Technically this will be Week 4 if you count the first Thursday through Sunday games, but I refuse to do that! That’s only half a week, my friend. We don’t half-ass anything around here, especially weeks. We go hard. YOU go hard. That’s why you’re here. You’re looking to get the weekly streaming leg up on your competition so you can punch them in their proverbial genitals. Don’t actually punch your competition in the genitals though, that ain’t right. Unless they talk smack about yo’ momma, then it’s ok.

The streaming game is one not for the faint of heart since it can go awry even in the best of situations, but part of the long game is casting your lot with a sound process and putting yourself in the best position to succeed. That said, out of the weekly bucket of mediocrity are some surprisingly non barf-inducing possibilities. I consider the options in Tier 4, which ended up rather thick and chunky (not unlike my soup), to be largely streamable in deeper mixed leagues. Let’s have a look at some of the more interesting double dippers this week…

  • Patrick Corbin (Tier 1) – This dude is gonna be an ace this year if he can stay on the mound. He was straight dealing against the Giants his last time out until the sixth inning rolled around and his command simply vanished. That happens to every pitcher from time to time, so assuming he corrects it for his next start he will give you some elite numbers this week. He’s throwing over 50% sliders (although some of those he throws differently, so they’re basically curveballs), and has generated the second highest swinging strike% among starters at 17.9%, behind only Chris Sale. He gets two gravy matchups against the Giants who rank 24th in MLB vs LHP with a .282 wOBA and the Padres who rank 13th at .289.
  • Rick Porcello (Tier 2) – Porcello has dropped the use of his curveball this year in lieu of more sliders and changeups, and the effect thus far has been tastier than a street taco on a sidewalk. Never linger on the street, people. Safety first. He’s back to limiting hard contact again (21% so far), which was his key to success two years ago when he disgustingly beat out Justin Verlander for Cy Young. Unfortunately, he faces literally the top two hitting teams against right-handed pitching in the Angels and A’s. If you’re loaded in 10 or 12 team leagues you could get away from him this week, but otherwise you’ve gotta roll him out. If he stumbles in these two tough matchups, fret not. I would even try to trade for him if he does have a rough week.
  • Tyler Skaggs (Tier 3) – Skaggs appears set to be the rare Angels pitcher to get two starts in a week. He’s also just 53% owned in RCL’s and deserves your attention. Through three starts he has a nice 1.69 ERA with a 17:6 K:BB ratio. So far so good with the walk rate, and a 69% first pitch strike rate is promising. He’s getting good whiffs (12.7%) and reaches out of the zone (33.3%). He gets two home matchups against teams who have struggled against lefties in Boston and San Francisco, which is good enough to elevate him to Tier 3 here.
  • Trevor Williams (Tier 4) – Williams has pitched to a 1.56 ERA over his first three starts, but it’s all smoke and mirrors. A 4.8% swinging strike rate is just embarrassing. He has a 10:7 K:BB ratio in his 17.1 IP. Woof. The Rockies and Phillies have been really bad against right-handed pitching so far so maybe he gets away with a decent two-start week here, but you’re not looking at a long-term solution.
  • Junior Guerra (Tier 4) – Guerra managed to hold the Cardinals to one run over 5.1 IP in his 2018 debut. His fastball showed a little more zip than it did in 2017 when he stunk up the joint like a moldy Whopper Jr, but there’s not a lot to see here. His strikeout upside is low and his control is mediocre, but he has some decent matchups this week that just barely elevated him to Tier 4. The Reds and Marlins are the 26th and 27th teams against righties thus far with the 5th and 9th worst strikeout rates, respectively.

Tier 1

Player Opp #1 Opp wOBA vs L/R Opp #2 Opp wOBA vs L/R
Patrick Corbin SF 0.282 SD 0.329
Jacob DeGrom WSH 0.327 @ATL 0.347
Masahiro Tanaka MIA 0.276 TOR 0.313
Aaron Nola @ATL 0.347 PIT 0.350
Lance McCullers @SEA 0.318 @CHW 0.331

Tier 2

Player Opp #1 Opp wOBA vs L/R Opp #2 Opp wOBA vs L/R
Dallas Keuchel @SEA 0.355 @CHW 0.330
James Paxton HOU 0.312 @TEX 0.295
David Price @LAA 0.376 @OAK 0.289
Sonny Gray MIA 0.276 TOR 0.313
Rick Porcello @LAA 0.356 @OAK 0.354
Luis Castillo @MIL 0.308 @STL 0.338
Nick Pivetta @ATL 0.347 PIT 0.350

Tier 3

Player Opp #1 Opp wOBA vs L/R Opp #2 Opp wOBA vs L/R
Blake Snell TEX 0.294 MIN 0.354
Danny Duffy @TOR 0.349 @DET 0.267
Aaron Sanchez @KC 0.278 @NYY 0.327
Marco Estrada @KC 0.278 @NYY 0.327
Johnny Cueto @ARI 0.313 @LAA 0.356
Tyler Skaggs BOS 0.293 SF 0.282
Zack Wheeler WSH 0.327 @ATL 0.347
Jon Lester STL 0.273 @COL 0.348

Tier 4

Player Opp #1 Opp wOBA vs L/R Opp #2 Opp wOBA vs L/R
Yonny Chirinos TEX 0.295 MIN 0.325
Kevin Gausman @DET 0.281 CLE 0.269
Michael Wacha @CHC 0.319 CIN 0.276
Chris Stratton @ARI 0.313 @LAA 0.356
Brent Suter CIN 0.316 MIA 0.305
Trevor Williams COL 0.274 @PHI 0.283
Mike Foltynewicz PHI 0.283 NYM 0.350
Brandon McCarthy PHI 0.283 NYM 0.350
Hyun-Jin Ryu @SD 0.329 @WSH 0.261
Andrew Cashner @BOS 0.35 CLE 0.269
Adam Wainwright @CHC 0.319 CIN 0.276
Kyle Gibson CLE 0.269 @TB 0.285
Martin Perez @TB 0.285 SEA 0.318
Ian Kennedy @TOR 0.313 @DET 0.281
Junior Guerra CIN 0.276 MIA 0.276
Jordan Zimmermann BAL 0.262 KC 0.278

Tier 5

Player Opp #1 Opp wOBA vs L/R Opp #2 Opp wOBA vs L/R
Daniel Mengden CHW 0.331 BOS 0.350
Stephen Brault COL 0.348 @PHI 0.392
Caleb Smith @NYY 0.353 @MIL 0.299
German Marquez @PIT 0.35 CHC 0.319
Carson Fulmer @OAK 0.354 HOU 0.312

*All pitchers are projected for two starts as of Saturday evening.

 

 

You can find Dokken on Twitter @NathanDokken.

  1. SheVegas says:
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    Where is Reynaldo Lopez?

    • Dokken

      Dokken says:
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      @SheVegas: He wasn’t scheduled for two starts until today’s postponement, after I’d already finalized the list. With (at least) six postponed games today, multiple guys on this list are going to get hosed. Lopez doesn’t have the best matchups but I like what I’ve seen from him for the most part. I’d still lump him in with Tier 4, but I’m optimistic on him this year.

  2. Joe Beisbol says:
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    Streamonator likes Ryu for this week’s two starts. But we’re also talking about Ryu. Is he worth the risk?

    • Dokken

      Dokken says:
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      @Joe Beisbol: Ryu is about as inconsistent as they come, and as bullpen happy as the Dodgers are he may very well only pitch 10 innings combined. Of course, the Dodgers are also very good, so that could be two wins. I’d try to find a better option in 10-12 team mixers, but in deeper leagues I’d roll him out and cross my fingers.

  3. Michael says:
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    Thanks for bringing the 2 start column back! Awesome stuff!

    • Dokken

      Dokken says:
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      @Michael: Thanks Michael! Looking forward to bringing the two start goodness this season. Hopefully there are less postponements and anarchy next week.

  4. Raindoggg says:
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    I have Degrom, Corbin and Snell all rolling twice this week…..a few other fine starters too and two closers as well…..for my final slot I’m torn between Montgomery at home vs the Jays, Lucchesi on the road vs the Dbacks or rolling with a third closer in Iglesias…..any input or opinions appreciated as I’m about to flip a three sided coin….

    • Dokken

      Dokken says:
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      @Raindoggg: Man, I like Montgomery but he’s been rough so far. On the flip side Lucchesi has been killing it but it’s a tough matchup with the DBacks. I’d probably just roll out Iglesias and play it safe while your studs do their bidness.

  5. BR808 says:
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    I can start 3 – Corbin, Paxton, Syndergaard, Berrios, bench (Taillon) 12 team H2H
    Also should I’m thinking about shopping Synde / Shaw to get an elite bat? thoughts

    • Dokken

      Dokken says:
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      @BR808: Those options are much sexy time. I’d go with the first three, Corbin/Paxton/Thor. With that much elite pitching it does make sense to go with what you’re thinking and put together a package for an elite bat. Let me know what you get done!

      • BR808 says:
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        @Dokken: Thanks! I’m cooking up somethin for Trea Turner as we speak

  6. Ian says:
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    Is Skaggs going to get two starts this week with OhTani going Tuesday?

    • Dokken

      Dokken says:
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      @Ian: Sadly no, not after Sunday’s postponement. Now Skaggs is pushed back a day and will miss the Giants series from the looks of it. He’ll get the Astros next Monday instead with his second start the following Sunday against the Yankees.

  7. spider pigs says:
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    will Sonny GGray get bumped because of ppd?? thank u

    • Dokken

      Dokken says:
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      @spider pigs: Yeah he’s a no go now. With Sabathia on the mend Gray may not pitch until Friday against Toronto.

  8. Terry says:
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    Is Michael Wacha still starting twice? And if so would you start him (h2h points) over Jon Gray and his one start against the Cubs (darvish)?

    • Dokken

      Dokken says:
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      @Terry: Wacha is starting twice but his velocity is down and I don’t trust him at all right now. I’d go Gray all the way there.

      • Michael DePinto says:
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        @Dokken: I read earlier that Wacha is getting his next start pushed back to Thursday or Friday.

        • Dokken

          Dokken says:
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          @Michael DePinto: Yeah, it was initially reported that they were just gonna push Wacha back a day but now they’re gonna push him all the way back to Friday so they can keep Weaver on regular rest.

  9. Fogimon says:
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    No love for the 3-0 Tremble Williams? Grey has been all over him, so you may want to coordinate with your fellow razzballers here to get a consensus on him.

    Which is it Ying or Yang for the Trevor Wang?

    • Dokken

      Dokken says:
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      @Fogimon: I’m not sure what Grey is seeing…maybe all those bobas or whatever he puts in his drinks are hallucinogens. 37% hard contact, 4.8% swinging strikes, woof. His changeup has been his best pitch and it only gets 11% whiffs and 50% grounders. He doesn’t even have exceptional command to offset the lack of K’s. Maybe he’s getting by with deception but I’m just not seeing anything good here.

  10. Terrence Mann says:
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    Wacha starts tomorrow and Cards are off Thursday. Looks like he gets two starts next week.

    Love this weekly, tho! Rolling with Castillo, Suter, Ryu, and Guerra this week. Hold me!

    • Dokken

      Dokken says:
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      @Terrence Mann: You’re a Mann who lives dangerously, I like it! With yet another PPD game it looks like Wacha starts Wednesday and will get his two start week next week instead of this one. Might as well take a stick of dynamite to this list with all the postponements, it’s crazy.

  11. Turd Fergusons says:
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    Pivetta in Tier 2, nice!

    I made the Pivetta over Lucchesi choice, then Lucch got scooped up by someone else. High hopes for Pivetta then?

    • Dokken

      Dokken says:
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      @Turd Fergusons: Absolutely. He’s a polarizing player at the moment, but I’m buying the new Pivetta to an extent. I wouldn’t expect ace like numbers like he’s been putting up, but his command and curveball have taken steps forward so he should be a useful mid-rotation piece moving forward.

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