For the uninitiated, a Three True Outcome (TTO) player is one that walks, Ks or homers.  That’s it.  A famous example of this is Adam Dunn aka The Big Donkey.  The Three True Outcome label works for baseball.  Real baseball, that is.  It doesn’t encapsulate everything for fantasy.  That’s where the Donkey label comes in.  A Donkey is player that Ks, homers and steals.  Big Donkey once stole 19 bases, and perennially stole more than seven bases a year, until he became more Big than Donkey.  Mini Donkey, Mark Reynolds, had himself a nice little run for a few years, once stealing 24 bases.  Mini Mini Donkey, Ian Stewart, failed to live up to his Donkey expectations.  Perhaps the Donkey expectations are what ended up dragging him down, I don’t know, I’m not a psychologist in matters of the donkey.  So, hopefully, when we call Joey Gallo, Donkey Dong Jr., we are not putting unrealistic expectations on him.  Shame to think Donkey expectations were what did in any player when Donkey expectations mean no harm.  Donkey expectations just want a roof over its head, a hot meal and foot rub from a topless dame.  Last year, Gallo hit six homers and stole three bases in only 108 at-bats for the Rangers while hitting 14 homers in 53 Triple-A games.  Am I reluctantly failing to mention his Ks?  If they were as bad as Gallo’s, you’d be reluctant too.  Anyway, what can we expect of Joey Gallo for 2016 fantasy baseball?

Here’s what I said last year regarding Joey Gallo, “I get the sneaking suspicion that Gallo is going to be The Return of the Sucky Average Lagoon Monster, who was played briefly in an off-Broadway revival by Chris Carter.  In Double-A last year, Gallo had a 39.5% strikeout rate.  That’s absurd.  That’s the same rate historians have said Babe Ruth had after an all-night bender with Fatty Arbuckle when Ruth showed up and accidentally went up to bat still wearing his sleep mask.  Fun fact!  Sleep masks for the wealthy used to be made from raw hamburger patties.  So, with Gallo wearing a raw hamburger on his eyes, is there any chance here of him hitting above .200?  Not if he can’t tame his strikeouts.”  And that’s me quoting me!  This past year, he hit .204 in 108 major league at-bats.  Yeah, Gallo’s got some issues.  This past year in Triple-A, his strikeout percentage was 39.5%.  That’s not a typo.  He struck out in Triple-A this year at the same rate he struck out in Double-A in 2014.  This year in Triple-A, he hit .195.  Something’s gotta change here or he’s not going to make it past being a platoon player in the major leagues.  Can it change?  Can any one of us truly change?  Okay, too deep.  Can Gallo change?  I think he can, or at least stop swinging at the change.  He’s only going to be 22 years old this year.  He learns to spit on just one pitch and he hits 40 homers with a .250 average in the majors.  Seriously, he’s that close to a huge breakout.  Though, another guy I mentioned in this post, Chris Carter is that close too and he hit just .199 last year.  Gallo will be nothing but a very deep flyer going into this year, but has 40-homer power, so a flyer with some definite upside.  For 2016, I’ll give him the projections of 47/22/52/.210/5 in 350 ABs and, like that girl who practices yoga in your office break room, will be hot for stretches.

 
  1. KB says:
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    Maybe its me, but outside of Seager, this years crop of rookies isnt really revving my engine, unless some of the KBO players coming over take off.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Last year was a historically huge rookie crop, there’s gonna be some tail off here… But Gallo and Judge both have easy 40-homer power… How many guys hit 40 homers in the majors last year?

  2. Big W says:
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    Morning Grey,

    In a 12 team keeper league and it’s salary based with a cap. This coming season the cap goes up to 140 mil. It’s a yahoo 6×6 with k/bb and OPS. We keep 12 players and draft 13. The 12 players that I’m considering will cost roughly 126 mil, so that will leave me with 14 mil to draft 13 players…which means I’ll have to be looking for a lot of minimum contracts in order to do it. I own Felix and he will be 25.8 mil next season so I was thinking about trading him for a salary dump and get a young cheap player in return. I can afford to lose Felix because I also have Kershaw, Arrieta and Severino.

    Here’s what I was thinking… Offering Felix for Dickerson. I know he was slowed down by his plantar fasciatus (not sure of the spelling), but the hope is that he will be healthy at least.

    Are we still big on Dickerson and his upside? What do you think about shedding roughly 25mil and getting Dickerson?

    There’s also another offer on the table… Adam Jones and a 4th round pick for Felix. Jones will make 15 mil next season so while it isn’t quite the same salary relief, I’m still saving 10 mil…

    What do you think of these options? Which one is better and should I hold off and look for something better?

    Thanks in advance for your guidance!

    Big W

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      I’d take Dickerson for .8 million if that’s his price, you didn’t say

      • Big W says:
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        @Grey: I believe Dickerson is min contract for one more season and then year 1 arb for 2017… so he probably makes under $550k… Thanks Grey!

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          No problem

  3. Ra'zbahl Al Ghul says:
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    The honky tonk baDonkey dong

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Ha, when is one of Blake Shelton’s artists going to perform that on The Voice?

  4. J-FOH says:
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    Gallo the Salame Donkey?

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Why’s he salami?

  5. Scott Kimmel says:
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    Grey

    This is the current list of players teams cut to become free agents. I made Martin Travis and Ethier available. Do you see anyone on this list worth giving up either my number 2,7 or 23rd pick overall. I am using my third to sign Conforto but will go up if need be.

    Russell Martin C
    Adam LaRoche 1B
    Justin Morneau 1B
    Ryan Zimmerman 1B,3B,OF
    Odubel Herrera 2B,SS,OF
    Devon Travis 2B
    Zack Cozart SS
    Jimmy Rollins SS
    Pablo Sandoval 3B
    Andre Ethier OF
    Torii Hunter OF
    Homer Bailey SP
    Dan Haren SP
    Phil Hughes SP,RP
    Lance Lynn SP
    Brandon McCarthy SP
    Henry Owens SP
    Rick Porcello SP
    Erasmo Ramirez SP,RP
    Tanner Roark SP,RP
    Eduardo Rodriguez SP
    John Axford RP
    Dylan Bundy RP
    Addison Reed RP

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      I don’t see Conforto on this list

      • Scott Kimmel says:
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        Anyone that is not on a roster and is in yahoo waiver wire are also available to sign as free agent as well

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          How could I possibly know all of them?

          • Ra'zbahl Al Ghul says:
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            @Grey: *grabs prospect Mike’s popcorn*

            • Grey

              Grey says:
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              Does Mike know you took his popcorn?

            • Mike

              Mike says:
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              hey!

              • Grey

                Grey says:
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                See?

                • Ra'zbahl Al Ghul says:
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                  @Grey: *Tiptoes back, accidently runs into giant paper mache Aaron Nola statue, discovers popcorn is really packaging peanuts, spits them out* sorry Mike!

                  • Grey

                    Grey says:
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                    Did you happen to see a Maikel Franco in there? Tied up with Mike Schmidt socks

                    • Ra'zbahl Al Ghul says:
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                      @Grey: No, but I did see a bunch of boxes of empty cardstock, and a stack of what appeared to be pages of uncut Maikel refractor rookie cards and a trail of ink coming from his laser printer in the corner…

                    • Grey

                      Grey says:
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                      Those weren’t refractor cards, those were Maikel wrapped in plastic like that N’Sync video!

                    • Mike

                      Mike says:
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                      Mike Schmidt socks really soak in the chloroform

                    • Grey

                      Grey says:
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                      The effigy you built out of hoagie rolls of Greg Luzinski was a real masterclass in honoring heroes.

                    • Ra'zbahl Al Ghul says:
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                      @Grey: That’s some ‘guy with the phanatic dragon tattoo’ shiz right there, part 4

                    • Grey

                      Grey says:
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                      Haha

                    • Mike

                      Mike says:
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                      I like to think I’m freeing the Luzinski that is trapped within the hoagie roll.

                      I made his glasses out of onions…

                    • Grey

                      Grey says:
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                      Red onions, no less…Nice touch

                    • Slimcompoop says:
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                      @Grey: Ha!

          • Scott Kimmel says:
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            based on that list I thought of a few players that are on yahoo waiver wire

            C – d’Arnaud, Santana, Hundley and Vogt
            1B – Moreland, Bour, Valencia, Colabello
            2B – Walker, Phillips, A Cabrera
            OF – Conforto, Granderson, Valencia and D Peralta
            SS- Gyorko, Kang, Cabrera
            SP – Eckhoff, Estrada, DeScalafini

            All these guys were on the yahoo waiver wire in my league and are all free agents

            • Grey

              Grey says:
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              This list doesn’t match up at all with the first list you posted

              • Scott Kimmel says:
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                The first was the players that teams dropped to become free agents to sign the second list were guys I found on the waiver wire in my league on the yahoo waiver wire that are free agents as well

                • Grey

                  Grey says:
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                  Ah, gotcha

                  • Scott Kimmel says:
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                    What do you think of both lists? Who should I go after

                    • Grey

                      Grey says:
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                      Who do you need?

                    • Scott Kimmel says:
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                      Well I need a backup C,2B,SS,Conforto, and at least one or two SP. someone just offered me either Iwakuma or Shields for Wacha which I turned down flat.

                    • Grey

                      Grey says:
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                      Gotcha

  6. J-FOH says:
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    New Logic album dropped today. I only mention this to annoy nick.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Why? Nick doesn’t like Logic?

      • J-FOH says:
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        @Grey: no he doesn’t! Nicks a little hip hop snobby when it comes to the youngsters. Which is funny because when we were kicking it in my Adidas he was just a nut shot

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          He liked Macklemore

          • J-FOH says:
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            @Grey: I think he was okay with that one song.

            • Grey

              Grey says:
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              Don’t speak for Nick, he loves Macklemore

              • nick the dick says:
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                @Grey: I like him and his Hitler Youth haircut as much Hitler liked you

                • Grey

                  Grey says:
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                  A minor misstep in judgment to dress as Hitler… Ben Carson wouldn’t have killed him, FWIW

          • nick the dick says:
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            @Grey: Hey hey now! Don’t be slandering my good name. I agreed that I kinda liked Moe Dee in it. Other than that it’s terrible Macklemore over a terrible beat rapping about riding mopeds

            • J-FOH says:
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              @nick the dick: mopeds are like fat chicks, fun to ride but don’t let your friends catch you on one

              • nick the dick says:
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                @J-FOH: Haha

            • Grey

              Grey says:
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              And tiramisu, don’t forget it’s also about tiramisu

              • nick the dick says:
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                @Grey: I’ll be damned if I don’t love me some tiramisu though

                • Grey

                  Grey says:
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                  Macklemore is actually the 2nd rapper to drop tiramisu in a rhyme, I was the first

                  • J-FOH says:
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                    @Grey: I would bet that Action Bronson did too

  7. Scott Kimmel says:
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    Of the players available on the lists I gave you who should I target first after Conforto

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Depends what you need

      • Scott Kimmel says:
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        Was thinking after Conforto, catcher then SP

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          Who is your catcher?

          • Scott Kimmel says:
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            my starting catcher is Posey. A owner came to me with an offer of he giving me: archer Zobrist Perez and a Gonzalez and he would take from me Martin either Encarnacion or Votto, deGrom or Harvey and Choo what do you think grey

            • Grey

              Grey says:
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              Not good

              • Scott Kimmel says:
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                @Grey: ok in passing on it I can get either d’Arnaud Hundley Vogt as my bsvkup

                • Scott Kimmel says:
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                  grey would you use one of my draft picks to grab that LHP that went in the Simmons deal? Sean Newcombe? Is he worth either #2,7 or 23 overall?

                  • Grey

                    Grey says:
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                    Nope

                    • Scott Kimmel says:
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                      ok thanks

          • Scott Kimmel says:
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            I can start posey at c and then use Perez as a backup or play him in a UTIL spot

  8. Big W says:
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    Hi again,

    someone is trying to trade me Odorizzi in my keeper… just wondering what your projections are for him next season. Do you like him? Is he a Grey guy?

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Yeah, I like him, what do they want?

      • Big W says:
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        @Grey: it’s another option for the felix salary dump that I mentioned above… The Dickerson owner backed out in the end. Smart guy, haha…

        I’m close to getting Brantley for Felix now too… what do you think of that? He ended up doing pretty good for his AB’s in the end.

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          Brantley also could miss April and May of this year due to injury

  9. nick the dick says:
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    Kimbrel To Sox huh….you watch the last two Nathans or are you dead to me?

    • J-FOH says:
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      @nick the dick: Joe Nathan or Nathan’s Hot Dogs?

      • nick the dick says:
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        @J-FOH: Never heard of those

        • J-FOH says:
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          @nick the dick: you mean Nathan the dry humor guy you like

          • nick the dick says:
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            @J-FOH: You know what I mean. You always do. I didn’t name my son Nathan for nothing

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Actually, I have the last two Nathans on DVR, just been a bit behind because I’ve been watching The Shield like non-stop… It’s amazing, btw

      • nick the dick says:
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        @Grey: Is it now? Chicklis is good? I could take or leave him, but I guess The Shield is what made people like him….last Nathan was so good

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          Plan on watching it tomorrow… Will have to be after Shark Tank and Amazing Race now… Dvr is backing up!

          • nick the dick says:
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            @Grey: I stay around 5-7% space one my dvr. Constantly deleting

            • Grey

              Grey says:
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              I have 85% filled at all times, I have last week of Lettermans on my DVR I’m so far behind on some stuff…

              • Running Frog says:
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                @Grey: Watched all of The Shield back in the day. I would almost… almost recommend you just stop watching with three episodes to go and never watch the rest.

                Or wait a few days. So you can experience what it’s like to wonder how it’s all gonna turn out. And then later you will remember the wonder more than the actual ending. It isn’t the worst series ending in history, not even close. But… well…

                • Grey

                  Grey says:
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                  I’m blown away by the first three seasons so far…So intense I can’t even with this show, and it’s so effin good…

  10. Mrs.Featherbottom says:
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    FYI – Season 2 of The Returned is on the Sundance channel.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Cougs just said you made her day… Mine too, thanks for the heads up!

      • Mrs.Featherbottom says:
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        @Grey: Nice! Hope the off season is treating you well!

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          Thanks, homey! You too!

  11. Weird Al Yankabitch says:
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    Grey, love the off season articles so much! Glad to see baseball live and well in November!!

    I have some huge offers on the table for an AL Only league I’m in.. I’ve got Altuve for 22$ and JD Martinez for 9$ are my best options going into next year but we keep 6 total players. I’m considering dealing away JD Martinez for a PACKAGE of players..

    Rght meow the offers standing are:
    JD for Chris Davis ($13), Garret Richards ($9), Dustin Pedroia ($9), and Marcus Stroman ($5)

    Or JD for Miguel Sano ($5) , Garret Richards ($9), Dustin Pedroia ($9), and Marcus Stroman ($5)..

    These are mammoth trades, but I love JD.. These players combined though and needing 6 total makes it very hard to say no

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Thanks! I could see doing either, what happens if you trade for Davis and he’s signed to an NL team this offseason?

      • Weird Al Yankabitch says:
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        @Grey: I’m left screwed out of that guy pretty much.. Really was worried about something like that happening because I can’t believe Orioles think they are that close, right?

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          Yeah, I could see Davis going somewhere else, likely somewhere in the NL, but you never know… Sano deal is fair if Sano has position eligibility…

          • Weird Al Yankabitch says:
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            @Grey: Just checked unfortunately Sano doesn’t have a position started over 15 games at any spot so nope.. I’m starting to feel I should just hold JD.. Just really don’t wanna keep ARoid for 8$ but it’s starting to look tempting.

            • Grey

              Grey says:
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              Yeah, no trade might be the best trade

  12. J-FOH says:
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    Did you watch Shark Tank yet?

    • nick the dick says:
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      @J-FOH: proceed

      • J-FOH says:
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        @nick the dick: I hate millenials…..Jeff brah was super stoked

        • nick the dick says:
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          @J-FOH: Totally bro, he was gnarly. I thought it was a schtick at first

          • J-FOH says:
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            @nick the dick: hes a rich kid from Newport Beach

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Yeah watched last night… Kinda weak episode…

      • nick the dick says:
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        @Grey: I thought the same thing

      • J-FOH says:
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        @Grey: Millenials are bad TV

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          Those were, that’s for sure

          • J-FOH says:
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            @Grey: I say that but now I want hand cleaner made from dirt

            • Grey

              Grey says:
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              Yeah, Grip Clean guy was also the nicest guy there

              • J-FOH says:
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                @Grey: when I used to be a mechanic I always had perma black on my hands. I would of loved that product

                • Grey

                  Grey says:
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                  I think anyone would love that product… Long live the Olympic motorcross high jumper

  13. JoeG414 says:
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    I’m picking last in a 13 team daily 6×6 roto Snake draft , but I’m able to keep Harper as my first round pick (13). I get to keep him this year and if I want ,next year as a number one ,You get to keep one hitter in the round from the previous year for two years after they were drafted. I’m thinking about getting Correa as my 2nd pick 14th overall. Correa was a FA pickup last year, he can’t be kept.
    Whata think ?

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Sounds fine, I obviously don’t know your options

      • JoeG414 says:
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        @Grey:
        So it’s not a reach ? I know projections are not out , but I could see him put up .280 , 28 , 90 As a SS

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          It’s not a reach

      • JoeG414 says:
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        @Grey:
        By the time the 3rd round comes , there could be 60 players already gone (with keepers)

  14. nick the dick says:
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    See Tribe on Fallon last night? Effin’ uge

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Yeah, watched it… Felt kinda phoned in

  15. Scott Kimmel says:
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    Grey,

    I’m looking at some prospects

    Tyler Glasnow RHP
    Julio Urias LHP
    Sean Newcomb LHP
    Blake Small LHP

    Are any of them worth the #2,7 or 23 pick overall

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Impossible to say with the info you’ve given

      • Scott Kimmel says:
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        I’m looking to sign a couple of those pitchers as free agents are any of them worth those picks to sign

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          Yeah, could be

          • Scott Kimmel says:
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            I am thinking about going after Glasnow, Urias and Conforte using my top three picks at 2,7 and 23. Should I use them to sign those guys

            • Grey

              Grey says:
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              Yeah, maybe

              • Scott Kimmel says:
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                Ok thanks

                • Scott Kimmel says:
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                  Grey

                  Someone offered a second round (number 10 or 15 overall). Should I go up to my number 7 overall or let him go?

  16. nick the dick says:
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    Cilantro sucks. Nathan?

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      About to watch Nathan right now!

      • nick the dick says:
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        @Grey: Nice!! Last week’s was mad funny, you missed the last two I believe. I can’t even look at his face half the time, way too sheepish

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          Signing ten year olds to endorsements was brilliant… Smokers Allowed…ha!

          • nick the dick says:
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            @Grey: smokers allowed had me squealing like a little piglet

            • Grey

              Grey says:
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              Haha… I loved the break it you bought it skit too…

              • nick the dick says:
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                @Grey: Haha it’s not a skit accept that it’s real! G, if you don’t actually like it, just tell me. I won’t be mad. I’ll have to adjust our relationship accordingly and question everything we have built, but I’ll understand. It’s not for everyone. It’s absolutely brilliant, but maybe it’s just for me.

              • nick the dick says:
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                @Grey: those brothers naming all the guys back in Ohio that tag team girls hahaha….tell me you loved it. Again….again…again…

    • J-FOH says:
      (link)

      @nick the dick: Im gonna slitcutyou

      • nick the dick says:
        (link)

        @J-FOH: cut my slit? Like a down south dude getting pussy? What the H are you talking about…

        • J-FOH says:
          (link)

          @nick the dick: i was trying (poorly) to make something sound like cilantro…..because I love Cilantro

          • nick the dick says:
            (link)

            @J-FOH: Ah, I see said the blind man to the deaf dog…I bet you love mayonnaise too

            • J-FOH says:
              (link)

              @nick the dick: hells yes I do, nothing like a meatloaf sandwich with mayo…or ham and mayo.

              • nick the dick says:
                (link)

                @J-FOH: you disgust me

                • J-FOH says:
                  (link)

                  @nick the dick: so what you’re saying is that sex is off the table?

                  • nick the dick says:
                    (link)

                    @J-FOH: well there’s mayo involved now so for that reason i’m out

                    • J-FOH says:
                      (link)

                      @nick the dick: hahahahaha, at least you didn’t Laurie me “I think the sex would be fabulous with you, probably some of the best I’ve ever had, but, I don’t really see a place in my space for this right now. I can’t put it on QVC or on the shelf at Bed Bath and Beyond, and for that reason I’m out”

                  • nick the dick says:
                    (link)

                    @J-FOH: I was going to Cuban you but I bet he sells warm jars of mayo at Mavericks games, just like the Devil does in Hell

                    • J-FOH says:
                      (link)

                      @nick the dick: you’re dead to me

                  • nick the dick says:
                    (link)

                    @J-FOH: said the guy who hasn’t seen Fargo, Breaking Bad, Mad Men, Louie or Nathan For You, listens to Logic while ignoring half the guys I listen to, and all the meanwhile I still love endlessly

                    • J-FOH says:
                      (link)

                      @nick the dick: I listen to lots of artists and they arenn’t all hip hop. Which show to do first, Breaking? or Mad?

                      I watched some of Louie’s original HBO shows

                  • nick the dick says:
                    (link)

                    @J-FOH: Ha I know, just a barrel in the chamber….which first is tough, BB and MM are long commitments. Honestly, i’d say Mad Men cuz it’s a whole ‘nother thang. They’re both great. Flip a coin….Louie is nothing like Lucky Louie on HBO, it can be done quicker in between and is right up your alley, guaranteed. Easily one of my top fav shows in a long time, you’ll love it. Louis CK is fantastic, stand up and all

                    • J-FOH says:
                      (link)

                      @nick the dick: I saw most of season one of breaking bad casually. Ive seen episodes of Louie. I was leaning mad men first

                    • J-FOH says:
                      (link)

                      @nick the dick: you watch rubble kings on netflix?

                  • nick the dick says:
                    (link)

                    @J-FOH: yeah then Mad Men first as primary binge. Louie simutaneously, in between MM’s. Breaking Bad once you finish MM in a couple months. Fargo will come eventually. And if you haven’t watched Curb Your Enthusiasm then you can just go fuck yourself

                  • nick the dick says:
                    (link)

                    @J-FOH: My Netflix game ain’t shit

                  • nick the dick says:
                    (link)

                    @J-FOH: My man! I just mentioned this episode when talking curb the other day…never heard of rubble dubble or whatever before

                  • nick the dick says:
                    (link)

                    @J-FOH: Perfect. I feel like ive seen this before, if so ill see it again

                    • J-FOH says:
                      (link)

                      @nick the dick: it just came out this year

                  • nick the dick says:
                    (link)

                    @J-FOH: then I definitely havent, ill check it out

Comments are closed.