Archie Bradley | RHP, Diamondbacks | Born: 8/10/1992
It’s rare that a club just gives away a first round investment for pennies on the dollar, but that’s exactly what D’Backs did this past December with Trevor Bauer. Less than two years after drafting him 3rd overall, Arizona decided they didn’t like his attitude, they didn’t appreciate his stubbornness, and so they shipped him to Cleveland for Didi Gregorius and a couple toss-ins. Again, teams just don’t do this sort of trade — they don’t give a front-of-the-rotation prospect a $3.4 million signing bonus, and then cut him loose 18 months later for a defense-first shortstop simply because the kid wouldn’t listen. The Diamondbacks did, though. And they did so because they felt they had the organizational pitching depth to offset the loss. A major factor in that decision was the guy they drafted four picks after Bauer in the 2011 draft, a guy named Archie Bradley.
Standing 6-4, 225, Bradley is an intimidating presence on the mound, bringing his fastball in the mid-upper-90s and changing speeds with an outstanding power breaking ball. The fastball-curve combo misses plenty of bats, as evidenced by the 20-year-old’s career 10.6 K/9. The fastball, in particular, is an elite pitch, a plus-plus weapon that he delivers with ease on a difficult downward angle. Judging by stuff alone, Bradley is one of the best arms in the minors, a top-5 guy. Command and control troubles, however, have so far delayed his breakout. In his first full season of pro ball, Bradley posted 3.84 ERA and a 1.26 WHIP across 136 IP in the Midwest League. He allowed only 87 hits in those innings, but his 84 walks were awful, likewise were the 17 wild pitches. He’s taken a step up to High-A in 2013, into the extremely hitter-friendly environment of the California League, and through three starts on the young season, his ERA sits at 0.51 and his K/BB at 27/6. Scouts are already saying his stuff is too good for the low minors, and I imagine he won’t be long for Visalia. Bradley has the type of arsenal that could garner MLB consideration late this year, but he’ll need to arrive at Double-A and continue throwing with command there first, not to mention his changeup could use some refining. Arrival sometime in 2014 is a much more reasonable expectation, but if he can start to tap into his ace-type potential, he’ll begin register on fantasy radars later this season.
Byron Buxton | OF, Twins | Born: 12/18/1993
Drafted second overall last June, Buxton brings enormous, five-tool potential to the Midwest League this summer. In terms of athleticism, he’s undoubtedly among the most impressive prospects in the minors. Featuring plus-plus speed to go with plus grades for both power and AVG, the 19-year-old has the potential to develop into an All Star in center and a goldmine in the fantasy game. The common off-season thought on Buxton was that in his first season of full-season baseball, his immediate impact would be primarily defensive. Through 10 games and 41 PA with Cedar Rapids, though, Buxton is batting .441/.537/.706 with two homers and four stolen bases. Approach and in-game power were two facets of an impressive package that scouts figured would take time to develop, but if these first few weeks are any indicator, it appears as if his readiness was underestimated. Clearly there is a long way to go, and it’s reasonable to expect a prolonged slump at some point this season. Even so, Buxton needs to be considered among the top-tier of outfield prospects right now. I live just 40 minutes from a Midwest League ballpark, and this is the dude I’m most looking forward to seeing this summer. Can’t. Friggin. Wait.
What do you think about Chris Archer? What’s his upside like and when is he projected to be in the bigs?
I’m trying to decide if he’d be a better stash over Cashner or Quintana with the next few years in mind.
Cashner has long-term upside, so I wouldn’t cut him in a keeper, and I wanna say you should drop Quintana, but the dude is curiously kinda good. Archer has a nice ceiling & his ETA is this season. Command is the big hurdle for him, and when/if he gets that working, he’ll be better than Quintana. I’d keep a close eye on him at AAA & be ready to pounce as soon as he strings together a couple nice outings, or until Quintana blows up.
@Scott Evans: Cool. Thanks, Scott!
Was offered Edwin Encarnacion & Mike Zunino for my Yoenis Cespedes & Bubba Starling, keeper league. Pull the trigger or turn it down?
I definitely like the Encarnacion/Zunino end of this. Definitely, definitely.
I would love to see a profile on jarred cosart. I’ve read he’s one of the top prospects for the Astros, is he ready to make the jump to the majors this year or won’t get a chance till 2014? I was offered him for Jeff Francoeur in a dynasty league(16 team) was thinking about taking it.
Most folks see Cosart ending up in a late innings role.. great stuff, but the fastball-curve repertoire is best suited for short stints. He’s working as a SP right now, ironing out command issues. If it looks promising that he’ll stay as a starter, I’ll try to do a post on him. Still, he’s not a bad guy to get for Frenchy in a dynasty… most baseball people see saves in his future.
@Scott Evans: thanks a bunch for the info
Looking for significant contributors coming out of the minors in the AL this year…
Are there any AA SPers converted to AAA RP standouts 1 or 2 pitch fireballer types that might get a nod that should be on radar soon…Names???
Always on the lookout for 13″ sneaker closer candidates of course… BOS, TOR , KC, DET, and Hous seem to be the ones most likely for a kid to shine in now… Any names to start tracking??
You can blame and complain to Mr. Gray for sending me your way… Thanks
More interested in solid RPs at this point that will provide good #s (of course) in the MLB soon to track.. Ks are always nice too…
Not interested in longterm prospects…
Well Bruce Rondon (Det) is the obvious one. The Cardinals have a bad situation in their big league ‘pen & a couple guys too keep an eye on in AAA are Maikel Cleto & Eduardo Sanchez. Christian Garcia (Wsh) is another guy to keep in mind… he’s on the DL right now, but he’s oozing with late inning potential. Also, Jeurys Familia was recently recalled by the Mets… he could work his way into late the innings if their ‘pen scuffles.
Rondon is long gone
Marcus Stroman (TOR); Alex Colome (TB) — starter now, but built for relief; Austin Adams (CLE); Jared Cosart (HOU) — also a starter for now
…Stroman is the best stash, if available.
Please rank these pitchers for ROS…Garza, Harrison, Marcum, Wood, Quintana
Garza, Marcum, Wood, Harrison, Quintana
I was offered Haren for Reddick. Should I take it? Is Haren washed up or is there still something left this year?
Kind of boring deal, but I think Haren’s upside is better than Reddick’s. So from that perspective, I’d pull the trigger.
Was offered Rendon ($7) for my Garrit Cole ($4) in my Ottoneu dynasty league. Worth considering?
Deep pitching with Price, Bumgarner, Moore, Wainwright, Fister and Fernandez.
I’d hold Cole, but full disclosure: I’m not too familiar with the Ottoneu league settings.
Slow day for comments so I’m going to ask your opnion about this team going forward. Where should I focus making some chamges?
1B – A-Gon
2B – Weeks
3B – Longoria
SS – Simmons
OF – Bruce
OF – Holliday
OF – Bautista
UTL- R. Zimmerman
BN – M. Carpenter
BN – T. Frazier
BN – L. Cain
BN – Gattis
NA – B. Hamilton
SP: Verlander, Dickey, Sherzer, Moore, Sanchez, Bailey, Iwakuma
RP: J. Henderson, K. Herrera
12-team mixed? Seems solid. You have a few guys I avoided in drafts (Bruce & Dickey, namely), and the back-end of your staff could be stronger. I wouldn’t shake things up just yet, but obviously stay on top of streamers & keep an eye out for saves on the waiver wire.
Tim Lincecum just dropped in my shallow 5×5 mixed league. Worth a #1 waiver pick-up?
I know #1 waiver priorities are not so valued around here, but my league-mates have itchy trigger fingers, and a few name brand stars are dropped each year.
Witness Lincecum, above.
Yeah, I’d go for it. Especially if you need some SP help…
His Kemp, Gallardo, Ian Kennedy for my Holliday, Wainwright, Rutledge, & Frieri. Which side do you like? FWIW, 10 tm H2H league and Rutledge is little more than a bench bat for me, and there are still some low-end closers hanging around on waivers (e.g. Bailey, Veras) to replace Frieri. Don’t like giving up Wainwright but feel like I’m getting solid return.
Yeah, take it & run. Like buying a little low on Kemp right now.
I posted some thoughts on Peacock this a.m. Be interested to hear your take on a recently graduated prospect.
Just read your comment & very thorough analysis… good stuff. I think the biggest issue — and you hit it on the head — is fastball command. If he can spot the fastball & get ahead in counts, he’d be far more successful right now. I also see some inconsistency at release point… not necessarily varying from pitch type, but general sloppiness. That could be stemming from his disease with pitching from the stretch… I’m looking at brooksbaseball.net charts & didn’t see him live, to be clear. But overall, the life & stuff looks good. Command & throwing with confidence will be the hurdle for him, and with time, I agree that he could be a serviceable option.
I forgot about the Brooks site. Thanks so much for reminding me that it’s there. Talk about a good way to waste about 30,000 hours.
Confidence is a good word to apply. He actually looked a little like Shelby Miller minus the poise.
Yeah brooks charts are the friggin best. I hope that site never goes away.
Dickey for Stanton? Who you like?
Offered hamilton and kemp for zobrist and goldschmidt. Fair deal? 10 team h2h. Already got jupton and harper as ofs and fielder at 1b, waiting in the wings for ortiz off the DL.
I like the Hamilton/Kemp end of this one.
Thanks. The lack of production on hamilton’s end has me queried but I’m going to go for it.
*worried. Stupid dumb phone.
Not huge on Hamilton, but he’ll hit some hot streaks this season & win you some weeks in H2H. Kemp is the big kicker… best player in the deal by a comfy margin.
Who would be an ideal pitching prospect to add for fantasy purposes assuming a free bench spot? (Taillon, Skaggs, Cole?) Who has the best chance of solid fantasy production?
Cole is the best SP stash for fantasy right now.
RA Dickey and Napoli
C. Davis, Rutlege and Billingsly?
Do I take this deal?
I like the Dickey/Napoli end of this one.
Hey man, what are your thoughts on Cingrani? I’ve read so many scouting reports that seem to differ. Thanks.
Great fastball, great change, slider needs improvement. He’s well equipped to tally up plenty of K’s & do quite well at first, but 2-pitch repertoire will be exposed the longer he’s active as a starter. If his slider is better than advertised, though, he could be great for the long haul. Either way, should be a very fun matchup tomorrow with Cingrani vs Jose Fernandez. That’s some good pitcher porn right there…
I thought the same thing when Bauer faced Cashner last year but was sadly disappointed. Glad I picked him up though.
Oh I was fooled by the same matchup… think I cancelled plans for that walk fest! Let’s hope for a more entertaining contest, please, please, please, please.
I’m in a 10 team standard 5×5 roto. We can keep 5 minor leaguers. Once we have them, we can keep them forever. I have Arenado, Olt, Bauer, Taijuan Walker and Michael Wacha.
Archie Bradley is available. Is it worth dropping any of those guys for him?
I would cut Wacha for Bradley.
Still have faith in Bauer? He’s starting to look like a head case. Tons of talent, smart but too smart for his own good. Ten cent head on the mound.
Yeah, he’s gonna figure it out eventually. He’s definitely a headcase, and folks say he’s smart, but I think a smart kid knows to listen… if you’re asking me, his stubbornness & unwillingness to adapt is not a reflection of his intelligence, but rather a statement on his naivety & general immature approach. Because of that, it’s going to take him a little longer to reach his potential, but he’s just too good not to get there. Wouldn’t cut him loose just yet…
Personally in a vacuum I would cut Olt, most sources have dropped Olt because he’s a little old for his level
Full disclosure, I own Arenado, Walker and Bradley. I really like Wacha and think he could make a sizable jump and be starting as soon as next year
i also would like to here your thoughts about Dahl, think i got him for a steal with the 20th pick an already picked over NL only minor draft. I’ve read Mike Trout comps, which seems silly but still.
Yeah, I’ll do a post on Dahl, but he needs to get back to a full-season assignment first. He played a game & then went back to extended spring training for something unrelated to baseball… not too many details about the nature of that issue.
Great post. Thanks. I’m now in a Midwest League city and about to check the schedule for when Buxton comes to town. Hopefully he’ll still be in the ML then.
Thanks! Buxton should spend the entire season with Cedar Rapids, so you should have plenty of opportunities to see him.
My boy!! A 2013 arrival? Wow that would be amazing, but yeah when I took him in my Castellanos and Correa for Profar and A Bradley deal as part of a larger trade (still love that deal), I knew I was getting one ‘close’ guy in Profar so Bradley arriving soon would just be gravy (or peanut butter as you guys would say lol). Sounds like he’s made some improvements early in control too which is awesome.
Any chance we can request future scouting reports on players too? Know its kinda cheeky, but thought I might aswell ask ;) , really interested in hearing Dahl’s and Gary Sanchez’s potential
Small, small chance Bradley arrives this year, but there’s reason for hope… Suggestions for future posts are always welcome. I’ll put Dahl & Sanchez on my list…
@Scott Evans: Thanks man.
And lovin the Mike Trout comps reference by Temco Ballz below, not heard that one before!
They have the same skill set, but Dahl is quite a ways behind physically.