“I’m glad I’m getting some company.”  Easy there, Brett LawrieOswaldo Arcia is only up to post-post-hype status.  Still has a long way until he has nine posts before his hype.  “Are you sure he didn’t have post-op surgery?”  No, Lawrie, now run along and into a wall.  Arcia you later!  Thanks, pun punch and your floating fruit!  I’d run away with you and get married, but I cantaloupe.  Last year, Arcia had 20 homers, one steal and a .231 average.  Someone hit the snooze button, I’m gonna take a power nap.  *claps hands* Couldn’t sleep, but I had an idea to look deeper at his numbers.  Well, not that much deeper, just slightly deeper.  He had 20 homers in only 103 games and 372 ABs.  In that few ABs, the only ones with 20 homers are George Springer, Steve Pearce, Tulowitzki and Evan Gattis.  Pearce?  Well, let’s throw him out for, um, ever.  Springer, Tulo and Gattis all have big-time power.  They’re thirty homer guys if healthy and chalking up 500+ ABs.  Don’t believe Arcia belongs in that company?  Arcia, wouldn’t want to be ya!  Anyway, what can we expect of Oswaldo Arcia in 2015 fantasy baseball and what makes him a sleeper?

Let’s get out of the way early the one thing Oswaldo has going against him that can’t be fixed:  he plays for the Twins and his home games are in the Hubert H. Homerfree Retrodome.  Sure, you can turn the TV to the Twins only when Arcia is batting if you own him.  There’s an app for that!  But he’s still surrounded by a team that doesn’t look great on paper.  Unless, of course, that paper lists the top teams with runs scored from last year.  On that paper, the Twins don’t look awful.  I still don’t think they’re going to be one of the top producing teams, which should limit his runs and RBIs to around 70 at best and 60 at worst.  Let’s also get out of the way my least favorite aspect of Arcia’s game:  his splits give me the shakes, which sounds like a tagline for Friendly’s, but isn’t.  Last year, he hit .198 vs. lefties with 3 homers. I just threw up in my mouth, spit it on my window and it formed the word, “Yuck.”  With Gardy gone, Molitor may opt to make Arcia a platoon player and at that point, his sleeperness and value will have went kerboom.  Another negative (I swear there will be positives at some point), Arcia now has back-to-back seasons with a 31% K-rate in the major leagues.  Another negative– I keed, I keed.  That’s it with the negatives.  Oswaldo is only 23 years old, has 30+ homer power and other lefties couldn’t hit lefties either when they first came up.  Former Twin, Justin Morneau, was one, even Big Papi had his share of troubles vs. lefties.  If Oswaldo can hit in the .260’s vs. lefties as he did in the minors, he’s a .280+ hitter with 30 homers and some 3-5 steal speed.  Whew, finally, there’s Oswaldo!  Lost him for a second with his stupid striped matchy-matchy outfit.  For 2015, I’ll conservatively give him the projections of 65/27/68/.242/3 with room for upside.  At his age and what will be his draft range, I’d definitely take a flyer on him.

 
  1. Greyismyhero says:
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    Im still smoking….Carry on now……

    SMOKE THE GREEN!

  2. Greyismyhero says:
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    O, and great read Grey..:)

  3. JeF With 1 F says:
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    Never got back to you about the pizzas the other day…I cooked them in my oven at 500…That pizza oven you got sounds like the way to go though

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      @JeF With 1 F: It’s called a Pizzeria Pronto, look it up if you get a chance… It’s crazy intense, that I feel like every time I start it, I could burn down my city block… It goes up to like 700 degrees I think… The pizza cooks in under ten minutes… BTW, I had to throw out half my lasagna… The foil melted on it, have you ever heard of this? The foil literally melted all over the top…

      • Kid A says:
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        @Grey: it’s the foil reacting to the acidity of the lasagne. Put parchment paper between the lasagne and the foil.

        Also, avoid covering a metal dish with foil when baking as it can trigger the rapture. And Jesus hates lasagne.

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          Yeah, Googled it after it happened, but obviously was too late by that point… Oh, well, prolly saved me about 35,000 calories… It was so delicious though!

          • Kid A says:
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            @Grey: always looking on the albright side of life.

      • JeF With 1 F says:
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        @Grey: Yeah im going to look into that thanks…never had foil melt but Kid sounds like he knows his stuff on that so ill go with what he said.

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          Yeah, it melted, craziest thing I’ve seen…

  4. stonepie says:
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    i plan on drafting him in every league. i think he’s another brandon moss type- play vs all righties, bench vs all lefties.

  5. Mr. Han's Militant Vegans says:
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    Ha! Melon jokes… who says fruit and veggies can’t be funny.

      • J-FOH says:
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        @Grey: you kale me Grey, now lets see Oswaldo turnip that power!

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          Keep dropping them this fast, I’m gonna need to ketchup.

          • J-FOH says:
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            @Grey: lettuce take a moment to reflect

            • Grey

              Grey says:
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              For world peas…

              • de nachos says:
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                @Grey: and peas on herbs

                • Sky

                  Sky says:
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                  And good dill towards men

                  • de nachos says:
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                    @Sky: that’s what the curious pickle said…wait, what?

                • Grey

                  Grey says:
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                  Haha

                  • Mr. Han's Militant Vegans says:
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                    @Grey: HAHA! There isn’t mushroom for any more veggie puns.

                    • Grey

                      Grey says:
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                      Nice!

  6. J-FOH says:
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    So I watched this movie called Trust Me last night with the baby’s mama. About 40 minutes of it were good and the rest was alright with a terrible ending. Have you seen it?

    • Kid A says:
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      @J-FOH:

      Sounds delightful.

      Go see birdman. Thank me later.

      • J-FOH says:
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        @Kid A: it was on my when on cable list to watch

      • Grey

        Grey says:
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        See Nightcrawler, Kid A

        • Kid A says:
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          @Grey: that’s next on my list. You have a top five for 2014? I’ve got a couple days to park my eyeballs in a theater.

          Not a huge fan of horror, but that Babadook looks like fun.

          • Grey

            Grey says:
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            Top 5: Boyhood, A Most Violent Year, Instellar (have to see in theater), Whiplash, Nightcrawler… Lots of good ones this year though… Birdman, Locke, Citizen Four, Imitation Game, Selma… Prolly forgetting a few…

            • Kid A says:
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              @Grey: word up. Had forgotten about violent year. Should roll out at Kabuki or Castro in SF.

              • Grey

                Grey says:
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                I’ve seen a movie every day for the last month, just ask if you have any that I didn’t mention…

            • ryan says:
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              Thanks for the 20 minute soiree into watching each of these trailers. NightCrawler looks awesome. I love the movies that Gylenhaal has been acting in lately; Prisoners, Enemy.
              Selma also looks like a must see.

              • Grey

                Grey says:
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                No problem… Yeah, Nightcrawler is amazing… Great guy flick…

      • de nachos says:
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        @Kid A: a remake of Brewster McCloud?

        • Kid A says:
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          @de nachos: Brewster’s Millions actually. With Pryor’s part played by a parakeet.

          • de nachos says:
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            @Kid A: i wonder if The Toy aged well.

            • Grey

              Grey says:
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              Not when you think the kid is now in porn…

              • de nachos says:
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                @Grey: in porn?! the kid who plays Master Bates? oh ok ha i get it…

                • Grey

                  Grey says:
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                  Same kid from Christmas Story… Flick… Scott Schwartz… I think, at least… I might just be defaming him…

                  • de nachos says:
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                    @Grey: ohmy, and the google says you are correct, sir.

                    • Sky

                      Sky says:
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                      Grey only knows because he wrote the script for ‘The Sex Toy’

                    • Grey

                      Grey says:
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                      Hey, work for hire!

                    • Sky

                      Sky says:
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                      That’s Scott Schwartz motto!

                    • Grey

                      Grey says:
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                      Ha!

                    • Grey

                      Grey says:
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                      Yeah, thought so…

                  • Big Magoo

                    Big Magoo says:
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                    @Grey: “It might have been Flick. Real name might be, I don’t know, Scott Schwartz. Enjoys reverse cowgirl, possibly.” That’s an awful lot of correct “guesses” there, Grey…

                    • Grey

                      Grey says:
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                      Total guesses!

                  • J-FOH says:
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                    @Grey: he takes triple dog to a whole new level

                    • Grey

                      Grey says:
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                      Don’t want to know where he’s got his tongue stuck

                  • J-FOH says:
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                    @Grey: he did teach Ralph “that” word!

                    • Grey

                      Grey says:
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                      Ha, true

                    • Big Magoo

                      Big Magoo says:
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                      @J-FOH: Those are some pretty stylish hangars. Looks like the handlebar might leave shoulder nipples on shirts though. Hate those…

                  • Big Magoo

                    Big Magoo says:
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                    @Grey: It would make a killer trophy. Who wouldn’t want that in his man room? Could swap it out for a razzball t-shirt if one of the four girl readers wins…

                    • Grey

                      Grey says:
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                      I kinda want one in every room… Cougs might kill me though

          • Big Magoo

            Big Magoo says:
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            @Kid A: What would play Candy? Maybe a vulture…

      • Birdmann says:
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        @Kid A: Listen to Kid A, J-Foh, come up and let’s see Mark at Lagunitis tommorrow.

        • Kid A says:
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          @Birdmann: they make you add the extra N after you lost the trademark suit?

          • Birdmann says:
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            @Kid A: still in court about it

            • Birdmann says:
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              @Birdmann: Nah, last name ends “mann” just keeping it real.

        • J-FOH says:
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          @Birdmann: as much as want to go see our buddy at Lagunitas, its a bit of a long ride. You can give my spot to Kid A

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Nah, I haven’t, but I saw Nightcrawler last night and I know going to the movies isn’t your thing or tough with a kid, but it was excellent… Really captured a weird side of LA…

      • Kid A says:
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        @Grey: I wouldn’t say movies aren’t his thing just because he tries to crawl inside the popcorn machine every time he goes.

        The man is not shy about his consumption.

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          Ha… Zing’d! Inherent Vice was disappointing, btw… If you haven’t already…

  7. phenomenot says:
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    If this is a baseball blog…
    Remember when everyone said Rizzo couldn’t possibly hit lefties because he struggled (kinda) that one year? Even though he hit left-handed pitching just fine in the minors? Do you think odds are good that Arcia turns it around like that?

    If this is a movie blog…
    Have you watched the film-essay ” Los Angeles Plays Itself”? If you are into movies, Los Angeles, or Architecture/Urban planning, its worth the time. I think you can find it on Netflix now.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Yeah, I think Arcia could do that, he’s young enough and wouldn’t write off his ability to make corrections… re: LA, nice, I’ll check it out on Netflix if it’s there…

  8. Big Magoo

    Big Magoo says:
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    In 356 big league plate appearances vs LHP prior to ’14, Rizzo produced a .194/.270/.347 triple slash line. Arcia’s is .224/.266/.347 across 259 PAs, though his plate discipline has been terrible against lefties (4.6% BB%, 31.7% K%). He needs to clean that up to improve upon his split issues.

    • Big Magoo

      Big Magoo says:
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      @Big Magoo: * Intended for phenomenot

  9. J-FOH says:
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    You never answered back about Trust Me, its a B ish flick. The reason I brought it up was because it’s about Hollywood agents an child actors. The games people lay to get roles and the scum bag agents. Like I sad before, about 40 minutes are worth watching

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Never seen it…

      • J-FOH says:
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        @Grey: you being in the biz, I figure you watch all those things

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          Junky movies? Nah…

          • J-FOH says:
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            @Grey: don’t be snobby

            • Grey

              Grey says:
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              My snobbery is like my 3rd best attribute!

              • J-FOH says:
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                @Grey: your hair and mustache are one and two or do they fall under the same category?

                • Grey

                  Grey says:
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                  Yup and yup!

                • Grey

                  Grey says:
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                  You hear about my lasagna fiasco? My Lasagnooooooo!