We at Razzball realize that exporting our views across the country has damaging consequences on the blogosphere. To help make amends, we are reaching out to leading team blogs and featuring their locally blogged answers to pressing 2010 fantasy baseball questions regarding their team. We feel this approach will be fresher, more sustainable, and require less energy consumption (for us anyway). The 2010 Orioles Fantasy Baseball Preview comes courtesy of Daniel Moroz of Camden Crazies (don’t fret, NJ and Philly readers – this refers to Camden Yards and not the most dangerous city of 2004, 2005, and 2009 – Camden, NJ)

1) The fantasy baseball expectations of Matt Wieters last year were ridiculous – nothing short of Piazza’s 1993 rookie year (.318/81/35/112) would’ve satisifed them.  A year later, expectations are in check and our CHONE/ZiPS-based projection systems have him with a modest line of:  .286/55 R /14 HR /63 RBI.  Do you think he’ll surpass any of those levels and, if so, by how much?

I think those expectations are pretty spot-on, as I have him projected to hit .287/.351/.455 right now. The RBI and R has a lot to do with where he hits in the batting order, which I’m not sure of.  I do think he has a chance to break out, but am not really looking for that to happen for at least another year. Adjusting to hitting major league pitching is hard – especially when one also has to adjust to catching major league pitching

2) The Orioles have a number of starting pitcher prospects.  Rank the following in order based on your 2010 expectations:  Brad Bergesen, Jason Berken, Brian Matusz, and Chris Tillman.

Matusz, Bergesen, Tillman, Berken. I think Matusz can be an above average starting pitcher already; Bergesen around average; Tillman and Berken more of like 4/5 starters, with the latter maybe seeing some time in the bullpen as well (and the former have the much higher ceiling).

3) Which of the Orioles outfielders will have the best year at the plate: Nick (Sparkakis!) Markakis, Adam Jones, or Nolan Reimold?

Markakis. He’s the only one who I think can hit .300, put up a .380 OBP, and slug close to .500. I don’t think Jones or Reimold will get to any of those marks in 2010 – and especially not all three.

4) Brian Roberts’ SB totals have gone from 50 to 40 to 30 in the past 3 years.  Over/under 30 SBs in 2010?

I’ll take under 30, especially since he already has missed some time this spring with back issues. Roberts is getting into his mid 30s, so while he should still be able to steal quite a few bases just based on smart baserunning, I don’t think his speed will stay top notch for that much longer.

5) Since you follow the Orioles, we assume you live in the Baltimore area and, thus, must have watched ‘The Wire’.  So, which Wire character does Peter Angelos most remind you of?  (personality vs. physical)  If you haven’t seen the Wire, please explain yourself.

I do live in Baltimore, and I have seen The Wire, but only the first season (and a couple episodes of the second). It was a good show – and I can definitely tell why people consider it one of the best TV shows of all time – but it just didn’t grab me that strongly. I’m hoping to come back to it at some point. I guess in light of that, I can’t really answer the question well. I think Angelos has finally allowed the baseball people to be in charge, which is for the best.

Rudy:  Sheeeeeeeettt, I would’ve thought all Baltimoretonians were required to watch The Wire and all Barry Levinson + Jon Waters movies.  The easy answer to “Which ‘The Wire’ character does Peter Angelos most remind you of?” is The Greek from Season 2 as he 1) also owns a big organization, 2) works best when he keeps a low profile and let’s lieutenants take care of the day-to-day and 3) is of Greek descent (Angelos is Greek-American).  Alternatives answers include Mayor Clarence Royce (profited off civil service – Angelos made his money in class-action suits – and ran the city into the ground), Police Commissioner Ervin Burrell (misran the Police Department and put too much faith in bad lieutentants like Deputy Rawls), and drug kingpin Avon Barksdale (gets a little too overexcited when someone disrespects him by encroaching on his territory *cough* Washington Senators *cough*)

  1. Poor Balitimore says:

    NOLA, Detroit, and Ballmore, the three most shitieous cities in the country.

  2. jerkstore says:

    As a Baltimoron who loved The Wire, all references to Senator Clay Davis are much appreciated. I eagerly await the season’s first Josh Hamilton / Bubbles comparison.

  3. Cheese

    Cheese says:

    I’m just wondering if it’s better to use my 17th pick overall on Adrian Gonzalez, or wait until pick 80 and grab Carlos Pena or Adam Dunn to man my 1st base. The only difference between Gonzalez and Pena/Dunn is 30 points of BA, so is it really worth it to spend the high pick on someone who offers only 30 avg points more?

  4. mike reno says:

    Add Pittsburgh to that shitty city list…

  5. Mikey boy324 says:

    Grey are you concerned at all with kinslers injury reports are that he has a sprained ankle and could miss 1-2 weeks

  6. Brandon says:

    If I already have Mark Texiera, Dustin Pe-not-on-steroidsa and Tulowitzki..in my 1B, 2B and SS spot…I need a MI and a 3B..Who should I snag out of these three? Youkilis, KungFu Panda, or BPhillips? Or should I take a pitcher and wait for Gordon Beckham/Ian Stewart?

  7. johnny o says:

    I’m in a 10 owners -(keepers-10) 5×5 roto that is drafting one round every few days. We’re in round 14. My pick is coming up today.
    2 Ian Stewart(13)
    ss Tulo
    3 Longoria
    OF Sizemore
    OF Kemp
    OF Braun
    OF Hunter
    DL(Beltran-out till May)
    SP Wainwright
    SP Ubaldo (11)
    SP Scott Baker (12)
    RP Broxton
    Here’s whats availabe-nearly in the order off the “new”top 300.
    Uggla, Damon, Jose Lopez, Asdrubal Cabrera, Vladdy, Chipper, Chris Davis(1,3) Reimold
    Ryan Dempster, Kevin Slowey,Cueto, De La Rosa, Sanchez, Ervin Santana, Liriano…and about 18 closers. (41 SP are drafted so far)
    Who and what positions do I draft in the next 2 rounds.

  8. Brandon says:

    @johnny o – You need a 1B, but I’m not high on Chris Davis…Sanchez will give you some K…There is a huge drop off after Asdrubal…I’d go Asdrubal this round and Sanchez next round…but, that’s just me

  9. AL KOHOLIC says:

    davis or uggla

  10. Grey

    Grey says:

    @Cheese: Could be 50 points on average. I’d just take A-Gon, but I could see either argument.

    @Mikey boy324: Not overly concerned, no.

    @Brandon: Take a pitcher and wait.

    @johnny o: I want to say Davis, but him and Stewart could kill you. Honestly, not crazy about any of the choices. I’d take Davis and Slowey, but you’re gonna need Polanco at MI. Yeah, I know.

  11. Quinn says:

    The Greek wasn’t Greek! He was Russian!

  12. trevor says:

    I need help with my final two keepers. We keep 10 and so far i’ve go Laporta, markakis, Reynolds, Werth, Zimmerman, Cahill, nolasco, and Wandy Rodriguez.

    The rest I can choose from are Nolan Reimold, Brian Matusz, Zach Duke, Ted Lilly, Drew Stubbs, Johnny Peralta, and brian Duensing

  13. Grey

    Grey says:

    @trevor: Cahill’s going to be terrible. I’d keep Reimold, and Matusz. And change out Cahill with Lilly or Stubbs.

  14. Eddy says:

    I’m liking the 1-2 punch of Borbon and Andrus today the rangers have going.

    And is it me, or are people falling like flies in terms of injury this year? Seems like everyday 1-2 marquee names get hurt. I know every spring season has its injuries, but man, it’s out of hand lately. I think the most concerning one for me is Asdrubal, who has a strained groin and is day-to-day.
    Maybe not so much for my Yahoo league, but in ESPN where you need extra infielders, that could be a problem. Especially since Acta did something right for once and put him to bat leadoff where he’s 5 for 10.

    About the only guy I’d like to see injured is Jeff Mathis. Even though Napoli has 4 HRs and 7 RBIs so far, Sciosa is unfortunately gonna do the same old song and dance.

    Anyone you secretly wanna see get injured to give someone a shot to play Grey? How about you Razzballers?

  15. Grey

    Grey says:

    @Eddy: I wouldn’t mind seeing Hawpe and Barmes collide on routine pop-up.

  16. Eddy says:

    Haha yea, that’d open up the field for about 38 upside-infused Rockies!

  17. I loved The Wire. I have watched the first 3 seasons via Netflix and look forward to the rest.

    I think one can rationalize Roberts’ decline in sb in 2009 in part because he led MLB in doubles. He ended up on second base over 50 times. Just my 2 cents. As to whether or not his back injury is an issue in 2010, I have no idea, but I would otherwise take the over on 30 thefts.

  18. trevor says:

    You really dont like Cahill? Can you give me a little insight because I really dont know to much about baseball I just play for money and listen to you.

  19. Denys says:

    go birds!

  20. I wouldn’t mind seeing Randy Winn with an ingrown toenail.

  21. Quinn says:

    @Grey: Having Mora go on the DL with anxiety problems due to the loss of his teammates would also be nice.

    @Rudy: So we were both wrong….

  22. Maitland says:

    @malacoda: he had 51 doubles and 8 triples the year before when he stole 40. He had slightly more extra base hits last year because of the homeruns, but, still, not sure if this is enough to make the difference.

  23. Tony says:

    @johnny o: i haven’t looked if anyone else responded but i’d take Chris Davis there over the others listed. He’s having a good spring and might be a great post hype sleeper snag there….

    dirty sanchez next would be nice…. or slowey like grey said, since i scrolled thru now…..

    @Eddy: how’d they look eddy? you watch it live or?

  24. Eddy says:

    I didn’t watch it live, but it was good to see them hitting in those slots b/c it’s believed that Andrus will hit 9th, which’ll really diminish his value.

    Borbon went 1-4 with 2 runs and 1 SO
    Andrus went 1-4 with 1 run and 1 SO

    Unfortunately, they left 10 men on base between them (ouch). 4 and 6 respectively.

  25. PJtres says:

    just drafted in my 12 team keeper….any holes in this team?

    C Vmart
    1b Miggy
    2b Utley
    3b Arod
    SS Asdrubal
    OF Choo
    OF Carlos Lee
    OF Span
    Util Longoria
    Util Reimold

    BN Helton
    BN Nyjer Morgan
    BN Pierre

    SP Lester
    SP Nolasco
    RP Bell
    RP Soria
    RP Qualls
    P Garza
    P Oswalt
    P Tim Hudson

    BN F. Francisco
    BN Hughes
    BN Colby Lewis
    BN Latos
    BN Downs
    BN Saito


  26. PJtres says:

    @ grey…would you pick up anyone in the JJ Hardy/Adam Laroche/Nick Johnson/Meche group then?

  27. PJtres says:

    oops…and glaus

  28. Grey

    Grey says:

    @PJtres: Eh… I’d own LaRoche over Helton on your team.

  29. johnny o says:

    See #8
    One F-In owner had a pick before me, and he took Chris Davis.
    I drafted Slowey in the 13th.
    The same dam owner before me took Dirty Sanchez in the 14th.
    Johnny Damon is mine in the 14th.

  30. Eddy says:

    You have a power 1B and 3B, Andrus as SS, as well as at least two speed/power OF guys like Werth and Grandy. Out of these four, who would you take to round out your two Util. spots?

    Bruce, Quentin, Pence, or Borbon?

  31. J Matthews says:

    Re: Brian Roberts & SB

    Roberts ran 20% less in 2009 than he did in 2008, and was down closer to 30% from 2007. (in relation to the number of opportunities)

    His success rate has dropped as well since 2007.

    I think 30 SB is a ceiling at best this year.

  32. Grey

    Grey says:

    @Eddy: Quentin and Pence or Bruce and Pence. Either way…

  33. Tony says:

    @johnny o: sounds like someone else reads razzball in your league? or was this an RCL draft? LOL

  34. mrbaseball says:

    20 TEAM DRAFT – that I had to pre-set

    Roster Positions: C, 1B, 2B, 3B, SS, LF, CF, RF, Util, SP, SP, RP, RP, P, P, P, BN, BN, BN, BN, BN, BN, BN, BN, BN, DL, DL, DL

    Batters Stat Categories: Runs (R), Home Runs (HR), Runs Batted In (RBI), Stolen Bases (SB), Batting Average (AVG)

    Pitchers Stat Categories: Wins (W), Saves (SV), Strikeouts (K), Earned Run Average (ERA), (Walks + Hits)/ Innings Pitched (WHIP)

    1. (13) Miguel Cabrera -1B
    2. (28) Kevin Youkilis -3B
    3. (53) Adam Jones -CF
    4. (68) Jay Bruce – RF
    5. (93) Gordon Beckham – 2B – 3B – ultilty
    6. (108) Carlos Quentin – LF
    7. (133) Matt Garza – SP
    8. (148) A.J. Burnett -SP
    9. (173) Jonathan Sánchez -SP
    10. (188) Johnny Cueto -SP
    11. (213) Max Scherzer -SP
    12. (228) Brandon Morrow -RP
    13. (253) Drew Stubbs – OF
    14. (268) Kerry Wood -RP
    15. (293) Kelly Johnson -2B
    16. (308) Jake Fox – 1B 2B OF
    17. (333) Ramón Hernández CATCHER
    18. (348) Julio Lugo -SS 2B
    19. (373) Wade LeBlanc -SP
    20. (388) Carlos Ruiz -CATCHER
    21. (413) Daniel Bard -RP
    22. (428) Mat Gamel – 3B – ULTILTY
    23. (453) Brian Duensing -SP
    24. (468) Marc Rzepczynski -SP
    25. (493) Nick Punto -SS 3B

  35. mrbaseball says:

    Round 1

    1. Tim Lincecum Strange Brew
    2. Hanley Ramírez PooPHeaDFreD
    3. Albert Pujols Team Wallach2
    4. Álex Rodríguez Shredders
    5. Ryan Braun Screwball14
    6. Ryan Howard Team Raines
    7. Chase Utley The Disabled…
    8. Evan Longoria Jays Fan
    9. Matt Kemp Saddleback S…
    10. Mark Teixeira Run George R…
    11. Prince Fielder Loyal to Larkin
    12. Troy Tulowitzki Coyote’s
    13. Miguel Cabrera MRBASEBALL
    14. Joe Mauer Gashouse Gor…
    15. Carl Crawford Algolian Sun…
    16. David Wright TWICE AS NICE
    17. Roy Halladay Swat
    18. Justin Upton San Diego Su…
    19. Ian Kinsler Achilles Las…
    20. Matt Holliday Ozzfest 10

    Round 2
    1. Grady Sizemore Ozzfest 10
    2. Jacoby Ellsbury Achilles Las…
    3. Adrián González San Diego Su…
    4. Dustin Pedroia Swat
    5. Félix Hernández TWICE AS NICE
    6. Pablo Sandoval Algolian Sun…
    7. CC Sabathia Gashouse Gor…
    8. Kevin Youkilis MRBASEBALL
    9. Joey Votto Coyote’s
    10. Jimmy Rollins Loyal to Larkin
    11. Ichiro Suzuki Run George R…
    12. Zack Greinke Saddleback S…
    13. Brandon Phillips Jays Fan
    14. Ryan Zimmerman The Disabled…
    15. Johan Santana Team Raines
    16. Brian McCann Screwball14
    17. Víctor Martínez Shredders
    18. José Reyes Team Wallach2
    19. Mark Reynolds PooPHeaDFreD
    20. Dan Haren Strange Brew

  36. Grey

    Grey says:

    @mrbaseball: This:

    19. (373) Wade LeBlanc -SP
    20. (388) Carlos Ruiz -CATCHER
    21. (413) Daniel Bard -RP
    22. (428) Mat Gamel – 3B – ULTILTY
    23. (453) Brian Duensing -SP
    24. (468) Marc Rzepczynski -SP
    25. (493) Nick Punto -SS 3B

    Is a bit of a mess, but your team’s really not that bad for a preset. Solid pitching staff for that deep of a league. You have very little speed outside of Stubbs, which isn’t terrible. Better to have power and less speed as you can find it.

  37. mrbaseball says:

    hey grey did you look at the numbers game here – these are picks 373 through 493 – I am sure everyone else has the same gems here

    I preset for power – and starting pitching over RP and steals

  38. Eddy says:

    Out of curiosity, how’d the dude’s team who chose Lincecum and Haren with his first two turn out? Pretty major gamble in a 20 reamer if you ask me…

  39. mrbaseball says:

    here is that team Eddy

    check out this draft grey – it makes my starting pitching staff even better since he took most of the good pitchers

    this is a terrible draft –

    Strange Brew

    1. (1) Tim Lincecum – SP
    2. (40) Dan Haren – SP
    3. (41) Justin Verlander -SP
    4. (80) Josh Beckett – SP
    5. (81) Javier Vázquez – SP
    6. (120) Rajai Davis – OF
    7. (121) Álex Ríos – OF
    8. (160) David Ortiz 1b
    9. (161) Adrián Béltre -3B
    10. (200) Erick Aybar -SS
    11. (201) Matt Thornton RP
    12. (240) Mike González RP
    13. (241) Seth Smith
    14. (280) Chris Getz
    15. (281) Tony Abreu
    16. (320) Chris Iannetta
    17. (321) Joe Thatcher
    18. (360) Michael Aubrey
    19. (361) Mike Aviles
    20. (400) Willie Bloomquist
    21. (401) Alberto Arias
    22. (440) Luis Durango
    23. (441) Kris Medlen
    24. (480) Jerry Hairston Jr.
    25. (481) Ryan Garko

  40. mrbaseball says:

    best pitchers and hitters on fre agent market in the 20 team draft – do you like any grey and if so who should i drop

    John Smoltz
    (StL – SP) NA

    Brett Cecil
    (Tor – SP)

    Dave Bush
    (Mil – SP)

    Dana Eveland
    (Tor – SP)

    Chien-Ming Wang
    (Was – SP)

    Pedro Martínez
    (Phi – SP) NA

    James McDonald
    (LAD – SP,RP)

    Rick VandenHurk
    (Fla – SP)

    Anibal Sánchez
    (Fla – SP)

    Chad Gaudin
    (NYY – SP,RP)

    Sean West
    (Fla – SP)

    Casey Kotchman
    (Sea – 1B)

    Ty Wigginton
    (Bal – 1B,3B)

    Will Venable
    (SD – CF,RF)

    Daric Barton
    (Oak – 1B)

    John Mayberry
    (Phi – LF)

    Jordan Schafer
    (Atl – CF)

    Justin Smoak
    (Tex – 1B) NA

  41. Grey

    Grey says:

    @mrbaseball: Yeah, that other team’s a mess. If Punto’s not a starter, lose him for Barton. Lose Duensing for Bush. Lose Ruiz for Cecil.

  42. incognithole says:

    @Grey: You mentioned that you liked to fill the cornerstones first. If I get elite 1B at #10 overall would you take zimm at #15 (if arod, wright, longoria are gone) to maintain that strategy. Or would you risk missing out on zimm/youk and maybe getting sandoval, reynolds at rd 3 or have to wait out for beckham/stewart.

    Same conversely. If I miss out on elite 1B at #10 overall and take longoria would you force yourself to take adgon at #15 or would you take holliday in rd2 and hope for morneau, reynolds, morales, or dlee later on…..

    which rd would you ideally target sanchez as your #6 SP?

    Thanks for your insights and patience with similar questions (fine tuning for draft then it will end)

  43. Grey

    Grey says:

    @incognithole: I’d wait longer than the 15th pick. If it’s Sandoval or Reynolds, so be it. Same with 1st base. Sanchez goes anywhere from 180 to 220. Jump on him at 175 and you should be fine.

    EDIT: Number.

  44. incognithole says:

    @Grey: thanks for the schooling

  45. Quinn says:

    I can’t believe Miggy is constantly dropping into the second round in all the drafts I see…. Do people forget he’s only 26??? And that he’s off the booze? Do you know how productive I would be if I stopped drinking?

  46. PJtres says:

    what are your projections on colby lewis? he was nasty in japan…but i have no idea how that translates…

    also, mike adams…good to own for holds/if bell gets traded?

  47. AL KOHOLIC says:

    @PJtres: PIPE DOWN ON ADAMS,he,s been flying under most radars so far

  48. Eddy says:

    Wow, what a terrible team that guy drafted. I think he believes people will be begging him to trade in the season.

  49. J!m Future says:

    Grey –

    First off, hats off to you guys for this site; I stumbled across it a few weeks ago and have studied it up and down since. Unbelievable content for free.

    That said, I wonder if you would mind critiquing the live draft I just had for my league today: 11 teams (one guy dropped out five minutes before go time, argh), 5×5 plus OPS and QS, 4 OF, no CI/MI.

    1. (2) Albert Pujols
    2. (21) Grady Sizemore
    3. (24) Jimmy Rollins
    4. (43) Robinson Canó
    5. (46) Dan Haren
    6. (65) Adam Lind
    7. (68) Cole Hamels
    8. (87) Gordon Beckham
    9. (90) Chad Billingsley
    10. (109) Heath Bell
    11. (112) Álex Ríos
    12. (131) Vladimir Guerrero
    13. (134) David Aardsma
    14. (153) Miguel Montero
    15. (156) Jonathan Sánchez
    16. (175) Dexter Fowler
    17. (178) Tim Hudson
    18. (197) Octavio Dotel
    19. (200) Francisco Liriano
    20. (219) Joba Chamberlain
    21. (222) Koji Uehara

    There were couple of unhappy developments – Zimmerman was gone by the middle of the second, and one guy hoarded pitching so I feel like I had to reach for a couple, but overall I feel pretty good about this team. Am I wrong?

  50. PJtres says:

    thanks grey…
    to kind of dovetail off that last question then..

    can you rank these guys?

    (SP) colby lewis, john maine, j. hammell

    (RP – holds) adams, mark lowe, raf betancourt


  51. Adam says:

    Need keeper help, especially since I’ve never done an auction draft before…10 team H2H points league w/ 2 catchers, MI, CI, 5 OF and Util…5 keepers, I’ll list last year’s dollar amount and PPG average

    Hanley – $38 (3.6)
    Mauer – $9 (3.8)
    Longoria – $21 (3.0)
    Votto – $9 (3.1)
    Kemp – $21 (3.0)

    Phillips – $18 (2.9)
    Nelly Cruz – $-9? (2.9) Note…how do negative values work?
    Mini-Donk – $1 (2.6)
    Wieters – $2 (1.7)
    Josh Johnson – $10 (16.2)
    Wandwagon – $1 (14.4)
    Cliff Lee – $21 (14.7)
    Ubaldo – $-7? (14.7)
    Johan – $32 (15.6)

    The draft last year was a snake, so to switch to auction, we’re using ESPN’s values from last season…

    Also, some managers want to do away with the points system and do straight up H2H with the 5×5 categories, would this have any impact on who I should keep? I’m thinking it would make Mini-Donk much more attractive, although I already have Longoria at 3B

    Sorry if this post makes about as much sense as Joe Torre’s batting order, I wasn’t involved in this league last year and I’m joining in as a co-manager on one of the teams

  52. mrbaseball says:

    51 Eddy Says:
    March 14th, 2010 at 12:10 pm
    Wow, what a terrible team that guy drafted. I think he believes people will be begging him to trade in the season – all the king horses and all the kings men can not put that team back together again

    but for me its a cool draft since my starting pitching rotation is strong – I have to be in good shape against the other 19 teams

  53. Eddy says:

    Definitely man. Especially considering the fact that you wern’t there at all, I give you props.

    What do you think of this yahoo mock I just did? 12 teams H2H. I wasn’t there the first two rounds, so once again I had to come up with something since I’d never take two straight OF.

    1. Ryan Braun (Mil – OF)
    2. Matt Holliday (StL – OF)
    3. Ryan Zimmerman (Was – 3B)
    4. Justin Morneau (Min – 1B)
    5. Curtis Granderson (NYY – OF)
    6. Jon Lester (Bos – SP)
    7. Cole Hamels (Phi – SP)
    8. Hunter Pence (Hou – OF)
    9. Elvis Andrus (Tex – SS)
    10. Carlos Mármol (ChC – RP)
    11. José López (Sea – 1B,2B)
    12. Roy Oswalt (Hou – SP)
    13. David Aardsma (Sea – RP)
    14. Jorge Posada (NYY – C)
    15. Colby Rasmus (StL – OF)
    16. Ervin Santana (LAA – SP)
    17. Johnny Cueto (Cin – SP)
    18. Tim Hudson (Atl – SP)
    19. Octavio Dotel (Pit – RP)
    20. Jon Rauch (Min – RP)
    21. Clay Buchholz (Bos – SP)
    22. Mike González (Bal – RP)
    23. Chris Davis (Tex – 1B,3B)

  54. Real Tom says:

    The Dodgers have not failed to provide a surprisingly effective middle man over the past couple years (Wade, Park, Kuo, Troncoso, Belisario, etc.)

    Anyway, I was noticing Jon Link (from the Pierre trade) is fighting for a rotation spot, and could end up in the bullpen. His 10.5/9 K rate might make him worthy of watching on waivers…

  55. incognithole says:

    @Grey: J-Upside is crushing the ball, 7-for-19 with three homers already, while holliday tweaked a muscle……still holliday > j-up?

  56. Grey

    Grey says:

    @PJtres: Adams, Lewis…

    @Adam: Wouldn’t change much. Couldn’t you keep Reynolds for $1 then get Hanley back for say $45 and have both for $46?

    @Eddy: Team looks solid. A little light on speed. Nice bullpen and staff overall.

  57. Adam says:

    @Grey: I’m sure that would work, but under the current point system that counts against K’s, Reynolds isn’t as valuable as usual…he finished tied with the great Adam Kennedy in points per game, and just behind the likes of Cantu, Lowell and Rolen (and David Wright, interestingly…)

    Unless I’m overthinking all of this, as well as the fact that I already have Longoria, it seems as if guys like Cruz , Ubaldo, Wandy or Wieters would be better keepers if I was looking for value rather than overall production

  58. J!m Future says:

    @Grey: You don’t like Uehara for WHIP control/vulture saves?

  59. Adam says:

    @Grey: Also, in the same league, just got offered Zobrist ($1 keeper, 3.1 ppg) for Johan…I know Zo is a better keeper than Johan at this value, but would you keep Zo as one of the 5?

  60. Adam says:

    @Adam: Could probably also get Jeter ($12, 3.3) if you like him…the scoring system in this league is ridiculous, I’m confused

  61. Steve says:

    @AL KOHOLIC: Not everyone’s ;-)

  62. Grey

    Grey says:

    @Adam: Ah, yeah, points. Then keep Ubaldo and get back Hanley for the money saved. No, I wouldn’t keep Zo.

    @J!m Future: Eh, he’s okay for WHIP. He’s not getting saves unless something dramatic happens in the O’s pen.

  63. J!m Future says:

    @Grey: Huh. I thought he was supposed to be their set-up man, since Johnson didn’t exactly inspire confidence in the closer’s role late last season. Would you recommend dropping him for Kuo or Romo, or maybe Rodney (you KNOW he’s gonna get saves at some point, but I feel like I’m gonna need the WHIP help more)?

    Thanks for the thumbs up on the roster, though. Most of the credit is due Razzball!

  64. J!m Future says:

    @Grey: Oh, or I could handcuff Mike Adams to Bell.

  65. Grey

    Grey says:

    @J!m Future: Rodney for potential saves, Adams for WHIP help and saves down the road.

  66. The Dude says:

    Just finished my draft in my 12 team Roto 5×5 (+OBP, +TB, -AVG, -HR) league. Here’s the damage…

    Note: I traded away my 2nd (10th round) pick and had 2 picks in the last round as a result.

    Note 2: This is a straight draft, no snake action and since I got 2nd place last year I drafted from the 11 hole.

    I was thrown off by the fact that Andrus was picked #3 overall after keepers (by the team that kept Rollins?!), then Alcides and Asdrubal in the 3rd (before my 2nd pick), and then EverCab in the 9th by the same team that took Asdrubal (What up Vic are you a fellow Razzer?!?). So I ended up with Alexei in the 10th…

    Closers go fast in this league and I think I’ll be a MrB this year, and hope Bell gets traded sooner rather than later :D

    1. (11) Álex Rodríguez (K)
    2. (23) Matt Kemp (K)
    3. (35) Ryan Howard (K)
    4. (47) Zack Greinke (K)
    5. (59) Félix Hernández (K)
    6. (71) Robinson Canó (K)
    7. (83) Shin-Soo Choo (K)
    8. (95) Ichiro Suzuki (K)
    9. (107) Nelson Cruz
    10. (131) Carlos Mármol
    11. (143) Geovany Soto
    12. (155) Jered Weaver
    13. (167) Roy Oswalt
    14. (179) Octavio Dotel
    15. (191) Phil Hughes
    16. (203) Jason Frasor
    17. (215) Alexei Ramírez
    18. (227) Mike Adams
    19. (239) Michael Wuertz
    20. (247) Chris Tillman
    21. (251) Cameron Maybin

    I probably won’t hold onto Tillman or Maybin long, unless they start strong. Anyone I should target off waivers? Here are a few available prominent names:

    HItters: Mad Vlad, Mark DeRosa, Scutaro, Corey Hart, Vernon Wells, Krispy Young, Adam LaRoche, Colby Rasmus, Jhonny Peralta

    Pitchers: Randy Wolf, Buehrle, Ervin Santana, Scott Downs, Dice K, D Lowe.


  67. mrbaseball says:

    dynasty league – Kevin Correia or Brian Duensing

  68. Bill Lumbergh says:

    dynasty league reserve outfielder: Blanks, LaPorta, or A. Jackson?

  69. drew says:

    can you do a starting pitchers to target article this week?! Drafting next sunday and would like to see your input on this years SPs.

  70. Grey

    Grey says:

    @The Dude: I count low on speed, great on power, fine on OBP, nice on TB, and your pitching is obviously buoyed very well by your top two aces. Overall, it’s a solid team. I love the Oswalt pick and the Weaver pick is good. No issue with Tillman late, but I wouldn’t be surprised if he’s the first guy gone.

    @mrbaseball: Correia

    @Bill Lumbergh: Depends what you need. LaPorat has the best upside, so if that’s all you’re looking for, there ya go.

    @drew: It will be this week.

  71. Tony says:

    what do you think of of this yahoo drafted mock? 12 teams, from the 12th draft slot, H2H……

    1. Prince Fielder (Mil – 1B)
    2. Miguel Cabrera (Det – 1B)
    3. Pablo Sandoval (SF – 1B,3B)
    4. Robinson Canó (NYY – 2B)
    5. Adam Wainwright (StL – SP)
    6. Nelson Cruz (Tex – OF)
    7. Ricky Nolasco (Fla – SP)
    8. Hunter Pence (Hou – OF)
    9. Elvis Andrus (Tex – SS)
    10. Carlos Quentin (CWS – OF)
    11. Julio Borbón (Tex – OF)
    12. Miguel Montero (Ari – C)
    13. Kevin Slowey (Min – SP)
    14. Huston Street (Col – RP)
    15. Jonathan Sánchez (SF – SP)
    16. Jason Heyward (Atl – OF)
    17. Octavio Dotel (Pit – RP)
    18. Matt Capps (Was – RP)
    19. Juan Pierre (CWS – OF)
    20. Kerry Wood (Cle – RP)
    21. Everth Cabrera (SD – SS)
    22. Travis Snider (Tor – OF)
    23. Bronson Arroyo (Cin – SP)

    and a guy talked shizz to me mosta the draft about my pitching? when his 1 and 2 were hanson and edwin jackson? wow…. he also took jason kubel in the 8th round?

  72. Steve says:

    @Tony: If you can get Miggy and Prince at 12 and 13, the Kubel guy obviously wasn’t the only one who didn’t have a grip on things.

  73. Grey

    Grey says:

    @Tony: There was no 1st baseman in the 4th round for you? I keed. Team looks fine, not crazy about your first couple of selections together, but it didn’t seem to hurt you too much.

  74. Schlitzy says:

    robot jones or adam laroche?

  75. mc serch says:

    @Grey: my money draft is manana…depending on what pick i get i’ve been thinking about buying low on Reyes and then covering him late with Cabrera/Escobar….at what pick is reyes a reasonable risk/reward selection?

  76. grandysdandy says:

    grey…colby lewis or matt latos?

  77. mc serch says:

    @Grey: thanks!

  78. Cold Feet says:

    I’m looking at your Top 300 rankings and wondering how this would all pan out in an 11-12 team mixed roto league– and here’s the clincher– if I plugged in YOUR 300 and went with AUTO DRAFT. Yeah. Auto. Circumstances beyond my control.

    Do you suggest this, or should I stick with Yahoo’s rankings as my auto , assuming most of my competitors will be drafting based on Yahoo’s rankings?. That’s about how it went last year– one after another via Yahoo draft order.

    I’m picturing a situation where I end up going with someone like Carlos Quentin (ranked at 54 on Razzball) when Verlander might still be on the board in Yahoo world.

  79. Grey

    Grey says:

    @mc serch: No problem.

    @Cold Feet: It’s not going to be that easy, unfortunately. I’d adjust the Yahoo rankings to per mine, but you don’t want to take guys way before others take them. Your Quentin example is the reason.

  80. Cold Feet says:

    @Grey: So, even though it might get a little ugly at some points, you WOULD recommend going with your rankings and going balls to the wall? I’m game, just trying to figure out how some of these picks may go. I have no problem being the laughing stock the day after the draft, as long as I win.

  81. The Dude says:

    @Grey: Yeah, my solution for the speed issue was to take one of the 4 SS with high speed upside that got snaked from me. I guess I should have been more aware and snagged EverCab before he was lost. Though there’s a decent chance he’s dumped to waivers or I can trade for Elvis considering their owners were foolish enough to double draft at the SS spot.

    Steven Drew was still available when I took Alexei, but I went with “The great 2009 bust” because of his better speed (not Elvis speed, but still).

    The good news is, after adding up my starting roster (everyone but Maybin), according to your projections I’ll have ~127 steals. Last season in this league that would have been good enough for 5th in steals, so considering my dominance elsewhere I think that should be enough.

    However, for some reason I sense this season is going to be “speedier” than last season, so here’s hoping Ichiro goes all 2008 on me and nabs 40+

  82. The Dude says:

    @Grey: P.S. Someone tell Saturday Grey: “Tomorrow’s daylight savings, and if you don’t adjust it all your timestamps are gonna be off on Sunday”.

  83. Grey

    Grey says:

    @Cold Feet: No, I’d recommend you go with my rankings while factoring in when people will draft guys per Yahoo’s.

    @The Dude: Thanks for the reminder!

  84. Dave says:

    What do you think Tillman’s future looks like, potential 1-2 down the road? I have him in a huge roster (35 slots) dynasty, and need to cut a couple guys to free up some bench room for draft picks, and he’s one of the guys on the possible list.

  85. Grey

    Grey says:

    @Dave: Yeah, probably a #2, maybe 2011, but probably 2012.

  86. Dave says:

    @Grey: Gotcha, thanks Grey, I’ll probably end up keeping him then, using him for matchups this year.

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