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Ok, this one feels like I’m cheating.  First off, I tell you I don’t like having to buy him as a backup for my 3Bs and now I’m telling you to pay attention to him.  Not to mention he is technically not going outside the top 300 ADP on mockdraftcentral as of right now.  Ok now that I’ve listed all the reasons I’m a downright hypocrite, this has to be the cheapest 3B,2B, soon to be SS in ESPN leagues player that should be a lock for .280 10/15 with 450 ABs with room for more power and speed in a very solid lineup.  There seems to be this strange belief that Nick Punto is somehow going to eat into his at-bats at SS this year.  Really?  If the Red Sox were that concerned with their defense, they could bring up their homegrown Rey Ordonez -  Jose Iglesias – and move on.  Nick was brought around to be a utility player on an older team.  He’ll most likely be used when someone gets hurt, as a late defensive replacement or just to be a little Punto (spanish puns!  ¡Muy bien!).  Mike Aviles is going around 278 ADP so you don’t have to be jumping out of the gates to get him in a standard league.  In deep league formats that play more than one at each infield position, Mike Aviles on your bench is a huge asset as he can fill in for days off and injuries to your main lineup.  Plus if you draft Zack Cozart and he’s a bust, you have a great consolation prize in Aviles to back him up.

Still not convinced?  Ok, let’s do a quick player A vs player B experiment.  In 614 at-bats, this shortstop is projected by Bill James to hit .279 with 16 homeruns and 15 stolen bases.  If we give Aviles the same amount of at-bats for his season projections, he hits 14.75 HRs and steals 20 bags while hitting .279.  I think the .75 HR is what happens when you try for an inside the park homerun and trip on grass, a la Braun last year.  But more to the point, who is he being compared to here you ask?  Asdrubal Cabrera, someone who will be gone before the 8th round is over in even a standard league.  Now due to his likely 9th spot in the Boston lineup, I do not see him getting 600 at-bats this year.  Despite that, it’s not like it’s a bad thing to bat in front of Jacoby Ellsbury, Dustin Pedroia and Adrian Gonzalez.  He’s going to see good pitches in that spot in the lineup and have a sneaky chance at scoring 60 to 70 runs.  Think of Aviles as someone who can plug your team’s holes when they need it…no wait, let me rephrase that.  He’s not going to win you your league, but he’s sure going to help you keep that lead up when someone in your infield goes all Ian Kinsler on you and gets a hangnail that sidelines them for a month.  There, that sounded like it could be watched on ABCDisnESPN.

  1. mauledbypandas says:
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    perfect Utley fill in!

    • Oregon Nut Cups

      Oregon Nut Cups says:
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      @mauledbypandas, Told you he’d fill your team’s holes!

  2. jack says:
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    Raburn just launched his 6HR. In 24 Abs!?! He usually sux during the early season. Reason to believe?

    • Oregon Nut Cups

      Oregon Nut Cups says:
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      @jack, I’ve always believed in the power. The defensive ability to keep him in the line up and his career 24.2 K% are the things that make me keep him as late round fodder. Don’t forget, Spring Training stats mean nothing!

  3. jack says:
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    oh, he’s also top ten trending topic on twitter right now

    • Oregon Nut Cups

      Oregon Nut Cups says:
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      @jack, is he beating out Justin Bieber?

  4. kampy says:
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    Grey — torn over this one. In a 5×5 mixed league, auction draft, with 5 keepers per year. Should I keep Matt Moore at $1 or Ricky Romero at $2??

    • Oregon Nut Cups

      Oregon Nut Cups says:
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      @kampy, I’m not Grey BUT I’d gamble on Moore for a $1

  5. Peter says:
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    In my 11 team standard mixed, I have A-Rod, Rickie Weeks, Martin Prado, and Aaron Hill. Should I entertain Aviles in place of Aaron Hill as my backup 2nd baseman for Rickie ‘its June so I should be on the DL’ Weeks?

    • Oregon Nut Cups

      Oregon Nut Cups says:
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      @Peter, some day I’ll get this right. Reply below but wanted to make sure you got my note. Hold for now.

      • Peter says:
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        @Oregon Nut Cups, Yep – got it! Thanks for the quick reply! Just needed someone to confirm my gut feeling :)

  6. Oregon Nut Cups

    Oregon Nut Cups says:
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    Aaron Hill has the higher upside. In an 11 teamer, you can hold and let things play out. Keep tabs, though.

  7. kampy says:
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    Thanks ONC. That’s what I’m thinking

  8. Kurt says:
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    Cbs is reporting aviles may be traded as iglesias may get the nod beginning the year or shortly after. Any validity to this or reason for concern? I need a ss and he and pastornicky are the only options.

    • Oregon Nut Cups

      Oregon Nut Cups says:
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      @Kurt, It’s possible but the rumors within the last 24 hours were that he’d get the nod in Boston or that he’d get traded to Philadelphia: a place that has an entire IF on the DL right now it seems. I have very little faith in Utley’s health and I really have no faith in Rollins or Polanco playing a full season at this point. I still hold him as a 450 AB kind of guy. A move to the Phillies might actually net him more, given their current team.

      • Kurt says:
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        @Oregon Nut Cups, so him over pastornicky?

        • Oregon Nut Cups

          Oregon Nut Cups says:
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          @Kurt, At this point, yes. Aviles has more to offer. Sorry I didn’t clarify that in my first response.

  9. Kurt says:
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    Your the man, thanks as always!

  10. The Looch says:
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    Now that Aviles has been named the starter, would you stick with Aybar or go to Aviles in a 12 team H-to-H points league?

    Thanks!

    • Oregon Nut Cups

      Oregon Nut Cups says:
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      @The Looch, Aybar went 10/30 last year with a .275 average and will hit in front of Pujols with the potential for 100 runs. Though I like Aviles, I don’t think he’ll hit near the top of the order so you’re not going to get anywhere near that type of production. Stay Aybar.

  11. The Looch says:
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    @Oregon Nut Cups,

    That’s the direction I was leaning. I always like guys with multiple position eligibility, so was wondering if it was worth a shot. Appreciate the advice.

    • Oregon Nut Cups

      Oregon Nut Cups says:
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      @The Looch, Trust me, me I do too and no problem.

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