Happy Father’s Day!
I hope you all have a great one!
It’s been a while since I checked in with the stashes, list-wise, and today feels like the perfect fit for a post-super-two, redraft ranking of the rookies in waiting.
Since last we met here for the Stash List Sans Jarred Kelenic, we’ve seen a lot of players promoted for the first nights under the big lights: Alek Manoah, Logan Gilbert, Jesus Sanchez, Matt Manning, Lewin Diaz, Chris Gittens, Jackson Kowar, DeMarcus Evans, and Cory Abbott.
We’ve also seen some guys from that list go there and back again: Owen Miller, Luis Barrera, Corbin Martin, Max Moroff. It’s a tough game. Failure abounds. Determination is elemental. Some of these guys will only get a sip or two before returning to endless bus trips and styrofoam sandwich dinners. Some will become central to the fantasy game itself. Welcome to The Stash List.
1. AAA Tampa Bay SS Wander Franco
First time atop this list for Wander. Do I think the Rays are nearing the moment when they’ll promote him?
I guess? I mean he’s here because he’ll hurt worse than anyone if he gets the call and you didn’t move on it when/if you had the chance. And because I think he’ll take to big league ball like a fish to water. He’s also here for the first time because betting on Tampa to call up a hot prospect is a good way to go broke. They have little to gain from stalling unless they really are considering waiting until the final window when he’d still be postseason eligible. It’s the new jam these last couple years, so I certainly wouldn’t put that past Tampa. To make that work in the current/old service math, they’d have to send him back to the minors to begin 2022, and that’s a kind of evil I don’t even want to think about on Father’s Day. Or any day, really.
2. AAA Boston OF Jarren Duran
Everything this cat does is loud. Might still be a buy window for dynasty. I don’t think he’s treated as a top ten type prospect, a potential 30/30 roto demon who makes himself untouchable in trades. He has 11 home runs in 28 games. That’s a pace of about 60 in a big league season. Just an incredible leap from a guy who’d hit 8 HR in his previous 199 professional games.
3. AAA Tampa Bay IF/OF Vidal Brujan
In Volume 2, when Brujan was bewitching AAA pitchers, I said he’d be held back until he was slumping, at which point Tampa could use that slump as a reason to bury him in the minors as long as possible. Well, huzzah, I guess.
4. AAA Los Angeles (AL) OF Jo Adell
Ah hell I dunno. He’s not solving the swing-and-miss issues, but he is leading the minors in home runs, and the Angels are playing Juan Lagares. He’s a 22-year-old with a .286/.335/.686 slash line. 31.8 percent is not the worst strikeout rate of all time. Feels like the Angels are stalling to steal some service time here. I get the logic, but they’re hurting their big league club, and that gets old in a hurry.
5. AAA Cincinnati RHP Hunter Greene
Touched 104 on the stadium gun in his AAA debut against Omaha, who stormed him with four home runs and chased him from the game after four innings. I don’t care. He struck out 47.1 percent of his opponents in AAA as a 21-year-old with relatively little experience. Recorded a 28.4 K-BB rate across 41 AA innings. He’ll be up-and-down in his early career, but he’s one of a handful of arms with true ace topside, and I think he’ll get there. Will always be a target for me in dynasty leagues.
6. AAA Texas 1B Curtis Terry
I think Terry’s a better hitter than Nate Lowe, who’s slugging .292 over the past month. Extreme passivity in a minor leaguer is never my jam. I can’t recall the last time it worked out. I’m always suspicious it speaks to a slightly slow refresh rate in the pitch-identifying mainframe. I’m not certain Terry is quick enough for big league pitching, but he’s been awesome since 2018, logging wRC+ scores of 186, 152, 164, and 143 across four levels. Fangraphs has him at 50 raw power, which is clearly from an outdated look. It’s easy for “real baseball” types to bucket right, right corner bats as non-prospects and go on with their lives. Terry deserves better, slashing .316/.385/.632 with 11 HR in 36 games and striking out just 20.9 percent of the time after skipping AA. Nothing but wows in terms of his on-the-field outcomes. Nothing but silence from a lot of prospect sources.
Here’s a quick clip of Terry legging out a triple that sets the stage for him to complete the cycle late Friday night.
7. AAA Tampa Bay OF Josh Lowe
Slashing .315/.364/.631. 9 HR 7 SB. I keep thinking Tampa knows this could be a World Series season, given that they just had one, and they know they’ll need all their best talents to get major league reps well before the postseason. I suppose Taylor Walls and Shane McClanahan and Luis Patino make it clear that’s not totally wrong, but, well, you know the refrain. Or some variation on it anyway. And hey maybe a World Series is worth a lot less to the Rays than it is to other teams. I mean it probably really is at this point, fiscally speaking.
8. AAA Oakland RHP Daulton Jefferies
He’s ready for big league batters, but he’s never had health on his side for an extended stretch, and he got roasted in his last AAA outing against Arizona, allowing seven earned runs in four innings pitched. He’s only struck out 16 across 23.2 innings, but that comes with just three walks and a 1.14 WHIP. His fastball might not ultimately be enough to hang, but he’s adept at adjusting based on what’s working that night. Could be a functional back-end rotation piece who helps in fantasy when he’s hot thanks to the plus command.
9. AAA Baltimore 2B Jahmai Jones
Orioles seem to have something here. It’s only been 14 games at AAA, but Jones has an 8/8 K/BB with 3 HR, 4 SB and a .345/.431/.636 slash line. The organization itself could be an issue here. If they think Jones is a real cog in their future, they might not give him a look this season. Yes, I know how ridiculous that reads. I don’t know how often to call attention to the elaborate nonsense that goes into running a club in this final season of the current collective bargaining agreement.
10. AAA Baltimore SS Domingo Leyba
Could copy and paste most of the Jones blurb, except that they targeted Jones in the Alex Cobb trade and kind of fell into Leyba thanks to Arizona letting him walk. I don’t know why they didn’t want to see what Leyba could do in the majors. In 17 AAA games this year, Leyba has eight home runs, nine strikeouts, and four walks. Good for a .375/.403/.778 triple slash. If Baltime installs these guys at shortstop and second base and leaves them alone in the second half, I will be excited. Odds are one or the other will bring some bombs in a homer happy ballpark.
11) AAA Tampa Bay RHP Shane Baz
12) AA Miami RHP Edward Cabrera
13) AAA Kansas City 3B Emmanuel Rivera
14) AAA Chicago (AL) Jake Burger
15) AAA Chicago (AL) Gavin Sheets
16) AAA Tampa Bay RHP Joe Ryan
17) AAA Seattle C Cal Raleigh
18) AA Toronto RHP Simeon Woods Richardson
19) AA Cincinnati SS Jose Barrera
20) AA Boston RHP Brayan Bello
21) AA Toronto 2B Samad Taylor
22) AA Kansas City SS Bobby Witt Jr.
23) AA San Diego SS CJ Abrams
24) AAA Boston OF Johan Mieses
25) AAA San Francisco RHP Matt Frisbee
26) AAA Houston OF Jake Meyers
27) AAA Milwaukee LHP Aaron Ashby
28) AAA Houston OF Jose Siri
29) AA Milwaukee LHP Ethan Small
30) AAA Minnesota RHP Jhoan Duran
31) AA San Francisco RHP Caleb Kilian
32) AAA Houston RHP Brett Conine
33) AA Kansas City 1B Nick Pratto
34) AA Miami LHP Jake Eder
35) AA Kansas City RHP Alec Marsh
36) AA Pittsburgh RHP Roansy Contreras
37) AAA Boston OF Marcus Wilson
38) AA San Francisco OF Heliot Ramos
39) AA Pittsburgh SS Rodolfo Castro
40) A+ Seattle OF Julio Rodriguez
Slumping:
AAA Boston SS Jeter Downs – seems to be digging his way out
AAA San Diego LHP MacKenzie Gore – seems to be digging deeper holes
AAA Seattle OF Jarred Kelenic – member Dig Dug?
AA Baltimore OF Yusniel Diaz – recently demoted from AAA
Injured:
AAA Philadelphia OF Cornelius Randolph
AAA Los Angeles (AL) Brandon Marsh
AAA Chicago (NL) LHP Brailyn Marquez
AA Los Angeles (NL) RHP Josiah Gray
Elbows and backs betray us all.
Thanks for reading!
I’m @theprospectitch on Twitter.
would you trade brujan and B Witt for W. Franco?
can only keep all 3 for next year through end of 2022.
i would bench Happ in this 6×6 obp 2b+3b
Check out the video of Wander where the coach tells the team he’s been called up to The Show. Some guys we are told are good baseball players, some guys look like they could be good at…anything up to and including MMA lol. Dude is built like a *tank*.
Thanks, tigersharkz!
Just watched it. Good stuff.
And well said. People will want to run Vlad comps on this, but they really couldn’t be more different in so many ways. Only thing they share is otherworldly hitter’s hands. Vlad is a baseball player. Wander is a premier athlete in any arena.
Hey! Got a couple questions:
I’m in a 12-team roto categories league that can keep 2 each year.
1. I have Bryant, Rendon, Moncada, and Bohm for 3B. Marte, Blackmon, Verdugo and Bryant as well for OF. I was just offered Harper and Grisham ($12 potential keeper) for Bryant ($15 potential keeper). What are your thoughts on the deal?
2. I’ve been stashing Bobby Witt Jr. in hopes that he’ll get the call this year. Not looking likely…He would be a $5 keeper for next year. Hold him or try to trade him?
Thanks!
Hi, Joshua!
1. Yup, I’m all over that Bryant trade. You get Harper AND Grisham? Sounds like you’d have to throw Harper back next year, just from context clues, but I’m cool with that considering you’ll still have Grisham.
2. Hmmm . . . obvious to say it depends on what you get, but I’m kind of holding my breath at the moment on the Witt front. If they think Mondesi is out for a long time, and they think they’re not dead in the water, he’s got an outside shot at being promoted to AAA this week. If he hits right away in AAA, it’s gonna be damn hard to just leave him there.
Even so, with just 24 total keepers, a $5 Witt isn’t wild enough to hold him if you could flip for pieces that help you contend for a title now.
Need a new rankings list. Wander just got the call!!!!
Very happy to get right after a new one in this instance : )
Fingers crossed Brujan will also be gone next time we list it up!
I’m thinking Brujan gets called within 2-3 weeks.
What’s your thoughts? Shorter? Longer? I’m tired of waiting!
Brujan went 3/5 with a bomb Saturday night. Today Brujan went 2/5 with a bomb.
I’d say the slump is over!
Woohoo!!!!
I’m greedy and wanted more Ks, but Hentges did good today.
Yeah looked good doing it. Seems like he’ll follow the Cleveland path of continuing to improve as a big leaguer.
Also, no Drew Waters on the stash list?
Yeah he’s not for me. Atlanta kind of tipping its hand going to a pile of journeymen over him.
Could be service clock stuff of course, but that team is in trouble. If they believed he could help, he’d probably have gotten a shot by now.
Thanks as always for the great content Itch!
Im in 30 team dynasty and in rebuild/stack prospects mode. Curious if you…
Would you trade Luis Urias, Solak, or Luis Garcia (Nats) to obtain Cade Cavalli (my hitting side is mega stacked and my pitching side not so much)?
Do you like Kyle Harrison as a trade target?
Lastly, do you go with Puason or Westburg? Thanks Itch!
Thanks, Moon Shots!
Yes. I’d start with Garcia but have no problem sending any of the three for Cavalli. He’s looking like a Top 25 prospect entering 2022. Might be top arm on some public lists, depending on who graduates.
Love Harrison. Stuff is just so nasty. Command might come late as it does for a lot of high nineties LHP.
I could go back and forth on Puason and Westburg. Westburg is much, much more likely to be a big leaguer one day. Puason is much, much more likely to hold real trade value in dynasty leagues, imo.
Hey Itch,
Happy Father’s Day!
Real fun read today. 2 questions…
1. What’s the deal with Brent Honeywell? Is he going to be a starter next year? Reliever?
2. And same question for Luis Patino.
The goddamn Rays!
Thanks a lot!
Hey Steamin Beamen,
And thanks!
Happy Father’s Day to you and yours!
1. No actual clue but I think Tampa would be thrilled to get a good reliever out of Honeywell.
2. I think they see him as a starter. Went 5 strong last time out in AAA. Might be a Tampa style starter, but I think they want him in the Glasnow, Morton role of actual innings eater. Friggin Rays : )
How does the Olympic team participation impact Duran’s call-up timeline?
I don’t think it will but don’t know all the ins and outs there.
Itch, I’ve been fortunate to snag Kaprelian, Manoah, and Garcia in my deep 16-team league. For context, each team has about 10 SPs.
This morn was just offered Albies and Yelich for Berrios and Mize. I gotta take a chance on Yelich at this price right? Albies would fill a huge 2B hole for me but obvi Yelich is the prize. He seems to be doing well since returning from DL.
160 SPs!
Can relate thanks to the Razz 30 dynasty. Even the 20 team SGL gets sparse at about 130.
I’d be all over that trade offer. Love Albies like family. If Yelich comes back to form that’s an absolute monster trade for your side. Like, so big it’s gonna irritate some others in your league, I suspect, the second they see it.
Trade accepted and approved! Also had to swap Lucas Sims for Archie Bradley, but I’m mighty glad to have closed the deal. Thanks!
Good call to roll w the late RP addition there.
Hi Itch
Are you in on the prayer circle I’m forming for Yahoo! to add Heriberto Hernandez, Wilman Diaz, Korry Howell and Leonel Valera to their player list ?
I’m getting RSI typing their names into Player Search – it’s getting so desperate, I’m starting to think the Rays might call up a Prospect first …
Have a great weekend!
Hahahaha!
Sign me up for the circle!
Yahoo v Tampa, which moves first? Love it. Could be one of those animal planet shows. Capitalism planet, perhaps, which I guess is just any channel.
Thanks, hope you have a great weekend too.
Kelenic seems to be heating up at AAA. If he keeps it going for a couple more weeks, do you the Ms giving him a recall? He could still be as good as Wander in some analyses. Agree?
Gonna be a very scary couple weeks whenever they do bring Kelenic back up.
Wander he’s not.
Not particularly close in my opinion.
We didn’t have MiLB baseball for a long time. I doubt Kelenic would’ve passed or even approached Wander on anyone’s ranking if 2020 were a normal season. Franco has transcendent hands as a hitter. Kelenic’s are fine but not elite on a big league spectrum.
Itch great write up as always and happy Father’s Day. Her is my league stats and team: H2H 10 team with Runs, Hits, HR, RBI, SB, BB and AVG with 5 pitching categories.
C – IKF
1B- Freeman
2B – Jazz
3B – Devers
SS – Trea
OF – Acuna
OF – Harper
OF – Grisham
Util – Bichette
IL – Luis Robert, Bellinger
Bench: Duran, Brujan
SP: Max, Nola, Ryu, Peralta, Gausman, Framber, Gray, Kyle Hendricks, Maeda
RP: Chapman, Edwin Diaz, Karinchak
I’ve worked hard over the years to acquire this team and I’m currently in first. We only keep 10 players with no restrictions on keeper length and I usually keep 10 bats.
My question is do you think upside guys like Duran and Brujan will force their way into my top 10 or am I better to deal them for draft picks or consolidate in a trade for an upgraded keeper?
My rough top 10 right now would be Freeman, Jazz, Devers, Trea, Acuna, Harper, Bo Bichette, Grisham, Bellinger and Robert but depends on how Duran or Brujan do once called up.
Thanks for all you do!
LG
Great build you’ve got going there, LG!
And thanks for the kind words! Happy Father’s Day to you and yours!
With a build that stacked in that setting, I do think there’s value in consolidating keepers. I wouldn’t want to force anything tho. Brujan and Duran could both be super useful pieces a month from now. Plus you might be handing someone a sure fire top ten keeper for them and getting back someone you’ll kind of wanna cut at some point. If I could combine them for a someone who’s got a better shot at cracking your ten, I’d be game.
Happy Father’s day!
Orlando Arcia keeps hitting in Atlanta.
I have been following Bailey Ober for a couple of years and his strikeout numbers are crazy. Prospect experts seem to think his numbers won’t translate to the big leagues. Why is that? His BBs are low and his K’s are high! We are seeing this year that you don’t have to throw 100 to be effective. What kind of pitcher can he turn into?
Peace!
Thanks, Joe! Happy Father’s Day to you and yours!
Yeah Arcia is wild this year. I think we’d have seen him at 3B at some point if Riley weren’t so locked in.
It is hard to get big K numbers without big velo these days, but he’s 6’9” and throwing harder now. I really don’t know where he’ll end up, but I think it’s gonna work. Like, I think he’ll be a rotation piece for the bulk of his career, which is way more than was expected from him around prospect world, as you say. I think he’ll help in WHIP, ERA and W while adding a K per inning or so. Very intriguing guy right now.
What do you see Franco’s prime/ceiling looking like? Is it that of a fantasy 1st rounder? Or more like top 50 for fantasy?
Do you think he runs in MLB? What do you see his power ceiling being?
Thanks!!
.330 30 HR 20 SB
That’s not his topside. Maybe like a 70th percentile outcome. Almost exactly what he’s doing at 20 in AAA.
Power ceiling could be 40+ because the bat control is so extreme.
What’s your take on Pedro Leon? Crushing it in AA and playing multiple positions. Do we see him get the call this year?
.240/6HR/8SB, but more impressive is what he’s done in June; 17games/.333/4HR/5SB and improved plate disipline; 11BB/18K
I’m way into him.
Should probably be on the list.
Itch, Thanks for all you do. I love your write ups!
Ive been hit with injuries all season and just sitting in 5th place….. I dont want to “sell”, but I do want to get better.
Thoughts on a trade:
I send Darvish……. Receive D Cease, L Matos, N Pearson. Cease will replace the MLB slot and the other 2 would be in minor slots.
The same manager also has Brujan, R Hassell, B Marsh, T Freeman, B Marquez, G Rodriguez, G Kirby, M Abel.
Ask for more or different minors in the Darvish trade? He is also interested in Saves and SB so I may be able to expand the trade.
my team:
10 Team Dynasty League (31 man roster/Keep 25) (10 minor slots)
6×6 with OBP/DT
6×6 with QS and Holds/Saves as separate cats
C: B Posey
1st: J Walsh
2nd W. Merrifield
3rd T Edman
SS J Baez
MI G Hampson
CI J Votto
OF V Robles
OF N Castellanos
OF B Harper
OF J D Martinez
OF C Blackmon
DH Adolis Garcia
U R Laureano
Bench: L Urias
P: Y Darvish
M Fried
J Urias
C Javier
A Manoah
S Manaea
V Gutierrez
D Bard
RP: M Fulmer
Y Garcia
J Diekman
B Treinen
D Williams
L Trivino
H Neris
L Sims
IL: M Ozuna, G Springer, A Alzolay, S Bieber, M Scherzer, C Bellinger
Minor Slots (10): F Alvarez, A Rutschman, L Garcia, K Hiura, Y Diaz, Heriberto Hernandez, N Lodolo
,,,,, Would you trade Whit in a package for Brujan?
Any other thoughts for direction of team?
That was a long one……. Thanks again!!
If I were you and I was going rebuild I would look to add some good young OF. Maybe just asking for Brujan with that trade is enough but if it doesn’t work I’d seek out a trade for Julio Rodriguez, Abrams, or Kelenic with your OF or go after a good young 3b like Hayes or Austin Martin. Just saying, you either ask for more or it’s not worth it having a middle of the road team.
I agree Mike….. The managers are stingy when it comes to their younger guys! Ive been trying for Hayes to upgrade 3rd!
Thanks!
The same manager that has Hayes has Jazz.
what would you offer for the two of them?
Well hell now we’re talking.
I’d send him some speed and some saves.
He probably won’t move Jazz, I think, but he should be in play for Darvish-plus.
Darvish, Edman, Devin Williams, Yimi G and V Robles for Hayes, Jazz and Brujan?
Could swap in F Alvarez if this doesn’t gain traction?
the Jazz/haynes owner is a different team than the Brujan owner.
Sry for the mix up .
Would you offer Lauraneo for Jazz?
My bad.
Yeah I’d send Ramon and toss something in for Jazzz
Thanks for the kind words, JB.
I’d be swapping Yusniel Diaz for a FA prospect when/if I could.
I’m not into Cease like most. If I’m moving Darvish, I want an established big league bat, or close to it, which puts a lot of contenders off the table, but I don’t mind holding Darvish to see how he ages. And I’m not into buying Pearson at that price right now.
What about Darvish and Edman for his 3B if he’s got a good one, Brujan, Hassel and either Kirby or Grayson?
Rendon and Biggio are his 3rd baseman.
Other bats he has: Olsen, T Turner, Betts, Acuna….. but he values age, so it would be tought to get one of those with Darvish.
This is also the manager that would want SB and saves, not the above with Jazz/Haynes.
I have a feeling pitching is about to get really ugly here in the next few weeks. Yesterday in my H2H weekly points league I had Manoah, Wood, Gutierrez, and Lynn pitching and only came out with a handful of points. That being said, what order would you put the following pitchers in for the ROS: Gutierrez, Fedde, Taillon, Ober, Manning, or Allard. Not much out there!
Having the same feeling about pitching.
Fedde
Ober
Allard
Gutierrez
Manning
Taillon
Blech
Why didn’t Cal Raleigh didn’t make your list?
Just an oversight going back and forth among documents. Good lookin out to spot it! Thanks!
Brailyn Marquez, CHC, injured?? Pls elaborate. I cannot find another word saying “injured.” Thx
Well the club is calling it “building up arm strength.”
He’s been on the verge of returning since the beginning of May, depending what you read.
Not real common for a contending club to hold its top pitching prospect out for the first three months of a season just so he can work the weighted ball, or whatever they’d have him doing to build arm strength.
Maybe I should’ve created a shrug emoji category for his case because I don’t really know what’s going on; I just know he’d have thrown a pitch by now if he were healthy.
Hey Itch, great article!
Got two trades on the table in a 12 team, 15 keeper, 5×5, roto.
Give: Bohm & Patino
Get: Luis Castillo & Renfroe (maybe a pick too)
2nd deal:
Give: Manoah & Manning
Get: Adley
I am in a full rebuild and have quite a lot of prospect capital at the moment. What do you think of these?
Thanks, man!
Thanks, Corey!
I like the Castillo trade.
The Manoah trade is fair and probably a good way to consolidate in a 15-keeper 12 team where you’ve got ‘spects to spend. I hate to move Manoah, especially if it’s a 1 catcher 1 Util 12 teamer.
Who are the best catchers on the wire right now?
How about pitching? Which seems tougher to do well in that league?
It’s probably the right play anyway I guess bc there will always be prospects to pick up in that league, pitchers get hurt a lot, and the resale value on Adley is tremendous.
Thanks for the reply, Itch!
It is a 1 catcher/1 utility league.
Best available: Sean Murphy & Will Contreras
I’m prospect/youth heavy: Carlson, Vaughn, Bohm, Kirilloff, Rodgers, Brujan, Witt, Tork, Luciano, Noelvi, Greene, Casas, Pratto, Carroll, Patino, Manning, Manoah, GrayRod, Sixto, Baz
The team I inherited was a true dumpster fire and this is the best path toward any kind of core I could find!
Adding Castillo would set me up nicely with Severino & Castillo as 2 aces while my guys begin to arrive.
Thanks again!
I love the grind of a full rebuild. Well worth the dig, in my experience.
Those are viable catchers, but I’d make the move for Adley.
Some Tiger prospect hate I see….Really No Torkleson…Greene? Better thsn 90 percent of the guys in your top 40……
No hate intended.
Just a redraft list. I don’t expect either to debut this year.
it’s the title. not like just IN it, but it.