Can’t stop, won’t stop, making these bad boys all about fantasy baseball rookie hitters, but every once in a while you need to remove the blinders and look at a pitcher.  This doesn’t mean get totally enamored by pitchers.  Like Teddy KGB would say in a terrible Russian accent, “Nyet, nyet, nyet!  You sons of beeeeech, you tricked me, nyet!”  We must focus on hitters, but sometimes a great pitcher comes along, and we have to take a peeksie-poo.  Brent Honeywell is one such pitcher.  Three quick GIFs, from me to you.

I have a big takeaway from these GIFs.  Honeywell looks pretty low energy like Jeb!  Whether it’s the fastball in the first two GIFs or the bye-bye junk in the third GIF.  You gotta feel bad for the hitter when he gets to the third drop-off-the-table-snap-don’t-need-no-police-just-stay-off-my-back-or-I-will-attack-with-an-offspeed-pitch-that-you-won’t-smack pitch.  That’s only two pitches of his possible six pitches.  The last one, which I can’t stop watching, is just unhittable.  Looks like a circle change to me, but he’s got so many pitches in his repertoire — change, curve, fastball, screwball, cutter, knuckle-curve — who knows what he’s throwing, the hitters definitely don’t…Confession Alert!  What you just read was my 2018 Brent Honeywell outlook post.  This is the problem with rookies and pitchers, specifically.  No one knows anything (RIP William Goldman) about when they will be promoted or play productively for that matter.  Of course, even less people can predict Tommy John surgery.  Though, a big hint is, “Is the guy currently in Dr. James Andrews’ office?”  Honeywell should be back some time around May/June, so…Again, with some oomph:  So, what can we expect from Brent Honeywell for 2019 fantasy baseball?

Pitchers are so unpredictable it’s hilarious that I went out of my way to show you how low effort Honeywell is and he gets tagged for Tommy John surgery.  Either way, he had successful surgery on February 27th of last year, so figure 14 months and he’s back *counting on fingers*  That gets him on the major league mound end of April, if you trust counting a thumb, which is so much more than just a finger, and if Honeywell were to go straight from Tommy John to the majors, which I can’t imagine in any scenario.  That means you put him in the minors for how long before he’s called up?  Four weeks?  Six weeks?  Eight weeks?  This is illustrative of the problem with projecting rookies. The only reason why we’re even here talking about Honeywell is because I think he can be a top 20 starter when he’s healthy.  His stuff is just that intense.  Here’s what I said last year (sorry, but it all really is applicable since he didn’t throw one pitch last year), “He’s thrown around 120 innings for three straight minor league years across different levels.  At each one, his K/9 has been above 10+.  Last year in Triple-A at 22 years of age, he had a 3.64 ERA, 2.77 xFIP with a 11.1 K/9 and 2.3 BB/9 in 123 2/3 IP.  On an organization that promotes a bit more aggressively, he’d likely be on his 2nd year of the major leagues.  The Rays have dragged their feet on him so badly that his dynasty owners likely have a class action lawsuit pending if Honeywell isn’t promoted this year.  “Your honor, on behalf of Honeywell’s dynasty owners, we have lost two years of fantasy prize winnings because the Rays have not promoted Honeywell.”  Then later in the trial.  “Can you explain your relation to the Honeywell dynasty owner?”  “I’m his mother.”  “Okay, isn’t it true the plaintiff has not been able to move out of your basement because of missing out on his fantasy prize winnings, due to Honeywell’s lack of promotion?” Now that I write this out, how has no one sued yet because they lost their fantasy league due to a player’s performance?  Even if you’re like me, and you think an 11 K/9 and 2.3 BB/9 becomes a 9.5 K/9 and 3 BB/9 in the majors, um, that’s still wonderful.”  And that’s me quoting me!  Last year, I projected him for 102 IP, but, with the surgery, I’m going to trim back a hair like taking an extra fuzzy peach to Supercuts.  For 2019, I’ll give him the projections of 5-3/3.82/1.32/94 in 88 IP.

  1. Ante Galic says:
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    Grey!

    Great fantasy write-up for Honeywell!

    a. Love all 3 GIFs. Love the sequencing too. You’re Razzball Fellini!

    b. Mark Twain quote of the day for November 23

    In my schoolboy days I had no aversion to slavery. I was not aware that there was anything wrong about it. No one arraigned it in my hearing; the local papers said nothing against it; the local pulpit taught us that God approved it, that it was a holy thing, and that the doubter need only look in the Bible if he wished to settle his mind — and then the texts were read aloud to us to make the matter sure; if the slaves themselves had an aversion to slavery they were wise and said nothing.

    Hannibal Journal, May 6, 1853
    Terrible accident! 500 men killed and missing. We had the set the above head up, expecting (of course) to use it, but as the accident hasn’t happened yet we’ll say (to be continued).

    When I was a boy, there was but one permanent ambition among my comrades in our village on the west bank of the Mississippi River. That was, to be a steamboatman. We had transient ambitions of other sorts, but they were only transient. When a circus came and went, it left us all burning to become clowns; the first negro minstrel show that came to our section left us all suffering to try that kind of life; now and then we had a hope that if we lived and were good, God would permit us to be pirates. These ambitions faded out, each in its turn; but the ambition to be a steamboatman always remained.

    Cheers,
    Ante

    • bigbear says:
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      @Ante Galic: Have you landed on who you’re quoting in 2019? Some notable quotables: GK Chesterton, Winston Churchill, Albert Camus, Samuel Johnson, Terry Pratchett, Robert Heinlein.

      • Grey

        Grey says:
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        Love that you’re trying to help him find someone to quote!

      • Ante Galic says:
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        @bigbear: bugbear!!

        Thanks for your great ideas. I love ’em all, especially Chesterton. I was thinking and have been prepping for W. C. Fields. Not really a ton of material.

        Other ideas I’ve been throwing out there like monkeys throwing poop to the wall to see if it will stick is Confucious quote of the day.

        We’ll see what Grey says.

        Cheers,
        Ante

        • Ante Galic says:
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          @Ante Galic: sry… Bigbear! Autocorrect.

          Cheers,
          Ante

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Thanks!

      Wow, that’s an intense quote by Twain

      • Ante Galic says:
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        @Grey: Grey!!

        Thanks for caring man. Is it the ONE? Have I hit the payload????

        Cheers,
        Ante

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          Nah, that’s not the one, that’s a solid one tho

          • Ante Galic says:
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            @Grey: Grey!

            Which one was solid? The one on slavery right? I like that one too.

            Cheers,
            Ante

            • Grey

              Grey says:
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              Yeah, that one on slavery

    • Joser says:
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      @Ante Galic:

      “Never be the fool who cannot distinguish between the truth and the last thing he read”

  2. Johnnyhobbes says:
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    Happy Thanksgiving, im still hitting your site up at least once a day (get those pennies, baby) Less commenting on my part but this stuff is gold. Thanks Grey

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Happy Thanksgiving! Thanks, man! Appreciate it!

  3. Dave D says:
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    “Well, Honey, Brett might make a great thirty-something round draft pick”…. sorry I couldn’t resist. Decent sleeper potentia fo’ sho’…

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Haha, totally! How’s the draft going?

      • Dave D says:
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        @Grey:

        Great! Missed out on a few but overall I’m sticking with my strategy and roster feels pretty good. We are now in 20th round. I’ve made 19 picks. I have a full starting line-up except the beloved C’s, and olny 5 starters, 2 possible CL.

        1b Goldy
        2b Albies/Dozier
        ss Chris Taylor/Kingery
        3b Breg
        OF Springer/Pham/Upton/Eaton/ I.Happ/C. Taylor
        Util Ohtani
        SP JA Happ, Pivetta, Glasnow, Teheran, M. Fulmer
        CL W.Davis/T.May

        Probably going for OF/1B next two rounds

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          Wow, you’re hitting looks great! I don’t mind the pitching either, considering how long you waited on it…

          • Dave D says:
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            @Grey:

            Thanks. It seems like a very balanced offense to me. No weak categories. Yeah, I’ve got a couple deeper arms I’m planning to pull the trigger on after I get back up 1B and 7th OF. I’ll start C’s round 30, hehehe…

            • Grey

              Grey says:
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              Ha, nice… If you have a chance, put in all the players taken in the last few rounds so I can see who’s going super late

  4. Dave D says:
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    OK, will do in a bit when i get on laptop. About to pick back ip 1b. Im choosing between Alonso, Healy, Zimmerman, Ohearn. Leaning Healy but Ohearn may have more upside.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      I like Healy

  5. Bump Bailey says:
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    Grey, whose bat do you like better for the future — Juan Soto or Shohei Ohtani?

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Soto

  6. Dave D says:
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    16 226 Arrieta, Jake P
    16 227 Betances, Dellin P
    16 228 Gurriel, Yuli UT
    16 229 Lamb, Jake 3B
    16 230 Rodon, Carlos P s
    16 231 Yarbrough, Ryan P
    16 232 Kingery, Scott SS
    16 233 Familia, Jeurys P
    16 234 Kiner-Falefa, Isiah C
    16 235 Whitley, Forest P
    16 236 Rodgers, Brendan MI
    16 237 Herrera, Odubel OF
    16 238 Braun, Ryan OF
    16 239 Alonso, Peter
    16 240 Wood, Alex P
    17 241 Simmons, Andrelton MI
    17 242 Astudillo, Willians C
    17 243 Godley, Zack P
    17 244 Mejia, Francisco C
    17 245 Zunino, Mike C
    17 246 Musgrove, Joe P
    17 247 Senzel, Nick MI
    17 248 Dickerson, Corey OF
    17 249 Teheran, Julio P
    17 250 Winker, Jesse OF
    17 251 Voit, Luke UT
    17 252 Santana, Carlos 1B
    17 253 Marte, Ketel 2B n
    17 254 Ottavino, Adam P
    17 255 Seager, Kyle CI
    18 256 Hicks, Jordan P
    18 257 Skaggs, Tyler P
    18 258 Gonzales, Marco P
    18 259 O’Neill, Tyler OF
    18 260 Soroka, Mike P
    18 261 Steckenrider, Drew P
    18 262 May, Trevor P
    18 263 Buttrey, Ty P
    18 264 Wacha, Michael P
    18 265 Kiermaier, Kevin OF
    18 266 Gibson, Kyle P
    18 267 Bundy, Dylan P
    18 268 Maeda, Kenta P
    18 269 Smoak, Justin 1B
    18 270 Castro, Starlin 2B
    19 271 Bradley, Archie P c
    19 272 Gomes, Yan C
    19 273 Cordero, Franchy OF
    19 274 Kepler, Max UT
    19 275 Hernandez, Teoscar OF 4 sec
    19 276 Souza Jr., Steven OF
    19 277 Cabrera, Asdrubal CI
    19 278 Jansen, Danny C
    19 279 Fulmer, Michael P
    19 280 Bauers, Jake OF
    19 281 Barnhart, Tucker C
    19 282 Minor, Mike P
    19 283 Toussaint, Touki P
    19 284 Choo, Shin-Soo OF
    19 285 Matz, Steven P
    20 286 Grichuk, Randal OF
    20 287 Anderson, Brian OF
    20 288 Palka, Daniel OF
    20 289 Calhoun, Willie OF
    20 290 Givens, Mychal P

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Wow, love Touki there and Palka… So many wildly bleh guys tho too… Someone always goes for Kiermaier, poor guy…

      • Dave D says:
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        @Grey:

        Lol on Kier. Yeah wanted palla next.

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          Yeah, I like him a lot

  7. Tommy Herr says:
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    Greyson? Nice article even tho the AL sucks. NL only for life! So whats your outlook on Tyler Mahle? I feel like in 2018 he showed he could hang first half then just hit the wall fatigue wise in the 2nd half and got obliterated. If you take just his 1st half and assume Maybe this year he has a bit more in the tank and can push 150 innings? He threw that perfect game in like 80 pitches on the minors? Maybe has some kyle hendrix in him.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      I like him a lot, as long as it’s late and you don’t pay much… Very intriguing… The command last year worries me, but he’s been better with his pitches in the past

  8. Harley Earl says:
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    Great article Grey, appreciate all you do.

    I’m like you, I believe Honeywell will be pretty solid whenever he gets promoted with the only question being when will he get promoted LOL. Anyway, I would love to see him be a #1 but I get the feeling he’s more in line to grow into a #2 from a few years of seasoning as a #3 or #4 early in his career. Any thoughts? Agree/Disagree?

    Looking forward to your next projections! Hope you’re having a great holiday weekend.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      I think he can be an ace, his stuff is excellent… I think the only thing holding him back is health… Him and Snell could be as good as any one/two combo in baseball…

      • Harley Earl says:
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        @Grey: Wow. I was not expecting you to say that! You are usually pretty conservative (in my opinion) on your projections. In fact, that’s why I like reading your projection articles. You don’t go gaga like a fanboy, typically, and you tend to have projections that are reasonably close to what actually happens.

        I would love for Honeywell to be an ace, for obvious reasons, as I have him on my dynasty team. His six-pitch arsenal definitely gives him that type of potential. I’m just trying to curb my enthusiasm after being let down so many times lately (Julio Urias, Alex Reyes, Jose Fernandez.) Pitching prospects and me area a bad recipe!!!

        Whose next on the docket? Anything on Austin Riley or Jonathan Duplantier coming down the road sometime? Maybe a Garrett Hampson piece?

        Good work, and keep writing!

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          He *can* be an ace… A lot can go wrong… Could’ve said Paxton can be an ace as of seven years ago and it it took him forever to get there — Alex Reyes and Urias *can* be aces too, but again lots can go wrong… You’ll have to wait to see who’s next…

          • Harley Earl says:
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            @Grey: By the way, I love it when Grey quotes himself from a year ago. Always cracks me up. Hilarious.

            • Grey

              Grey says:
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              Hehe

  9. Juan says:
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    Grey, what are your thoughts on trading Torres and Belinger for Goldy in a keeper league?
    We keep 10, it’s Head 2 Head, 12 Teamer.
    My team:
    1st Sano
    2nd Albies
    SS Turner
    3rd Suarez
    OF Mazara
    OF Hicks
    OF Belinger
    UTL Moncada
    UTL Torres
    SP Snell

    My other Potential is Newcomb or Tanaka.
    I can possibly get Morton or price with Goldy.

    Thoughts?

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Don’t love it

Comments are closed.