Well, here it is. The final Two-Start Dive Bar of 2022. I hope everyone enjoyed this column. I hope it helped you make some tough calls. I hope it sometimes made you chuckle. I hope it made you thirsty.

There aren’t too many double-dippers in this final full week of the season. The pickings are slim, so it’s good to take a look at where the chips have fallen for these guys.

For the last time this year, why don’t you and I dive right in?


Pitchers’ projected starts for the next week are sourced from Rudy Gamble’s Streamonator as of the update at 10:30am Eastern.

The bold pitchers below are the most extreme version of each section. The best of the Top Shelf, the safest of the Well, the worst of the Bar Mat.

The Top Shelf

Pitcher First Start Second Start
Robbie Ray, SEA TEX(TU) OAK(SU)
Kevin Gausman, TOR NYY(MO) BOS(SU)
Zack Wheeler, PHI @CHC(TU) @WSH(SU)
Logan Webb, SF COL(TU) ARI(SU)
Triston McKenzie, CLE TB(TU) KC(SU)
Blake Snell, SD LAD(TU) CHW(SU)
Luis Severino, NYY @TOR(MO) BAL(SU)
Lance Lynn, CHW @MIN(TU) @SD(SU)


  • This list being headlined by Robbie Ray and Kevin Gausman is perfectly appropriate. Like everyone who has appeared in the Top Shelf (with the exception of one Yusei Kikuchi that one time) it’s basically all dudes you wouldn’t not start anyway. Call this the Confirmation Bias level.


The Well

Pitcher First Start Second Start
Pablo Lopez, MIA @NYM(TU) @MIL(SU)
Bailey Ober, MIN CHW(TU) @DET(SU)
Roansy Contreras, PIT CIN(MO) @STL(SU)
Marcus Stroman, CHC PHI(TU) CIN(SU)
German Marquez, COL @SF(TU) @LAD(SU)
Tyler Anderson, LAD @SD(TU) COL(SU)


  • I remember taking a few fliers on Ober in larger drafts preseason this year. Don’t think those teams ended up doing all that well– this was a rough year for my projection systems, and therefore, for my teams– but it’s good to see the young man come into his own this year.


The Bar Mat

Pitcher First Start Second Start
Michael Wacha, BOS BAL(TU) @TOR(SU)
Joey Wentz, DET KC(TU) MIN(SU)
Bryce Elder, ATL @WSH(MO) NYM(SU)
Zack Greinke, KC @DET(TU) @CLE(SU)
Corey Kluber, TB @CLE(TU) @HOU(SU)
Taylor Hearn, TEX @SEA(TU) @LAA(SU)
Kyle Bradish, BAL @BOS(TU) @NYY(SU)
Adrian Houser, MIL STL(TU) MIA(SU)
Connor Seabold, BOS BAL(MO) @TOR(SA)
James Kaprielian, OAK @LAA(TU) @SEA(SU)
Chase Anderson, CIN @PIT(MO) @CHC(SU)
Jordan Lyles, BAL @BOS(MO) @NYY(SA)
Cory Abbott, WSH ATL(MO) PHI(SU)


  • For the last time this year: don’t start these guys. Just don’t.


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2 months ago

who here are you most worried about either not starting at all for a second time or getting an abbreviated “tune up” type start?

2 months ago

Bryce Elder has pitched well in limited innings…you saying stay away? We have daily moves!!