We have another week’s worth of draft data to work with and only about one week left of the Razzball Commenter League draft season. All public drafts wrap up on Wednesday, March 27th, so if you’ve been waiting to join a league, wait no more! We managed to fill all but one league this past week and that one had a manager bail about an hour before the draft, so it drafted with 11. That’s a darn shame, don’t be that guy that bails right before the draft, so not cool. We have drafts all weekend long that need filling though, starting Friday and going through to Sunday. There is even a $20 league with spots to fill, so go get that money! The sign-up sheet is linked at the end of this article, but first, let’s dive into our RCL ADP and see what Razzball Commenters are drafting so far.
DRAFT TRENDS
This week we’re going to look at Razzball’s favorite SAGNOF specialists and where you can draft some late steals and saves. For steals, we’ll take a look at every player that Grey has projected for more than 20 SBs. For Saves, I’ll just grab as many closers and potential closers as I can think of. If I miss a name, feel free to open up the RCL ADP SPREADSHEET that I maintain for all of your viewing pleasure. I’ve seen plenty of anonymous animals with that spreadsheet open and I’d consider it a great resource during your RCL drafts. You can also just copy out the data to you own Excel sheet and use it in your own War Room if that tickles your fancy. Enjoy and deity of choice speed.
WE DON’T NEED NO STINKIN’ NFBC ADP
We’ve got RCL ADP! Here’s a list from our 34 league sample of some players whose ADPs I was curious about and some general notes.
| Player | ADP | HI | LO | DIFF |
| Mookie Betts | 1.94 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
| Jose Ramirez | 4 | 3 | 8 | 5 |
| Christian Yelich | 6.44 | 3 | 12 | 9 |
| Trea Turner | 7.11 | 3 | 11 | 8 |
| Ronald Acuna Jr. | 7.94 | 3 | 12 | 9 |
| Jose Altuve | 17.72 | 6 | 22 | 16 |
| Adalberto Mondesi | 32.83 | 22 | 46 | 24 |
| Whit Merrifield | 34.89 | 26 | 45 | 19 |
| Starling Marte | 37.17 | 27 | 46 | 19 |
| Jean Segura | 57.17 | 46 | 75 | 29 |
| Lorenzo Cain | 65.22 | 45 | 87 | 42 |
| Jose Peraza | 87.89 | 51 | 127 | 76 |
| Victor Robles | 88.33 | 51 | 125 | 74 |
| Jonathan Villar | 90.89 | 43 | 122 | 79 |
| Dee Gordon | 115.5 | 96 | 150 | 54 |
| Mallex Smith | 126.28 | 102 | 150 | 48 |
| Ender Inciarte | 129.5 | 97 | 159 | 62 |
| Tim Anderson | 132.67 | 98 | 161 | 63 |
| Amed Rosario | 174.22 | 132 | 205 | 73 |
| Ramon Laureano | 179.61 | 141 | 210 | 69 |
| Garrett Hampson | 189.5 | 155 | 230 | 75 |
| Billy Hamilton | 199.28 | 142 | 257 | 115 |
| Cedric Mullins | 252.22 | 167 | 300 | 133 |
| Delino DeShields | 295.72 | 269 | 300 | 31 |
| Jarrod Dyson | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
Within the top 100, we’re not really talking SAGNOF, these guys are the cream of the crop.
Mallex Smith and Ender Inciarte have been big targets of mine so far this year if I reach the middle rounds and have a need for speed.
Cedric Mullins has gone anywhere from 167 to undrafted in some leagues, that’s a 133 pick swing.
Like Mullins, no one seems to know what to do with Billy Hamilton. Remember back when he was a 6th round pick and single handedly winning you SBs?
In order to avoid a 100 player list, I just nabbed Grey’s top 30 for projected saves:
| Player | ADP | HI | LO | DIFF |
| Edwin Diaz | 55.78 | 43 | 66 | 23 |
| Blake Treinen | 74.61 | 52 | 93 | 41 |
| Aroldis Chapman | 86.28 | 54 | 103 | 49 |
| Kenley Jansen | 87.39 | 67 | 100 | 33 |
| Craig Kimbrel | 92.33 | 74 | 113 | 39 |
| Roberto Osuna | 98.72 | 77 | 117 | 40 |
| Brad Hand | 103.06 | 86 | 117 | 31 |
| Felipe Vazquez | 105.78 | 88 | 128 | 40 |
| Jose Leclerc | 122.61 | 89 | 144 | 55 |
| Sean Doolittle | 126.06 | 102 | 141 | 39 |
| Raisel Iglesias | 127.11 | 110 | 138 | 28 |
| Kirby Yates | 132.06 | 109 | 152 | 43 |
| Wade Davis | 133 | 98 | 155 | 57 |
| Corey Knebel | 135.72 | 97 | 162 | 65 |
| Ken Giles | 152.56 | 122 | 176 | 54 |
| Jose Alvarado | 163.44 | 116 | 212 | 96 |
| David Robertson | 167.83 | 121 | 241 | 120 |
| Cody Allen | 168.39 | 127 | 219 | 92 |
| Will Smith | 183.94 | 129 | 218 | 89 |
| Arodys Vizcaino | 186.5 | 149 | 214 | 65 |
| Archie Bradley | 201.17 | 150 | 235 | 85 |
| Andrew Miller | 212.28 | 173 | 291 | 118 |
| Mychal Givens | 213.06 | 136 | 258 | 122 |
| Shane Greene | 247.44 | 206 | 300 | 94 |
| Hunter Strickland | 265.56 | 206 | 300 | 94 |
| Kelvin Herrera | 271.67 | 185 | 300 | 115 |
| Brad Boxberger | 272.33 | 213 | 300 | 87 |
| Blake Parker | 279.83 | 228 | 300 | 72 |
| Ryan Brasier | 291.17 | 249 | 300 | 51 |
| Sergio Romo | 295.44 | 266 | 300 | 34 |
I’ve been taking the plunge on that Kimbrel discount more often than I probably should. He has to sign eventually, right?
Osuna through to Leclerc is about where I’d start hitting my closer if I haven’t scooped up Kimbrel yet.
David Robertson is such a wildcard in Philly, but could be a huge value if he wins the job and you drafted him after pick 200.
I like Cody Allen as a late target, he has little to no competition in LA, which I always enjoy in my closer.
Parker, Brasier and Romo are all just lotto tickets at this point. I think Parker, Barnes and Steckenrider win those jobs personally.
RECENT TRENDS
Here we have a little chart showing some of the changes in ADP from early in the season to this past week. The bigger the DIFF number the higher the player is currently being drafted and vice versa.
| PLAYER | ADP (3/1-3/11) | ADP (3/12-3/18) | DIFF |
| Matt Strahm | 279.33 | 230.07 | 49.27 |
| Chris Paddack | 271.44 | 234.07 | 37.38 |
| Ryan McMahon | 297.06 | 268.13 | 28.92 |
| Touki Toussaint | 279.11 | 255.67 | 23.44 |
| Andrelton Simmons | 244.33 | 222.8 | 21.53 |
| Brian Anderson | 282.28 | 261.13 | 21.14 |
| Marco Gonzales | 247.33 | 227.13 | 20.2 |
| Kyle Seager | 268.06 | 286.2 | -18.14 |
| Salvador Perez | 278.5 | 300 | -21.5 |
| Tyler Skaggs | 229.67 | 253.87 | -24.2 |
| Cedric Mullins | 252.22 | 279.33 | -27.11 |
| Pedro Strop | 228.89 | 256.47 | -27.58 |
| Alex Reyes | 197.33 | 227.93 | -30.6 |
| Luis Severino | 47.44 | 88.2 | -40.76 |
Strahm and Paddack have been screaming up draft boards recently. Everyone loves a good Hodgepadre, but these two might be even more!
Ryan McMahon aka the Hampson killer is moving up boards with the news he’s on the strong side of the platoon at 2B in Coors.
Touki has to be Folty insurance right now. Please be OK Folty!
The Severino news is discouraging, he’s officially on my “Do not draft” list.
I’m not 100% sure why Reyes is falling, maybe the news he could be in the bullpen?
Seager and Salvador Perez make sense though, gotta hate those early injuries.
Now, go join a league and contribute to that wonderful ADP data:
Speaking of RCL drafts, we still need a couple good managers to jump in our Original Recipe RCL. That league is the longest running RCL we have. Go ahead and shoot me an email: [email protected] if you’re interested. Also, head to the spreadsheet and sign up for any number of leagues you wish!
TO JOIN A LEAGUE
Click the LINK in the ‘League Link’ column (see below grid) for the time you want and YOU’RE IN. Damn, that’s too easy. Oh, I guess I should also mention make sure you’re joining a league for free or for money, depending on your preference. If you want a league for money, then 1) Click the link. 2) Pay the money. That’s it! No pesky third requirement! Again, Fantrax and Razzball take no money. You can join as many free or paid leagues as you like. To quit a league, go to OTHER –> All Options –> Quit League (located at the bottom). Now go join some leagues!
Want to be Matt’s Twitter pal? That’s kinda creepy, but you can follow him here: @MattTruss
