When I say two you say fer! TWO!!! FER!!! That’s correct we have a twofer on our hands, as we combine the top heavy Indians system with the barren Royals Farm. The show runs long, but that’s traditionally what happens when you expect a short show. We touch on Francisco Mejia, Triston Mckenzie, Bobby Bradley, Nolan Jones, and others, before finishing up with Nick Pratto, Khalil Lee, and Seuly Matias. I mean combined it’s a hell of a system! Finally, please make sure to support our sponsor by heading over to RotoWear.com and entering promo code “SAGNOF” for 20% off the highest quality t-shirts in the fantasy sports game. It’s the latest edition of the Razzball Fantasy Baseball Prospect Podcast:

Find all of the 30 Minor League Previews, and Offseason Rankings on the Minor League Index
On Twitter as @ProspectJesus

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SR
SR
4 years ago

Ralph/Lance,

21 rounds into my MLB draft for a 14 team 40 man MLB (plus 42 man MiLB) 9×10 dynasty league. Basically all the top 100 prospects (>50IP/130AB) are already off the board.

1.4 Carlos Correa
2.25 Gary Sanchez
3.32 Rhys Hoskins
4.53 Rafael Devers
5.60 Ozzie Albies
6.81 Jose Berrios
7.88 Lance McCullers
8.109 Ian Happ
9.116 Kyle Schwarber
10.137 Jameson Taillon
11.144 Rougned Odor
12. 165 Blake Snell
13.172 David Dahl
14.193 Odubel Herrera
15.200 Eduardo Rodriguez
16.221 Joc Pederson
17.228 Dansby Swanson
18.249 Addison Russell
19.256 Sean Newcomb
20.277 Francis Martes
21.284 Zach Britton

Looking back, I probably reached on Hoskins, Devers, and Albies a bit, given how much talent I’ve snagged in the later rounds. My thinking is that with a league playing this deep in terms of prospect ownership, having all of these younger post-prospect to young star players will be extremely useful. I’ll have to build a bullpen, and add some starter depth in the next 19 rounds. I really love the group of MI’s I have.

I have some very near-term prospects too – Tucker, Senzel, McMahon, Andujar, Fried, and Quantrill.

Lance
Reply to  SR
4 years ago

@SR:
I like it overall, but I think the pitching is going to be pretty volatile for you. It’s a lot of upside, but also a lot of downside., which is inherent with a team when you go this young across the board.

I rarely say this, but I probably would have mixed in some age to even things out and get you competitive sooner. Not a knock, but probably how I would’ve drafted from like your 6-7th pick onward.

I like it though! Don’t get me wrong!

SR
SR
Reply to  Lance
4 years ago

@Lance:

I think the risk is there – but maybe not as precipitous as it feels on first glance. I was feeling a bit concerned after the first 6-8 rounds, but as the high upside guys started to flood in beyond those picks, I’ve started to really enjoy this strategy.

Reason being is that drafting at those middle rounds, I don’t see a large gap in the probability between a veteran having a down year (or worse a true regression year), versus a post-prospect or developing player breaking out. But by adding 10-15 young players in that pool, you have a high chance of at least 5-7 developing into top 50 MLB guys within the next year or two.

The guys who don’t either crater keep that luster of being an upsidey post-prospect for a few years past – meaning they retain some trade value because they’re only 27, and the tools are still technically there.

I also think the floor on this roster is quite a bit higher than it looks, If you get production according to the median MLB careers of these guys, you still end up with a roster probably in the middle of the pack – as long as I manage my roster depth well enough to fill out my categories.

This is a bit like the now infamous Tom Trudeau strategy, except applied towards MLB guys. My expectation is that I have 2-3 offensive pieces who are solid to excellent producers but don’t have a home on my lineup come next offseason, who I can flip for some legitimate pitching upgrades due to the scarcity of player pool.

Big League choo
Big League choo
4 years ago

10 team dynasty 6×6 OBP H2H

Won the league last year. Had two teams drop out from year 1, doing a slow draft with those player and rookie prospects. There are two picks in front of me, I got 10th pick so I go back to back. Who’s you’re top 4?

Shohei Otani
Chris Taylor
Brent Honeywell
Michael Kopech
Dee Gordon
Byron Buxton
Jose berrios
Jake Lamb
David Price
Royce Lewis
Taylor Trammell
Forrest Whitley
Michael Baez
Hunter Greene
Kyle Lewis
Bradley Zimmerman
Lucas Giolito
Austin Meadows
Marco Estrada
Alex Wood

My team
C Grandal
1B Goldy
2B Odor
3B Rendon
SS Cozart
MI Villar
CI Smoak
OF Pollock
OF Thames
OF Hicks
OF Puig
OF Khris Davis
Util Austin Hays

BN Willie Calhoun, Mitch Haniger
Min Brinson, Juan Soto

Pitchers
Cueto, Gray, Stroman, Faria, Hill, Peacock, Alex Reyes, Zach Wheeler

RP (Svs/holds)
Andrew Miller, Ken Giles, Doolittle, Blake Parker

Min Triston McKenzie

Big League choo
Big League choo
Reply to  Big League choo
4 years ago

@Big League choo:
Scratch the first year rookies Greene, otani, lewis etc

Just reread the email rookies going to be separately after 4 round retraction draft.

Lance
Reply to  Big League choo
4 years ago

@Big League choo:
Can’t say I understand who is on the table now after you scratch Ohtani, etc

If you shoot a new list of guys over, I can rank for you.

Big League choo
Big League choo
Reply to  Lance
4 years ago

@Lance:
No BA league

Went with chris Taylor over Dee Gordon hard decision but I’m solid on sbs and Gordon only value is sbs and runs

My 4 picks
Alex wood
Chris Taylor
Edwin Diaz
Brad zimmer

Jose
Jose
4 years ago

Ralph,
In another Scoresheet NL keeper team, I have acquired the first and third picks. The first is going to be J.D. Martinez, the third is pending on the team with the second.

If you had the second pick who would you pick between Quintana and Darvish? and what kind of numbers do you forcast for them?

thanks,

Jose
Jose
Reply to  Geoff
4 years ago

@Ralph Lifshitz:

You are correct, i get what is left over by #2.

As per the Ks, remember Scoresheet is not category driven. I like the Ks, because that is less outs that my defense has to get. If a pitcher can hold the other team to 3.5 runs per game, I have a good chance to win, because my team usually provides between 4.5 and 5.1 run support per game.

I prefer Quintana for a couple reason, he is younger and he is already NL property. Darvish could end up in the AL. We are allowed two cross overs (NL to AL) per year, but if you don’t have to use it, it gives you more flexibility on trades later.

Jose
Jose
4 years ago

Ralph:
Can you give me your top five or so players for the June MLB draft. I have about three picks for those that may be picked by NL teams. I want to start watching the top ten or so. I like SS and power pitchers, especially lefties.

I know it is early but, but I want to be prepeared.

Jose
Jose
Reply to  Geoff
4 years ago

@Ralph Lifshitz:

Thanks that gives me a few to focus on and rearch.
I have about three picks and I am going to try and get couple more.

Jose
Jose
Reply to  Geoff
4 years ago

@Ralph Lifshitz:

Thanks Ralph,
I check them on BA, they have videos and those conect to other videos later.
I really like Gorman. He kind of reminds me of Belinger, especially on a HR derby they show, he got on a grove and the pitcher threw about five pitches in a row low and in and he hit five bombs, just like Belinger.

Kelenic looks good too.

De Seda, looks to have pop from both side of the plate. I watch a spanish interview they did with him. He is from Panama and seems to be dedicated to work on his hitting, because the fielding comes natural to him.

Lance
Reply to  Jose
4 years ago

@Jose:
If you like lefties, you have to watch some Liberatore tape. I’m starting to get really aggressive on him the more I consider all the prep arms in the mix; I think he might be one of the best arms available from a floor perspective on the prep side. Polished, stuff is good, really good body control and encouraging mechanics.

Lance
Reply to  Geoff
4 years ago

@Ralph Lifshitz:
I think it’s a different kind of pitcher from an upside/floor perspective, but the comps will naturally be there because they’re both prep lefties.

Gore is kind of a freak. He has the funky mechanics, wild athleticism, plus-plus pitches (already). Liberatore seems polished to me, composure and control, with a little bit of work needed on his offspeed.

But take any of the last top prep arms and all of them are raw, some really, really raw. If you told me Liberatore pitched at the collegiate level, from his control and composure, I bet you could convince some people that was true. That’s where he stands out to me. I think he feels like a college version of a prep arm, with more upside than some of the college arms that some would consider at or near their potential and will move quickly through the minors.

He’s stood out to me continually in tape I’ve watched and even in PG 2017, with all those big arms around him. I’m very intrigued. Gore is going to hold a special place in people’s hearts because of the aesthetic appeal, Liberatore is a “quieter” arm in terms of hype – or at least I think so at the moment – to me.

As always, a lot can change in 4 months on the draft landscape.

Jose
Jose
Reply to  Lance
4 years ago

@Lance:

Thanks Lance, i will check him next.