Times are grand this week in the wide world of Two Startapalooza! It is a palooza after all, which is the scientific term for pitching party. Can you imagine a carnival full of pitchers playing those games where you throw balls at the bottles and knock them over for prizes? They would win ALL of the giant stuffed bears. ALL OF THE BEARS. Leaving none for the shlubs like me that can’t hit 95 on the gun. How emasculating. All the girls would leave the normal guys and flock to the pitchers. I wonder if girls are still impressed by the really crappy pitchers? I mean, he still made it to the Major Leagues, which is super impressive. Who cares if he’s got a 6.30 career ERA? That man god paid. Speaking of such things, there are pitchers threatening to post a 6+ ERA this week in the bottom of this week’s slate. Tiers 3 and 4 are awash with capable options though, making this a great week for standard mixed league streaming. Let’s break down the options.
Tier 1 | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Player | Opp #1 | Rank vs L/R | Opp K% | Opp #2 | Rank vs L/R | Opp K% |
Max Scherzer | BOS | 1st | 18.8 | MIA | 25th | 23.7 |
Corey Kluber | @KC | 29th | 19.1 | OAK | 7th | 22.2 |
Zack Greinke | STL | 16th | 23.1 | SD | 30th | 26 |
Madison Bumgarner (L) | @COL | 5th | 22.1 | STL | 20th | 22.5 |
- Madison Bumgarner (SF) – Bummy had us a little worried with his first three starts, in which he gave up 9 ER over 17.1 IP with a 9:5 K:BB ratio. He has since strung together 15 shutout frames with a 16:4 K:BB. He’s back, baby!! The whiffs were finally back with his curve and change in his last start especially, with a 36% combined whiff rate. Heading into Colorado definitely sucks, but don’t get cute here. Only get cute at beauty pageants, or the prom. The Cardinals matchup should make up for whatever shortcomings he may suffer in Colorado.
Tier 2 | ||||||
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Player | Opp #1 | Rank vs L/R | Opp K% | Opp #2 | Rank vs L/R | Opp K% |
Robbie Ray (L) | STL | 20th | 22.5 | SD | 24th | 25 |
Rick Porcello | @WSH | 20th | 21.3 | @KC | 29th | 19.1 |
Alex Wood (L) | PIT | 13th | 21.7 | @LAA | 19th | 20 |
- Robbie Ray (ARI) – Robbie Ray might have the name of an ATV mechanic from the deep south, but dag nabit can he pitch. *spits chew into his spittoon* He spent nearly two months on the DL, but got a nice cushy matchup with the Marlins in his return. He made the most of it, going six scoreless with just two hits allowed, two walks, and six K’s. Apart from a quick stretch where he couldn’t find the plate, he hit the corners of the zone well and mixed in both his curve and slider successfully. He gets not just one but two more gravy matchups this week, as the Diamondbacks will host the Cards and Padres. As long as he can limit the free passes like we saw in his last start, he should have no problem justifying this Tier 2 ranking.
Tier 3 | ||||||
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Player | Opp #1 | Rank vs L/R | Opp K% | Opp #2 | Rank vs L/R | Opp K% |
Carlos Martinez | @ARI | 27th | 24.5 | @SF | 12th | 24.1 |
Jack Flaherty | @ARI | 27th | 24.5 | @SF | 12th | 24.1 |
Dallas Keuchel (L) | @TEX | 11th | 23.4 | CHW | 27th | 27 |
Andrew Heaney (L) | @SEA | 9th | 21.2 | LAD | 14th | 21.6 |
Sean Newcomb (L) | @NYY | 2nd | 23.4 | @MIL | 25th | 19.6 |
Kyle Gibson | @MIL | 10th | 25.1 | BAL | 28th | 24.7 |
- Jack Flaherty (STL) – A team was finally able to catch up to ol’ Cap’n Jack, and it was the powerful Indians. They knocked him around for four runs in as many innings in his last start, but overall this year Flaherty has been sensational. No, not sensual you creepy bastard, sensational. You need to stop reading those romance novels. Don’t worry if you’re aroused by great fantasy production though, that’s normal. Flaherty could arguably be in Tier 2, but I’m a bit more worried about the matchups than the numbers here dictate. The DBacks have been heating up in a big way lately now that Goldy is back on track, and the Giants are a sneaky tough test. All the same, I can’t imagine sitting him in any league.
Tier 4 | ||||||
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Player | Opp #1 | Rank vs L/R | Opp K% | Opp #2 | Rank vs L/R | Opp K% |
Nathan Eovaldi | @MIA | 25th | 23.7 | @NYM | 17th | 21.3 |
Nick Kingham | @LAD | 5th | 21.7 | PHI | 14th | 26.5 |
Domingo German | ATL | 15th | 20.4 | @TOR | 9th | 24 |
Michael Fulmer | @CHC | 4th | 21.2 | TEX | 21st | 25.4 |
Jake Odorizzi | @MIL | 10th | 25.1 | BAL | 28th | 24.7 |
Kyle Freeland | SF | 12th | 24.1 | @SEA | 11th | 20.3 |
Mike Fiers | @TOR | 9th | 24 | TEX | 21st | 25.4 |
Wade LeBlanc (L) | LAA | 19th | 20 | COL | 5th | 22.1 |
Luis Castillo | CHW | 24th | 25.3 | @CHC | 4th | 21.2 |
Tanner Roark | BOS | 1st | 18.8 | MIA | 25th | 23.7 |
Clayton Richard (L) | @OAK | 23rd | 23.6 | @ARI | 8th | 23.9 |
- Tanner Roark (WSH) – Ugh. It’s been a rough correction for Roark in June, with a 6.08 ERA over 26.2 innings. He’s only a league-average strikeout pitcher, so he needs to keep the walks in check to have success. His 4.05 BB/9 in June simply won’t do. Sadly, every single one of his ERA estimators has him as deserving an ERA even higher than his 4.10 mark, so there is little hope that a positive correction is imminent. So why’s he in Tier 4 with a matchup against Boston on the docket? Ugh again. He’s a borderline Tier 5 guy at this point, but a date with the Marlins is the closest thing we have to penicillin in fantasy baseball. Of course, if you’re like me and you’re allergic to penicillin, you’re just screwed. User discretion advised.
Tier 5 | ||||||
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Player | Opp #1 | Rank vs L/R | Opp K% | Opp #2 | Rank vs L/R | Opp K% |
Mike Minor (L) | HOU | 3rd | 20.2 | @DET | 7th | 19 |
Wei-Yin Chen (L) | TB | 12th | 23.8 | @WSH | 22nd | 22.8 |
Elieser Hernandez | TB | 23rd | 22.8 | @WSH | 20th | 21.3 |
Alex Cobb | @PHI | 14th | 26.5 | @MIN | 19th | 21.2 |
Brent Suter | MIN | 19th | 21.2 | ATL | 15th | 20.4 |
Anibal Sanchez | @NYY | 3rd | 23.5 | @MIL | 10th | 25.1 |
Jake Junis | CLE | 6th | 21.6 | BOS | 1st | 18.8 |
James Shields | @CIN | 13th | 21.1 | @HOU | 2nd | 20.3 |
Blaine Hardy | @TOR | 9th | 24 | TEX | 21st | 25.4 |
Lucas Giolito | @CIN | 13th | 21.1 | @HOU | 2nd | 20.3 |
Chris Stratton | @COL | 18th | 23.6 | STL | 16th | 23.1 |
- Mike Minor (TEX) – I fell out of love (or out of the ability to roster) Minor several weeks ago in the Top 100. Well, over his past three starts he’s been very good and is writing me love letters to try to get me back. I’m a hard sell, Mike! You’d better stick a candy necklace into that pink envelope! He has allowed just six runs over those 26 innings, striking out 18 with five walks. He really got away from his slider during his May woes, but it’s back in full force (27%+ usage) over this strong stretch. The whiffs are back too, with a season-high 21% whiffs on the slider in his last one, which was seven one-hit innings. Yeah yeah yeah, it was the Padres so we can’t take too much away, but he made the most of a gravy matchup and that’s what good pitchers do. That all said, he’s got brutal matchups this week with the Astros and Tigers, with the Tigers being strangely effective against lefties. Of all these cellar dwellers I’d be most excited – nay, least unexcited – to roll out Minor.
*All starters are probable for two starts as of Friday evening.
You can find Dokken on Twitter @NathanDokken.
Thanks Dokken. Really like Whitley. I could see him contribute from the pen in the playoffs ala David Price in 2008 for the Devil Rays…what about Jalen Beeks?
@iifish Horton Heat: I looooooooooove Whitley. And there would be more o’s in that love if I were truly expressing how I felt but that’s enough o’s to give you the idea. I’m not a Beeks fan. He doesn’t have great stuff and relies more on deception for success.
Hey Dokken – What do you think, Lucchesi or Rodon ROS?
It’s been fun seeing some young guns hit the stage with some success – Peralta, Lasagne, Bieber, Bueher, German. Any looming you are watching/waiting for?
@iifish Horton Heat: I’m going Rodon there. I’m a sucker for him, what can I say. As far as pitching prospects looming, not a lot of impact guys come to mind. Kolby Allard with Atlanta could get the call and make an impact. Kopech has been better recently but still needs more work. Mitch Keller would be one if he weren’t on the Pirates, who take things incredibly slow. Forrest Whitley could be a huge impact, but that would require an injury to one of Houston’s starters.
Junior Guerra shows to be 2 starts this week. Where would he slot in above?
@Matt: Right you are! He’d be right on the Tier3/4 borderline, probably 4 because of that matchup with the Braves.
got a question about a trade im thinking about. i really need walks
NLonly roto 5×5 but BB instead of R for hitters
his johan camargo (26 walks, 13% walk rate) for my tyler anderson
@jiggy nits: That…is a peculiar format. It’s too bad you can’t play Tyler Chatwood on offense. I have no issue with that trade whatsoever, especially considering it’s filling a need for you.
@Dokken: thanks!
Borucki not a 2 start guy?
@Teddy: If anyone gets two turns in Toronto this week it looks like it would be Estrada. If Borucki had two starts this week I’d have to make up a Tier 6.
What about throwing in Lowrie or Cesar Hernandez instead of Muncy?
@Mike Smith: I’d try to sell Lowrie between those two, and definitely before Muncy.
Would you do this trade?
Give Foltynewicz/Muncy get Lorenzo Cain
@Mike: Uff, that’s tough. If that’s your best route to get speed I get it. I’d try to package a lesser pitcher with Muncy to get it done though. That dude isn’t showing any signs of slowing down (although he will, to an extent…eventually).
Unrelated Topic Alert! Need to Stash Kyle Tucker because he is a demigod ready to send me to fantasy never-neverland. Need to drop one of Hicks, Kiermaier, Nimmo, Moreland, Lowrie, Cesar Hernandez. Standard 5×5 and I’m in first by 15.5 roto points. SB’s and AVG in 3rd and 2nd respectively…rest of cats in 1st. Who’s dead to me?
@John Stewart: This post feels like a humble brag but I’ll allow it! I wouldn’t feel bad cutting Kiermaier amongst that lot. Well done with that offense!