time.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Greetings from Wyoming! I think I’d prefer the Keys… is CMart done completely? Was there new news? Yeah Soroka and Kershaw def oof… glad you’re enjoying ad-free, also makes the site so much faster…

      • peacecoast says:
        (link)

        @Grey: wtf r u in Wyoming

        cmart nah no new news. Just was hoping for great value for him this year. Now not so sure. Alex Reyes to make starting rotation?

        I feel like we gotta shore up BA early this year. Everyone past adp 100 seems capable of 250 25 80. But the great BA guys are all under 100. Eg smoak, moose, cron just off the top of my head. What you think.

        PS.. wtf r u in Wyoming

        • Grey

          Grey says:
          (link)

          I know! And now there’s a winter storm in Wyoming and I’m in Wyoming, WTF am I doing in Wyoming?! Yeah, Reyes is a whole another ball of wax tho… Though, I do like him… Agreed on BA, it becomes harder to come by… But remember you only need around a .270 average, so you don’t need that much of it, and everyone is in same boat of looking for it…

          • The Great Knoche says:
            (link)

            @Grey: on the bright side by Touki share I just got yesterday AM looks a whole lot better.

            • Grey

              Grey says:
              (link)

              Why is that? Did I miss something here in Wyoming?

              • peacecoast says:
                (link)

                @Grey: he talkin soroka going down. How about gohara tho

                • The Great Knoche says:
                  (link)

                  @peacecoast: yup. Well he had a 1/3 shot to make rotation. Now it’s 1/2. Hopefully grab Gohara in about 10 rounds.

                  • Grey

                    Grey says:
                    (link)

                    Gotcha, this negative 30 degree weather froze my brain

                • Grey

                  Grey says:
                  (link)

                  Ah, yeah

          • peacecoast says:
            (link)

            @Grey: do you even have winter clothes? Is it all like early 2000’s stuff from your East Coast days?

            • Grey

              Grey says:
              (link)

              Hahahaha, yes! It’s awful! What am I doing?!

              • peacecoast says:
                (link)

                @Grey: dunno you still haven’t told us why you’re there! I’d come if you promised me some Brokeback Mountain action.

  47. Mel Clark Had An Angel says:
    (link)

    Grey need some advice sir please !! 12 team dynasty keeper league

    Last keeper spot need 1 of 3 between Profar, Muncy, Matt Olson for my U

    Thank you!

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Close call, I like Muncy

  48. The Great Knoche says:
    (link)

    Draft Pete Alonso. He is huge, swing is long but not slow. He just yanked a Touki fastball on the lower outer half out of the park to just left of center. Dude is strong.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Just worried about playing time

  49. Cohen says:
    (link)

    Grey, draft strategy question 12 team roto
    Picking 6th looking at Yelich/Goldy/Hoskins possibly first 3 rds.Round 4 pick 43 if Bellinger/Springer/Boagerts are there who should i draft out of those 3?

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Can’t go wrong depends on ho you have but prolly Bogaerts

      • FrankGrimes says:
        (link)

        @Grey:
        Dislike round 4 this year
        Seems like every guy I thought could be there won’t.

        • Grey

          Grey says:
          (link)

          Prolly 1st SP at that point

  50. Joey Jo Jo Jr Shabadoo says:
    (link)

    20 team keep 6-9 i’ve already asked which to keep you had these 9 (OPS/XBH/holds/QS added roto, 1 of each hitter position, 1 util, 1250 max innings, max 5 RP slots). i had these that were advised to keep (it’s front loaded keepers so you could get almost whole rounds to yourself if you didn’t keep many, last year it was 4-7 keepers and i kept 4 to get vlad, even as a good team)

    these:
    vlad (have 2 NA slots to house him and luzardo till whenever)
    kraken
    mallex
    treat urner
    mikolas
    glasnow
    luzardo
    r.ray
    ryu

    was told these over c.santana/choo/schebler/parker/cron

    now i can trade mikolas for one of box wine (TEX) or puig. the OPS rater has them nearly tied. which you got higher, clearly this is a trade for one of them, i’m XBH/OPS type hitters weak and steals/SP heavy.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Agree with Mike

  51. Elwood Blues says:
    (link)

    NL only 5×5 keeper.. should I swap $6 Pivetta for $5 Toussaint and a 1st round pick (7th)..
    Right now Pivetta is one of my keepers.. we need to keep at least 7 and right now I am keeping him along with Trea $15, Hader $7, Vazquez $6.. and deciding how many others to keep between Jansen $29, Zobrist $4, MAdams &2, SMarte $26, Puig $22, Yelich $31, plus maybe velasquez $2, Stripling $8.. thoughts on trade.. thought on keepers?

    • Elwood Blues says:
      (link)

      @Elwood Blues: that’s a minor league pick.
      Also looking to move Marte for Maybe Newcombe $10 and 5th overall minor league pick.. trying to see if he’d part with Alfaro at $6

      • Grey

        Grey says:
        (link)

        I’d want Marte

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      I’d want Pivetta

      • Elwood Blues says:
        (link)

        @Grey: yeah.. I like Pivetta especially with my lack of cheap keepers. I have to keep at least 7.. how many of those higher priced outfielders should I keep.. and cheap scrubs? Should I make that Marte deal?

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      You can keep them all? Then I don’t see why not, Jansen’s a little expensive but in a keeper everyone’s expensive…

      • Elwood Blues says:
        (link)

        @Grey: yeah.. $260 league.. cash is gonna be tight.

        • Grey

          Grey says:
          (link)

          Yeah, but as long as the players are good, may as well keep them

  52. A Wesley Snipes Life says:
    (link)

    espn keep 9 total 14 team h2h. keeper rules: 4 pitchers, at least one of them has to be a RP and at least one a SP. max 5 RP slots. 12 max starts per week to limit streaming to a certain level (so about 8 SP is optimal here, leaving 3 BN spots for hitters (or more SP but then you’d bench more starts that way, 7 moves per week). 7×7 with OBP over AVG, hits, OPS, QS and holds added. 30 min innings per week. hitter keepers have to be different from each other (except you can have 2 OF) but you can use any eligibility for this.

    hitter keepers: rhysus LF, stanton DH/RF, goldy 1B, andujar 3B (advised over muncy probably due to age), puig RF (have a 4th OF and 1 util slot).
    pitcher keepers: wheeler, otani (get the DH kept this way while also having the pitcher version in future years), hand, kimbrel

    also have these possible pitcher keepers: giles, morton, ryu, skaggs, hill. i got an offer for an 11th round pick for hand (but this is really a 20th round player value), normallyi’d say the drop from hand to giles (or another starter) isn’t a big thing and i’d take the free pick. but now with kimbrel pulling a RP version of harper’s nonsense, is this still doable? if this happens and kimbrel doesn’t sign by like say march 15 when i’d need to know for sure my pitcher keepers would turn into otani/giles + 2 of morton/ryu/hill/skaggs. holds rater doesn’t have giles and hand that far apart (about 4 bucks). but i’m also seeing kimbrel’s agent says this report was b.s. anyway and he’s playing somewhere for sure.

    if this deal isn’t doable how much more rounds should i ask for to get for hand?

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      I’d take an 8th or higher round pick

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      That’s what I’m sayin!

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Haha

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      He was making maple syrup for the last year!

  53. Duda Want to Build a Snowman? says:
    (link)

    Hey Grey! Which side do you like in a keep forever?

    $6 Bellinger and $21 Goldy

    OR

    $13 Story and $4 Matt Chapman

    Thanks!

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Story, close tho

      • Duda Want to Build a Snowman? says:
        (link)

        @Grey: thanks! Fingers crossed for spike tonight!

  54. cjw says:
    (link)

    We have a mixed 5×5 with limited keepers, 5 guys per year, can only tag a guy for 3 years max. I stashed Vlad Jr and pretty much have to decide between him and Rendon with my last keeper tag. If I tag Vlad, I’d have the option to hold him for the 2019-2021 seasons, if I tag Rendon I only have him from 2019-2020. They both look like 25/5/.300 guys, Rendon has the better lineup around him for counting stats but also a recent history of injuries. In a full season, come 2020, would we expect Vlad to outperform 25/5/.300 or is that expected to be his typical season going forward?

  55. Asst2RegionalMgr says:
    (link)

    I was planning to keep Vlad Jr. Now with knowing the Jays are going to play the delay clock game it is making me think twice. League Categories:
    R RBI SB OPS AVG | ERA WHIP K SV+HLD QS
    Potential keepers (no $ cost, just keep 5)
    Baez, Soto, Rendon, Vlad Jr, Puig, Castellanos, Robles, Peraza, Snell, Corbin.
    Also, I traded chaz noir last year very early for someones 1st and 2nd round pick (Thanks Grey!!) so I have 2 picks in the first two post-keeper rounds which is a factor.

    Thanks in advance

Comments are closed.