Lotta fun to be had tracking the trade deadline this year, so let’s grab our Geiger counters and pick through the fallout.
AJ Preller brought his own fireworks and fuses. San Diego threw down the gauntlet early by moving SS Leo De Vries, RHP Henry Baez, RHP Braden Nett, and RHP Eduarniel Nunez in a package for closer Mason Miller and LHP JP Sears. Speculation came quickly from Buster Olney and others that the club must be looking to move Robert Suarez and Dylan Cease for outfield help. Instead, they kept Suarez to build a monster bullpen. As much as I like Mason Miller, this represents an enormous return for the Athletics. I can’t believe they got Henry Baez just tacked on for some reason. He’s a good pitcher.
The next trade involved starting pitchers Stephen Kolek and Ryan Berget heading to Kansas City in exchange for catcher Freddy Fermin, who represents a huge upgrade over their duo of Elias Diaz and Martin Maldonado, who has since been released.
Padres fans were not all that happy in the threads I saw, but the next move really tied the room together. The Orioles sent Ramon Laureano and Ryan O’Hearn for six prospects: SS Cobb Hightower, LHP Boston Bateman, RHP Tyson Neighbors, RHP Tanner Smith, SS Brandon Butterworth, and 1B Victor Figueroa.
Baltimore continues to be perplexing. They got a whole bunch of guys. Will probably find value by developing them well on the way up.
San Diego also landed LHP Nestor Cortes from the Brewers for OF Brandon Lockridge, who would’ve been a tight fit for the Padres but might get some run in Milwaukee while Jackson Chourio recovers. Preller found a minute to acquire IF Will Wagner from Toronto for C Brandon Valenzuela (24, AA) a solid defender with a questionable hit tool. He’s pretty interesting as far as org depth goes.
I like what the Blue Jays did. A healthy Shane Bieber would make a big difference for them. Landing RHP Louis Varland was a nice late surprise. Ty France, too, was involved.
Seattle did about as well as they could. Did anyone add better bats than Naylor and Suarez? And they somehow avoided trading any of their interesting position prospects. Also landed LHP Caleb Ferguson, who gives them a second lefty for the bullpen.
The Minnesota Twins sold a lot of players that added up to moving a bullpen and a contract. Despite some reporting to the contrary, I’m not sure how upset Twins fans really are to see Carlos Correa go. It’s more a built-up feeling about how the owners suck, I think, because that contract was way underwater. They overpaid him in the first place and really only landed him because he was all they could get. The club has a talented wave of infielders on the rise and now has a spot for just about everyone who matters. Brooks Lee, Royce Lewis, Luke Keaschall and Kaelen Culpepper should add up to a solid infield with upside on valuable contracts. An outfield of Buxton, Walker Jenkins, and Trevor Larnach is similarly interesting over the next few years. Alan Roden, James Outman, Emmanuel Rodriguez and Matt Wallner factor in here somewhere. And Jose Miranda is still on the 40-man as an infield option. For years, this team has struggled to sort and prioritize. Moving Correa off the roster makes a pretty big difference as it allows them to enhance their infield defense and open up third base for Lee if Keaschall can play second base.
I really thought they were going to hold Louis Varland and let him close for a while to boost his value, but former Blue Jays LHP Kendry Rojas is an interesting return. While it’s a down beat moment in Minnesota, the Twins added some interesting arms that can join the rotation today in Taj Bradley, Mick Abel along with guys like Rojas who should help soon. They bet on themselves to build another bullpen, which is aspirational and intriguing to watch.
I saw somebody call the Rockies winners just because they showed a pulse, but it was a pretty meek pulse. They made three trades and two of them were with one organization.
Cubs fans in my orbit were pretty disappointed, speculating that perhaps the club signaled a boring deadline when it extended Jed Hoyer’s contract earlier in the week. I don’t understand how they got to the place where they’d mortgage the future for Kyle Tucker but then get huggy with guys like Jaxon Wiggins later that season when everything seemed to be coming up Milhouse. Of course Wiggins is a good prospect, but they might’ve been able to add Sandy Alcantara and Edward Cabrera if willing to deal from their stacked farm system. Instead, they paid moderate prices for depth pieces like Mike Soroka, Willi Castro, Andrew Kittredge, and Taylor Rogers. Could’ve been worse. Soroka has pitched well this summer (1.07 WHIP since June 6) and it’s nice to get Castro, but the club went from Alcantara to Ryan to Nothing pretty quick on deadline day. Miami’s Peter Bendix pulled his pitchers off the trade block with more than 30 minutes left on the clock. Feels like he might’ve gotten irritated with the hemming and hawing. I get the same way. Probably wise to keep them both rather than selling low. Even with less time remaining on their contracts, they’ll be worth more if they’re both pitching to their potential by this time next season.
The Red Sox and Dodgers all sort of sat out until found money came their way late in the day. Boston moving James Tibbs III so soon after getting him will raise some eyebrows, but Dustin May was a solid return for him and a valuable piece in a contention cycle even if he doesn’t fully rediscover his form or iterate into someone a bit more consistent. The Dodgers made an astute acquisition in Alex Call, a tough out even against good pitching. This way they have no pressure to play Conforto against a lefty. They also sent C Hunter Fedduccia to Tampa, where he should be a cromulent option. Similar story for RHP Adrian Houser, a smart get for the Rays. New Rangers SP Merrill Kelly pulled a high price for Arizona in Itch-fave LHP Mitch Bratt, LHP Kohl Drake and RHP David Hagaman.
In general, the prices were all over place. Tyler Rogers cost more than Ryan Helsley. Timing seemed to matter as much as ever this year, but in the end, the Mets made a lot of smart moves and added Cedric Mullins to their outfield along with these relievers plus LHP Gregory Soto. They added the kinds of pieces that help teams win in October.
I already mentioned them but another team that crushed the assignment was Seattle. They’re a totally different lineup with Suarez and Naylor, especially against post-season pitching, where Naylor’s unique blend of power and contact skills can really shine.
Thanks for reading!
As a Pirates fan things are depressing with the worst GM & ownership in history! What were your thoughts on the returns the Pirstes received?
Lousy, bootlicking announcers as well.
I hope they make at least a college try to extend Dennis Santana. They do sometimes sprinkle a little see-we’re-trying money onto the players they like, and he seems like a smart candidate. He’s headed into his final arb year in 2026 and will get a sizable raise already.
I like Rafael Flores. He can hit and should see significant big league playing time in 2026.
Stafura is a solid return for the contract of Ke’Brayan Hayes. Pretty astute to tack Taylor Rogers on to off-set money and flip him for Ivan Brethowr, a 6’6″ 250 lb behemoth. He’ll fit right into a big and tall system.
I don’t see the vision in holding as many expiring contracts as they did. IKF makes zero sense to me. Nice to Liover Peguero up and hitting tho!
Issue I have with your Twins take is that I don’t see the logic of doing all these trades, effectively punting next year, and then aggressively promoting guys like Keaschall, Jenkins and Culpepper
I expect we’ll be watching a LOT of ABs go to Outman, Roden, Julien, Miranda, Klemens, Martin until super 2 is past next year, at the very least. Watch. Keaschall is about to get reassigned straight from his rehab to AAA.
Oh I don’t think they’re going to rush anybody. Just that they’ll trickle in over the next few cycles.
I think you’re probably right though, that I’m picturing a quicker transition to their core pieces than we’re likely to see in reality.
Keaschall is terrific!
Oh I love Keaschall. I think he’s going to be a sneaky 15/40 guy, albeit with fringy defense. But my point is that they are going to slow play all these prospects by design until super 2 2026, and when the team is inevitably out of it by super 2 2026, they will slow play them all the way to September. This trade deadline has pushed back my expectations for the entire pipeline
There’s literally no reason anymore to bring Keaschall back up this year, outside of trying to field your best team, which is obviously not a priority
Thanks Itch!
What did you think of the Cardinals moves?
My main question is why do they still have Arenado? I guess it’s because he’s hurt, but they had a lot of time to move him.
Good time to trade the relievers, of course. I like Jesus Baez in the Helsley deal.
I like Baez also but would have liked to get one of the Mets close SP’s Sproat,Tong,or McLean
their owner is the worst sunk cost fallacy owner i’ve ever heard of, could cite many examples. from that he won’t eat close to say the 33 MIN did to truck correa’s useless ass out of town. also arenado’s only willing TO BE traded to 5/29th of the other teams.
they did force him to play injured for at least a month just in case they could’ve traded him though. not that his hitting during that month made literally anybody think he was healthy, and if healthy, would be even more worrisome.
Twins fans are upset to see Correa go, but his $30 million salary was a joke! That money can be spent better. Getting Abel was a good move, IMO. Twins have good pitching, and room for up and coming players. Now, sell the team!
Yeah that last piece is the most important one. They need to find a buyer, and hopefully that new group will find a good TV deal and feel compelled to maintain a competitive club on the field.
he’s hit .704 this year and made enough money to pay for what like 5+ guys that can do that, has the foot thing that only MIN ignored when he joined them and is older than when they signed him. what’s weirder is they signed him to that in the first place, and MORE weird that the team that literally just let him leave (and was made to look quite smart when they did it, pena’s been a better D and at least close to as valuable hitter since then, at a reasonable cost, more valuable hitter this year) since they knew about the foot thing, didn’t want to pay him even 25-30 per, suddenly is just fine with an older, can’t hit version of him, who’s not even going to play the more valuable D SS position anymore there, around 20 per for 3 more years even AFTER MIN gave them 33 to get him off their roster; oh wait, and this is the same org that moved tucker at prime age, still a top 15 or so hitter (at worst) since they wouldn’t pay him. i’d get that if maybe they changed ownerships over this time period, but they also gave walker (with almost no D value, certainly less than tucker’s) all the money just a few months ago, at around same time they shipped tucker off.
addendum: what exactly did tucker do to HOU to get him off that roster, they’re fine paying much older, worse hitters just buckets of money, but not him.
One of the things that surprised me about my time in Minneapolis was the almost complete indifference to all thingsTwins. They’re just background noise to everything else that’s going on (both good and bad). We left town in 2022. Friends, neighbors and co-workers were kinda happy if they won but didn’t really care if they lost. I’m of the same mind as you and thought the Twins were going to keep Louis Varland and have him close so I added him accordingly. Best laid plays…
Is it time to start believing in the Blue Jays?
It’s Vikings country there, I’m guessing
Yep.
University of Minnesota sports are huge too.
That’s interesting, especially considering they won those two titles in quick succession.
I believe in the Blue Jays. Had Varland on a few squads myself. Still kind of stunned they didn’t keep anyone who could close and enhance their value.
Keep Forever League with no contracts.
Player X hasn’t seen my fantasy lineup since Hector was a pup.
Contemplating stashing *the next best thing* for Player X, who has been a perennial Keeper.
OK the guessing game is over.
Drop Mookie ( and no, he has no real trade value. League mates aren’t buying a 33 year old who is only in the Dodger lineup because they’re paying him) for SF’s Eldridge? It’s a balls move for sure but I think reality has set in regarding Mookie’s future. I’m definitely not keeping him for ‘26 so….?
I thought Mookie would bust this year. I’ve had my own digestive issues, and that can really set you back. If he’s got that figured out and can regain some of the 20 lbs he lost, Mookie should bounce back next year.
That said, I want Eldridge. Anyone else you can drop?
Steer, Keaschall and Bernabel are options to drop for Eldridge. Thoughts, suggestions, recommendations?
Steer is hot manure
Kayfus, Brooks Lee, Veen, Owen Caissie, Robert Hassell, Angel Martinez, Locklear or Baty?
Who are you too 3 long term?
Who are your top 3 long term?
Baty, Martinez, Lee
Any thoughts on the Phillies moves? Obviously love Duran but do you think Bader was the right move for a bat? Do you think the Phillies are holding their prospects too closely?
I like what they did. Bought some guys on the cheap, and Duran locks down a tough spot for them for a couple post-season runs. Wouldn’t be shocked to see him find a new level as he settles into becoming THE closer for a team after being something a little left of that in Minnesota.
Oh and I don’t think held too closely. I suspect they would’ve moved Crawford and Miller if the price was perfect.
Nice breakdown Itch!
Def agree, prices seem to be all over the place. Dbacks probably should have gotten more for Eugenio.
Wonder if the Padres make Miller a starter considering the haul they gave for him and the overall depth of their pen
Nice breakdown Itch!
Def agree, prices seem to be all over the place. Dbacks probably should have gotten more for Eugenio.
Wonder if the Padres make Miller a starter considering the haul they gave for him and the overall depth of their pen
Thanks!
Yeah there was a lot of talk about Eugenio’s value for that to be the final return.
Sounds like they’re going to consider Miller to the rotation this off-season.
there was somebody day of it saying preller said something about maybe maximizing m.miller, something OAK/SAC decided to do the opposite with. i mean if somebody like j.hicks can convince 2 teams to keep letting him start (STL 3-4 times, SF 1) why wouldn’t a really good pitcher be able to do that? does at least his agent not alert him to the money difference between no matter how good you are 1-2 inning pitchers vs really good SP’s or what.