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Always one to double check his Razzbill of sale to make sure he got everything he paid for, Razzball commenter Ron Mexico’s Papi saw my post yesterday about holding tight in your fantasy baseball leagues and flipped the script to ask me about selling high.  Surely, if some guys should be held because they’re bound to revert to their old, productive selves then there must be guys who need to be sold off because there’s no way they can retain their torrid start.  Yes, definitely.  This is why I do a Fantasy Baseball Buy/Sell every Friday, not a Buy/Buy.  (Mr. Mexico also offered a few names, some of which I’m going to go over specifically in Friday’s Buy/Sell.) But first I wanted to talk about the concept of selling someone high, in general.

Baseball, fantasy and otherwise, is a great game because players do what they’re supposed to do for the most part over the long season, while having huge fluctuations from game to game.  If Nadir Bupkus is supposed to be terrible for the season, chances are he will be terrible.  Nadir may have a good game or two.  Maybe even a month.  But come October, he’s still Nadir Bupkus.  Same with talented players.  If Apex Pinnacle has shown the ability to hit well in the majors, he should be able to continue  — outside of injuries/age.  All the time players come out of nowhere and perform above their heads for a small sample size.  But as Grey’s past girlfriends have said, “Beware the small sample size.”  You need to know a player’s true worth.

Over a season, is Bonifacio someone that could hit .320 and steal 60 bases?  More than likely, no.  In fact, it’s a pipe dream.  He does have speed, but he can’t hit.  He’s shown he swings and misses and does not walk a lot.  So his value is speed.  There’s a place for that (just not at 3rd).  Now if Bonifacio lucks into a decent average, because average does have some to do luck, then yay!  Good for you.  Go buy your sister a nose job.  But you don’t pay hoping to luck into something.  So how do you know a player’s true worth?  Well, you might not.  But that’s why there’s comments…