Times are grand this week in the wide world of Two Startapalooza! It is a palooza after all, which is the scientific term for pitching party. Can you imagine a carnival full of pitchers playing those games where you throw balls at the bottles and knock them over for prizes? They would win ALL of the giant stuffed bears. ALL OF THE BEARS. Leaving none for the shlubs like me that can’t hit 95 on the gun. How emasculating. All the girls would leave the normal guys and flock to the pitchers. I wonder if girls are still impressed by the really crappy pitchers? I mean, he still made it to the Major Leagues, which is super impressive. Who cares if he’s got a 6.30 career ERA? That man god paid. Speaking of such things, there are pitchers threatening to post a 6+ ERA this week in the bottom of this week’s slate. Tiers 3 and 4 are awash with capable options though, making this a great week for standard mixed league streaming. Let’s break down the options.

 

Tier 1
Player Opp #1 Rank vs L/R Opp K% Opp #2 Rank vs L/R Opp K%
Max Scherzer BOS 1st 18.8 MIA 25th 23.7
Corey Kluber @KC 29th 19.1 OAK 7th 22.2
Zack Greinke STL 16th 23.1 SD 30th 26
Madison Bumgarner (L) @COL 5th 22.1 STL 20th 22.5

 

  • Madison Bumgarner (SF) – Bummy had us a little worried with his first three starts, in which he gave up 9 ER over 17.1 IP with a 9:5 K:BB ratio. He has since strung together 15 shutout frames with a 16:4 K:BB. He’s back, baby!! The whiffs were finally back with his curve and change in his last start especially, with a 36% combined whiff rate. Heading into Colorado definitely sucks, but don’t get cute here. Only get cute at beauty pageants, or the prom. The Cardinals matchup should make up for whatever shortcomings he may suffer in Colorado.

 

Tier 2
Player Opp #1 Rank vs L/R Opp K% Opp #2 Rank vs L/R Opp K%
Robbie Ray (L) STL 20th 22.5 SD 24th 25
Rick Porcello @WSH 20th 21.3 @KC 29th 19.1
Alex Wood (L) PIT 13th 21.7 @LAA 19th 20

 

  • Robbie Ray (ARI)Robbie Ray might have the name of an ATV mechanic from the deep south, but dag nabit can he pitch. *spits chew into his spittoon* He spent nearly two months on the DL, but got a nice cushy matchup with the Marlins in his return. He made the most of it, going six scoreless with just two hits allowed, two walks, and six K’s. Apart from a quick stretch where he couldn’t find the plate, he hit the corners of the zone well and mixed in both his curve and slider successfully. He gets not just one but two more gravy matchups this week, as the Diamondbacks will host the Cards and Padres. As long as he can limit the free passes like we saw in his last start, he should have no problem justifying this Tier 2 ranking.

 

Tier 3
Player Opp #1 Rank vs L/R Opp K% Opp #2 Rank vs L/R Opp K%
Carlos Martinez @ARI 27th 24.5 @SF 12th 24.1
Jack Flaherty @ARI 27th 24.5 @SF 12th 24.1
Dallas Keuchel (L) @TEX 11th 23.4 CHW 27th 27
Andrew Heaney (L) @SEA 9th 21.2 LAD 14th 21.6
Sean Newcomb (L) @NYY 2nd 23.4 @MIL 25th 19.6
Kyle Gibson @MIL 10th 25.1 BAL 28th 24.7

 

  • Jack Flaherty (STL) – A team was finally able to catch up to ol’ Cap’n Jack, and it was the powerful Indians. They knocked him around for four runs in as many innings in his last start, but overall this year Flaherty has been sensational. No, not sensual you creepy bastard, sensational. You need to stop reading those romance novels. Don’t worry if you’re aroused by great fantasy production though, that’s normal. Flaherty could arguably be in Tier 2, but I’m a bit more worried about the matchups than the numbers here dictate. The DBacks have been heating up in a big way lately now that Goldy is back on track, and the Giants are a sneaky tough test. All the same, I can’t imagine sitting him in any league.

Tier 4
Player Opp #1 Rank vs L/R Opp K% Opp #2 Rank vs L/R Opp K%
Nathan Eovaldi @MIA 25th 23.7 @NYM 17th 21.3
Nick Kingham @LAD 5th 21.7 PHI 14th 26.5
Domingo German ATL 15th 20.4 @TOR 9th 24
Michael Fulmer @CHC 4th 21.2 TEX 21st 25.4
Jake Odorizzi @MIL 10th 25.1 BAL 28th 24.7
Kyle Freeland SF 12th 24.1 @SEA 11th 20.3
Mike Fiers @TOR 9th 24 TEX 21st 25.4
Wade LeBlanc (L) LAA 19th 20 COL 5th 22.1
Luis Castillo CHW 24th 25.3 @CHC 4th 21.2
Tanner Roark BOS 1st 18.8 MIA 25th 23.7
Clayton Richard (L) @OAK 23rd 23.6 @ARI 8th 23.9

 

  • Tanner Roark (WSH) – Ugh. It’s been a rough correction for Roark in June, with a 6.08 ERA over 26.2 innings. He’s only a league-average strikeout pitcher, so he needs to keep the walks in check to have success. His 4.05 BB/9 in June simply won’t do. Sadly, every single one of his ERA estimators has him as deserving an ERA even higher than his 4.10 mark, so there is little hope that a positive correction is imminent. So why’s he in Tier 4 with a matchup against Boston on the docket? Ugh again. He’s a borderline Tier 5 guy at this point, but a date with the Marlins is the closest thing we have to penicillin in fantasy baseball. Of course, if you’re like me and you’re allergic to penicillin, you’re just screwed. User discretion advised.

Tier 5
Player Opp #1 Rank vs L/R Opp K% Opp #2 Rank vs L/R Opp K%
Mike Minor (L) HOU 3rd 20.2 @DET 7th 19
Wei-Yin Chen (L) TB 12th 23.8 @WSH 22nd 22.8
Elieser Hernandez TB 23rd 22.8 @WSH 20th 21.3
Alex Cobb @PHI 14th 26.5 @MIN 19th 21.2
Brent Suter MIN 19th 21.2 ATL 15th 20.4
Anibal Sanchez @NYY 3rd 23.5 @MIL 10th 25.1
Jake Junis CLE 6th 21.6 BOS 1st 18.8
James Shields @CIN 13th 21.1 @HOU 2nd 20.3
Blaine Hardy @TOR 9th 24 TEX 21st 25.4
Lucas Giolito @CIN 13th 21.1 @HOU 2nd 20.3
Chris Stratton @COL 18th 23.6 STL 16th 23.1

 

  • Mike Minor (TEX) – I fell out of love (or out of the ability to roster) Minor several weeks ago in the Top 100. Well, over his past three starts he’s been very good and is writing me love letters to try to get me back. I’m a hard sell, Mike! You’d better stick a candy necklace into that pink envelope! He has allowed just six runs over those 26 innings, striking out 18 with five walks. He really got away from his slider during his May woes, but it’s back in full force (27%+ usage) over this strong stretch. The whiffs are back too, with a season-high 21% whiffs on the slider in his last one, which was seven one-hit innings. Yeah yeah yeah, it was the Padres so we can’t take too much away, but he made the most of a gravy matchup and that’s what good pitchers do. That all said, he’s got brutal matchups this week with the Astros and Tigers, with the Tigers being strangely effective against lefties. Of all these cellar dwellers I’d be most excited – nay, least unexcited – to roll out Minor.

*All starters are probable for two starts as of Friday evening.

 

 

You can find Dokken on Twitter @NathanDokken.

   
  1. John Stewart says:
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    Unrelated Topic Alert! Need to Stash Kyle Tucker because he is a demigod ready to send me to fantasy never-neverland. Need to drop one of Hicks, Kiermaier, Nimmo, Moreland, Lowrie, Cesar Hernandez. Standard 5×5 and I’m in first by 15.5 roto points. SB’s and AVG in 3rd and 2nd respectively…rest of cats in 1st. Who’s dead to me?

    • Dokken

      Dokken says:
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      @John Stewart: This post feels like a humble brag but I’ll allow it! I wouldn’t feel bad cutting Kiermaier amongst that lot. Well done with that offense!

  2. Mike says:
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    Would you do this trade?

    Give Foltynewicz/Muncy get Lorenzo Cain

    • Dokken

      Dokken says:
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      @Mike: Uff, that’s tough. If that’s your best route to get speed I get it. I’d try to package a lesser pitcher with Muncy to get it done though. That dude isn’t showing any signs of slowing down (although he will, to an extent…eventually).

  3. Mike Smith says:
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    What about throwing in Lowrie or Cesar Hernandez instead of Muncy?

    • Dokken

      Dokken says:
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      @Mike Smith: I’d try to sell Lowrie between those two, and definitely before Muncy.

  4. Teddy says:
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    Borucki not a 2 start guy?

    • Dokken

      Dokken says:
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      @Teddy: If anyone gets two turns in Toronto this week it looks like it would be Estrada. If Borucki had two starts this week I’d have to make up a Tier 6.

  5. jiggy nits says:
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    got a question about a trade im thinking about. i really need walks

    NLonly roto 5×5 but BB instead of R for hitters

    his johan camargo (26 walks, 13% walk rate) for my tyler anderson

    • Dokken

      Dokken says:
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      @jiggy nits: That…is a peculiar format. It’s too bad you can’t play Tyler Chatwood on offense. I have no issue with that trade whatsoever, especially considering it’s filling a need for you.

      • jiggy nits says:
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        @Dokken: thanks!

  6. Matt says:
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    Junior Guerra shows to be 2 starts this week. Where would he slot in above?

    • Dokken

      Dokken says:
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      @Matt: Right you are! He’d be right on the Tier3/4 borderline, probably 4 because of that matchup with the Braves.

  7. iifish Horton Heat says:
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    Hey Dokken – What do you think, Lucchesi or Rodon ROS?

    It’s been fun seeing some young guns hit the stage with some success – Peralta, Lasagne, Bieber, Bueher, German. Any looming you are watching/waiting for?

    • Dokken

      Dokken says:
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      @iifish Horton Heat: I’m going Rodon there. I’m a sucker for him, what can I say. As far as pitching prospects looming, not a lot of impact guys come to mind. Kolby Allard with Atlanta could get the call and make an impact. Kopech has been better recently but still needs more work. Mitch Keller would be one if he weren’t on the Pirates, who take things incredibly slow. Forrest Whitley could be a huge impact, but that would require an injury to one of Houston’s starters.

  8. iifish Horton Heat says:
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    Thanks Dokken. Really like Whitley. I could see him contribute from the pen in the playoffs ala David Price in 2008 for the Devil Rays…what about Jalen Beeks?

    • Dokken

      Dokken says:
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      @iifish Horton Heat: I looooooooooove Whitley. And there would be more o’s in that love if I were truly expressing how I felt but that’s enough o’s to give you the idea. I’m not a Beeks fan. He doesn’t have great stuff and relies more on deception for success.

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