Well, we’ve had quite a week, eh? Lots of sexy promotions. Being a prospect writer is a touch bittersweet. It’s like watching a child grow. Once they graduate to the bigs in real life, they kinda graduate here too, moving up in the world of blog posts from minor league reports to the Grey League. Good luck Keston and Austin…I know you’ll make us proud. Back in the minors, our good friend Sixto Sanchez got a promotion to Double-A. His debut went swimmingly – even for a Marlin – striking out seven batters in six shutout innings. I was conservative in my ranking of Sanchez in the preseason, so if he continues to pitch well in the upper minors he’ll be a big riser when the midseason rankings come out. Despite the early promotion, I don’t think we’ll see Sanchez pitching meaningful innings for the Marlins this summer, if only because he hasn’t built up enough innings in previous seasons and the Marlins have other options such as Zac Gallen and Jordan Yamamoto in hand. Next year, Sanchez could be a very interesting flyer though. Here’s what else is happening around the minor leagues…
Alec Bohm, 3B | PHI – 3-for-4 and currently riding a four-game multi-hit streak. Since his promotion to High-A, Bohm is hitting .345 with a pair of homers. I’d love to see the Phillies continue pushing the 22-year-old, perhaps giving him a look at Reading by the end of the summer.
Nolan Gorman, 3B | STL – 2-for-3 with a triple and a homer for Single-A Peoria. That gives Gorman nine long balls on the year, which leads the Midwest League. I know nine doesn’t seem like much compared to the video game numbers Triple-A specs are putting up, but as commenter Tigersharkz pointed out a couple of weeks ago and I’ve since reiterated, the new ball being used in Triple-A is substantially different. Consider this yet another warning (of many to come) not to compare stats between leagues this year. Gorman is about as solid as they get with the bat, and I’m confident the 19-year-old will also make the adjustments to bring his current 28% strikeout rate down a few ticks.
Kyle Tucker, OF | HOU – 2-for-4 with a homer, his third in the last five games. Tucker had a terrible start, hitting just .173 in the month of April. He has officially righted the ship though, hitting a smooth .368 so far in May. He also has six homers this month, already surpassing the five he hit in all of April. Yordan Alvarez is crushing it too, but Tucker is on the 40-man, while Alvarez is not. I just wrote about why this is a factor to consider. Tucker could still end up beating Alvarez to the majors through all of this, which is kinda crazy after it looked like Alvarez would run and hide from him.
Xavier Edwards, SS/2B | SDP – 3-for-5 with a pair of walks, hitting .368 for Single-A Fort Wayne. Edwards is doing about what you’d expect, walking more than he strikes out with 11 steals on the season. My only concern in the early going is his success rate. He’s been caught seven times in 18 attempts. At 19 years old, Edwards has plenty of time to learn the fine art of base stealing.
Seth Beer, 1B/OF | HOU – 2-for-3 with a walk and another homer, giving him nine on the season. I was fairly high on both Bohm and Beer in the preseason, so I’m glad to see them hitting well. Beer is slashing .336/.419/.616 for the High-A Fayetteville Woodpeckers. Minor league team names are too fun. I think we need to do a bracket for best MiLB team name. Anyway, the Astros farm is an embarrassment of riches again.
16 teamer dynasty with all the stats including defensive ones. sano or dozier (the worthwhile dozier), both at 1B/3B and also have
1B bellinger (CF/RF
2B la stella (3B, fill in for altuve)
3B senzel (CF)
LF jd mart (RF)
RF springer (CF)
util (1) otani (not as valuable here since the defensive stuff)
BN (3, 4 BN slots max 1 of them used on pitchers by rules)
, dozier (1B/3B), devers, E2 (3B/SS)
DL: altuve, sano more
NA (10): florial, rodgers, r.lewis, india, larnach, brujan
SP (max 6): s.anderson (streamer), ryu, gibson, darvish, arrieta, morton
RP (7): diekman, rogers, lugo, hader, britton, rivero (vazquez), wittgren
NA: mize, sixto, puk, a.reyes
DL: morrow, otani (i was REALLY worried yahoo wasn’t going to get this right, but they did, good for them, they did the obviously correct thing, unless the dude has ANY indication he MIGHT pitch the otani pitcher is on DL)
1. is there a rodgers drop (i’d hold these guys in NA/DL slots (sano/rodgers) except i stream the last pitcher slot routinely, this is h2h league.
2. sano or dozier?
and i stream the catcher slot (putouts at the VERY least every day, esp since i basically have no actual 1B which means i’m generally in bad shape in those every week anyway)
I luckily picked up Austin Riley 1 hour before they called him up.
Had Brendan Rodgers stashed.
Got Kingery coming off my DL this weekend.
Thanks to you I was the first one to grab Acuna and Soto before people in my league knew who they were, and now I want to keep up this facade of knowledge when really it’s all you!
Looking to fill my NA spot…
1) Who’s the next bat that’s getting the call this year that excites you?
(Players taken –> Kyle Tucker, Yordan Alvarez, Bo Bichette)
Suggestions but not limited too…
Ryan Mountcastle (why does he bore me? should he not?)
2) Who’s a bat that gets the call next year, and is worthy of a 12th round keeper position? (Might not be anyone, Royce Lewis taken)
Suggestions but not limited too…
3) Who’s an off the radar AL prospect that gets the call this year batter or pitcher?
(Almost all of the really good prospects are taken. I know hard to answer question)
Thanks as always Mike. Love your work! Always look forward to it.
Thanks! Nice job. 1) Mountcastle probably up the earliest, but I like Robert’s upside more for this year, even if he comes up later. 2) Kirilloff we probably won’t see until next season so I’d go with him. 3) Hmmm. Jahmai Jones? Brent Rooker? Brendan McKay?
You’re the man. Thanks!
You’re the man. Thanks!
What odds you give Luis Robert is called up this year? Guess on the month?
I’d say 65/35 he’s up. Most likely after Super Two, late June, early July.
Got it, thanks again!
Better stash long term Mountcastle or Trammell? Feel like I haven’t read many positive things with Trammell this yr but always reading about Mountcastle. Trammell ETA 2020 and Mountcastle soon?
Yes, I think your last statement is it. Trammell is the “better” prospect but you’re better off rostering Mountcastle right now.
Good stuff Mike.
Who’s your pick for the best source of strikeouts in the second half of the season of pitchers currently in the minors?
Hmmm Cease and Luzardo aren’t terrible bets.
I own Cease in a mixed league, fwiw (stashed in an NA spot)
We playin checkers…he out there playin chess.
I’m wearing VR goggles playing chess with people!
*reaches to move a piece…knocks over all the pieces…game over*
*removes goggles* Better luck next time, son. *film reverses 2 hours and we see again how he was actually his son the whole time*
yo for real that’s brilliant…you should be a writer!
*reverses 35 years* Now, I am a writer.
Mike .. awesome stuff … Forever keep 10 + 10 farm /stash … I’m a year or 2 away so I’m stock piling … trade my Haniger for Brujan? Would be joining Senzel Robles Royce Alonso Bichette Trammel Valera India Gimenez Robert Hoerner … have Bell Marquez Taillon as well…. thank you !
Thanks! I’d go bird in hand and stick with Haniger.
another great job Mike,You no we are hooked on these young prospects,Rookie Nookie
14-TEAM OBP ROTO
We allow two minors spots. I am carrying J.Mateo and Zac Gallen right now since I was hoping they would provide the most immediate impact. I just picked up Gallen after Mercado was promoted.
Are they the best I can hope for considering these guys are still available in my league?
ROYCE LEWIS, CARTER KIEBOOM, TRAMMELL, PACHE, HONEYWELL, A.GIMENEZ, L.ROBERT, MADRIGAL, BRUJAN, M.GORE, REYES, KELENIC, LARNACH, VV MESA, KE’BRYAN HAYES, L.TAVERAS, FLORIAL, BOHM, BEER, BART, SWAGGERTY, and INDIA.
Tyler O’Neil and some others off to hot Minors starts like Dalbec, Yerry Rodriguez, Nolan Jones, Mitchell White, and J.Duran are FAs, also.
One more question. I picked up Henry Ramirez for my bench but Willie Calhoun went yard against my Royals tonight. Is he a better bench bat?
If it’s a redraft I’d go Kieboom and either Robert or Hayes.
Calhoun over Ramirez
We have never run our league as a “redraft” so I don’t know why that would make a difference. It’s not a redraft league.
So you wouldn’t hang onto Gallen and Mateo if Kieboom, Robert, and Hayes are out there?
Gotcha. I’d take Kieboom and Robert over the others.
I dumped Mateo for Robert but want to wait on Kieboom since I don’t think he’ll come up before Gallen….what do you think?
Nice. Sounds fine. Kieboom has Turner coming back soon.
I think the Macon Whoopie should get a top ranking in one of the brackets
Haha for real…New Orleans Baby Cakes? We might be onto something
What do you think happens with Tyler O’Neil? He has 6 hr’s in 11 AAA games since being sent down. He has destroyed the minors. Does he get traded or is he just Uber blocked? ANy long term value?
They might just keep him for depth since he has two options left (AKA blocked). I think their second choice would be to trade him ‘low’.
Long term is tough to predict, probably needs a team to trade for him with less of an outfield set.
Any idea what is going on with Tony Gonsolin injury?
Looks like he tweaked an oblique (poetry point). Should only miss the minimum.
What’s the minimum on that? Thought he was going to break thru to MLB this year…I like his stuff.
Who do you think has higher ceiling, Brusdar or Grayson?
One start,,,about a week. Shouldn’t affect his ETA.
Grayson Rodriguez? Probably him.
We talking about the same guy? Gonsolin hasn’t pitched since injuring himself in mid April.
Yah, Grayson Rodriguez.
Oh snap. Yeah same guy. I didn’t realize he was still shelved. I have no idea what’s up. He was supposed to be back in a week. I can’t find anything new on him.
Yup, I’d go Rodriguez for upside.
No problem man.
How ba post-hype sleeper like Willie Calhoun called up today…1st AB…bomb
Love it. Ain’t no breakout like a post-hype breakout!
Thank Gawd you’re here!
My dynasty league allows us to demote players from our MLB roster to a MiLB roster when the player is demoted IRL.
As a Garrett Hampson owner, I decided to not just cut him, but to demote him to my MiLB roster … but I had to make room on my 15 player MiLB roster for Hampson …
So I decided to call up Kevin Smith (TOR) as the corresponding move (even though Smith is in AA, my league allows this move) …
So Hampson is stashed, Smith has been dropped due to his struggles in AA along with needing to make room for Trey Wingenter coming off the DL any day now …
Did I screw all this up???????
Is Hampson worth the stash, as compared to keeping Smith?
My 2B situation regarding my MiLB roster is Luis Urias, Luis Garcia (WAS), Jeter Downs, Luis Garcia (PHI), and now Hampson back on my MiLB roster.
Your feedback is mucho appreciated – don’t hold back, if I effed up please say so!
Nah you’re fine. Hampson feels like one of those guys who just needs some time to figure it out. Reminds me of Kingery in Philly. The good news is both Luis Urias and Luis Garcia are really solid prospects to fall back on if you tired of waiting around for Hampson.
Ok, cool …. wasn’t trying to be melodramatic but I was wanting to bounce this off you asap. My 2B situation on my MLB roster is Cano and Odor – talk about making vagrancy a felony ~
Plus, I was anticipating that the Rox would demote Hamp so I was as ready as I could be in my decision making …
Thanks again, Mike!
Ha, no problem man. You got it right. Hope for the best and prepare for the worst.
Context: Y 10 tm H2H 8×8 (R,H,HR,RBI,SB,BB,TB,AVG) keeper league with a shallow bench. I have a rookie nookie problem and only one hole (2B), ok two holes (2B, UTL) two stick them in. I’ve been riding Chavis at 2B, Senzel at UTL, and just picked up Hiura. I also recently picked up B. Rodgers, so he’s waiting in the one n/a spot. I thought I was smart drafting Senzel to slide into 2B mid season after the scooter incident, thinking the OF business was service time camo, I’m thinking if/when Rodgers comes up either Chavis or Hiura gets the axe. Since the scoring counts hits and avg. it puts a heavier influence on hits so I try to target high top hit tool guys, in theory. Even if Rodgers doesn’t come up for a month or so I have T. Turner coming off the IL soonish, so heads are gonna roll, but not sure who to chop. Who gets chopped?
Must resist urge to make jokes about two holes…
If your league prioritizes pure hitting, I think you gotta keep Hiura and let Chavis go once the magic dies. If it never does, I’d lose Rodgers.
rank these guys in order of dynasty quality for me, would you? I’m looking to trade a few of them and want to keep my best guys. NL League
K. Hayes PIT
E. Montero STL
T. Yamada Japan
L. Garcia PHI
What do you see Riley doing this year. I noticed he made improvements art least statistically this year in minors.
If he’s the guy moving forward, 15-20 homers, .270ish
no needs just looking for the better stash between tucker and gallen. Looking for who will make the most impact this year?
I think you gotta stash Tucker there.
12 team H2H with 1 minor league spot available
Gallon or Luzardo
Gallen for proximity. Luzardo for upside.
Good stuff as always. What’s your take on Jarren Duran who was leading the minors in batting average. Most saw him as a Myles Straw type but with his continued production do you see him as a top 100 guy soon? Thanks!
Thanks! Possibly, but it would be back half of a T100. Could impact average and steals but not enough power to be T50.
Thanks for the updates, Mike!
Do you think Gorman makes it to AAA this year? Seems like the Cardinals tend to be relatively conservative with their prospects. With Carpenter signing an extension and Wong having a solid year (less need to move Carpenter back to 2B), there just doesn’t seem to be a need to rush him unless they’re going to move him to the outfield?
Any word on what might be going on with Forrest Whitley?
I doubt Gorman sees AAA. Probably splits this year between A and High-A.
Whitley is probably a victim of lost time last year and the souped up ball in AAA.
Are we dropping him in NFBC main? I owned him since I took a very gambly approach to pitching. Currently sitting top 40, and do need pitching just nothing available on waiver. Whitley still sitting at 92%. Was 100% a few weeks ago, then 98 last week, now 92. Are you still holding?
I think it depends on who’d you replace him with. There is still the majority of the season left and upside in Whitley.
In a keep 25 H2H points league I’m holding for now with Whitley while trying pair him with a hitter in a trade. I may end up dropping him later this season, but can afford to hold him for now.
I think this makes the most sense.