I’ve gotta say, it’s nice to have a full week’s worth of games to work with. Last week felt a little like picking nits, and I’m nary a nitpicker. One thing I still would like to see though IS SOME FRIGGIN CALL UPS. It’s been quite a while since we’ve had even a couple of mid-level names like Shane Bieber or Freddy Peralta called up. You haven’t really even got any value from uber-prospect Walker Buehler since early June. It would be nice to infuse some new blood into this list, but we do have a fair bit of moving and shaking to discuss. We did see two impressive debuts in back-to-back days for the Cardinals in Daniel Poncedeleon and Austin Gomber. For our purposes however, I don’t think there’s much there. Poncedeleon was a fine conquistador of the minors, but is a low upside option as a starter and appears to be headed to the pen anyway. The same can likely be said of Gomber with Carlos Martinez supposedly back this week, although he makes for a more interesting starter if they were to stretch him out. There are at least some veterans that have crept on to the back end of the list to mix things up. I mentioned Homer Bailey in yesterday’s Two Startapalooza, whose fastball is up to 95 after a couple months on the DL, and he tossed his slider and curve more with good results. I’d like to write up Stroman, but there isn’t that much to say. I couldn’t tell you the last time he cracked the list, but he’s been solid over the last month or so, so despite the total lack of strikeouts he’s in the 90’s. Unfortunately, Stephen Strasburg is back on the DL (shocker) with neck issues. He returned long enough to torpedo your ratios for a week, so that’s nice. Here are some of this week’s newcomers, risers, and fallers.

 

The Newcomers

  • Derek Holland, SF (SP81) – Holland is a bit of a tricky player to value right now. First, his numbers since June 1st: 2.74 ERA / 1.13 WHIP, 11.7 K/9, 2.3 BB/9. I imagine a lot of you are as shocked at those numbers as I am. Those are ace-like numbers, but they come with a caveat: some of them are out of the pen. Holland has been a bit of a swing man (heyooo) for the Giants, but even as just an occasional starter/long reliever he makes for a useful fantasy piece in deeper leagues.
  • Yonny Chirinos, TB (SP87) – Speaking of confusing pitcher roles, enter the Rays. They have openers, closers, starters that are relievers, and relief in their bathrooms. That is a toilet joke. Chirinos actually did start a game in his return from the DL, and he posted a baseline quality start in a tough matchup with the Yankees. If there is a downside with Chirinos, it is that – he’s going to be pitching against a lot of AL East opponents over the second half. At least there are the Orioles, who he should be able to beat up on. He has good control and gets plenty of whiffs (11.5%) and chases out of the zone (34.5%) to net a strikeout per inning. I’m not going crazy over him or anything at SP87, but he can be a useful starter down the stretch.

 

The Risers

  • Kyle Gibson, MIN (+11) – It’s taken me a while to buy into Kyle Gibson. I’m a Twins fan, and I’ve seen a lot of bad Kyle Gibson over the years. Now that I’m bought in, he could be on the move to another team at any moment as the Twins seem set to sell anything that isn’t nailed down. While he still walks more than you’d like (3.49 BB/9) his strikeout rate has shot up to 8.79 K/9 this season from 6.89 last year thanks to his slider. He’s using it more and tossing his changeup less, and it has helped him take a step forward. His slider has been one of the best in the league, with a 1.82 pVal that ranks 12th best among qualified starters. His ability to sequence the pitch and tunnel it with his fastball has helped his fastball play up as well. The walks will still catch up with him from time to time and he’ll lay an egg, but he’s a solid option overall.
  • Jameson Taillon, PIT (+12) – It’s been a bit of a roller coaster season for Taillon. Despite tossing a 1-hit shutout, he left April with a 4.83 ERA over 31.2 innings. His June/July ERA has been 2.90/3.03 though, and it’s time to give him a little more love. Coinciding with his success has been the increased use of his new slider. It’s helped him reach a career-high 10.1% swinging strike rate. It’s made him very consistent too, as he hasn’t allowed more than three earned runs in a start since May 22nd. I normally have just a nip of Jameson, but this week I couldn’t help myself and took a double shot.

 

The Fallers

  • Shane Bieber, CLE (-8) – It was a rough day at the office for Bieber in his last start, as he got shelled by the Pirates for seven runs in just 1.2 innings. He’s now given up at least three runs in five of his first eight starts, showing less of a floor than many expected from him. While the ERA is 4.80, he’s suffered a ridiculous .378 BABIP, putting all of his ERA indicators under 3.62. However, I’m going to go ahead and say that I don’t buy his peripherals. He doesn’t walk many batters, which is good. On the flip side of that coin, however, is that he lives in the strike zone. Without overpowering stuff, he’s going to get knocked around more often than you’d like. His 48% hard contact rate shows us that, and when you allow that much hard contact, bad things are going to happen. He’s still a mixed league streamer, but don’t set your expectations too high.
  • Freddy Peralta, MIL (-20) – Freddy’s first four starts were stellar. A 1.59 ERA / 0.71 WHIP, 13.9 K/9, and 3.6 BB/9 had the fantasy community drooling like Joey Chestnut when he sees a hot dog on the fourth of July. His four starts since haven’t been quite so dandy: 6.10 ERA / 1.35 WHIP, 9.6 K/9, 5.7 BB/9. The walk rate was there in the minors as well, which shows us why he wasn’t regarded as a top prospect. His fastball is excellent and deceptive with multiple movements that he can manipulate from pitch to pitch, which is good because he throws it 77% of the time. He’ll need to work on his changeup more if he’s going to reduce his poor split against righties though (.342 wOBA vs LHH; .151 wOBA vs RHH). More than anything, he’ll need to improve his command to get back in our good graces.

 

The Top 100 Starting Pitchers

Rank Name Prev Rank
1 Max Scherzer 1
2 Chris Sale 2
3 Jacob DeGrom 7
4 Corey Kluber 3
5 Luis Severino 4
6 Clayton Kershaw 5
7 Justin Verlander 6
8 Trevor Bauer 8
9 Aaron Nola 10
10 Gerrit Cole 9
11 Noah Syndergaard 11
12 James Paxton 12
13 Blake Snell 13
14 Zack Greinke 14
15 Madison Bumgarner 15
16 Jose Berrios 16
17 Carlos Carrasco 17
18 Charlie Morton 19
19 Patrick Corbin 20
20 Lance McCullers 21
21 Ross Stripling 22
22 Alex Wood 23
23 Tyler Skaggs 24
24 David Price 29
25 Miles Mikolas 25
26 Jack Flaherty 26
27 Mike Clevinger 27
28 J.A. Happ 28
29 Rick Porcello 32
30 Robbie Ray 30
31 Carlos Martinez N/A
32 Mike Foltynewicz 33
33 Chris Archer 34
34 Kenta Maeda 35
35 Dallas Keuchel 40
36 Sean Manaea 38
37 Jon Gray 46
38 Kyle Gibson 49
39 Johnny Cueto 31
40 Walker Buehler 41
41 Andrew Heaney 42
42 Sean Newcomb 36
43 Nick Pivetta 45
44 Dylan Bundy 44
45 Shane Bieber 37
46 Jose Quintana 51
47 Tyson Ross 43
48 Kyle Freeland 48
49 Marco Gonzales 59
50 Jameson Taillon 62
51 Zach Eflin 39
52 Carlos Rodon 55
53 CC Sabathia 50
54 Dereck Rodriguez 65
55 Tyler Anderson 64
56 Masahiro Tanaka 70
57 Nathan Eovaldi 63
58 Jordan Zimmermann 47
59 Zack Wheeler 60
60 Gio Gonzalez 52
61 Rich Hill 74
62 Jon Lester 54
63 Jake Arrieta 56
64 Vince Velasquez 57
65 Steven Matz 58
66 Nick Kingham 61
67 Joey Lucchesi 66
68 Trevor Cahill 68
69 Kyle Hendricks 69
70 Joe Musgrove 71
71 Wade LeBlanc 72
72 Mike Minor 67
73 Freddy Peralta 53
74 Mike Montgomery 75
75 Jeremy Hellickson 76
76 Andrew Suarez 83
77 Kevin Gausman N/A
78 John Gant 81
79 Jhoulys Chacin 77
80 Matt Boyd 78
81 Derek Holland N/A
82 Luis Castillo 89
83 Anibal Sanchez 96
84 Reynaldo Lopez 79
85 Junior Guerra N/A
86 Yefry Ramirez 87
87 Yonny Chirinos N/A
88 Luke Weaver 90
89 Jaime Barria 80
90 Cole Hamels 88
91 Felix Pena 86
92 Mike Fiers 91
93 Chase Anderson 95
94 Homer Bailey N/A
95 Marcus Stroman N/A
96 Zack Godley 93
97 Sam Gaviglio 82
98 Jake Odorizzi N/A
99 Jose Urena 85
100 Matt Harvey 84

 

 

You can find Dokken on Twitter @NathanDokken.

 
  1. Marco Aurélio Corrêa Cordeiro da Silva says:
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    Hey my good man Dokken, I have Yefry Ramirez, but I remember that in the beginning of the season Chirinos was a hidden gem (especially in my 16 team league). Which one has more potential?
    Other thing, kid Snell was out this week with some weird DL stint. Are they going to rest his arm? Are the QS gone? Should I trade him?
    Sorry if its too much, thanks for the help.

    • Dokken

      Dokken says:
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      @Marco Aurélio Corrêa Cordeiro da Silva: I did recommend trading Snell over the All Star Break If you needed help elsewhere, but I’d be selling high on his value. If you have to take a hit because he’s on the DL I wouldn’t deal him. It sounds like he’ll be back soon, so I left him on the list. I think he’ll still be very good, but not as good as his first half. I think I’d take Chirinos over Yefry, now that I think about it more, so their ranks will flip next week most likely. Yefry just can’t seem to pitch more than five innings.

  2. dubjay says:
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    Hey Dokken,
    Just wondering why you are so low on R.Hill? Is it just the massive injury risk? Last two starts hes been great 13IP 17Ks 0.69ERA and a whip of 1.00

    • Dokken

      Dokken says:
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      @dubjay: That’s a lot of it, yeah. He’s just impossible to rank. He had an ERA north of six for the first two months of the season, and could do that again in August, who knows. You could tell me he’s a top 10 pitcher the rest of the season or didn’t pitch another inning and either way wouldn’t surprise me. As long as he continues to pitch well, I’ll continue to raise him.

      • dubjay says:
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        @Dokken:
        Yeah I dont know what to make of him either. But the numbers have been great. Picked him up when both Paxton and Snell went on the shelf but now I have to drop someone to activate them. My choices are Manaea, Heaney, and Hill. Not sure who is the drop

        • Dokken

          Dokken says:
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          @dubjay: If you want to swing for the fences you can keep Hill. The safer route is going with Heaney. Honestly, if it’s me I’m probably rolling with Hill until he hits the DL again.

  3. Marco Aurélio Corrêa Cordeiro da Silva says:
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    Dokken, another question, this kid Trevor Richards.
    Nice games of last.
    Would you rate him? If so, where?

    • Dokken

      Dokken says:
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      @Marco Aurélio Corrêa Cordeiro da Silva: He could be in contention for the back end of the list just because it’s not that hard to do, but I’m skeptical of his recent success. 28% line drive rate in July with 43% hard contact and just a .306 BABIP, plus nearly 4 BB/9. Lots of red flags.

  4. johnnyhobbes says:
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    looking at options for me this week. The robot has Cahill against TOR as a good stream, Dereck Rod against SD , and Derek Holland with the two starts. I am dropping F. Peralta, I all ready have Cahill. Looking to figure out among Cahill Holland and D-Ro – pick up both, drop Cahill? Start both San Fran Pitchers ?

    I can see your ranking of these three well enough- that would tell me go with Rodriguez for the pick up and the Start. But I am in a bit of analysis paralysis… especially with Holland ‘s numbers since June. Push me in the direction you would go. Im not marrying anybody just looking for the right date this week.

    Thanks!

    • Dokken

      Dokken says:
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      @johnnyhobbes: Well if we’re sleeping around, I’d swipe right (I have no idea if that’s yay or nay, so really whichever way is yay) with D-Rod and Holland to pick on San Diego.

  5. johnnyhobbes says:
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    i don’t know which way either but I got ya

  6. hotmilk8 says:
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    10 team points league I currently have Bauer, Nola, M.gonzalez, manaea, Wood, VV, J.Gray and Cmart. Frustrated owner dropped Robbie Ray. Who goes from my current 8 or do I hold? Scoring
    W +10
    L -5
    K +1
    ip +.5
    IBB -1
    Balks -1
    ER -1
    QS +5
    Sho +15
    CG +5
    Thanks

    • Dokken

      Dokken says:
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      @hotmilk8: If I’m reading your scoring right and you aren’t penalized for unintentional walks, Ray is a big get. I’d take him over VV there and do a backflip.

      • hotmilk8 says:
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        @Dokken: Correct. No penalties for hits or walks. Only losses earned runs IBB and balks. Thanks for the advice

  7. Kruk_Ain't_An_Athlete says:
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    I need a SP for this week (Tues-Mon…we’re weird) in our 5×5 QS roto.

    Of our available guys that can take my open spot from Stripling’s DL…Streamonator loves Cahill, Covey, Musgrove, Boyd, Marquez, B.Anderson, and Fried. (in that order)

    Who would you grab?

      • Dokken

        Dokken says:
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        @Kruk_Ain’t_An_Athlete: I’d go Cahill first and Yonny second. I like his matchup with the ChiSox.

  8. Marco Kirillov says:
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    Problems, problems, please help!
    Hahaha
    I need to make room for Snell so I should either drop Chacin or Yonny.
    Which one?

    • Dokken

      Dokken says:
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      @Marco Kirillov: At this point in the season I’m taking things short-term. With that in mind, Chirinos’s role is up in the air and Chacin gets the Padres in his next start. I’m keeping Chacin despite not really being a big fan of his.

Comments are closed.