Recently The Approach Angle podcast did an episode called ERA Estimators Made Simple where they covered different ERA estimators available to assess a pitcher’s performance (ERA) against his underlying peripherals. The idea here is that a pitcher’s ERA is noisy (BABIP luck, HR/FB luck, LOB%, all sorts of luck), but their underlying “skill” should be […]

[Do not start another article with every year, do not start another article with every year] ……. EVERY YEAR there’s the backup catcher that has a sort of breakout. It’s not a real breakout like they’re fantasy relevant, but it’s the kind of breakout where they hit double digit homers while only getting 330 plate […]

Think about a close MVP race from the last 20 years. I’m gonna go with 2007, because that was the first year I played fantasy baseball, which meant it was also the first year I followed baseball stats closely. The National League MVP debate that came down to Matt Holliday and Jimmy Rollins. Matt Holliday […]

One thing to know about me is I love a good scatter plot. The sight of a bunch of circles plotted along carefully selected measures that represent the x-axis and y-axis, with oddly placed circles showing some type of oddity or superior achievement, and a cluster of circles showing some similarly grouped players or teams, […]

Welcome to the new MLB Season! Last year’s champs were the Los Angeles Dodgers, who won their division along with Phillies, Brewers, and Guardians. Shohei Ohtani and Aaron Judge won MVPs, Tarik Skubal dominated his way to a Cy Young, Stephen Vogt and Pat Murphy were manager of the years and Paul Skenes had a […]

The underlying thesis of today’s topic comes from one of my favorite tweets of all time: A 22 year old pitcher makes his debut, he faces (likely) a favorable matchup against a team like the Rockies or Angels at home. The pitcher strikes out seven in 6 innings while scattering six hits and only walking […]

The borderline strike call/non-call is the most emotionally charged call in a baseball game. It turns what could’ve been a salvageable 1-1 count into a 0-2 hole, it turns a possible big punch out into a bases loaded walk. The calls are (seemingly) 50/50, which drives the frustration for teams/players because if it seems the […]