2022 wasn’t fun in the standings for Kansas City fans, but in the long arc of time, 2022 was a good year for the organization. MJ Melendez, Vinnie Pasquantino and Brady Singer all emerged as first-division starters. Melendez even looks like a functional defensive outfielder. Bobby Witt Jr. is also here and good. Needs work on the approach but who doesn’t. Every season brings them closer to the post-Dozier era, which is only addition by subtraction because the team insists he’s an everyday player. New Manager Matt Quataro figures to come in like a kind wind after years with Mike Matheny. Might be some playing-time surprises in our near future.
1. SS Maikel Garcia | 23 | MLB | 2022
Rare player here. Fantasy-friendly profile. Easy-plus defense. Several paths to playing time. Favorable scouting reports. Only real hiccup is the awful home park, but aside from that, I’m struggling to understand the general vibe of disinterest I feel around Garcia in the echo chamber. In 40 games at Triple-A, Garcia hit seven home runs and stole 12 bases. You don’t have to be watching Numberblocks everyday to know that would be 28 home runs and 48 stolen bases over 160 games. The power is new, but that’s often the plan with skinny youngsters with barrel feel and strike-zone judgment. It’s all coming together perfectly on time for Garcia.
2. OF Tyler Gentry | 24 | AA | 2023
Tyler Gentry is following the Vinnie-P path, reducing his strikeouts while boosting his power output. The coaching in Kansas City has proven itself adept at strike-zone management, and the top two on this list are my next two bets on that development team. Gentry is 6’2” 210 lbs but remains quick enough to swipe some bases. He stole ten in 108 games across two levels last year, slashing .326/.422/.542 with 16 home runs, 66 strikeouts and 40 walks.
3. OF Drew Waters | 24 | MLB | 2022
TLC is in my head about not chasing this guy if he falls in drafts, but that’ll be easier said than done in our complicated outfield landscape. The 6’2” 185 lb switch-hitter was blocked on an Atlanta squad that’s moving too fast for a high-strikeout slow-burn developer, but he should get 500 or more plate appearances on a Kansas City team looking for a found-money spark. He smelled the opportunity and played well for the Royals, slashing .240/.324/.479 with five home runs (125 wRC+) in 32 major league games after posting a 149 wRC+ in 31 Triple-A games with KC. The strikeouts are scary, but Waters posted 17 home runs and 18 stolen bases in 122 games across two levels last year. You might not get much else, but the hope is you’ll get power, speed and playing time for a few seasons.
4. OF Gavin Cross | 22 | A | 2024
The club’s first pick this summer at 9th overall, Cross features plus power and an above average hit tool at 6’3” 210 lbs from the left side. He got to work right away as a professional, slashing .293/.423/.596 with seven home runs in 26 games at Low-A. Great match between player and org given his advanced approach and near-term opportunities in the lineup.
5. 2B Lizandro Rodriguez | 20 | A | 2026
Swing gets a bit slashy at times, but that’s partly because Rodriguez lets pitches get deep before he fires off a swing. When he triggers early, he can bring the thunder, as evidenced by his .573 slugging percentage in 25 complex league games. The numbers support this one, especially the easy-plus plate skills he’s put on paper across three levels, but I should say this is largely an eyeballs take by me. I haven’t seen Rodriguez mentioned much elsewhere. He’s a 5’11” 180 lb switch hitter who looks dynamic from both sides of the plate, dynamic on the bases, dynamic in the field. Get him where you can fit him. We’re early now, but I’ve been seeing these reads get old early for a couple years now. People have asked me a few times for my next Vaughn Grissom type lede, and I’ve been saying Matt Mervis since that started. That window’s closing. Grissom window might be sliding open again. Rodriguez might be a few years away, but he’s in this bucket for me where I couldn’t find much validation for my early thoughts on the player for a while before suddenly I was swimming in it.
6. 3B Cayden Wallace | 21 | A | 2026
Sounds like a Nascar driver to me. Born into a family of ballplayers, Wallace was selected 49th overall in the 2022 draft and hit well in Low-A, slashing .294/.369/.468 with an 18 percent strikeout rate and eight stolen bases in 27 games. He only got caught once. Speed isn’t the calling card, but it’s nice to see him utilize it in-game at 6’1” 205 lbs. Plus hit with above average power and a good approach will carry Wallace through the levels.
7. OF IF Nate Eaton | 26 | MLB | 2022
Quataro coming from the Rays, I’m eager to see how he sees Nate Eaton: a Jack of all trades with an 80-grade arm. My theory is that he’ll play more than Nicky Lopez this year, so big wow to that, I suppose, but Eaton does have a little bit of power and a lot of speed. He hit 15 home runs and stole 34 bases in 135 games across three levels. I’m not saying we should all be in on this guy. I just think he’s too interesting to ignore.
8. 2B Samad Taylor | 24 | AAA | 2023
In 157 games across Double and Triple A the past two seasons, Samad Taylor has hit 25 home runs and stolen 53 bases. He’s probably not that type of player in the majors, of course, but it’s a fun look at the flashes Taylor can provide on a day-to-day basis. On the one hand, it’s good he got out of Toronto because he wasn’t going to play there. On the other, he’ll play in a park that’s probably too big for him, assuming he can crack the lineup at some point.
9. OF Junior Marin | 19 | CPX | 2027
Marin was a hot name about this time last year on the strength of a noisy DSL season and some scouts-eyes stuff that mentioned him here and there. He struck out 17.1 percent of the time over that dominant DSL stretch but scuffled early in complex ball this year and wound up with a 30.1 percent strikeout rate. He got better over the 30-game sample and posted a 120 wRC+ despite the whiffs. This hitting development team has proven a knack for helping hitters manage the strike zone, so I’m optimistic on Marin.
10. SS Nick Loftin | 24 | AAA | 2024
I wanted to put Dairon Blanco here, but I’ve got enough skepticism about how the club sees him that I’ll go with Loftin, a solid speed prospect in his own right. A versatile defender at 6’1” 190 lbs, Loftin should be able to slide around any kind of playing time blocks in his path if he’s hitting the ball hard enough. He hit 17 home runs and stole 29 bases in 128 games across two levels last year, but he was much less productive at Triple-A (69 wRC+) than he was at Double-A (100 wRC+). Other names I considered here: OF Diego Hernandez, C Carter Jensen, OF Darryl Collins and LHPs Asa Lacy and Frank Mozzicato. Might really help them to have some new voices in the organization.
Thanks for reading!
I’m @theprospectitch on Twitter and Reddit.
Itch,
So I was cross referencing your rankings with the new Fantrax Dynasty top 400. Maybe I’m blind or something, but Garcia does not appear in Fantrax’s top 400. I used their name-search option and nothing popped up after I had scrolled through the list three times. Is this an omission on their part or does Garcia not profile as a valuable dynasty piece for the long-term?
Hi, Harley,
Yeah I think it’s just an echo chamber thing.
I feel like Garcia had more hype last winter because he was young and didn’t strike out in the lower minors than he has this winter when he’s showing power, speed, contact and defense in the upper levels. I’d say it’s baffling to me, but I’ve played with a lot of chamber folks over the years, and it doesn’t surprise me at all. A lot of the rankings look like the goal is to replicate an chamber-accurate snapshot of the echo chamber right now. Gavin Cross is number one here if that’s the goal.
Bit of a tangent not directly related to the Garcia piece, but I feel like I learn a lot about a fantasy or prospect writer/ranker when I see their play-style up close. Some people are out here trying to win. Some people barely touch their teams, barely make any moves, which makes you wonder where they’re tracking the dynamic landscape of player development if not in their own transaction pages. There’s so much happening all the time on a day-to-day basis in dynasty that it baffles me how little movement happens on some big name teams. You could say people get busy, but it’s so easy now on fantrax to check for a player and add him where you can that it’s a bit flimsy. Plus, I’m thinking of dynasty leagues where the game only moves once per week on a Sunday night. Not that hard to place a few claims.
Good howdy morning/afternoon/evening/nightmare/litchening/rapture, Itch! Really need some help on deciding my keepers this year. League attributes:
14-team, 26-roster spot, keep 12 players forever with no penalties
H2H 7×7 with OBP/TB and QS/L added
What would you suggest to do to my Keeper List to get keepers down to 12:
Keepers
1 Bryce Harper
2 Paul Goldschmidt
3 Manny Machado
4 Gunnar Henderson
5 Corbin Carroll
6 Jazz Chisholm
7 Vinnie Pasquantino
8 Jordan Walker
9 Tyler O’Neill
10 Anthony Volpe
11 Jackson Chourio
12 Max Scherzer
13 Nick Lodolo
—————-
(Probably) Not Keeping
Byron Buxton
MJ Melendez
Vaughn Grissom
James Wood
Aaron Ashby
Brady Singer
Josh Jung
Thanks!!
Howdy, howdy!
Really dug your opener there : )
So the forever no penalties is my priority in a league like this. Roster construction can sort of ride side saddle to the goal of finding the twelve most monstrous monsters.
I like your list a lot through that lens. O’Neill and Lodolo probably miss the cut for me. Volpe’s on the bubble. Scherzer is kind of where rubber meets road on that monsters thing. I’d hold onto him.
I want to find room for Grissom, Wood, and maybe Singer if I can. I realize the OBP piece dings Buxton, but I’d prefer to have him if I can.
So I’ll leave the top 8 alone then go
9 Scherzer
10 Chourio
11 Wood
12 Grissom
So that means I’m looking to trade Volpe today if I can. Don’t have to, of course, and I don’t know what you can trade for in the league, but if you can move players for draft picks from the players leftover by the teams, I’m all about that. I suspect it’s not easy in the league because everyone wants to do it, but not everyone is offering a Volpe or O’Neill or Lodolo . . .player w name value that transcends the value of their stats.
I’d want to bring Singer back so wouldn’t be trading him.
Couple questions for you sir, would you trade Luis Matos for Sixto? I really could use the pitching but I like Matos a lot. Will sixto ever be healthy?
My dynasty league I need to trim my roster by a few. At least 4 have to go. My offense is win now but my pitching is kind of weak. Who would you drop/trade or hold out of these guys. As you can see I follow your posts pretty regularly lol.
Luis Garcia wash, Jose barrero, nick pratto, Josh lowe, Luis matos, estuary ruis, oswaldo perazza, Spencer Streer, Emmanuel Valdez, Grant McCray, Oscar colas, Brett baty, Juan yepez, leody Tavares, Kyle brandish (don’t know why I think he’s going to be good), Braxton Garrett, MacKenzie gore and Danny Jimenez rp oak.
Thanks for your time!
Hi, Jake from State Farm,
I’d hold Matos there. Like you say, no idea about the outlook on Sixto.
Cuts for me given the need for pitching:
Barrero
Steer
McCray (think you can get him back cheap)
Jimenez (same deal, think he’s cheap if you want him back)
then if you need more I’d cut Pratto and maybe Lowe
Thanks for reading!
Morning Itch! Windy Day here in Oregon! Hope the power stays on. Another Great List! Thank you!
So, do you think Maikel’s Defense and bat are good enough to supplant Witt to 3B or will most likely be in a utility role?
up
Have a FA/FYP draft coming up. I have 6 picks in the draft. How would you rank these players?
Tyler Gentry
Makiel Garcia
Zack Neto
Cayden Wallace
Gavin Cross
Cam Collier
Oscar Colas
Chase DeLauter
Starting 2nd year of a rebuild and looking for players on the fast track I pick 9th, 20th, and 26th and also have 3 picks in the 3rd round that I will use for
longer term prospects.
Mornin, junior56!
I don’t think Garcia is pushing Witt to third right away. Probably not at all. But he is the better defender there right now and figures to stay that way. For now, he’s looking at a utility role with an inside lane on the 2B gig.
Colas
Neto
Garcia
Gentry
DeLauter
Collier
Cross
Wallace
I might try to trade up for Colas if he slips at all.
Garcia and Gentry will be basically free. Could move them down the list (below Collier) and play the ADP game if you’d like. I probably would if I had the roster spots to spare.
Yeah I would love to grab Colas but think he should be one of the top 4 picks… but you never know
Morning Itch,
Delving into baseball, as fantasy football is a wrap! Not a KC question, but does involve a couple of rookie of the year candidates for the upcoming year. Admittedly still early, but curious your take on my roster build.
League Context: ESPN, 6 player keeper (no limits), weekly, head to head, 5X5 (standard categories), start C/1B/2B/3B/SS/5OF/1 Utility/5SP’s/4RP’s/6 player bench.
Options: Acuna, Bichette(SS), Tucker, Witt jr(SS/3B), Ohtani (U/SP – must be declared a bat or an arm at beginning of week), Robert (OF), Carroll (OF), Gunner (SS/3B), McClanahan (SP), Scherzer (SP), Clase (RP)
Challenge – my heart wants to keep Carroll and Henderson … am I crazy? I can explore trades, packages for upgrades, maybe collect some extra pick etc.
Curious your take on my roster build and keeps, thanks Itch, you da best!?
Mornin, Dr Sauce,
Makes sense to wanna keep em, imo. I just don’t see where the cuts come from.
I’d probably put Carroll over Witt, which would make the six spot a choice between Witt, Gunnar and Robert. I’d probably prefer to keep Robert and would be shopping the other two. Fun spot. Love the build.
Great article! Maikel is still available in my rookie draft and I’m 5 picks away. Now I have someone to target for my last pick!
Any thoughts on bubba Thompson fantasy outlook for KC this year. Wondering if I should stash him in a minors spot for this year or cut bait
Thanks! Nice timing on that!!
I’d stash Bubba for now if I could just to see how that outfield shakes out in Texas. He could take a job in Spring and hold it.
Morning itch! Happy Sunday…13 team dynasty 5×5…we have 6 minor league slots..right now I have Colas-Masyn Winn-Addison Barger-Gavin Stone-Gavin Williams and Pfaadt..would like to fit In Franco somehow..but not at the risk of these guys! Thoughts? You and Jakkers are the best in the biz!
Thanks, Jimmy!
The nice thing about Garcia, assuming he’s Franco here, is that he’s free. Nobody else cares. Can just wait around and scoop him late.
Maikel had some sparkling numbers in Venezuela league. Walked more than K’d, .942 OPS, 10SB, 4HR. I’m in with my last pick.
Thanks for the info! Comin’ together in a hurry for Garcia!
Happy New Year The Itch,
I have been holding Liover Peguero in a tight 16 team roto league for two years. I know he won’t come up until at least 2024. Do you think Garcia is an upgrade for this year and for the long haul?
From what I have read and seen, Peguro is fast (SB) and is about a .250ish hitter who will stick at SS. Pittsburgh has Oneil, Castro, and Bae in front of him.
I saw Garcia against the Yankees where he was a hitting machine (small sample size.) He is about a .270 hitter with not as much speed as Peguero, but better OBP… Garcia has Witt, Mondesi, and Lopez in front of him.
I guess I am asking which is the smarter dynasty player?
Can I get anything for Peguero if I make the switch? (Rationalizing this makes me think Garcia is the better selection.)
Yeah I think we’re on the same page that Garcia is the better fantasy asset at the moment.
Not sure what Peguero trades for these days. Doesn’t feel like it’d be much. He’s a good prospect still imo, but they’ve got so many guys there.
Oh and Happy New Year, Joe!
Thanks!
Thanks for the knowledge!
My pleasure, Snacks!
The Itch!!!!
Awesome!!!
a. Royals are great, Kaufman is a cavern so…Speed and hit the gaps.
b. Love Eaton a lot, probably more than I should.
c. Just a quick question. Where would you draft Rutschman in a standard, 12-team, redraft, RCL? Which round? I’m thinking he’s going to be really great but standard RCL thinking is to punt the catcher category until later. Your thoughts on breaking that tradition for Addley.
Cheers,
Ante
Ante!!!
b. I love eatin way too much : )
c. I wouldn’t do it, probably. There’s a time and place for everything, I guess, but I’m pretty sure I’d always see someone I want more.
I wanted to follow up with you about Rocchio from my comment on Wed. Would you rather have Rocchio or Yorke if you had to pick one of them? Yorke had a disappointing season and had some lingering injuries. He had a better showing in the AFL. Thanks
I’d pick Rocchio.