I was born in the good ole’ US of A, but my parents immigrated in the 1970s. They were educated and relatively liberal, so I was not deeply rooted in Korean culture, which has huge Confucianism influences. One of which is that age determines the level of respect you receive in society. The basic thought is that someone who is older probably has more wisdom. Therefore, some semblance of order is established in society and older people will act in accordance because there are those that look up to them. The issue is that some game the system and, as Aaliyah so eloquently sang, “Age Ain’t Nothing But a Number.” A dude once stepped up to me and told me to respect him because he was a few months older than me. GTFOH. I will not bow down and hail someone just because of their age. Respect needs to be earned. Which brings me to Avisail Garcia of the Tampa Bay Rays, who has been the 13th-best hitter over the past week and is the 86th overall player on the Razzball Player Rater currently. All Hail Avisail?

On the season, Garcia has a .291/.352/.511 slash with a .220 ISO. He’s clubbed 10 home runs and stolen 6 bases! Hail! Hail! Hail!

The BABIP is high at .339, so expect the batting average to come down to the .260-ish range. He’s never been a high walk guy (currently 6.5% rate) and the strikeout rate is a manageable 22.6%, which is crazy because he has a 19.4% swinging strike rate and chases 40.3% of pitches outside the strike zone! For perspective, the swinging strike rate is the 2nd-worst in all of baseball and he’s top 15 in chase rate. I usually shun these type of players, but I’ve been expanding that pea brain of mine.

Here’s why. Javier Baez and Adalberto Mondesi both have high swinging strike and chase rates. Baez is the 18th overall player on the Razzball Player Rater, while Mondesi is 8th. In addition, the player that has a higher swinging strike rate than Garcia is none other than teammate, Brandon Lowe. Which brings me to this important point….the game has changed (defensive shifts, juiced balls, and pitcher specialists). As a result, new strategies have surfaced or resurfaced, depending on how you look at things.

A few years ago, the Rays changed their offensive philosophy from wearing out pitchers and grinding at-bats to go big or go home. As Thomas Bassinger of the Tampa Bay Times wrote back in 2017, “Swing early, swing often and swing hard.”

This is Garcia’s first season with the Rays and gives me optimism for his future outlook because of the overall organizational philosophy towards hitting. The hard hit rate (44.5%), launch angle (10.5), and barrel rate (14.6%) are all at career highs!

He’s also not getting platooned. Against LHP, Garcia is often batting lead off, while against RHP, he’s hitting fourth or fifth in the batting order. The cherry on top is that the Rays are letting him run, as he could end up with over 10 stolen bases on the season.

VERDICT

Picture of a BULL RAY

 
  1. Ty says:
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    Which streamer do you like this weekend

    Porcello @ NYY
    T. Richards @SD
    M. Kelly vs NYM
    Urena @SD
    D. Norris @ATL
    S. Anderson @Bal
    Fedde @CIN
    Senzatela vs TOR
    Milone vs LAA
    Sampson vs KC
    Cashner vs SF

    • Son says:
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      Richards for me

    • Bill Lee says:
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      I’m winning most hitting categories every week
      but losing most pitching categories every week.

      I have been offered Pat Corbin and Sonny Gray
      for Hoskins.

      Should I pull the trigger on that trade?

      Thanks.

      • Son says:
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        I’m not a Gray guy. Only a Grey guy.

        With that said, I think the trade is fine for you. Fills a need and you know your squad better than me

  2. johnnyhobbes says:
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    I so want this bull prediction to correct…. Need it!

    • Son says:
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      Ha! I’m rooting for you

  3. Shitwolf says:
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    I just picked him up yesterday over hicks so Im glad to see this haha

    • Son says:
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      Ha! Hope it works out

  4. Charlie says:
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    So glad you wrote this! I’ve been wanting to pick up Garcia for a while now, but I haven’t pulled the trigger. The main reason why I haven’t is because I’d have to let go of Victor Robles in order to do so.

    Robles is always hitting in the lower third and his peripherals aren’t good. But everyone has him ranked highly! He’s got 9 dingers and 8 swipes, not bad…but I’m looking for more run production in a 10 team shallow league…Which brings me to my question!

    Which player do you like more in a H2H points league for the remainder of the season?

    Thanks!

    • Son says:
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      That’s a tough one. Robles will provide more steals, but I’m rolling with Garcia for now. Always prepare for winter, though

  5. Drew says:
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    Would you drop Laureano for Avisail in a 16-team Ops keeper?

    • Drew says:
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      Could alternatively drop Tapia for Avisail…

      • Son says:
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        Negative. I’m keeping Tapia

    • Son says:
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      I’m good with that

  6. Weslo says:
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    Avisail Garcia or Franmil Reyes ROS?

    • Son says:
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      It’s close. Franmil should provide more power but Garcia will chip in more steals. I think I side with Garcia because he gets to face off against the Orioles pitching staff!

  7. andy says:
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    who is the drop to stream?
    strahm or barnes?
    saves are hard to come byin this h2h 12 team
    want to grab canning

    • Son says:
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      Strahm

  8. Allison says:
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    Hopefully you’ll make me feel less stupid about the following trade:
    In a 12 team standard cats h2h league I gave up Báez, Hosmer, and Leclerc for Devers, Avisial, Odorizzi, and Neris. I needed OF and pitching help and Baez’s lack of discipline freaks me out. Plus, maybe I’m crazy, but I could see Devers putting up similar numbers to Báez the rest of the way but with more steals and a better AVG.
    This is my team now (once the trade goes through):
    C: Narvaez, 1B: Freeman, 2B: Mondesi, 3B: Devers, SS: Andrus, OF(3): Trout, Avisail, Senzel, Util(2): Segura, Carpenter, BN: Mallex
    Pitchers: Bieber, Odorizzi, Bum, Ray, German, Wade Davis, Colome, Neris, Hicks, Miller, Gant, C-Mart, Luke Jackson (as you can see I’m ready if Hicks loses his job).
    Thanks in advance!

    • Son says:
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      I think Baez is the best player in the deal. I’ve never been a Hosmer guy so….I do think Leclerc gets the closer job again at some point. So from a value perspective, I prefer that side. With that said, I don’t hate the deal for you. I’m always of the opinion that one should do what’s best for his/her squad. I’m probably not as high on Devers as you, but he’s a good player with a stable floor. Baez has higher upside, but he doesn’t fit your philosophy and tolerance. I’m good with that. You know what I think about Avisail. Odorizzi is fine. I do think he’s due for some regression, but that team is good and he will get to feast on a relatively weak division. I’m good with Neris. Won’t get all the saves, but will help with ratios. With your team construction, the pieces fit well. I think you accomplished what you set out to, which is the most important thing in my opinion.

      • Allison says:
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        Thanks for the insight. I appreciate it for sure. I targeted Odorizzi because of the weak division so hopefully that works out. I’m a big fan of Razzball. Thanks for the good reads.

        • Son says:
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          Anytime! Good luck

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