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This feels more like of a functional rookie post vs. a drool worthy one.  Which is odd, because I don’t know if Jorge Alfaro is a rookie.  I looked into it, and, from what I can tell, Alfaro still has his rookie eligibility.  But if he doesn’t, look at this as the first sleeper post that’s boring vs. the last rookie post that’s boring.  Man, I am selling the shizz out of this.  Any hoo!  Jorge Alfaro.  Confession Alert!  I ask Prospector Ralph for about ten names of rookies that will impact this year and then go off that list for these rookie posts.  I mean, who better to ask than the guy that knows more about prospects than anyone else?  Well, at least more about prospects than anyone I know, which, in my myopic world, is the same thing.  Any hoo, Part 2: Return To Hoosville, Ralph didn’t give me Jorge Alfaro as a name to cover.  I don’t think he likes him, y’all!  I can understand his trepidation.  Alfaro’s a catcher, that’s kinda boring.  For fantasy, however, a catcher that has an everyday job and won’t be drafted until late in redraft leagues has value, especially one with huge raw power.  So, what can we expect from Jorge Alfaro for 2018 fantasy baseball?

I think we might get a cheap top 10 catcher here.  I know, I know, hyperbole isn’t just Manute Bol’s brother.  By the way, I miss Manute Bol on the daily.  I love super tall people, that’s a fun fact about me.  Back to Alfaro!  Have you seen this guy hit?

Um, that’s off balance.  And to the deepest part of the field!  He’s a beast of muscles and skin and bones and–Okay, I was just reading from the human anatomy page on Wikipedia, but Alfaro does not appear to be a struggle-to-hit-15-homers type.  More like a perennial 20-homer catcher who might hit .215.  Yeah, that’s the pecca in the dillo, as no one says.  In 324 ABs in Triple-A last year, he hit .241 with a 32% strikeout rate.  That’s not going to translate to a .318 hitter like he was last year in his cup of coffee.  “Help, I’m in a cup of coffee!”  That’s a fly drowning.  Alfaro doesn’t walk to offset any of this massacre on Ks either.  Prolly an under 5% walk rate is what we’re looking at.  He does have some speed though, and could swipe five to seven bags on broken hit-and-runs and if Jon Lester pitches against him.  There’s not a ton to like, but immense power and maybe a handful of steals butters the ol’ biscuit when it comes to catchers.  As I said, functional vs. sexy.  In mixed leagues, I’m drafting this guy all over the place super late.  For 2018, I’ll give Jorge Alfaro the projections of 43/18/61/.232/3 in 507 ABs.

   
  1. Duda Want to Build a Snowman? says:
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    Great spot Grey! This is the sort of guy who saves us all the $5-$8 we’d blow on a Russell Martin type two catcher leagues. Instead we can spend minimal on a Barnes Alfaro combo and still be not terrible.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Exactly!

  2. Tweak says:
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    It was not long ago that some folks could have a reasoned argument over the futures of Gary Sanchez vs Jorge Alfaro. At the time of the Hamels trade, I felt he could have been the best piece headed to Philly in the deal. Barring a real Nick Williams breakout, he still could be.

    In two catcher leagues, I’m still probably going with something like a Yadi/Kelly combo, but Alfaro could be a nice pickup at the end of an RCL next season. At least he has upside and every reason to play.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      I think Alfaro can still surprise somewhat, and might be Yadi without the AVG

  3. Squat Cobbler says:
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    Just read an article saying Bol might have been 40 years old in college and 50 whilst in the NBA! The guy who brought him over said Bol had no birth certificate. Although the same guy allegedly paid him to come over…so, not exactly the most forthright witness. Not to mention, you can’t believe what you read on the Interwebs…except the stuff Grey writes!

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      WUT?! Really? So, Bol was 107 years old when he retired?

  4. Simply Fred

    Simply Fred says:
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    Grey, just wanting to get your take on the strategy of streaming hitters. The overall #8 RCL finisher did not draft a hitter until Round 13. Apparently, he relied a lot on Rudy’s hittertron to stream in the favored hitters for the day.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      I think the RCL is built for Hitter-Tron and Stream-o-Nator. Same day transactions makes it so you can totally screw up your draft and work your way back… I don’t think it’s ideal to not draft hitters, but you can not draft anything and make it work…

      BTW, I don’t agree with Rudy, and I’m against putting a waiver wire transaction cap on RCLs. A buy-in is a sexy thought, but I can see cons of it too.

      • MattTruss

        MattTruss says:
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        I agree 100%, you could technically not draft anything and still do respectable in the RCLs. It’s not ideal, but it could be done. I tend to lean anti-buy-in just to include everyone, but I am firmly in the no transaction cap camp.

        • Jack Deth says:
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          @MattTruss: Buy In’s? WTF!?!!??!!?? I don’t even play these anymore and that is just wrong. Draft is anywhere between 20-40% of how your team does depending on who you drafted. But it’s really how you play the game

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          Agreed, I worry buy-in brings out sharks and loses regular joes, who I enjoy

      • Simply Fred

        Simply Fred says:
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        @Grey: Just be clear, consensus of you, Matt, and myself is no limit on transactions.
        However, Matt and I are against BOTs. Where do you stand on BOTs?

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          I don’t mind bots, what’s to be against? If you can build a better mousetrap, why not use it?

          • Simply Fred

            Simply fred says:
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            @Grey: well, i am guessing few have the skills. If they get an advantage, does not seem like a fair playing field. If bots want to form bot leagues, fine. You lose me if bots allowed in my league.

            • Simply Fred

              Simply fred says:
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              @Simply fred: one bot manager had two in the top 8 overall. That doesn’t compute to an advantage to uou?

              • Simply Fred

                Simply fred says:
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                @Simply fred: if half of the 1000 managers were bots, what would be the percentages that a non-bot would win?

              • Grey

                Grey says:
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                Small sample size

            • Grey

              Grey says:
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              You can’t beat a bot? I welcome the challenge…

              • Simply Fred

                Simply Fred says:
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                @Grey: I, for one, will not pay a team entry fee that could pay a reward to a bot.

                • Grey

                  Grey says:
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                  What, you reading too much Isaac Asminov? The bot is still being operated by a human, right?

              • Simply Fred

                Simply Fred says:
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                @Grey: I spent my career computer modeling. I earned the #1 ranking in the entire United States in my profession. It is only a matter of time that, given enough skilled managers with unfettered access to applicable data, that you, sir, would not stand a chance of beating the bots.
                Enjoy the plunge. :-)

                • Grey

                  Grey says:
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                  Haha, the bots are only as good as the people programming them, this past year, I beat the bots… Bring it on….

                  • Tigres says:
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                    Grey versus AI! How can we make this happen?!

                    • Grey

                      Grey says:
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                      How great would this be? I’m fantasy baseball’s Bobby Fischer!

                      Happy Thanksgiving, Tigres!

                    • Simply Fred

                      Simply Fred says:
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                      @Tigres: To make it happen, post the tools so that any can join the BOT parade.

                    • Simply Fred

                      Simply Fred says:
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                      @Tigres: Eventually, a league Grey VS BOTS (11 of them).
                      :-)

                    • Grey

                      Grey says:
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                      Bring on the robots!

                    • Grey

                      Grey says:
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                      Man vs. Machine, but which is the man and which is the machine…

                    • Simply Fred

                      Simply Fred says:
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                      @Tigres: So, you going to engineer the BOT tools be posted?

      • Jack Deth says:
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        @Grey: What if you had premium RCL’s where you pay a buy in but the tools come with the buy-in. So essentially they can win money and get the tools for one low low price. Great way to kill two birds with one low low price.

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          That’s actually not a bad idea, but it would be up to Rudy

          • Jack Deth says:
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            @Grey: Hey Rudy, you want to sell more subscriptions? Then package it with a Pay League fee and get your awesome BOTS even more exposure. Im an ideas man like Larry David

            • Grey

              Grey says:
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              I’m gonna mention this to him… He’s with his family on Thanksgiving eve

              • Jack Deth says:
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                @Grey: even more reason to give thanks for a great idea

                • Grey

                  Grey says:
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                  Thanks!

  5. Matt says:
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    Hey Grey, got a pitching question for you.

    I need to keep 7 SP so I need to cut a couple Would you rank in order these guys? Masahiro Tanaka, Lance Lynn, Michael Wacha, Luis Castillo, Vince Velasquez, Jack Flaherty, Alex Reyes, Brent Honeywell, Francis Martes.

    I’m thinking I need to cut Martes and Velasquez but you might think differently. What’s your opinion? Thanks, and love the column! I’ll be keeping a closer eye on Alfaro now!

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Cut Martes, Velasquez

      • Matt says:
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        @Grey:
        Thanks man. Appreciate the advice! Great stuff here. I’m starting to dig this place!!!

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          Thanks!

  6. Jack Deth says:
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    If you have ever paid attention to PR Lifshitzski’s comments, its fool of guys that know more, or at least claim to, about prospects than him.

    Alfaro is a guy you draft to look cool, drop and add/drop 20 times and plays the left leg in your season of Frankencatcher. He will surely be a must start out of the gate in case that power surge that even the weakest of players have caught on to catches with him….does that even make sense. The sample size is way too small (thats what she said) but there is enough promise that could give us a little excitement to a position that reminds me of watching reruns of Gilligans Island. To put in better terms would you rather own the next Zunino or the next late career Mauer?

    If I was still writing Creeper of the Week, which BTW, you totally need to bring back (That lazy [email protected] guy killed a razzstaple), I would think Alfaro and schedule go together like peas and carrots for when you add him in the RCL’s. If you hold him all year you’re doing it wrong

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Yeah, I don’t see Alfaro being a guy who you hold all year in RCLs but for a 2nd catcher in deep leagues? He could be huge value…

      • Jack Deth says:
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        @Grey: Of course in deeper leagues all bets are off and really that goes without saying and if someone doesn’t get that they should take up a new hobby like basket weaving or latin. He could end up a huge value in a standard 12 teamer depending how that roster is constructed. I’m going to predict a minimum of 25 dongs

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          Wow, you’re being aggressive! Tho, with how baseball is going, 25 HRs might be hit by Yadier and he’ll only be the 12th best catcher for homers… I just mean with deep leagues, a 2nd catcher like Alfaro could be a steal late and end up a top 12 catcher… It’s especially nice to get a solid catcher late in deep leagues b/c you can’t drop him and if he pans out then it’s even sweeter… Where in an RCL, you’ll never have Alfaro by May, as you said above…

          • Jack Deth says:
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            @Grey: The only way I could see him being kept around is if it’s a collectively down year by catchers or there is a rash of injuries or he picks up where he left off especially against RHP (.375 W/5 HR). I’m going to go out on a limb and say a lot of Philly hitters may be worth more than they were bought for at seasons end. That ripped Jew is going to light a fire under their asses and bring in the saber-style management that can only help them go up. As a playa, because you know you are, would you want the Jacked Up Jew pissed at you?

            • Grey

              Grey says:
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              If you were to line up Kapler with 100 other Jews, and ask someone to pick out the Jew, 100% of the time they’d pick Kapler… Dude’s jacked like Joe Piscopo… I read his splits against righties, and meant to talk about them… Oops… Rudy actually wanted me to bet on the Phils while I was in Vegas this past weekend…. I forgot, which means they will win the World Series

              • Jack Deth says:
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                @Grey: Id bet on them to make the wildcard. Don’t they have a lot of year 3 and 4 arms

                • Grey

                  Grey says:
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                  Yeah, and once they get to the playoffs anything’s possible…

                  • Jack Deth says:
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                    @Grey: the Giants and Cardinals are a testament to that

                    • Grey

                      Grey says:
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                      Yup, agreed…

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Oh and I’d like to bring Creeper back but it’s finding someone…

      • Jack Deth says:
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        @Grey: Whoever you get needs to go through the Sky school of training. I wouldn’t mind showing them but I know one thing for sure, IT WON’T BE ME. Its really a good exercise for newer writers because it’s A) low risk, meaning right or wrong you won’t hurt your readers team and B) It’s a good exercise in mining through the stats and learning how to read them.

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          It’s a bit of a thankless task, which is the problem… You get someone to do it, and they never want to to do it again

          • Jack Deth says:
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            @Grey: I kinda hate that, If they had any sense, it keeps you closer to the possible breakouts and running the numbers only makes you better. You see the value in a 20% owned player vs a 40% owned player. But what do I know

            • Grey

              Grey says:
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              No, you’re right, but it’s not an easy post to write…

              • Jack Deth says:
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                @Grey: Takes a man to pull it off…didn’t you used to write it?

                • Grey

                  Grey says:
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                  Nah, I never wrote it

                • Grey

                  Grey says:
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                  I thought Sky invented it

                  • Jack Deth says:
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                    @Grey: Funny story. When I met Rick Wolf and he was kinda being a dick about what I was writing. I told him, “yeah it takes a real hard hitting analyst to write about Trout vs Harper”

                    • Grey

                      Grey says:
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                      Haha, nice…. For a second, I thought you had a story with the lead singer of the J. Geils Band, then I read the Trout vs. Harper thing, and I was like, oh no, that’s Peter Wolf

                    • Jack Deth says:
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                      That’s the most obscure rock n roll reference you’ve ever made….did Rudy teach you that?

                    • Grey

                      Grey says:
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                      Nah, I actually have a Peter Wolf story from college in Boston, he used to go to the same gym as an ex girlfriend of mine, and would hit on her incessantly…

                    • Jack Deth says:
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                      wow, she must have been hot

                    • Grey

                      Grey says:
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                      She was all right, he was a 50-year-old who hadn’t had a hit in 15 years by that point…

                      Happy Thanksgiving, Jack Deth!

                    • Jack Deth says:
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                      You too GATFML!

                      What are you doing today?

                    • Grey

                      Grey says:
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                      I’m out in Palm Springs with Cougs’ ‘rents… How about you?

                    • Jack Deth says:
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                      Cooking all the sides to take over to my parents later. My back is such a fershlugina this morning!

                      You going to one of those hip Thanksgivings? I wish I would of known you were headed that way, you need to go the ice cream place and the homemade mexican popsicle places right off the 10.

                    • Grey

                      Grey says:
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                      Oh no, that sucks…. Hope it feels better… Same here, making the sides and also dessert…. I’m making pumpkin pie, mashed potatoes, stuffing and creamed pearl onions…. I drove from LA to Vegas for the weekend with her family, so we didn’t go usual way… I would like to hit those places on way home on Sunday…

                    • Jack Deth says:
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                      @Jack Deth: creamed pearl onions? So many joke possibilities with that dish name.

                      Im doing stuffing, stuffin muffins, roasted sweet potatoes, green bean “casserole” and a raspberry sauce for a cheesecake my parents bought.

                    • Grey

                      Grey says:
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                      Haha, creamed pearl onions are Charlie Rose’s favorite side

                      I love me some stuffing, favorite part of the meal… No one here likes stuffing, and asked me not to make it, and I was like, yeah, that’s not happening… This year I’m making it with Italian sausage, and will be the only one eating it…

                    • Jack Deth says:
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                      Ive never tried it with dego sausage. I always use the Jimmy Dean Sage sausage. I get dried cherries and reconstitute them in the wet part of the stuffing. So good.

                    • Grey

                      Grey says:
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                      That does sound delicious… sometimes afterwards, I’ll make stuffing sandwiches… so basically bread between bread… so good…

                    • Jack Deth says:
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                      Im going to take the left over stuffing and make stuffin’ waffles.

                      I keep forgetting ingredients. Last night I had to go to 3 stores to get fresh Thyme because when I went to the store the first time it looked like shit. Now I forgot the white wine….ugh!

                    • Grey

                      Grey says:
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                      That’s a Thanksgiving ritual, forgetting things at the supermarket… Yesterday, we forgot sweet potatoes, butter and brown sugar across three trips…

                    • Jack Deth says:
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                      I make my sweet potatoes with some fresh ground cinnamon and cayanne and tossed in butter at the end. So good.

                    • Grey

                      Grey says:
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                      That sounds wonderful, a little spicy, a little sweet…

                    • Jack Deth says:
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                      no additional sugar though, the potato provides enough

                    • Grey

                      Grey says:
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                      Yeah, I hear that… My mother-in-law just put corn syrup in her sweet potatoes… Hello!

                    • Jack Deth says:
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                      Thats foul. Totally an SMH moment.

                      I just made like a half gallon of gravy

                    • Grey

                      Grey says:
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                      Haha, I know… so wrong… I need to make gravy still…

  7. Jack Deth says:
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    You better get that whisk out. Oh man I have a Thanksgiving rant coming on

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Oh my God, I’m so stuffed, I can’t even breathe

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