Peter Alonso was a swell young fella, who bounced from city to city to display his Herculean feats of power. Brooklyn. St. Lucie. Binghamton. Las Vegas. The shows got so wild that even the baseballs starting singing Britney Spears’ Hit Me Baby One More Time as they hurled 60 feet 6 inches down the pitching tunnel. 80 grade power with a 6′ 3″ 230 to 245 pound frame, depending on who you ask just added to the legend. Once he made it to The Show, though, Peter decided to simplify things and changed his name to Pete Alonso, which takes it from two syllables to one. You know what else has two syllables? Home run. So, Peter Alonso has gone from a swell young fella to a generous one because now we can save time and oxygen every time he hits a home run, which he is planning to do plenty. Instead of Peter Alonso hits another home run, it is now Pete. Gone. Simple and efficient. I like it. That philosophy also is a microcosm of his general hitting approach: See ball, hit ball. Ok, all jokes aside, Alonso was added in 18.4% of ESPN leagues over the past seven days, bringing his ownership from 29.7 to 48.1%. Trash or treasure?

Well, spoiler alert, how the F is he owned in less than 50% of leagues? People have already given up?

Alonso strikes out a lot. So far, in only 19 plate appearances, the strikeout rate is 26.3%. Last year in Triple-A, though, that rate was 25.9%. Nick Gerli wrote a great piece, with some insight from our very own Lance Brozdowski, how Alonso’s simplified approach at the plate (see ball, hit ball) coupled with his low hand placement could make him susceptible to high heat and low and away breaking balls.

With that said, his plate discipline is very impressive for a power hitter. He’s had a walk rate over 10% the past two seasons. So far this year, he’s at 10.5%.

The two numbers that get me most excited, though, are the batting average and batted profile data. In three minor league seasons, Alonso has never had an average below .260 and been above .300 three times. As for the batted ball data, he’s going oppo 41.7% of the time! Couple that with the fact that he’s never had an ISO below .230 or a SLG below .515 and……Gone.

Let’s get back to the batted ball numbers. Last year in Triple-A, he pulled the ball 50.3% of the time and only went oppo 20.2%. Throughout his minor year career, he’s tended to be a more pull hitter, so some regression could be in the works. There’s also the chance that he’s learned and developed a more mature approach at the plate. If you watch him at the plate, his swing is short and compact with minimal leg kick. He lets the ball get deep and, so far, has been driving the ball hard to right center. The early season success could provide validation for the new approach, and hopefully continued refinement.

Now, there’s going to be an adjustment period for sure. Pitchers will start attacking him differently. So far, pitchers are primarily working him hard inside and junk away. They haven’t been working the high and tight stuff yet, though. That’s probably the next place they go. Interestingly, most of Alonso’s power has come on the low and inside stuff.

There’s so much to like about Alonso. He doesn’t sell out for power, but he’s so strong that the power is always in play. He’s batting second in the batting order, against both lefties and righties. The plate discipline and compact swing should allow him to make any necessary adjustments that will inevitably need to be made.

TREASURE

  1. Cram It says:
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    I friggin’ love this guy. LGM!

    • Son

      Son says:
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      HA! I have an unhealthy infatuation with him as well

    • LenFuego says:
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      Me three. The power just drips off of him … it is inescapable.

      I was down to my last dollar and nominated him near the end of my auction, and held my breath while the most dangerous owner in the league hemmed and hawed about whether to go to 2 dollars. At that point, my first baseman was Bour, and I really was dying to get Alonso for the upside. I was so relieved when the other guy passed.

      • Son

        Son says:
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        B. U. T. Ful. Nice purchase.

        I gotta admit, though, that reading your post had me thinking about someone passing gas while you held your breath. Ha! Yes, I know. I’m a weirdo

        • LenFuego says:
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          I will neither confirm nor deny that occurred.

          BTW, I had previously nominated Voit and Gregorius with my last dollar, kind of hoping I would get overbid and other owners’ budget would get depleted so I could score Alonso. Worked like a charm!

          • Son

            Son says:
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            Are you a time traveler or something?

      • Shopgurrrl says:
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        Christian Walker: Trash or Treasure?

        • Son

          Son says:
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          Trash. He’s in a platoon with Lamb and I’m not buying what he’s been doing in 16 plate appearances so far. He’s only striking out 12.5%. He’s more like a 25% K guy. The HR/FB rate is 60%. Unsustainable. Swinging strike rate is at 7.6%. He’s a career 19% guy.

  2. Thundershoe says:
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    Hey Son, Hope you’re having a great start to the season, and thanks for all the great content you’re pumping out.

    A. Trade Treinen for Robles?

    B. Trade Glasnow and Kikuchi for Robles?

    C. Do you like A or B better?

    • Son

      Son says:
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      Thanks Thundershoe!

      What’s team/league context?

      • Thundershoe says:
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        12-team points league, 4 keepers, auction-style. I’m actually trying to take step back this year from the full on grind of fantasy baseball – need a bit of a break. Instead, I’m aiming to have fun gambling on prospects/young studs who could turn into long-term keepers. My keepers this past year were Bregman $19, Treinen $12, Clevinger $9, and Marquez $7.

        My offense is Jansen, Miggy, Dozier, Muncy, Bregman, Trout, Pollock, Brantley, Meadows, Segura. Pitching is Clev, Marquez, Lucchesi, Paddack, Kikuchi, Glasnow, Bieber, L. Castillo, Bryse Wilson, Treinen, W. Smith, T. Rogers, and Seranthony.

        I’m wondering if Robles could be a perennial top 15-20 player. He was acquired this year for $9 and the price for every kept player goes up $6 each year. I got Trout this year for $60 – I had him last year at $66 and wasn’t planning to redraft him but accidentally got the highest bid (no complaints though!).

        • Son

          Son says:
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          What is the scoring system for your league?

          • Thundershoe says:
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            Offense: +1 for every base, +1 for BB, -1 for K, +2 for SB, -1 for CS
            Pitching: +1 for every out, +1 per K, -2 per ER, -1 per BB, -1 per HB, +6 per win, +4 per save, +2 per hold

            • Son

              Son says:
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              Got it. I just wanted to make sure about the settings. Hitters and starting pitchers are more valuable in my opinion for points leagues. I’d do the Treinen for Robles one.

              • Thundershoe says:
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                Yah I agree about who’s generally more valuable. Treinen stands out among RPs though – for perspective, he scored 459 points last year, which was 100 points above the average closer and in the same territory as number 2 starters and the 15th best batter. Of course, repeating those numbers will be a tall task. I know I asked this before, but do you see Robles consistently being in the top 20 batters in the years to come?

                Man, I’m having a hard time stepping back as I said I would, haha. I guess part of me thinks it would still be cool to make a run at a chip this year even without spending so much time on it.

      • Thundershoe says:
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        Oh and Treinen for Robles was already proposed. Thinking of countering with Kikuchi and Glasnow for Robles – trading partner expressed interest in Kikuchi and Glasnow before.

  3. Grey

    Grey says:
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    Not sure how I feel about you using Pete Alonso’s name in title with the word trash

    • Son

      Son says:
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      Ha! I inherited the post title. I’m all for an Executive Decision to make this week a special: One Man’s Treasure

      • Grey

        Grey says:
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        Maybe where you’re from (LA?) it’s normal to pass the buck, but where I’m from (LA), we call that, “Dude…not cool.” Alonso’s special, please make amends with a cat o nine tails like you’re a Dan Brown novel villain

        • Son

          Son says:
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          Where I’m from (LA-Westside), we say, “Dude, where’s my car?”

          As for amends, you must consult my Favatar, who builds things of extraordinary magnitude.

          • Grey

            Grey says:
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            I can’t have favatar, upsets my stomach

            • Son

              Son says:
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              Just sprinkle some Tabasco on it

              • Grey

                Grey says:
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                Cause gas can’t do it

                • Son

                  Son says:
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                  Then listen to some Eminem while getting an enema

                  • Grey

                    Grey says:
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                    If it were only that easy

                    • Son

                      Son says:
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                      Oh it is Grey. It’s just a matter if you want to go the insurance route or the DIY one

                    • Grey

                      Grey says:
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                      Drinking coffee with your butt is DIY one I know, same?

                    • Son

                      Son says:
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                      Getting King Taco and dousing with the hot sauce is my DIY cleanser

                    • Grey

                      Grey says:
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                      Yours is better for Postmates

                    • Son

                      Son says:
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                      Does Postmates clean up as well? If so, how much do they charge?

                    • Grey

                      Grey says:
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                      I know, right? They’re so expensive

                    • Son

                      Son says:
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                      Seriously. Remember PinkDot?

                    • Grey

                      Grey says:
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                      I do but never used it

                  • Son

                    Son says:
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                    Was amazing. Stoners alone couldn’t sustain the business though. Shocker. Anyways, they were decades ahead of their time

  4. Harry Beanebag says:
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    If you had both Goldy and Alonso, who would you trade and what would you expect in return (batting- and pitching-wise)? Another scenario…Allonso could get slotted into our Utility position but then I have Khris Davis there. No matter what, one of the three guys is not getting played. Who do I trade?

    • Son

      Son says:
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      Depends on the market. Send out the scouts for some price discovery and see what info they return with. Until they return, you should keep an open mind

    • LenFuego says:
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      I agree with Son, send out feelers on all of them.

      Goldy will probably fetch by far the biggest return – he has been a consistent stud this entire decade and adds some SBs to the mix, whereas Alonso has just four games under his belt.

      Krush might get a pretty good return too – someone who craves the power could pony up an ace pitcher or something else tasty for him.

      One caveat: be careful with your expectations for Alonso. Sure, everything is peaches and cream with him right now, but the Mets are going to sit Alonso occasionally in favor of Dominic Smith — for instance, today – and he is going to have some slumps at some point.

      • Son

        Son says:
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        Wise words. Alonso is going to struggle at some point when pitchers start attacking him differently. How well/fast he adjusts to the adjustments will determine his season

  5. Maverick says:
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    I get all the hype. I get the excitement of last year. I am looking at my SS depth. I have Lindor on IL right now, and I am sitting on Mondesi, Kiki and DeJong. Mondesi played my utility the first week, I am waiting on Vlad and Stanton and Ohtani on DL. I also have Winker and I just got myself a share of P. Alonso.

    I am debating on how much I can cash in on Mondesi. I understand I am not going to be undersold…. But if I am aiming high. How high in the Top 100 should satisfy me? Which players would be on the tier you sell at? Thanks.

    • Son

      Son says:
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      Value is relative, so you must look within to answer that question. Send out the scouts for price discovery. All it takes is one owner who values him higher than you.

      As for myself, probably top 40-50 player, but that’s in a vacuum. Team context is huge because many are counting on him for the bulk of their steals.

  6. Joel says:
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    Ryan O’Hearn trash or treasure? 12 Hrs in 149 ABs last year. I know he can’t hit lefties, but that pace is pretty, pretty, prettty good.

  7. Son

    Son says:
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    Trashy treasure? I like the plate discipline and the contact rate in the zone is decent, yet the swinging strike rate is high as well as the strikeout rate. I’m a little skeptical at the home runs though. He has decent power and increased the launch angle, but the 25% HR/FB rate he posted last season seems unsustainable. Plus, as you mentioned, he stinks against lefties and gets platooned.

  8. Shopgurrrl says:
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    Christian Walker: Trash or Treasure?

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