I’m happy to bring you another fanciful week of double dippers here in the wide world of stitchesball. It’s a little bit of a lighter week after a busy week of post All-Star Break action, yet this is another one of the friendliest streaming slates of the season. I said that last week too and I really hope I’m not accidentally turning into an optimist. Tiers 1 and 2 are just about as shallow as you can get, with a lot of mid-level starters getting two turns this time out. Tier 2 is easily the grossest it’s been all season. I didn’t even want to put C-Mart in there, but I felt obligated to at least fill out three names in Tier 2. Tier 3 is where the party’s at this week, baby. They rented an elephant and a clown for the week and gave them both ecstasy so lord knows what’s gonna happen next. You could argue that David Price could have been elevated to Tier 2, but he’s got the Yankees and he gets pounded by them pretty consistently. Tyler Skaggs was borderline too, but a date with Cleveland bumped him down. Tyler Anderson should keep the good times rolling with a pair of decent matchups. Tier 4 is a bit more of a hodgepodge, with guys like Ervin Santana who I am not completely sure what to do with. His fastball velocity is down a whopping three MPH from last year, which is terrifying, but he also gets the Royals in his second start. I’m probably playing it safe and staying away from him for now. Tanner Roark was ridiculously good in his last start, reversing the trend from his previous umpteen starts of being ridiculously bad. I’m not buying it, and he’s still in Tier 5. Honestly, a lot of Tier 5 doesn’t even look that bad this week. Someone punch me in the nuts, I need my pessimism back.

 

Tier 1
Player Opp #1 Rank vs L/R Opp K% Opp #2 Rank vs L/R Opp K%
Gerrit Cole @SEA 18th 20.1 @LAD 3rd 21.7
Aaron Nola @BOS 1st 18.6 MIA 25th 23
James Paxton (L) HOU 4th 19.8 TOR 19th 21.6
  • James Paxton (SEA) – Big Maple is a bit of a question mark here with his lingering back issues, but the plan for the time being is for him to take the mound Monday against Houston. It’s a rough matchup, but obviously if he’s healthy he’s an all formats auto-start. Keep an eye on his status heading into the week and make sure his trunk issues are behind him. Get it? Trunk? Cuz he’s Big Maple? I’ll see myself out.

Tier 2
Player Opp #1 Rank vs L/R Opp K% Opp #2 Rank vs L/R Opp K%
Jack Flaherty COL 15th 23.5 @PIT 9th 19.3
Carlos Martinez COL 15th 23.5 @PIT 9th 19.3
Robbie Ray (L) TEX 8th 23.4 SF 22nd 21.3
  • Carlos Martinez (STL) – Here’s another injury concern. As of this writing Carlos Martinez has supposedly thrown a bullpen session, but I haven’t seen any reports of how it went. If all goes according to plan, he’ll be reinstated from the DL when first eligible on Monday. The real question is how good he will really be. The Rockies aren’t as frightening away from Coors, but the Pirates are a sneaky lineup that doesn’t strike out very often. They could give C-Mart fits.

Tier 3
Player Opp #1 Rank vs L/R Opp K% Opp #2 Rank vs L/R Opp K%
Tyler Skaggs (L) @TB 13th 23.7 @CLE 5th 18.6
Kenta Maeda MIL 13th 25.5 HOU 8th 19.7
David Price (L) PHI 20th 23.2 NYY 1st 22.8
Tyler Anderson (L) @STL 15th 22.5 @MIL 21st 21.5
Jon Gray @STL 20th 22 @MIL 13th 25.2
Walker Buehler MIL 13th 25.2 HOU 8th 19.7
Shane Bieber @MIN 11th 21.2 LAA 4th 20.1
Derek Holland @SD 30th 25.8 @ARI 26th 24.3
Dylan Bundy @NYY 5th 23.4 @TEX 21st 25.3
  • Derek Holland (SF) – I actually considered the Dutch Oven for Tier 2 (especially since it’s so crappy this week) but I couldn’t quite do it. Holland has been incredible since the start of June, posting a 2.72 ERA/1.21 WHIP with an 11.1 K/9 and 2.7 BB/9. I think I’ll write more on him for tomorrow’s Top 100, so I’ll keep it a bit truncated here. He’s got some very nice matchups this week and he’d be a definite two start streaming target for me.

Tier 4
Player Opp #1 Rank vs L/R Opp K% Opp #2 Rank vs L/R Opp K%
Danny Duffy (L) @CHW 26th 26.1 @MIN 24th 23.4
Julio Teheran MIA 25th 23 @NYM 24th 21.7
Anibal Sanchez MIA 25th 23 @NYM 24th 21.7
Dan Straily @ATL 16th 20.4 @PHI 14th 25.8
Freddy Peralta @LAD 3rd 21.7 COL 15th 23.5
Ervin Santana CLE 6th 20.1 KC 28th 19.9
Cole Hamels (L) @PIT 17th 22 SD 23rd 24.8
Yefry Ramirez @NYY 5th 23.4 @TEX 21st 25.3
Masahiro Tanaka BAL 27th 24.5 @BOS 1st 18.6
Steven Matz @WSH 16th 22.6 ATL 3rd 20
  • Danny Duffy (KC) – The Duff Man has been confounding this season. Despite his fastball ticking back up a bit, his strikeout rate hasn’t risen and instead his walk rate has. He’s getting fewer swings out of the zone and fewer whiffs overall as his offspeed pitches have taken a step back. Just when you think he’s turned it around (3.30 June ERA) he mixes in a couple blow-ups in July. His divisional matchups this week are favorable though, and he’s been effective against the Pale Hose and Twins at times this season. I’d be willing to take a shot on him despite the blow up potential.

Tier 5
Player Opp #1 Rank vs L/R Opp K% Opp #2 Rank vs L/R Opp K%
Tanner Roark NYM 24th 21.7 CIN 12th 21.2
Ryan Borucki @OAK 7th 21.8 @SEA 18th 20.1
Sam Gaviglio @OAK 7th 21.8 @SEA 18th 20.1
Martin Perez (L) @ARI 10th 23.1 BAL 27th 21.1
Matthew Boyd (L) CIN 6th 20.8 @OAK 14th 23
Homer Bailey @DET 29th 22.4 @WSH 17th 21.1
Eric Lauer (L) SF 22nd 21.3 @CHC 7th 22.0
Wei-Yin Chen (L) @ATL 3rd 20 @PHI 20th 23.2
Mike Leake HOU 8th 19.7 TOR 10th 23.1
Wade Miley (L) @LAD 18th 22.1 COL 2nd 21.5
  • Homer Bailey (CIN)You ever drunk Bailey’s from a shoe? Well, I may be interested in drinking the Kool-Aid from a shoe, as they say (they actually drank Flavor Aid and that phrase is an abomination). Homer, who often lives up to his name on the mound, recently returned from the disabled list, where he spent approximately the last two months, you know, being on a list. He was good, holding the Cardinals to two runs on five hits over 6.2 innings with eight K’s and two walks. The Cardinals aren’t a scary matchup outside of Matt Carpenter, but Bailey did show off some changes. First, his fastball averaged 95 MPH, up a full tick from the rest of the season before the DL stint. He also used his curveball and slider a combined 35%, easily a season high. This gives me at least a slight reason for optimism moving forward, especially with a pair of non-intimidating opponents on the docket. He’s still not ready to make the leap from Tier 5, though.

*All pitchers are scheduled for two starts as of Friday evening.

 

 

You can find Dokken on Twitter @NathanDokken

  1. johnnyhobbes says:
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    Dokken, I’d be all over Derek Holland but I had picked Cahill two days ago. He looked like he was slated for two starts when I picked him up. So my question is ccahill against Toronto or Holland double start? Also SON had Holland second start against Houston not Arizona. Would that change your opinion? How much do you like Holland ROS?

    • Dokken

      Dokken says:
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      @johnnyhobbes: More on him in tomorrow’s Top 100, but he’s interesting. Some of his success has been out of the bullpen though. The second start would be against Arizona, but I’m not 100% he makes it. Even so, I’d take Holland against SD.

      • johnnyhobbes says:
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        @Dokken: thanks for the advice, looking forward to your write up

  2. Iifish Horten Heat says:
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    Buehler or Bieber this week?

    • Dokken

      Dokken says:
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      @Iifish Horten Heat: I don’t think Buehler gets two starts so I’m going Biebs. Also he just posted a QS so that helps sway my opinion!!

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