Here’s what I said when Dansby was first called up, “True or false:  A) Dansby Swanson is famous for being Ted Knight’s caddy in Caddyshack. B) Starting a meme at his frat house in Arizona where he’d put his checkered pants on a cactus with the caption, “I’m thirsty, yo.”  C) There’s no C.  D) All the above.  E) Was drafted a second ago by the Diamondbacks 1st overall, then traded to the Braves for the fellow WASP, Shelby Miller, and all-around terrible pitcher.  If you answered D) All the above, how did you know what all the above was before reading E?  Also, it was a true or false quiz, what the hell is all of the above?!  So, Dansby Swanson is being called up by the Braves just in time, no lie, for their series against the Diamondbacks.  Dayum.  Hello, wounds, here’s your salt.  In Prospector Ralph’s midseason top 100 prospects, Dansby was 22nd overall, right by Willie Calhoun, who totally tanked Mike Dukakis’ campaign.  Swanson is a 22-year-old that was a’ight in Double-A (8 HRs, 6 SBs, .261 in 84 games).”  And that’s me quoting me!  None of that no longer applies.  Kidding!  Imagine I did that shizz.  Here’s what I said previously, read it, then forget it.  Nah, it still applies which is why I quoted it.  I mean the WASP part, Caddyshack part, there’s no C and Dukakis name-drop likely won’t come into play, but the other elements are applicable.  Okay, the other parts are about 5% of the quote I said that was applicable.  Sue me!  Which is also what a male transitioning to a female says, “Sue me!”  Anyway, what can we expect of Dansby Swanson for 2017 fantasy baseball?

Out of all the fantasy baseball rookies I’ve dropped on you so far, or sofa if you’re sitting on a couch, Swanson seems the most likely to get 550+ ABs in 2017.  In fact (Grey’s got more!), I wouldn’t be surprised to see him get 600+, assuming he doesn’t hit .220 and get relegated to the eight hole.  That seems highly unlikely.  We’ll have to see how the Braves’ offseason plays out, but Swanson strikes me as the Braves’ two-hole hitter.  That’ll be a boon for his value.  “What’s that?”  Not you, Bret Boone.  600 at-bats in the two hole?  That’s automatic value, even if he’s on the Braves and had no power or speed.  So, does he have any power or speed?  Well, I’m glad you asked, Clunky Segue Question!  Well, I’m not going to say he has normal shortstop power, because ‘normal shortstop power’ nowadays means 30+ homers.  Last year, Dansby hit 12 HRs between High-A, Double-A and the majors.  One homer (that I know of) was an inside-the-parker.  If you watch him hit, he jumps on grooved fastballs and drives them out, but he does not look like a power hitter.  Wouldn’t be surprised to see him hit less than ten homers in 600 ABs.  He’s likely pretty average in, uh, average.  He does have a bit more speed than power and average.  Though, I don’t see burner speed.  I’ve seen him compared to Erick Aybar, and that sounds about right.  Hopefully, he can reverse engineer the Limbo stick and get over the Aybar comparison.  For 2017, I’m going to give him 200 ABs in the eight hole and 350 in the two hole and the projections of 71/9/44/.267/19 in 556 ABs.

 
  1. Ante GALIC says:
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    Grey!

    Loved the write-up, better than a nurumasage (yes misspelled on purpose to avoid the tidal wave) happy ending!

    a. Love me some Dansby Swanson. Why does his name sound like that of an extra on an obscure episode of Cheers?

    b. Off to N’Djamena for my 7-day business trip. Wish me luck. Will be in touch later this afternoon/evening for sure to let you know that we made it safely.

    Enjoy your weekend!

    Cheers,
    Ante

    • Big Odio says:
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      @Ante GALIC: nuru massage? Either you have been spending a lot of time on porn hub or Africa has some dirty little secrets

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      @Ante GALIC: Thanks, Ante! A. Ha! Nick meets Carla on blind date at Dansby Swanson’s in a very special flashback episode B. Be safe!

      • Big Odio says:
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        @Grey: Dansby Swanson’s sounds like a steak house

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          Or an ice cream store that spells it shoppe

          • Big Odio says:
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            @Grey: ooh nice call. Their slogan is “fro-yo is a 4 lettered word”

  2. Big Odio says:
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    If you go with the classic “I punt MI” strategy then Dansby is one of your latest late round flyers. I have a feeling that he will he over drafted by those trying to get that next breakout SS.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      @Big Odio: I kinda doubt it, but maybe around 175 overall, which is technically overdrafting him… He doesn’t have the craziest of appealing profiles…

      • Big Odio says:
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        @Grey: I know. But how many players get drafted based off perception? I could see the swanson pre posts now, ” hitting in front of the Kemp Freeman combo will put Swanson into elite run company. 90 runs will be the floor with 100 plus easily attainable if he stays healthy. Couple that with 15 homers, a .290 plus batting average, and 20 steals and what we have is the next elite shortstop”. You know someone on some other site will write something similar to this in the preseason.

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          Honestly, those numbers are possible, but they feel like all ceiling marks… So, yeah, could be… Though, when I think about it, not sure if 15 HRs is even possible as a ceiling… Watching his video didn’t scream a home run hitter even at that low of a mark

          • Big Odio says:
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            @Grey: exactly my point. I hate the ceiling projections. I catch commenters doing it all the time just like other sites. I can’t even count all the back and fourth I’ve had on twitter over ceilings as projections.

            • Grey

              Grey says:
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              Steamer is consistently the best in the business and I’d say they are also the most conservative across the board… Very hard to find a dazzling Steamer projection

              • Big Odio says:
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                @Grey: agreed. I’M referencing the guys that calculate their own numbers, present company excluded

                • Grey

                  Grey says:
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                  Yup, agreed

  3. Big Odio says:
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    I get it. THE Cubs are in the WS. But seriously this is getting out of hand. If I didn’t know who they were playing I would think it was already over and they are crowned champs. I have to wonder if it’s even possible for them to lose. Could baseball allow that? I need Oliver Stone to look into it.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      @Big Odio: Baseball allowed it for a little over 100 years so I’m guessing they wouldn’t stand in the way

      • Big Odio says:
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        @Grey: are they nudging it along?

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          @Big Odio: Jose Bautista? Is that you?

          • Big Odio says:
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            @Grey: *flips phone in air and runs*

            • Grey

              Grey says:
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              HA!

    • Count de Monetball says:
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      Big Odio, that is exactly why I avoid the “press”. It’s like listening to Joe Buck all day long ***shudders***. The press sucks. I am also sick of hearing about Shwarbs, dude plays two games and is the biggest story for a team that won 103 games, and at best he will be starting 4 games in the WS. The press if freaking annoying during the playoffs, oh yeah and off season, and pre-season, well and the regular season too. Just watch the games, the rest is just noise… The press always “crowns a champ” before they are a champ..

  4. robmack1111 says:
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    One of his HRs in Mississippi (Double A) was of the inside-the-park variety as well.

    • Halp

      Halp says:
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      @robmack1111: Just looked that one up. That also hit off the top of the left centerfield wall. He can probably stand to gain a few pounds of muscle to get those over the fence without hindering his ability to play SS too much.

      He actually hit another inside the park homer in High-A that was more of the classic single misplayed by the OF. Either way, that makes 3 inside the park homers out of his 12 total.

      • Grey

        Grey says:
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        @Halp: Where are you seeing these?

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      @robmack1111: Out of curiosity, how did you know that?

      • robmack1111 says:
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        @Grey: I’m a Braves fan, so I spent way too much time watching the minor league teams instead of watching the dumpster fire that was the MLB team for most of the year.

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          Haha… Gotcha!

  5. Halp

    Halp says:
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    Loving the rookie write ups! The inside the park homer was on a hit that Swanson crushed about 400 ft to right centerfield and hit off the top of an unusually high wall. He probably hit that ball farther than some of his actual homers.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      @Halp: Ah, good to know, I just remembered he hit one inside the park at some point with the Braves

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      @Halp: Oh, and so you’re a prospect guy, do you agree with Swanson’s projections?

      • Halp

        Halp says:
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        @Grey: Looks about right to me for his rookie season, especially considering Atlanta might not provide him many RBI opportunities. I do think he can add more power in the high teens area down the line, especially in the current homer happy landscape.

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          Cool, so is he just faster around the bases than he is stealing?

          • Halp

            Halp says:
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            @Grey: He is an excellent base stealer too, but he doesn’t run that frequently, focusing more on stolen base % than just total steals. Sucks for fantasy, but great for real life. Which is just another reason he gets the better in real life than fantasy tag.

            • Grey

              Grey says:
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              Cool, that’s what I thought… Erick Aybar comparison makes sense then?

              • Halp

                Halp says:
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                @Grey: For this season, yea. Longterm, probably a little light.

                • Grey

                  Grey says:
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                  Gotcha, thanks! So, you still ahve faith in AJ Reed, huh?

                  • Halp

                    Halp says:
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                    @Grey: I definitely still do long term. For this year he is going to have to fight to earn at-bats, and probably only against righties.

                    • Grey

                      Grey says:
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                      Cool, which means if he has a terrific spring and April, then by May he could be the everyday starter, though that’s obviously BCS

                    • Halp

                      Halp says:
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                      @Halp: Sounds about right to me. Or back to raking in the PCL WCS.

                    • Grey

                      Grey says:
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                      Yeah, which would be a big oy if you’ve drafted him

                    • Halp

                      Halp says:
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                      Yup. Houston 1B job will be an interesting one in Spring Training.

                    • Grey

                      Grey says:
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                      Assuming Astros don’t go out and trade for someone, burying their hopes on Reed… His stroke looks long, won’t he be prone to MLB fastballs?

                    • Big Odio says:
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                      @Halp: it can be interesting as it might be a shit show

                    • Halp

                      Halp says:
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                      It definitely isn’t the quickest swing, but I think it is good enough to get the job done with his huge raw power and good plate approach. I’m far from a personal trainer, but he can probably stand to get a bit leaner, would help all around and his power isn’t going anywhere.

                      And for sure, Big Odio. If Reed can win it, he wouldn’t be the worst late rd flier to take, but not banking on anything for next year.

                    • Grey

                      Grey says:
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                      Gotcha, that makes sense, thanks, Halp!

      • Malicious Phenoms says:
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        @Grey:
        I am a big fan of Swanson and I see his 2017 looking like this.

        85/14/70/.295/22/ 590 ABs.

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          70 RBIs seems impossible, but I guess you never know

          • Malicious Phenoms says:
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            @Grey:
            Well in 2016 he went:
            20/3/17/.302/3 in 129 at bats..I think it is possible…We will see soon enough

            • Grey

              Grey says:
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              Yeah, we’ll see… Will depend on lineup placement, last year he was primarily a bottom of the order hitter, thinking he moves up in 2017

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Since I have you, out of my previous rookie posts, were there any projections you felt were totally ridiculous?

      • Halp

        Halp says:
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        @Grey: Not at all. I think you are giving a very realistic projection of talented but still young and inexperienced players. Inevitably, some of these guys will hit the ground running seemingly already mid prime, and others totally flame out, but as far as what fantasy owners should expect for next season and to plan accordingly, I think you are nailing them.

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          Cool, thanks!

  6. JeF WiTh 1 F says:
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    FRIDAY!!!!!!!

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      …which also has one F

  7. Big Odio says:
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    Oddly I have a comp for optimisms sake. Look at Lindor, his minor league totals don’t really match up to his mlb numbers. Hell Swanson had a higher ISO this year. WHEN I get in to the office I’ll post some numbers because after a quick glance at them I see some hope that Swanson has some things to like when compared to Lindor. Who everybody loves.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Lindor gets lift in his swing, Dansby looks like he’s running already as he swings

      • Big Odio says:
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        @Grey: For funzies for fonzie I picked some numbers to compare (yes, I’m bored at work today)

        ISO, BB%, LD, GB, FB, HR/FB, and O-Swing are very similar, and by that I mean within 3 points of each other. Lindor kills Swanson in K-rate (12.9 to 23.4) (Swanson should go down if his minor league numbers are any indication of future adjustments). Swanson’s BABIP is stupid high (.383) so the similar batting averages I wont even count, edge way to Lindor. Interestingly Swanson has a much higher hard contact, not that I look at that in a stand alone way, but looking at profile could be indication of more doubles and homers down the road. Lindor has a much higher contact rate and a much lower swstr%.

        Im not comparing these two, but I could see some reason to take a flyer on Swanson and getting a better return than his draft position…or he sucks and we laugh at everyone who over drafted him

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          Can’t argue with any of that… just looking at Swanson, I don’t see any real power unless a fastball is grooved inside and he jumps on it… he looks like a slap hitter…

          • Big Odio says:
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            @Grey: Ive barely seen any tape on him so Ill take your word for it. I also have to look at the situation for what they are, if Lindor is in the NL, is he as well protected in the middle of an order?

            • Grey

              Grey says:
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              I just watched a few minutes of video on him, nothing extensive… Lindor isn’t even a middle of the order bat on a team where he is a middle of the order bat… wouldn’t be surprised to see Lindor’s power come down in 2017

  8. Duda Want to Build a Snowman? says:
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    Hey Grey!

    In a 12 team keep-7 forever (+$3 inflation) league, would you trade your Kershaw ($30 2017) for a $20 Springer and $7 Segura . . . or shoot higher?

    I’m hoping to snag a guy like Correa ($6 2017) straightup for my $30 Kershaw, but we’ll see . . .

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      I kinda like that, but you might do better

  9. Scott Kimmel says:
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    Grey,

    The deal got vetoed. I was thinking about making this offer and wanted your thoughts on this offer.

    I give up Cueto, deGrom, Duvall, Allard and Zimmer
    I get: Stanton, Sale, Britton, and Judge.

    What do you think? Would make that offer

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Doesn’t sound terrible

      • Scott Kimmel says:
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        he said no

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          Oh well

  10. Malicious Phenoms says:
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    Whats with Maddon. I would think you would bat Zobrist 2nd and Bryant clean-up, not the other way around..The nutty professor..

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Yeah he’s been doing that all year, Santana leading off is goofy too

  11. Big Odio says:
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    Nick the Dick just sent me a pic of him as eazy…it’s hilarious

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      I need to see it!

      • Big Odio says:
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        @Grey: I’m going to call him Neazy-E

        • nick the dick says:
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          @Big Odio: Niccka With Attutude!

          • Grey

            Grey says:
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            Why no black face?

            • nick the dick says:
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              @Grey: Eh, thought that’d be too much. I did break out in Findem, Fuckem and Flee tho

              • Grey

                Grey says:
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                You drop any EZ Duz It?

  12. buck says:
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    Guessing it doubtful that Miami names a street after Jose Fernandez now.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      I don’t see why not, people have done worse

      • Big Odio says:
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        @Grey: Marion Berry!

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          Yes!

  13. I believe that I was the one that earned the right to go in black face this year thanks to Rodon…

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Damn that was the bet wasn’t it? OK you got it! I wantz pics

  14. Keep, Keep, Keep, Keep watching for the daaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaawn!

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Haha

      • @Grey: You didn’t hear her doing God Bless America???

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          Nah, I missed it…

  15. Malious Phenoms says:
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    From MLB Rumors:

    According to toxicology reports released today, Jose Fernandez had cocaine in his system and a blood-alcohol level that was twice the legal limit during the boat crash that took the lives of the Marlins ace, Eduardo Rivero and Emilio Jesus Macias on September 25, David Ovalle of the Miami Herald reports. Authorities have yet to determine who was driving the boat at the time of the crash — neither Rivero or Macias were legally drunk, though they both had alcohol in their systems. (Rivero was also found to have cocaine in his system.)

  16. I would not want to be Lackey’s chew toy right now…he’s gotta be all the way to the marrow by now in there

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Yeah, those horse-teeth would tear some shizz up right now

  17. Malious Phenoms says:
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    From MLB Rumors:

    According to toxicology reports released today, Jose Fernandez had cocaine in his system and a blood-alcohol level that was twice the legal limit during the boat crash that took the lives of the Marlins ace, Eduardo Rivero and Emilio Jesus Macias on September 25, David Ovalle of the Miami Herald reports. Authorities have yet to determine who was driving the boat at the time of the crash — neither Rivero or Macias were legally drunk, though they both had alcohol in their systems. (Rivero was also found to have cocaine in his system.)

  18. Malicious Phenoms says:
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    From MLB Rumors:

    According to toxicology reports released today, Jose Fernandez had cocaine in his system and a blood-alcohol level that was twice the legal limit during the boat crash that took the lives of the Marlins ace, Eduardo Rivero and Emilio Jesus Macias on September 25, David Ovalle of the Miami Herald reports. Authorities have yet to determine who was driving the boat at the time of the crash — neither Rivero or Macias were legally drunk, though they both had alcohol in their systems. (Rivero was also found to have cocaine in his system.)

    • @Malicious Phenoms: No offense to you but…who cares?

      He was a good guy and great for the game and it was a real tragedy, the end.

      • Malicious Phenoms says:
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        @Wake Up:
        I know lots of people who will care, parents and friends of all 3 men, who was driving the boat? If they hadn’t been partying would this tragedy have happened.

        According to the cops, Jose was on the phone talking to a friend and starting screaming to the boat driver, “turn left, turn left, stay away from the shore” and then the phone conversation ended, as did 3 lives.

        Oscar Traveras drove drunk when he killed his girl friend and himself.

        You can’t just brush this often as no big deal..Was he coked up when he pitched?

        I am not trying to be cruel here, I am all about facts and the truth!

        • Big Odio says:
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          @Malicious Phenoms: facts and truth? You are pushing your judgements on this instead of just leaving it for what it is because nothing will bring him back.

          • Malicious Phenoms says:
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            @Big Odio:

            You are right, man..We need a delete button.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Yeah, real shame

  19. Nick says:
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    Hi Grey (again)

    who do you think i can trade Swanson for, SP ?
    i have Villar and Lindor at SS…

    i can get for Swanson:
    T.Roark/Jeff Hoffman SP (#15 in your final 2016 list + upside Rockies rookie)
    or
    Kyle Hendricks (nice upgrade #8 in your final 2016 list) )
    or
    Tillman / Hammel (duh :/)

    Nick

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