“I’m glad I’m getting some company.”  Easy there, Brett LawrieOswaldo Arcia is only up to post-post-hype status.  Still has a long way until he has nine posts before his hype.  “Are you sure he didn’t have post-op surgery?”  No, Lawrie, now run along and into a wall.  Arcia you later!  Thanks, pun punch and your floating fruit!  I’d run away with you and get married, but I cantaloupe.  Last year, Arcia had 20 homers, one steal and a .231 average.  Someone hit the snooze button, I’m gonna take a power nap.  *claps hands* Couldn’t sleep, but I had an idea to look deeper at his numbers.  Well, not that much deeper, just slightly deeper.  He had 20 homers in only 103 games and 372 ABs.  In that few ABs, the only ones with 20 homers are George Springer, Steve Pearce, Tulowitzki and Evan Gattis.  Pearce?  Well, let’s throw him out for, um, ever.  Springer, Tulo and Gattis all have big-time power.  They’re thirty homer guys if healthy and chalking up 500+ ABs.  Don’t believe Arcia belongs in that company?  Arcia, wouldn’t want to be ya!  Anyway, what can we expect of Oswaldo Arcia in 2015 fantasy baseball and what makes him a sleeper?

Let’s get out of the way early the one thing Oswaldo has going against him that can’t be fixed:  he plays for the Twins and his home games are in the Hubert H. Homerfree Retrodome.  Sure, you can turn the TV to the Twins only when Arcia is batting if you own him.  There’s an app for that!  But he’s still surrounded by a team that doesn’t look great on paper.  Unless, of course, that paper lists the top teams with runs scored from last year.  On that paper, the Twins don’t look awful.  I still don’t think they’re going to be one of the top producing teams, which should limit his runs and RBIs to around 70 at best and 60 at worst.  Let’s also get out of the way my least favorite aspect of Arcia’s game:  his splits give me the shakes, which sounds like a tagline for Friendly’s, but isn’t.  Last year, he hit .198 vs. lefties with 3 homers. I just threw up in my mouth, spit it on my window and it formed the word, “Yuck.”  With Gardy gone, Molitor may opt to make Arcia a platoon player and at that point, his sleeperness and value will have went kerboom.  Another negative (I swear there will be positives at some point), Arcia now has back-to-back seasons with a 31% K-rate in the major leagues.  Another negative– I keed, I keed.  That’s it with the negatives.  Oswaldo is only 23 years old, has 30+ homer power and other lefties couldn’t hit lefties either when they first came up.  Former Twin, Justin Morneau, was one, even Big Papi had his share of troubles vs. lefties.  If Oswaldo can hit in the .260’s vs. lefties as he did in the minors, he’s a .280+ hitter with 30 homers and some 3-5 steal speed.  Whew, finally, there’s Oswaldo!  Lost him for a second with his stupid striped matchy-matchy outfit.  For 2015, I’ll conservatively give him the projections of 65/27/68/.242/3 with room for upside.  At his age and what will be his draft range, I’d definitely take a flyer on him.

 
  1. Greyismyhero says:
    (link)

    Im still smoking….Carry on now……

    SMOKE THE GREEN!

  2. Greyismyhero says:
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    O, and great read Grey..:)

  3. JeF With 1 F says:
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    Never got back to you about the pizzas the other day…I cooked them in my oven at 500…That pizza oven you got sounds like the way to go though

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      @JeF With 1 F: It’s called a Pizzeria Pronto, look it up if you get a chance… It’s crazy intense, that I feel like every time I start it, I could burn down my city block… It goes up to like 700 degrees I think… The pizza cooks in under ten minutes… BTW, I had to throw out half my lasagna… The foil melted on it, have you ever heard of this? The foil literally melted all over the top…

      • Kid A says:
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        @Grey: it’s the foil reacting to the acidity of the lasagne. Put parchment paper between the lasagne and the foil.

        Also, avoid covering a metal dish with foil when baking as it can trigger the rapture. And Jesus hates lasagne.

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          Yeah, Googled it after it happened, but obviously was too late by that point… Oh, well, prolly saved me about 35,000 calories… It was so delicious though!

          • Kid A says:
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            @Grey: always looking on the albright side of life.

      • JeF With 1 F says:
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        @Grey: Yeah im going to look into that thanks…never had foil melt but Kid sounds like he knows his stuff on that so ill go with what he said.

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          Yeah, it melted, craziest thing I’ve seen…

  4. stonepie says:
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    i plan on drafting him in every league. i think he’s another brandon moss type- play vs all righties, bench vs all lefties.

  5. Mr. Han's Militant Vegans says:
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    Ha! Melon jokes… who says fruit and veggies can’t be funny.

      • J-FOH says:
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        @Grey: you kale me Grey, now lets see Oswaldo turnip that power!

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          Keep dropping them this fast, I’m gonna need to ketchup.

          • J-FOH says:
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            @Grey: lettuce take a moment to reflect

            • Grey

              Grey says:
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              For world peas…

              • de nachos says:
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                @Grey: and peas on herbs

                • Sky

                  Sky says:
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                  And good dill towards men

                  • de nachos says:
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                    @Sky: that’s what the curious pickle said…wait, what?

                • Grey

                  Grey says:
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                  Haha

                  • Mr. Han's Militant Vegans says:
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                    @Grey: HAHA! There isn’t mushroom for any more veggie puns.

                    • Grey

                      Grey says:
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                      Nice!

  6. J-FOH says:
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    So I watched this movie called Trust Me last night with the baby’s mama. About 40 minutes of it were good and the rest was alright with a terrible ending. Have you seen it?

    • Kid A says:
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      @J-FOH:

      Sounds delightful.

      Go see birdman. Thank me later.

      • J-FOH says:
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        @Kid A: it was on my when on cable list to watch

      • Grey

        Grey says:
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        See Nightcrawler, Kid A

        • Kid A says:
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          @Grey: that’s next on my list. You have a top five for 2014? I’ve got a couple days to park my eyeballs in a theater.

          Not a huge fan of horror, but that Babadook looks like fun.

          • Grey

            Grey says:
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            Top 5: Boyhood, A Most Violent Year, Instellar (have to see in theater), Whiplash, Nightcrawler… Lots of good ones this year though… Birdman, Locke, Citizen Four, Imitation Game, Selma… Prolly forgetting a few…

            • Kid A says:
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              @Grey: word up. Had forgotten about violent year. Should roll out at Kabuki or Castro in SF.

              • Grey

                Grey says:
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                I’ve seen a movie every day for the last month, just ask if you have any that I didn’t mention…

            • ryan says:
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              Thanks for the 20 minute soiree into watching each of these trailers. NightCrawler looks awesome. I love the movies that Gylenhaal has been acting in lately; Prisoners, Enemy.
              Selma also looks like a must see.

              • Grey

                Grey says:
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                No problem… Yeah, Nightcrawler is amazing… Great guy flick…

      • de nachos says:
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        @Kid A: a remake of Brewster McCloud?

        • Kid A says:
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          @de nachos: Brewster’s Millions actually. With Pryor’s part played by a parakeet.

          • de nachos says:
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            @Kid A: i wonder if The Toy aged well.

            • Grey

              Grey says:
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              Not when you think the kid is now in porn…

              • de nachos says:
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                @Grey: in porn?! the kid who plays Master Bates? oh ok ha i get it…

                • Grey

                  Grey says:
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                  Same kid from Christmas Story… Flick… Scott Schwartz… I think, at least… I might just be defaming him…

                  • de nachos says:
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                    @Grey: ohmy, and the google says you are correct, sir.

                    • Sky

                      Sky says:
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                      Grey only knows because he wrote the script for ‘The Sex Toy’

                    • Grey

                      Grey says:
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                      Hey, work for hire!

                    • Sky

                      Sky says:
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                      That’s Scott Schwartz motto!

                    • Grey

                      Grey says:
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                      Ha!

                    • Grey

                      Grey says:
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                      Yeah, thought so…

                  • Big Magoo

                    Big Magoo says:
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                    @Grey: “It might have been Flick. Real name might be, I don’t know, Scott Schwartz. Enjoys reverse cowgirl, possibly.” That’s an awful lot of correct “guesses” there, Grey…

                    • Grey

                      Grey says:
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                      Total guesses!

                  • J-FOH says:
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                    @Grey: he takes triple dog to a whole new level

                    • Grey

                      Grey says:
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                      Don’t want to know where he’s got his tongue stuck

                  • J-FOH says:
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                    @Grey: he did teach Ralph “that” word!

                    • Grey

                      Grey says:
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                      Ha, true

                    • Big Magoo

                      Big Magoo says:
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                      @J-FOH: Those are some pretty stylish hangars. Looks like the handlebar might leave shoulder nipples on shirts though. Hate those…

                  • Big Magoo

                    Big Magoo says:
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                    @Grey: It would make a killer trophy. Who wouldn’t want that in his man room? Could swap it out for a razzball t-shirt if one of the four girl readers wins…

                    • Grey

                      Grey says:
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                      I kinda want one in every room… Cougs might kill me though

          • Big Magoo

            Big Magoo says:
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            @Kid A: What would play Candy? Maybe a vulture…

      • Birdmann says:
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        @Kid A: Listen to Kid A, J-Foh, come up and let’s see Mark at Lagunitis tommorrow.

        • Kid A says:
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          @Birdmann: they make you add the extra N after you lost the trademark suit?

          • Birdmann says:
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            @Kid A: still in court about it

            • Birdmann says:
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              @Birdmann: Nah, last name ends “mann” just keeping it real.

        • J-FOH says:
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          @Birdmann: as much as want to go see our buddy at Lagunitas, its a bit of a long ride. You can give my spot to Kid A

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Nah, I haven’t, but I saw Nightcrawler last night and I know going to the movies isn’t your thing or tough with a kid, but it was excellent… Really captured a weird side of LA…

      • Kid A says:
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        @Grey: I wouldn’t say movies aren’t his thing just because he tries to crawl inside the popcorn machine every time he goes.

        The man is not shy about his consumption.

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          Ha… Zing’d! Inherent Vice was disappointing, btw… If you haven’t already…

  7. phenomenot says:
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    If this is a baseball blog…
    Remember when everyone said Rizzo couldn’t possibly hit lefties because he struggled (kinda) that one year? Even though he hit left-handed pitching just fine in the minors? Do you think odds are good that Arcia turns it around like that?

    If this is a movie blog…
    Have you watched the film-essay ” Los Angeles Plays Itself”? If you are into movies, Los Angeles, or Architecture/Urban planning, its worth the time. I think you can find it on Netflix now.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Yeah, I think Arcia could do that, he’s young enough and wouldn’t write off his ability to make corrections… re: LA, nice, I’ll check it out on Netflix if it’s there…

  8. Big Magoo

    Big Magoo says:
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    In 356 big league plate appearances vs LHP prior to ’14, Rizzo produced a .194/.270/.347 triple slash line. Arcia’s is .224/.266/.347 across 259 PAs, though his plate discipline has been terrible against lefties (4.6% BB%, 31.7% K%). He needs to clean that up to improve upon his split issues.

    • Big Magoo

      Big Magoo says:
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      @Big Magoo: * Intended for phenomenot

  9. J-FOH says:
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    You never answered back about Trust Me, its a B ish flick. The reason I brought it up was because it’s about Hollywood agents an child actors. The games people lay to get roles and the scum bag agents. Like I sad before, about 40 minutes are worth watching

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Never seen it…

      • J-FOH says:
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        @Grey: you being in the biz, I figure you watch all those things

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          Junky movies? Nah…

          • J-FOH says:
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            @Grey: don’t be snobby

            • Grey

              Grey says:
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              My snobbery is like my 3rd best attribute!

              • J-FOH says:
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                @Grey: your hair and mustache are one and two or do they fall under the same category?

                • Grey

                  Grey says:
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                  Yup and yup!

                • Grey

                  Grey says:
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                  You hear about my lasagna fiasco? My Lasagnooooooo!

                  • J-FOH says:
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                    @Grey: I read with a tear running down my cheek. You are going to have to make it again and invite me over. Ok, so for a top 5 we have:

                    1) Hair (both face and on top of head)
                    2) fantasy baseball
                    3) snobbery
                    4) lasagna
                    5) cougar slayer

                    we won’t even go to the bottom five

                    • Grey

                      Grey says:
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                      1-5 — Yup! Haha… Foil melts on tomatoes, how did I not know this having an Italian mother? Seriously!

                  • J-FOH says:
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                    @Grey: you got to pitch the tent so the acid doesn’t touch the foil

                    • Grey

                      Grey says:
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                      Yeah, my shizz went limp and was touching…

                  • J-FOH says:
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                    @Grey: spoiler alert. Knowing me is in your bottom 5 and top 50

                    • Grey

                      Grey says:
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                      Top 10!

                  • J-FOH says:
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                    @Grey: I read Kid A’s suggestion of parchment and that is the best way, but pitching a foil tent is funnier

                    • Grey

                      Grey says:
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                      I also heard you can do Saran Wrap (plastic wrap if you buy it at a dollar store or Whole Foods)… But you need to make sure to remove plastic wrap prior to reheating…

                  • J-FOH says:
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                    @Grey: wow I was waiting on my Christmas CD, but I see you wanted to give me my gift over the net. Thanks for that

                    • Grey

                      Grey says:
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                      Ha!

                  • J-FOH says:
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                    @Grey: yeah you can, I have used it when I slow cook my pork shoulders

                    • Grey

                      Grey says:
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                      Damn, that sounds delicious… Why am I always hungry?

                  • J-FOH says:
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                    @Grey: that’s a good question. I would think you would be fatter. But noooooooo ! Instead you are the size of 11 year old me.

                    • Grey

                      Grey says:
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                      You wish you were this skinny at 11!

                  • J-FOH says:
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                    @Grey: I could probably out bench press you at 11

                    • Grey

                      Grey says:
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                      Yeah, that’s true

  10. McNulty says:
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    why so low on Pearce?

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Cause he’s not very good

      • McNulty says:
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        @Grey:

        doesn’t take a British detective with a slightly off American accent to get that part. I was wondering what specifically makes you think he won’t repeat his stats

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          He’s old and had never done anything remotely close to it before

  11. SheriffMcRawDawg says:
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    Hey Grey – love the stuff as always.

    I’m wondering if you/anyone can help a brother out – this year, I’m adopting a relatively crap team in a 12-team keeper league (30-man rosters), where players are kept in the round they were drafted in with a 4 year max. 8 players can be kept from year to year w/ a max of 4 non-drafted FAs. FA’s can be kept in the 25th round for the first year, and then the 10th round the 2nd year, and cannot be kept a 3rd year, so there’s really an emphasis on holding on to drafted players.

    Here’s a list of the end of season roster with the round these guys were drafted in.

    2 Reyes – can be kept 4 more times
    3 Josh Hamilton – 4x
    4 Zobrist – 4x
    5 Phillips 4x
    6 Cruz – 4x
    7 Gattis – 4x
    9 Trumbo – 2x
    10 Gray – 4x
    12 Carl Crawford – 4x
    14 Janssen – 3x
    18 Chris Davis – 2x
    21 Lorenzo Cain – 4x
    23 Moss – 4x
    26 Dickey – 2x
    29 Masterson – 3x

    Here are the only 2 notable FA’s that ended up on my team:
    – Jesse Hahn
    – Dallas Keuchal

    I’m pretty sure I’m leaning:
    Cruz, Trumbo, Gray, C. Davis, Lorenzo, Moss for the first 6…

    BUT for the last 2 spots, I’m wondering if I should keep Gattis in the 7th/Dickey in the 26th (not a big fan of his)/Masterson in the 29th (ditto), or either/both of Hahn and Keuchal as FA’s (would be kept as 25th and 24th rd the first year, and then plummet to 10th and 9th rd the next, with no 3rd year option)

    Or keep early round guys, using later picks on prospects/or not keep all 8 and try to draft for the future… first year in this format for me.

    ANYTHING is appreciated fellas, sorry this has been so long winded!

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Hahn, Keuchel…

      • SheriffMcRawDawg says:
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        @Grey: thanks man. and you knew there’d be a follow up – I should mention it’s a 2 catcher as well – does that change anything with Gattis? I know 7th is steep but for bombs at catcher it might not be too bad (?). Another thought for Hahn and Keuchel, I could throw them back into the pool and see where I could grab one of them, considering the restrictions on FA keepers – as much as I hate him, Dickey is good value there afterall.

        Also – Wily Peralta could be kept as a FA if that changes anything..

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          Forget Gattis and Dickey…

          • SheriffMcRawDawg says:
            (link)

            @Grey: sweet that’s exactly what I needed. a decisive kick in the ball. thanks man

            • Grey

              Grey says:
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              No problem

  12. SteveNZ says:
    (link)

    Man, being back at work blows.

    I preferred not having a job and hanging out in LA.

    • Sky

      Sky says:
      (link)

      That last sentence describes so many people…

      • SteveNZ says:
        (link)

        @Sky: Ha, very true.

        “I’m an actor, actually. Just waiting for the right role.”

        • Sky

          Sky says:
          (link)

          There are some very talented waiters down there I’ve heard.

          • SteveNZ says:
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            @Sky: All the stars that never were are parking cars and pumping gas, apparently.

            • Sky

              Sky says:
              (link)

              or writing about fantasy sports…OOOOOOOOOOOOOOHHHHHHHHHHH

              • Grey

                Grey says:
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                Hey!

                • Sky

                  Sky says:
                  (link)

                  Admit it, you’re proud. Still better than the Scott Schwartz life!

                  • Grey

                    Grey says:
                    (link)

                    Anything’s better, no?

                    • Sky

                      Sky says:
                      (link)

                      approval ratings tell me being the president might actually be worse. Thanks Obama!

                    • Grey

                      Grey says:
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                      Haha..Nice…

                  • J-FOH says:
                    (link)

                    @Sky: thats raycess

              • J-FOH says:
                (link)

                @Sky: I couldn’t got it as a grip…nor a gaffer

                • Sky

                  Sky says:
                  (link)

                  Should’ve tried being a DGAF’er

                  • J-FOH says:
                    (link)

                    @Sky: I have but, I love puppies and kitties too much. I always fail the animal cruelty part of the test

                  • J-FOH says:
                    (link)

                    @Sky: WTF!!! that’s a f**king cat and I said KITTIES!!!!!

                    • Sky

                      Sky says:
                      (link)

                      Do we have to go Chris Hansen on your animal preferences?

                  • J-FOH says:
                    (link)

                    @Sky: you need a good kick in the nuts

                    • Sky

                      Sky says:
                      (link)

                      That’s a new year’s resolution for many.

                  • J-FOH says:
                    (link)

                    @Sky: I’ve done it to myself but you need to be able to jump a little and do it on a hot day…or at least when your body temp is high, like after a hot tub or bath

                    • Sky

                      Sky says:
                      (link)

                      I’ve got hops. Could dunk a ball once long ago.

                  • J-FOH says:
                    (link)

                    @Sky: I could touch the rim many moons ago

            • J-FOH says:
              (link)

              @SteveNZ: who the hell has someone pump their own gas…unless you live in Oregon

              • SteveNZ says:
                (link)

                @J-FOH: Burt Bacharach and Hal David, I guess.

                • J-FOH says:
                  (link)

                  @SteveNZ: they probably have drivers that pump it for them

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Sounds like my life!

  13. zombie says:
    (link)

    Planned on considering Arcia if a late round bargain; but tareting a Twin is a difficult sell. Solid projections though. Need to search if you’ve covered Avisail (who I confuse with Arcia) again this season. Still like him? Going to be on him like John du Pont on a young rassler. Seen Foxcatcher yet? Dark, creepy shizz. & Carrell is unrecognizable.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Yeah, didn’t love Foxcatcher… It was all right, never stopped thinking it was Carrell with a big nose… I like Avisail, for sure… He’ll be getting some love shortly…

  14. JeF With 1 F says:
    (link)

    Pfft

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Ha

      • JeF With 1 F says:
        (link)

        @Grey: Now that football is officially over im all yours

        • Grey

          Grey says:
          (link)

          You come bearing gifts? No, bearing, not baring!

          • Jef with 1 f says:
            (link)

            @Grey: ha..I bring to you my ben stiller avitar…Wet Tail…and all new facts of the day…please accept my gifts

            • Grey

              Grey says:
              (link)

              Ha, thanks!

  15. J-FOH says:
    (link)

    I like how we get gifts for Christmas and then crap for the new year. Its so misleading…stupid life

    • Jef with 1 f says:
      (link)

      @J-FOH: I’m going to renew my love for you this year

      • J-FOH says:
        (link)

        @Jef with 1 f: you can start by adding an f like a normal person and drop the weird chick spelling.

        • Jef with 1 f says:
          (link)

          @J-FOH: Ha…there’s my boy

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Deep Thoughts with JFOH

      • J-FOH says:
        (link)

        @Grey: My January to February is just f***********king awful. Stupid commission based job. But on the bright side, Magoo is planning either a Vegas trip for NFBC live draft or spring training trip and we are gonna hang. Is it weird that meeting a guy in person that I met over the net as a highlight of my year? hhmmm let me think about that, well I think I already answered that. From meeting sky and you in 2013, Nick Capozzi, Steve NZ, and Royce! in 2014, Magoo in 2015? Holy f**k nuts, my life is just a carousel of meeting men on the internet then going and hanging out with them. Jesus Cristo, I went to Capozzi’s motel room. And it all revolved around a fantasy site. If I had to explain this to 15 year old me and leaving out the sports part he would ask me two questions. 1) are we gay in the future? 2) what is the internet? I think I need a new hobby, I’m going to go back to fixing up cars

        • Grey

          Grey says:
          (link)

          HA! That’s a top 5 comment…

          • SteveNZ says:
            (link)

            @J-FOH: @Grey: You’re not alone. It was probably the highlight of my year too.

            • J-FOH says:
              (link)

              @SteveNZ: I have a friend going to Australia right now. I asked if he was going to be in new Zealand and he said only for a few hours. If I would of known I would of had him bring beer. But it probably wouldn’t of made it. He’s staying in some mansion out there as his buddy works on production on some
              tattoo TV show. I guess it’s like LA INK in Australia.

              Either way it was a highlight for sure with the posse we rolled with that night.

          • J-FOH says:
            (link)

            @Grey: *drops laptop*

            • Grey

              Grey says:
              (link)

              *picks up laptop, answers to baby’s mama for dropping laptop*

              • J-FOH says:
                (link)

                @Grey: I just got Robin Ventura’d for that

                • Grey

                  Grey says:
                  (link)

                  Ha

        • Big Magoo

          Big Magoo says:
          (link)

          @J-FOH: What are you saying? That it would be gay of me to bring my Scott Schwartz dvd collection with me to the hotel?

          • J-FOH says:
            (link)

            @Big Magoo: only if you want to watch it together…after drinking….in a hot tub…with male masseuses rubbing our shoulders…feeding each other dark chocolate dipped berries. Then it’s gay. Any other way and it’s not.

        • Jef with 1 f says:
          (link)

          @J-FOH: That might be the best thing you’ve ever said

        • Jef with 1 f says:
          (link)

          @J-FOH: just want till the day that me and Grey meet and make lasagna and pizza in his pizza oven…while talking about Giancarlo and Wet tail…now that’s gonna be gay…gay means happy right?

          • J-FOH says:
            (link)

            @Jef with 1 f: coming from you no. It means west Hollywood gay.

            • Jef with 1 f says:
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              @J-FOH: You say that to all the boys

        • royce! says:
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          @J-FOH: Hahaha so brilliant…I concur with Steve NZ’s comment – best year ever!

          • J-FOH says:
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            @royce!: thank you royce. It was a magical month from the tour stop in San Diego and the almost fights at the bar to Steve and his merry trip to the land of lost angels.

  16. goon squad says:
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    In a 6×6 league (OPS) with 5 keepers, would you want javy baez or corey dickerson as your 5th keeper?

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Dickerson

  17. Montezuma's Revenge... right now says:
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    ok, out since Nov 28th, what’s up with Nick? I know he’s not pulling a Guru (and i’ve talked to you guys in person about him), but is it something to that effect?

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      He was in a car accident…

      • Montezuma's Revenge... right now says:
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        @Grey: jesus, that’s awful. tell him we hope he’s not permanently f’ed or worse (if worse he couldn’t be told anything)

  18. J-FOH says:
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    are you a fan of vietnamese sandwiches? I love those things and they are always super cheep.

  19. crash davis says:
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    Dynasty draft. Kennys or Souza. And I currently have no 1b. 12 team league

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