Itās time to start looking ahead to the 2013 fantasy baseball season. Here are a couple players noticeably affected by OPS.
Kevin Youkilis ā Sigh no more, fantasy owners. Iām expecting a rebound for Youkilis in 2013. Iāll admit that I was worried about The Greek God of Injures at the beginning of this year after his slow start, especially since heās past his peak years and has a storied injury history. Youk fact of the day: he has never played more than 147 games in a season. Worse yet, he hasnāt played in over 140 games in a season since 2008. Meanwhile, he only graced us with his mediocre presence in 122 games this past season. Despite it sounding like time to jump ship, Iām going to advocate steering back towards the old man. On a side note, how weird will it be to see him on the Yankees? Although this wouldnāt be the first time a Red Sox player moved to the Bronxā¦
Iāll quit my babbling and say that Youkās second half alleviated my concerns and Iām willing to trust him, at least for one more year. This is because I donāt see many red flags, since his contact and batted ball statistics were all right in line with his performance in 2011. Additionally, Iām assuming that his price will plummet as a result of his down year in 2012 and the always lingering injury concerns. Where will people take him? Outside the top 150 players? Outside the top 200 even? As for the move to Yankee Stadium, I donāt expect it to have a significant effect because he spent last year split between Fenway and U.S. Cellular Field, which arenāt exactly settings for hittersā nightmares. Still, Iām counting on an improvement in his walk rate and BABIP to pave the way for him to approach his 2011 line of .258/.373/.459. Thatās solid for a third baseman, but heās no longer the elite option he once was. The one caveat Iāll give is that I wouldnāt count on him for more than 120 games or so. Who knows? Maybe the Mayans predicted that heād stay healthy all year next seasonā¦Which would mean he will?…Or won’t? Ā Hmm…
Todd Frazier ā Double D is another third baseman that Iād consider gambling on and should be available for relatively cheap. Earlier in the year I said, āI actually like him quite a bit for next year. His BABIP might decrease, but his home run to fly ball rate could increase, resulting in a similar slugging. He should again have an OPS above .800.ā To properly express my narcissism, I agree with myself. Yay for consistency! One reason Iām optimistic is because he somehow hit much better on the road than at home, despite playing in a hitter-friendly park, so there could be room for improvement at home next year. Though, his minor league numbers donāt hint at him having tremendous upside. For 2013, .260/.330/.470 looks like a reasonable baseline. Dude could hit 25 homers with decent counting statsā¦ Although thereās one catch: Dusty Baker. I donāt know exactly what I mean by that, but I tend to worry about every non-Votto Reds player I own because of him. Maybe itās just me. Ā Thanks for letting me air my grievances. Happy Festivus Yāall!