We have another week’s worth of draft data (eight more leagues) to work with and about two weeks left of the Razzball Commenters League draft season. We have plenty of spots to fill, including a league drafting THURSDAY NIGHT @10 PM ET, click the link to join and draft tonight! We have a couple of money leagues with spots to fill this weekend as well. Go get that money (some of which might be mine if we need more managers come draft time)! The sign-up sheet is linked at the end of this article, just scroll down and you’ll see all the open leagues. While you’re here, we can dive into our RCL ADP and see what Razzball Commenters are drafting so far; handy info for these upcoming drafts.
DRAFT TRENDS
This week we’re going to look at Razzball’s favorite SAGNOF specialists and where you can draft some late steals and saves. For steals, we’ll take a look at every player that Grey has projected for more than 20 SBs. For Saves, I’ll just grab as many closers and potential closers as I can think of. If I miss a name, feel free to open up the RCL ADP SPREADSHEET that I maintain for all of your viewing pleasure. I’ve seen plenty of anonymous animals with that spreadsheet open and I’d consider it a great resource during your RCL drafts. You can also just copy out the data to your own Excel sheet and use it in your own War Room if that tickles your fancy. Enjoy and deity of choice speed.
WE DON’T NEED NO STINKIN’ NFBC ADP
We’ve got RCL ADP! Here’s a list from our 15 league sample of some players whose ADPs I was curious about and some general notes.
| PLAYER | Proj SBs | ADP | HI | LO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cedric Mullins | 35 | 40.2 | 28 | 58 |
| Julio Rodriguez | 33 | 4.27 | 1 | 6 |
| Jake McCarthy | 33 | 101.53 | 62 | 128 |
| Esteury Ruiz | 32 | 222.4 | 131 | 300 |
| CJ Abrams | 31 | 196.47 | 132 | 281 |
| Trea Turner | 30 | 3.87 | 1 | 7 |
| Ronald Acuna Jr. | 30 | 3.07 | 1 | 6 |
| Randy Arozarena | 30 | 36.33 | 26 | 45 |
| Corbin Carroll | 27 | 50.53 | 41 | 64 |
| Adalberto Mondesi | 27 | 240 | 157 | 297 |
| Tommy Edman | 26 | 74.2 | 52 | 89 |
| Myles Straw | 26 | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| Michael Harris II | 25 | 30.47 | 25 | 42 |
| Bobby Witt Jr. | 24 | 17.27 | 11 | 23 |
| Adolis Garcia | 24 | 50.8 | 40 | 59 |
| Vaughn Grissom | 24 | 133.27 | 78 | 165 |
| Nico Hoerner | 24 | 177.47 | 125 | 209 |
| Andres Gimenez | 23 | 78.2 | 59 | 97 |
| Thairo Estrada | 23 | 192.53 | 161 | 224 |
| Dylan Moore | 23 | 295.07 | 226 | 300 |
| Jose Ramirez | 22 | 3.67 | 1 | 5 |
| Marcus Semien | 22 | 26.67 | 21 | 32 |
| Ke’Bryan Hayes | 22 | 177.33 | 111 | 206 |
| Jorge Mateo | 21 | 297.53 | 263 | 300 |
| Jon Berti | 21 | 277.8 | 229 | 300 |
| Kyle Tucker | 20 | 7.93 | 6 | 9 |
| Starling Marte | 20 | 89.13 | 54 | 104 |
| Amed Rosario | 20 | 146.93 | 101 | 169 |
I am VERY curious about what 2023 holds for us in terms of steals. Limited pickoffs, pitch clock, bigger first base…we could have a dozen players going full Ricky Henderson. This list has grown significantly, last season Grey only had 19 players projected for more than 20 steals.
Jake McCarthy is my favorite target of this bunch. I’m on record saying I think he could lead the NL in steals and I’ve been trying to nab him wherever I can. I would love some Corbin Carroll action as well, but I haven’t been able to land him yet as his price soars.
Vaughn Grissom is a later-round target I’ve been landing many places as well, but Myles Straw and Adalberto Mondesi could provide those who wait…too long with some needed late speed.
For saves, I grabbed everyone that Grey has projected for more than 10 saves:
| PLAYER | Proj SVs | ADP | HI | LO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kenley Jansen | 39 | 134.07 | 113 | 168 |
| Edwin Diaz | 37 | 51.87 | 37 | 71 |
| Emmanuel Clase | 37 | 56 | 44 | 66 |
| Ryan Pressly | 35 | 93.2 | 65 | 122 |
| Jordan Romano | 35 | 95 | 72 | 126 |
| Raisel Iglesias | 34 | 97.13 | 64 | 127 |
| Josh Hader | 31 | 71.93 | 49 | 94 |
| Daniel Bard | 31 | 177.93 | 122 | 236 |
| Felix Bautista | 30 | 126.07 | 98 | 158 |
| Ryan Helsley | 30 | 101.67 | 77 | 128 |
| Clay Holmes | 30 | 130.2 | 96 | 157 |
| Camilo Doval | 30 | 132.27 | 102 | 163 |
| Devin Williams | 26 | 82.07 | 67 | 100 |
| Kendall Graveman | 25 | 218.07 | 173 | 283 |
| Alex Lange | 24 | 224.53 | 193 | 258 |
| David Bednar | 22 | 159.67 | 120 | 221 |
| Scott Barlow | 20 | 188.2 | 126 | 234 |
| Paul Sewald | 18 | 200.6 | 171 | 232 |
| Carlos Estevez | 18 | 274.2 | 224 | 300 |
| Alexis Diaz | 17 | 164.93 | 110 | 209 |
| Jose Leclerc | 15 | 213.8 | 157 | 254 |
| Kyle Finnegan | 15 | 250.27 | 201 | 300 |
| Trevor May | 15 | 279.27 | 221 | 300 |
| Evan Phillips | 14 | 229.07 | 197 | 280 |
| Brandon Hughes | 14 | 286.07 | 257 | 300 |
| Seranthony Dominguez | 12 | 251.53 | 196 | 300 |
| Kevin Ginkel | 12 | 299.53 | 293 | 300 |
| Jhoan Duran | 12 | 173.2 | 115 | 210 |
| Matt Barnes | 12 | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| Pete Fairbanks | 10 | 187 | 110 | 233 |
| Jason Adam | 10 | 251.87 | 215 | 300 |
I feel like I say this every year, but the closer market just seems volatile as all heck this year. There’s the top 13 (and even then I only REALLY trust about 8) or so that it seems like you can count on for saves and then, it’s just a mess. Now that free agency is up and running, these projections are going to be fluid. It only takes one veteran signing to ruin a closer dream. My suggestion? Grab a good closer early and then spam the bottom of the barrel and hope you hit on a few.
RECENT TRENDS
We only have two weeks of data, but even with 15 leagues, there’s enough to take a look at some recent trends.
| PLAYER | ADP (2/28-3/6) | ADP (3/7-3/13) | DIFF |
|---|---|---|---|
| Zach Eflin | 243.43 | 279.88 | -36.45 |
| Bryce Harper | 154.29 | 181.38 | -27.09 |
| Andrew Painter | 273 | 300 | -27 |
| DJ LeMahieu | 219.57 | 245.88 | -26.3 |
| Spencer Torkelson | 261.57 | 286.75 | -25.18 |
| Jesse Winker | 207.14 | 232.25 | -25.11 |
| James Paxton | 276.29 | 300 | -23.71 |
| Harrison Bader | 192.29 | 215.63 | -23.34 |
| Joc Pederson | 239 | 262.13 | -23.13 |
| Austin Meadows | 245.86 | 268.38 | -22.52 |
| Jake McCarthy | 89.71 | 111.88 | -22.16 |
| PLAYER | ADP (2/28-3/6) | ADP (3/7-3/13) | DIFF |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Walker | 176.57 | 125.25 | 51.32 |
| Miguel Vargas | 233 | 202.63 | 30.38 |
| Nico Hoerner | 193.14 | 163.75 | 29.39 |
| Trey Mancini | 285.86 | 257.63 | 28.23 |
| Garrett Mitchell | 284.71 | 258.5 | 26.21 |
| Joe Ryan | 155.43 | 131.63 | 23.8 |
| Kyle Finnegan | 262.71 | 239.38 | 23.34 |
| Adam Duvall | 257.29 | 234.75 | 22.54 |
| Edward Olivares | 288.29 | 266.75 | 21.54 |
| Andrew Heaney | 231 | 209.75 | 21.25 |
| Chris Sale | 159.14 | 138.25 | 20.89 |
Jordan Walker is getting the most helium in his ADP. This could be due to Grey’s recent adoption…of Jordan Walker as his father.
It’s interesting that Harper’s price has fallen despite decent news on his recovery. Eflin and McCarthy’s change is also interesting considering where I’ve taken them in my own leagues. I’ll gladly buy that dip.
TO JOIN A LEAGUE
Click the LINK in the ‘League Link’ column (see below grid) for the time you want and YOU’RE IN. Damn, that’s too easy. Oh, I guess I should also mention make sure you’re joining a league for free or for money, depending on your preference. If you want a league for money, then 1) Click the link. 2) Pay the money. That’s it! No pesky third requirement! Again, Fantrax and Razzball take no money. You can join as many free or paid leagues as you like. To quit a league, go to OTHER –> All Options –> Quit League (located at the bottom). Now go join some leagues!
Want to be Matt’s Twitter pal? That’s kinda creepy, but you can follow him here: @MattTruss
