There’s literally thousands of rookies to talk about this offseason, which is why this series is going deeper than usual. Will go over sleepers next, that’s my promise to you, which I say as I announce my 2024 presidential campaign over Zoom while not wearing pants. If you want me to put on pants, you’re gonna have to hold these two boba drinks. I only have two hands and I’m typing with my nosse–Dah! Stupid nose! Type better! A brief peak behind the curtain, I ask Prospect Itch for 15 or so rookies to highlight in my 2021 fantasy baseball rookies series, and he gives me 30, ranked, then I usually take the top 15. Luis Patino is nowhere near his top 15. He was ranked 30th on his 2021 fantasy baseball prospects for redraft leagues. Previously, Itch labeled Patino as a guy he was targeting for 2020. He thought he was a sleeper going into last year. Wha’ happened? I say like I’m in A Mighty Wind. RIP Fred Williard. Prospect Itch used to love Patino. Did he move on? Has he soured? Is Patino a scratch Itch can’t reach? Have thee wrought a fire from the depths of Itch’s belly that can’t be quenched with Welch’s Grape? Does Itch not drink from the nectar of the Gods — Welch’s Grape? What is wrong with Welch’s Grape???!!!??? So, I asked Itch why he’s not as excited by Patino and he said, “There was more guys I liked better, but I’m still on the bandwagon.” Or bandwagino, so to speak. Or even bandwagiño. So, what can we expect from Luis Patino for 2021 fantasy baseball?

Luis Patino throws 97 MPH with three pitches. Dude’s better than Paddack! Okay, I said it. *does a little dance* That’s right, I said it! Hey, iron sharpens iron, and by me simply comping Patino to Paddack it makes him better, even if he has no idea I made the comp. Okay, enough foolsies, Patino’s 97 MPH fastball is a 65 grade, which gets me interested, and he’s got a 60-grade slider and a solid-enough change. Pair this with pinpoint control and I’m falling over myself, pair it with wonky-at-times control and you have Patino. But I’m still interested! Let’s look at some video, kay?

Huh-Mah-Nah

Huh-Mah-Nah

Padres’ GM Preller has already said Patino should come to Spring Training ready to make the club’s rotation. Still time for the Padres to sign some rando vet like Drew Smyly, so I’m not holding out hope Patino really starts the year with the club. Still, I’d be shocked if he’s not up by June, and, honestly, would be surprised if it’s even that late. Expecting closer to April than June.

First off, after a ton of other nonsense, Prospect Hobbs wrote about 1200 words in his Luis Patino fantasy. Here’s a small snippet from PH’s post, “Even with just two refined pitches (and another two in the making), Patino has completely baffled right-handed hitters, as they produced a meager .163/.259/.220 slash against him in 2019. Clearly, Patino could step into a big league bullpen tomorrow and be elite. Like, ya know, the opposite of whatever Grey is.” Oh, man, cmon! By the by, we’re talking about a guy who just turned 21 years old in October, so I don’t even know if we know Patino’s ceiling yet. MacKenzie Gore and Patino about to carry the Padres to another playoffs appearance, and I’m here for it. New favorite team! Imagine me saying that five years ago. See, as I always say, I don’t dislike teams, it’s just sometimes I dislike what are being done with those teams. I ain’t a through thick and thin-type guy. I’m a fantasy baseball redraft shark and I must always move forward, or I die–Okay, what the hell am I talking about? Patino right! So, my projections are going to be a little meh, but when I say “with a chance for more” here, I really mean it. Patino feels like a guy I would draft late in all NFBC Draft and Hold type leagues and hope for “much more” and not just “more.” For 2021, I’ll give Luis Patino projections 5-7/4.34/1.33/94 in 88 IP with a chance for much more.

 
  1. Dave D says:
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    Nice write up. He was a great value at #462 in my recent DC. A good piggyback to owning Gore (or Lamet?). I almost drafted him. So many good values in that range…

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Thanks! Wow, that is great value…I’d take him and Gore in every draft that late

      • Grey

        Grey says:
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        That feels like two picks that will go up dramatically once we get into draft season

        • Dave D says:
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          Agreed. I’m rearing to get into another DC soon. The ADP’s are too good to resist…

          • Grey

            Grey says:
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            Have they shifted at all yet?

            • Dave D says:
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              Doesn’t seem so. I’ve got data on four drafts. If you want to know the range a player has gone within I’ll let you know. Patino went 332-470. Gore more consistently 240-249. I luckily got him the lastest he’s gone at 249.

              • Grey

                Grey says:
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                Where are you getting data from? Their site?

                • Dave D says:
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                  Yes, but I believe you have to have a team registered to access if I’m not mistaken.

                  • Grey

                    Grey says:
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                    What’s the link so I can check

                    • Grey

                      Grey says:
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                      Forget it, I found the ADP

                    • Dave D says:
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                      I’m probably entering either the next 30-min or 1-hour DC that fills. I’ve got the holiday Wednesday and I’d really like to have a draft going. Once you go faster it’s hard to slow down. I love these early’s. There are so many picks under the radar still.

                    • Grey

                      Grey says:
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                      Save up some of your energy for a Razzball one at the end of the month!

                    • Dave D says:
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                      Haha!! I’ll have plenty of “energy”. It’ll probably be my 3rd and final DC. Then I’ll probably do a M.E. Qualfier in Dec. Hopefully it doesn’t get wiped away this time.

                    • Grey

                      Grey says:
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                      Haha…I think we’re pretty much all systems go for 2021 baseball after they realized they could play a season this past year…Plus, vaccine maybe

                    • Grey

                      Grey says:
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                      Oh, and hearing DH in NL for this year

                    • Dave D says:
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                      Yeah, I think we’re good to go. Maybe even fans in stands if this vaccine actually is as effective as they procliam.

                    • Grey

                      Grey says:
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                      Yeah, I’m cautiously optimistic

                    • Dave D says:
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                      Its not set. It basically set and go. Im just going with what it gives me. My 1st preference is 1, last 15.

                    • Grey

                      Grey says:
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                      So many to choose from at #2

                    • Dave D says:
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                      I would take him #3 for sure. They are very close IMO.

                    • Grey

                      Grey says:
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                      Yeah, tough call, I think with no waivers, I might’ve went safer, and that’s Betts, but can’t fault it

                  • Grey

                    Grey says:
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                    Is it just what I’m seeing or does their ADP only have one draft included so far?

                    • Dave D says:
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                      I get 4. Sort back from “10-28-20 to 11-10-20” and you should get 4.

                    • Grey

                      Grey says:
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                      I’m getting a message that the date must be later than 11/1/2020 — hmm…It’s all so goofy anyway…I saw Ha-Seong Kim in the top 200 — after Tsutsugo, Shogo, Jung-Ho and others, I don’t trust KBO hitters at all

                    • Dave D says:
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                      Well, I have 4 drafts avail to view . KIm’s ADP is 229 with a range of 179-270. Pretty wide. I’m not drafting him. No way. I don’t even want Ohtani in top 300.

                    • Grey

                      Grey says:
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                      Yeah, I’m 100% out on any hitters coming from KBO, how many times do we have to be burned by them?

                    • Dave D says:
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                      That’s a good call. Merill Kelly was kinda ok, but look at Lindblom. Maybe the occasional arm, but not a viable talent pipeline. If I’m looking to a region for talent I’m all for Santo Domingo all the way. DR has my “most favored nation” status.

                    • Grey

                      Grey says:
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                      Yes, agreed…Canada is more of a talent pipeline, than the KBO

                    • Dave D says:
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                      I just signed up for my second. It went from 7/15 a couple hours ago to 12/15 now. Its a one hour, and I’m ready to rumble….

                    • Grey

                      Grey says:
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                      Haha, keep me posted on how it goes — living vicariously right now

                    • Dave D says:
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                      Ok, will do. Draft starts in twenty minutes!

                    • Grey

                      Grey says:
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                      Good luck!

                    • Grey

                      Grey says:
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                      What draft pick do you have?

                    • Dave D says:
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                      #2.

                      Cool!

                    • Grey

                      Grey says:
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                      Nice!

                    • Dave D says:
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                      The main event champ and former DC champ both in league

                    • Grey

                      Grey says:
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                      Oof

                    • Dave D says:
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                      I got Tatis #2. Acuna was 1.

                    • Grey

                      Grey says:
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                      Can’t argue with it, think I might’ve went Betts

  2. Prematurely took him last year in our draft and hold. In 2019 he logged 19 starts in the minors with 123 punchouts in 94 IP, and 2.57 / 1.130! Hard to believe he lasted until #462 DD. The Padres get an A for discovering this electric Columbian arm, he will be a good one. Nice choice brother-man!

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Appreciate you and him! Yeah, at 462 is a steal

    • Dave D says:
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      Yeah, Smitty. It’s a good time to be a SDP fan. One could draft their entire rotation 1-8 and probably be top three is P stats for their league. It’d be cheaper than CLE too.

  3. Dave D says:
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    Acuna, Tatis, Betts, TreaT. Some dude timing out with pick 5.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      I feel for that timed out guy, sometimes you sign up and don’t know a draft has started, which sucks

      • Dave D says:
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        He made it with 5 minutes to spare and took Dr. Pepper

  4. Harley Earl says:
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    Grey,

    I think you nailed this one. I think your projections are about right. He’s probably a year from really blossoming but he’ll show hints of it next season. He’ll get the kinks worked out and return for 2022 a stud.

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