We have another week’s worth of draft data to work with and only one week left of the Razzball Commenter Leagues draft season. All public drafts wrap up on Sunday, March 25th, so if you’ve been waiting to join a league, wait no more! We learned a valuable lesson this past weekend, Razzballers start their St. Paddy’s day binging pretty early! All but one of the early St. Patrick’s day drafts were mostly empty. Noted for next year. Also, if you were in one of the buy-in leagues that didn’t fill, everyone has been refunded to your FanTrax account. You can join another league or you can simply withdraw the funds. We’d, of course, prefer you join another league. For all the votes these money leagues got, they aren’t filling up very fast. There’s a $20 league drafting tonight that only needs three more managers. Go get that money! The sign-up sheet is linked at the end of this article, but first, let’s dive into our RCL ADP and see what Razzball Commenters are drafting so far.
DRAFT TRENDS
This week we’re going to look at Razzball’s favorite SAGNOF specialists and where you can draft some late steals and saves. For steals, we’ll take a look at every player that Grey has projected for more than 20 SBs. For Saves, I’ll just grab as many closers and potential closers as I can think of. If I miss a name, feel free to open up the RCL ADP SPREADSHEET that I maintain for all of your viewing pleasure. I’ve seen plenty of anonymous animals with that spreadsheet open and I’d consider it a great resource during your RCL drafts. You can also just copy out the data to you own Excel sheet and use it in your own War Room if that tickles your fancy. Enjoy and deity of choice speed.
WE DON’T NEED NO STINKIN’ NFBC ADP
We’ve got RCL ADP! Here’s a list from our 35 league sample of some players whose ADPs I was curious about and some general notes.
| PLAYER | ADP | HI | LO | DIFF |
| Jose Altuve | 2.2 | 2 | 3 | 1 |
| Trea Turner | 5.34 | 3 | 9 | 6 |
| Mookie Betts | 7.54 | 2 | 12 | 10 |
| Jose Ramirez | 19.26 | 13 | 29 | 16 |
| Dee Gordon | 31.83 | 24 | 44 | 20 |
| Starling Marte | 45.83 | 25 | 65 | 40 |
| Byron Buxton | 53.09 | 25 | 70 | 45 |
| A.J. Pollock | 63.2 | 30 | 96 | 66 |
| Jean Segura | 68.69 | 50 | 91 | 41 |
| Whit Merrifield | 73.51 | 51 | 100 | 49 |
| Billy Hamilton | 74.06 | 52 | 95 | 43 |
| Elvis Andrus | 75.34 | 47 | 111 | 64 |
| Ronald Acuna | 81.57 | 47 | 117 | 70 |
| Ozzie Albies | 101.06 | 74 | 137 | 63 |
| Manuel Margot | 123.69 | 92 | 145 | 53 |
| Ender Inciarte | 141.94 | 110 | 185 | 75 |
| Delino DeShields | 158.46 | 100 | 202 | 102 |
| Bradley Zimmer | 166.77 | 113 | 219 | 106 |
| Tim Anderson | 171.6 | 98 | 250 | 152 |
| Jose Peraza | 194.91 | 131 | 279 | 148 |
| Jonathan Villar | 199.97 | 137 | 269 | 132 |
| Michael A. Taylor | 231.06 | 148 | 300 | 152 |
| Amed Rosario | 261.49 | 204 | 300 | 96 |
| Mallex Smith | 280.23 | 212 | 300 | 88 |
| Cameron Maybin | 286.8 | 227 | 300 | 73 |
Within the top 100, we’re not really talking SAGNOF, these guys are the cream of the crop.
Ozzie Albies has been a big middle round target of mine so far this year, if I don’t end up with Trea Turner that is.
With the news Delino will be hitting leadoff his ADP has been creeping up.
Tim Anderson is all over the map, that 152 pick swing is equalled only by Michael A. Taylor, who everyone appears equally unsure on.
There was talk two weeks ago that it was hard for Amed Rosario to walk…only to have him hustling down the line a week later. Someone’s a bit of a drama queen, no?
| PLAYER | ADP | HI | LO | DIFF |
| Kenley Jansen | 43.2 | 32 | 59 | 27 |
| Craig Kimbrel | 55.6 | 38 | 72 | 34 |
| Aroldis Chapman | 69.89 | 49 | 96 | 47 |
| Corey Knebel | 81.4 | 62 | 96 | 34 |
| Roberto Osuna | 87.03 | 62 | 108 | 46 |
| Felipe Rivero | 92.34 | 64 | 126 | 62 |
| Cody Allen | 102.17 | 70 | 134 | 64 |
| Ken Giles | 103.63 | 78 | 123 | 45 |
| Edwin Diaz | 104.71 | 87 | 128 | 41 |
| Raisel Iglesias | 109.57 | 86 | 131 | 45 |
| Brad Hand | 117.23 | 66 | 143 | 77 |
| Wade Davis | 123.2 | 98 | 145 | 47 |
| Sean Doolittle | 125.23 | 98 | 156 | 58 |
| Alex Colome | 132.46 | 94 | 163 | 69 |
| Arodys Vizcaino | 153 | 117 | 186 | 69 |
| Hector Neris | 153.74 | 119 | 185 | 66 |
| Brandon Morrow | 153.86 | 109 | 199 | 90 |
| Archie Bradley | 158.94 | 120 | 194 | 74 |
| Jeurys Familia | 170.37 | 128 | 212 | 84 |
| Mark Melancon | 171.94 | 107 | 209 | 102 |
| Blake Treinen | 173.03 | 127 | 222 | 95 |
| Kelvin Herrera | 180.34 | 134 | 239 | 105 |
| Brad Brach | 189.51 | 153 | 240 | 87 |
| Shane Greene | 207.2 | 164 | 269 | 105 |
| Blake Parker | 220.2 | 161 | 288 | 127 |
| Cam Bedrosian | 228.43 | 176 | 300 | 124 |
| Fernando Rodney | 228.83 | 185 | 300 | 115 |
| Zach Britton | 239.2 | 185 | 300 | 115 |
| Addison Reed | 247.14 | 188 | 300 | 112 |
| Alex Claudio | 255.71 | 202 | 300 | 98 |
| Dominic Leone | 256.66 | 183 | 300 | 117 |
| Brad Boxberger | 264.69 | 194 | 300 | 106 |
| Luke Gregerson | 270.49 | 201 | 300 | 99 |
| Brad Ziegler | 271.03 | 193 | 300 | 107 |
| Nate Jones | 272.54 | 192 | 300 | 108 |
| Juan Minaya | 294.97 | 235 | 300 | 65 |
No discount on Craig Kimbrel this year, but I do like the guy going in roughly the same spot Kimbrel was last year, Corey Knebel. I am sort of in love with a lot of Brewers for fantasy this year.
Felipe Rivero to Alex Colome is where you better get your guy if you want a decent closer. Keep that in mind as you come up on picks 100-130.
After that, Brandon Morrow is getting some love, but I’m personally not buying. I’d rather roll with Archie Bradley in that spot.
People must have forgotten how bad Blake Treinen is.
If you can pull it off, the Brad Brach/Zach Britton combo is pretty nice. Britton can already be DL’d which means right after the draft you can add another player.
Blake Parker and Cam Bedrosian are neck and neck in ADP right now, but Cam is the one heading in the right direction, more on that below!
RECENT TRENDS
Here we have a little chart showing some of the changes in ADP from early in the season to this past week. The bigger the DIFF number the higher the player is currently being drafted and vice versa.
| PLAYER | ADP (3/1-3/11) | ADP (3/12-3/18) | DIFF |
| Dominic Leone | 286.18 | 227.27 | 58.91 |
| Cam Bedrosian | 245.76 | 210.53 | 35.23 |
| Brad Boxberger | 280.59 | 249.2 | 31.39 |
| David Robertson | 264.41 | 234.4 | 30.01 |
| Lewis Brinson | 266.65 | 243.07 | 23.58 |
| Nate Jones | 283.94 | 260.47 | 23.47 |
| Scott Kingery | 288.06 | 264.67 | 23.39 |
| Tim Anderson | 182.06 | 160.2 | 21.86 |
| Marcus Semien | 244.88 | 225 | 19.88 |
| Carlos Santana | 162.47 | 142.8 | 19.67 |
| Delino DeShields | 168.47 | 149 | 19.47 |
| Ryan McMahon | 237.59 | 259.6 | -22.01 |
| Jose Bautista | 271.71 | 294.33 | -22.63 |
| Blake Parker | 208.29 | 231.67 | -23.37 |
| Cole Hamels | 208.35 | 233.13 | -24.78 |
| Miguel Andujar | 274.94 | 300 | -25.06 |
| Mark Trumbo | 201 | 227.2 | -26.2 |
| Jacob Faria | 208.06 | 238.4 | -30.34 |
| Jordan Montgomery | 225.35 | 258.4 | -33.05 |
| Gio Gonzalez | 143.65 | 178.2 | -34.55 |
| Kendrys Morales | 202.18 | 247 | -44.82 |
| Ervin Santana | 173.35 | 236 | -62.65 |
It’s SAGNOF-R-Us at the top of this list. Will people still know that reference in 10 years now that Toys-R-Us is going the way of the buffalo? Sad times. Leone is rumored to be in the lead in St. Louis for the closer gig right now and RCLers are taking note. Same goes for Cam Bedrosian and Nate Jones.
Brinson’s hot spring has people giddy, I’m on board with that.
Is there news about Kingery that I’ve missed? He’s still slated to start in the minors, but I suppose when Maikel Franco is your only competition, it could be a short stay. I just see the Phils playing the money game here.
In the most Rockies move ever, Ryan McMahon could get pinched out of playing time thanks to CarGo’s signing. Gross.
I guess as Miguel Andujar cools, so does his ADP.
Brucely, I’m concerned Ervin Santana’s ADP was ever that high…
Now, go join a league and contribute to that wonderful ADP data:
TO JOIN A LEAGUE
Click the LINK in the ‘League Link’ column (see below grid) for the time you want and enter the League ID from the spreadsheet and password –> razzball. Password is always razzball — lower case. If you’re not signed up at Fantrax, you need to do that too (it’s free). Damn, that’s too easy. Oh, I guess I should also mention make sure you’re joining a league for free or for money, depending on your preference. That’s it! You can join as many leagues as you like.
Want to be Matt’s Twitter pal? That’s kinda creepy, but you can follow him here: @MattTruss
