When acquiring players via FAAB, the mental mind f’ing is both exhilirating and annoying at the same time. Is that bid enough? I really want this player, but everyone is talking and writing about him, so the price will be high. I should probably go up a few dollars. Hmmm, maybe that’s not enough. 10? 20? Let’s see who else is likely to bid on him. Yeah, probably have to go up 50. But what if that’s too much? I could maybe get him for cheaper. Yeah, I’ll take it back down. Click. Click. Looks at bid. Click click down. I don’t want to end on a whole number though. Click. Click. I always end on 3 or 7. Click. Click. Oh, F it. Click Click Clickclickclickclickclickclickclickclick up. YOLO! This happens for in-demand players who are hot or have massive potential. Ryon Healy, on the other hand, is not hot and doesn’t have game-winning potential. In fact, he’s been dropped in 10.2% of ESPN leagues, to bring his ownership down to 52.2%. He’s been so bad that ESPN doesn’t even bother fixing the discrepancy in batting average on his player page and team starting lineup page. “Don’t sweat it, Tim. No need to fix. Who is going to be searching for Ryon Healy anyways?” Healy was smoking hot to start the season, as he hit two home runs in Japan and opened on a six-game hitting streak. Once the calendar flipped to April, outside of two games, it’s been a barren wasteland. Are we Healy done with Ryon?

The last two seasons, Healy has clubbed 25 and 24 home runs respectively. Good, not great, but there were only 48 players in all of baseball to hit at least 24 home runs last season, so there’s value. He doesn’t provide stolen bases and won’t walk much, but the contact rates are good and the strikeout rate is manageable. The two things that jumped out to me when digging into his numbers were the lefty/righty and home/away splits. Over his career, Healy has been good against both lefties and righties, with a slight lean in success against lefties. This year, the walk and strikeout rates are up, while the batting average is down against left-handed pitching. While he hasn’t hit a home run against a lefty yet, he does have three doubles. The main thing, though, is that he’s only had 17 plate appearances against left-handed pitching, which computes to 16% of his plate appearances. For perspective, over his career, that number is 26%. His perceived futility against lefties should…..poof….disappear as the season progresses.

As for the home/road splits, Healy has been flat out bad at home. Strikeout rate is up, average is down, and all the power numbers are down. Let’s see, the Mariners have played 10 home games so far. In those games, they’ve faced Carlos Carrasco, Shane Bieber, Trevor Bauer, Gerritt, Cole, Justin Verlander, Wade Miley, Rick Porcello, Eduardo Rodriguez, Nathan Eovaldi, and Chris Sale. Tough. Throughout his career, Healy has been a better player at home, even though he played two years in Oakland. Last season, his first with Seattle, Healy was much better at home than on the road. As with the lefty/righty splits, things should turn around as more games are played.

We Healy should exhibit some patience with Ryon, as things should pick up as he gets more plate appearances. In addition, he does have multi-position eligibility (1B/3B).

TREASURE, BUT WITHOUT THE BLING

  1. Tom says:
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    Trade help……. in a keeper keep forever league….
    I get JD cano holland and RP Anderson from Miami
    Giving away Bieber Lucchesi Yates KDavis bogaerts

    • Son

      Son says:
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      I’d rather keep what you are planning to give away

  2. Dave D says:
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    I agree on Healy. He is streaky as hell but reliable on overall number if you just leave him in and can ignore the inconsistency. It’s tough not to over think and over manage. I’m better at that usually with hitters than pitchers. Pitcher blow ups can seem crushing (Yes, I’m looking at you Mike Fiers), but if a guy is healthy and has a good track record it’s usually best to stay patient. I’ve gotten better at that the last few years. I own Odubel lots and he is the same. He has like a 12-15 great games a year and like 50 bad ones but don’t overthink and dare bench him if he’s playing. I’m talking deep leagues like standard NFBC of course.

    • Son

      Son says:
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      Well said. More often than not, it’s prudent to remain patient. With that said, have to know when to fold em when an opportunity arises. What a beautiful game we play.

      • Dave D says:
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        Yeah. I used to daily roster change leagues but can’t manage that obsessively anymore. Knowing when to cut bait or bench is an art form more than science I think but a little of both. Not many of us master it really well but I try (but no too hard!).

        • Son

          Son says:
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          Ha! For sure. Definitely a skill, especially since each situation is unique.

          Personally, I prefer daily leagues over weekly leagues. Yes, it takes more work but I like having options and versatility. Plus, I’m obsessing over the game anyways so….

          • Dave D says:
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            Yeah, playing match ups can be super fun if you can afford the time… maybe I can do it again when the kids can fend for themselves. My brain gets overloaded more easily these days underneath the weight of holding up the world

            • Son

              Son says:
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              Totally understand, as I’ve got 2 young ones myself. Keep fighting the good fight.

  3. Don't be a Hader says:
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    Trash or Treasure?
    Dex Fowler-
    K.Kiermaier-
    I.Desmond-
    O.Herrera-
    J.Aguilar-

    • Son

      Son says:
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      Fowler – Trash
      KK – Treasure
      Desmond – Trash
      Herrera – Treasure
      Aguilar – Trash

      • Grey

        Grey says:
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        Fowler — Treasure! Please, Son, throw Grey a bone

        • Son

          Son says:
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          Everything that smells Fowler always goes into the trash!!!!

          .417 BABIP, career-high swinging strike rate, and is a murderer of gophers with that ground ball rate. P. U.

          • Grey

            Grey says:
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            I blame gravity for ground balls

            • Son says:
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              Stupid gravity! Get rid of “it” and I’m all good with it

              • Grey

                Grey says:
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                Or maybe he’ll start hitting while doing a handstand so everything he hits down goes up, I think you’re writing off this possibility

                • Son

                  Son says:
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                  Mind…..

                  Blown…….

                  That is why you are the Fantasy Master Lothario

                  • Grey

                    Grey says:
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                    I bow to you, Son-san

                    • Son

                      Son says:
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                      Are you upside down? Because I do I reciprocate?

                    • Grey

                      Grey says:
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                      Right side up but good looks

                    • Son

                      Son says:
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                      Why is water wet? Why is the sky blue? What is our purpose on Earth? All these questions pale in comparison to, “Which side is the right side up?”

                    • Grey

                      Grey says:
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                      The right side

                    • Son

                      Son says:
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                      You are not a nice man

                    • Grey

                      Grey says:
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                      What is…nice?

                    • Son says:
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                      My bad. You are ISIS

                    • Grey

                      Grey says:
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                      I is is nice!

  4. Shazam says:
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    Healy or a flyer on Chavis in a keeper league?

    • Son

      Son says:
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      I’d rather have Healy

  5. Edgar Gonzalez says:
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    I need some insight on a trade I was offered. Was offered Jd Martinez and Aj Pollock for Khris Davis and Charlie Blackmon. What’s the better pair for a keeper league. If I acquire JD I could keep JD for next years league and drop Kris Bryant since Bryant is my current keeper. Also have Mookie Betts and Yelich as my other 2 keepers.

    • Son

      Son says:
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      I’d rather have KD and Blackmon

  6. Andre says:
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    For My INF spot in a 10tm H2H categories league that uses OBP. Moustakas hasn’t played since his injury. My options are continue with him and wait it out till he’s back. Or drop him for Wong, McMahon, or Healy. Thoughts? I’m kind of leaning Wong…his batted ball data looks legitimately changed but any advice helps.

    • Son

      Son says:
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      McMahon for me

    • Son

      Son says:
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      McMahon for me

  7. Jacob Hartman says:
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    Hi Son,

    6X6 (OPS,QS)

    Who to drop for E-Rod?

    1. Grichuk
    2. Mazara
    3. Piscotty
    or
    4. Drop an IL guy – Olson or Upton (Upton is currently in IL spot)

    Thanks

    • Son

      Son says:
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      I like all those guys. If I had to choose, I’d probably go with Olson. Hamate bone injuries suck

      • Jacob Hartman says:
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        Cool. Thanks

        • Son

          Son says:
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          Anytime

  8. Mr. Met says:
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    Jeff McNeil…just an empty BA or are we going to see some pop and wheels?

    • Son

      Son says:
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      We should see some, but I wouldn’t expect anything extravagant. 10/10 guy

  9. Lone Ranger says:
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    Jose Leclerc…trash or treasure?

    • Son

      Son says:
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      Treasure for me. Control is always the issue, but he’s shown he can be dominant and miss bats. From what I’ve read, it seems like a tipping-his-pitches issue. I’m holding until he is no longer the closer

  10. Chucky says:
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    Good evening. Peraza with 2b eligibility languishing on WW. 12T keep10 forever with no contracts. Are we dropping Wendle, Kiki, McMahon, Hampson, Bauers or Lureano for him? I’m reasonably set in the OF with Mook, Stanton, Domingo, Buxton and Joc. I wish I had a set and forget 2b, I don’t.

    • Son

      Son says:
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      Ha! I feel your pain.

      I’d rather have Peraza than Hampson

  11. Benchson says:
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    Keeper league trade which side:

    Stripling, McNeil for Wheeler

    • Son

      Son says:
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      Wheeler

  12. Jc says:
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    1. Wheeler and Yuli for Justin Turner and Myers. Different positions. But just for value, do you prefer a side?

    2. Aguilar on my bench in 12 teamer. It is early but hard to watch him sit (harder to watch him play). I need a reliever. Is it crazy to drop him for Parker?

    • Son

      Son says:
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      Wheeler and Yuli

      As for Aguilar, tough. I responded that he was trash earlier, since I worry about potential playing time issues in the future. Plus, the team isn’t long-term committed to him. With that said, I think there’s too much potential there. I doubt 30 homers is in the cards, but 20+ is possible if things break right. Is he your worst player?

  13. Curious George says:
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    Would you be willing to part with Alonso (keepable in the 24th next year, but i have plenty of good keepers in our keep 3 league) and dejong for scherzer?

    • 183414 says:
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      Max hasn’t helped my teams in which I drafted him in the 1st round other than k’s. Alonso will hit 35 h.r.’s and DeJong been awesome. I’ll take those 2 and give you Max. Fortunately there’s no trading in nfbc.

    • Son says:
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      What’s rest of squad look like?

      • 183414 says:
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        My draft in order from the #6 slot:
        Yelich
        Story
        Cole
        Rendon
        Corbin
        Clevinger
        Torres
        Kimberly
        Olson
        L.Castillo
        A.Hicks
        Hader (@139)
        Rosario
        Alvarado
        Senzel
        Renfroe
        Musgrove
        Domingo
        May
        Zunino
        Cron
        Nelson
        Narvaez
        Parker
        Gibson
        Yolmer
        Leonys
        Minor

        Buys: Weaver-Lyles-Cole Tucker-McNeil-Nunez-Leurys-Vazquez

        • Son

          Son says:
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          That’s a nice squad 183!

          I wanted to know Curious George’s team though

          • 183414 says:
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            Sorry, buddy. Yeah, team is in 3d in 12 team nfbc. With reinforcements coming, I should be okay.

            • Son

              Son says:
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              All good. The squad looks good. Good luck!

  14. 183414 says:
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    Nice article. Thanks for letting me know (I never would have bothered, and that’s just plain dumb) about the starters he’s faced. Pretty crazy.
    I bid on him (overpaid- $31 to 0) on march 24 after I lost Olson. Still have Olson and happy he’ll be back in 2-3 weeks. Healy’s given me 16 runs/ 5 h.r.’s/17 r.b.i’s in 90 a.b.’s with a .233 b.avg., which I gladly take along with his pro-rated 100-30-100 production over his 90 a.b.’s for less than a month.
    Now, you’re convincing me not to drop him, based on pretty sound logic. This is a team with Kimberly, Hicks, Senzel, clebinger, and Olson on the bench. In addition to Renfroe, who the dumbass Pads should couple with Mejia. Jankowski, and any prospect not named Gore or Quantrill for Bauer, while they clearly have the right opportunity. Bauer will help bring them their 1st World Championship by 2021.
    Anyhow, I’d drop Renfroe before Healy given your article. Thanks.

    • Son

      Son says:
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      Thanks 183414! Maybe the most valuable asset for Healy is that he plays every day and accrues a ton of plate appearances.

      • 183414 says:
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        His “replacement” stats, other than b.avg., have been just fine.

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