Dellin Betances is basically the fat of the fantasy set-up world. The goods are there, it just takes time and some settling before we all realize it is, what was and what always shall be…  I think I just laced this post with some subtle Led Zeppelin reference, but I may be crooked to walk on one leg to let myself know that I did, let alone let you subtly know.  So I will just go ahead and say there was a Zep reference-reference.  Good, moving on.  Success of a bullpen, let alone someone you should be relying on, is correlative of how well the team is performing. It’s science, if you score more you put yourself in a better position to win more, regardless of who is on the bump.  Dellin was and is the goods, currently and in post-script.  He came into the year as the man to target in any format that coveted fantasy goodness, condensed into a smaller innings unit of measure than that of a starter.  Now add in the dash of Holds sassiness, and he is a bullpen god.  He is now the king of the Hold in all leagues by quantity and not by just scripture.  His 16 holds on the year are tops on the this year’s gig and given the Yankees propensity to not score over 4 runs in a game, his reign may be a run away.  He has the good everywhere else; K/9, swagger, ability to tie multiple knots while buoyant at sea.  There are no bullpen stats that he isn’t the man at.  He basically walks into a bar/club and automatically has the best synchronized music to his step….think Matthew McConaughey in Dazed in Confused…and let here comes the story of the Hurricane ramble through your third eye for a bit.  So let’s jump into this fortnights dealing in the bullpen game… alright, alright, alright.

  • In another time, dimension and where Rod Sterling wasn’t a weirdo in tight suits, Tyler Thornburg would be looking like a prime bank candidate for the future of saves market.  K/9 over 12, ERA under 3, xFIP even lower…  He checks all the boxes to make Neil Clark Warren make him acceptable for farmers-only dot com.
  • With Harris promoted to the closer gig, it muddles things in the land of the space program.  Neshek has seen his usage up a tad, while Giles and Gregerson are duking it out for second fiddle acknowledgment.
  • How bad is the Twins bullpen?  The newly promoted Buddy Boshers has 4 Holds in 4 innings of work on the year.  The Twins on the year have 18 total.  Boshers was promotes only May 26th.  Trevor May also hit the DL so the ship has sailed on any Twins reliever, besides a streamer for giggles type thing.
  • With O’day down for the count for a bit, Brad Brach has seen his pressure situation move up a tick as has Mychal Givens, run with them until running with scissors or O’day comes back.
  • For all the un-attention, good relievers get for inherited runners without the results of holds satisfaction take a gander at a few. Ryan Dull, 24 inherited runners zero scored.  Josh Osich 28 inherited, 2 scored, Luke Hochevar 21 inherited one scored.  For those of you not tuned into real baseball and that where tin foil helmets while watching Mr. Robot that is a phenomenal thing, stat-wise what I just dropped on ya.

 

Player Holds/BS App with Lead IR Runners/IR Scored
Dellin Betances 16/1 19 11/2
Will Harris 15/0 17 4/1
Kelvin Herrera 15/2 22 6/2
Neftali Feliz 15/1 20 13/3
Jake Diekman 15/0 22 8/1
Nate Jones 13/2 18 7/1
David Phelps 13/3 23 7/1
Tyler Thornburg 13/2 18 6/0
Addison Reed 13/1 20 11/1
Hector Neris 13/1 18 14/4
Pedro Strop 12/2 23 8/1
Felipe Rivero 12/0 19 18/4
Justin Wilson 12/2 21 11/5
Zach Duke 12/3 21 20/8
Josh Osich 11/2 18 28/2
Zavier Cedeno 11/3 14 12/3
Pedro Baez 11/1 20 11/7
Bryan Shaw 11/1 20 10/2
Kyle Barraclough 11/1 16 7/1
Tony Watson 11/2 17 4/2
  1. highmindedness says:
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    Great stuff as always Smokey. Twins pen indeed stinks. What are the chances J.T. Chargois sticks around and makes a meaningful contribution to the bullpen? He just got the call today and easily becomes the best arm in that pen. Thanks.

    • Mantis Toboggan MD says:
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      @highmindedness: probably pretty high.

      • Mantis Toboggan MD says:
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        @Mantis Toboggan MD: well, no K’s and an awful inning in round 1. he’ll be back hopefully.

    • Smokey

      Smokey says:
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      @highmindedness: shouldnt be that difficult. His minor numbers are pretty freaking elite. 11 saves, 13 plus K rate Only problem is the starters are meh at best so fantasy worthy performances will be sparce

  2. JakeTPE says:
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    Hi Smokey sir,

    Sorry, need some reliever help. Got Giles and Gregerson (but no Harris) and the worst is when it’s a 2-run lead and neither guy gets the call in the 7-9th! That s*ituation has basically sent my whole bullpen south. HOU has like 6-7 guys capable of holds (Neshek, Feliz, Sipp, etc, etc, it’s crazy) and I’m stuck riding this out most likely.

    Other than them, I’ve got Dyson, Rondon, and Doolittle (added for SV upside but occupying my HD streaming spot).

    So kind of need SVs (feel best with 3 closers, 2 set-up guys) and holds. Available options are Siegrist, Strickland, Cingrani — yes, unowned even in our 12-team league where guys carry 5-6 RP. Recent holds-du-jour guys are Bush, Cedeno (TB)…. I’ve got Perkins on my DL.

    OK, this is depressing. Do I ride out the HOU situation or drop one of them? Move off Doolittle (given OAK general poor form) for one of the above guys? Any advice you can offer will be appreciated and considered!

    Thanks,

    Jake

    • Smokey

      Smokey says:
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      @JakeTPE: I would grab Siegrist for Doolittle, gotta hold out the Houston guys for another week until we really see what the usage is in high leverage situations.after that it’s pick one and ride that one instead then look to grab Strickland

      • JakeTPE says:
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        @Smokey: Excellent. That looks like a way to proceed this week. Thanks, Smokey!

  3. Fuzzy Baby Ducks says:
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    Hey what’s up Smokey,

    Which pitcher in MIL would you be holding onto for saves? Will Smith or Tyler Thornburg? You give Tyler some love up above, but Big Willie Style was the leading candidate to close before he got injured.

    • Smokey

      Smokey says:
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      @Fuzzy Baby Ducks: sorry missed it before. Smith is next guy to get save chances. Though Tyler has done nothing wrong

      • Fuzzy Baby Ducks says:
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        @Smokey: Right on, thanks Smokey. Cheers!

  4. Aaron Sorekin says:
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    this is great help (in a holds league). Random Q: Would you trade Dexter Fowler for Nola in an OBPP roto league (we start 5 OF)? My OF are Dexter, Mookie, Myers, Odubel, Duvall, Heyward, Thompson, Gomez, and Crush. My starters are Harvey, Keuchel, Odorizzi and Duffy right now. If I could get him to take Odubel would that be better?

    • Smokey

      Smokey says:
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      @Aaron Sorekin: You have the depth to try and offer Herrera instead so can’t hurt. I would want a pitcher a slight tick above Nola but with your depth you definitely adding from a strength

      • Aaron Sorekin says:
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        @Smokey: thanks brotha. He would do darvish too, but I’m not exactly sure if he’s a better option than Nola at the moment or ROS.

        • Smokey

          Smokey says:
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          @Aaron Sorekin: well Darvish gives you a little more per start, innings limit is worry though

          • Aaron Sorekin says:
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            @Smokey: so complicated! Thanks Smokey!

          • Aaron Sorekin says:
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            @Smokey: If i had to go fowler would you still pull the trigger? I am getting worked in ERA, WHIP, QS cats right now.

            • Smokey

              Smokey says:
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              @Aaron Sorekin: yea you have the depth

    • Mantis Toboggan MD says:
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      @Aaron Sorekin: good work on sports night

  5. Chucky says:
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    I’m so done with the “Rabbi’ coming in and blowing saves, walking batters and just plain ordinary sucking. Any chance Oh gets the opportunity to close?

    • Smokey

      Smokey says:
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      @Chucky: Yea he is a bit frustrating to say the least, Oh pitched yet another shut down inning. I think Siegrist and Oh both get a look soon until Rosey gets his shit together

    • Mantis Toboggan MD says:
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      @Chucky: rabbi, is rosey heb?

  6. Scooter G says:
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    Hey smokey in an h2h redraft league, who is a better add? T Thompson or C Beltran?

    • Smokey

      Smokey says:
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      @Scooter G: Beltran

  7. JP says:
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    Smoke-I have the most boring question yet. 6×6 roto HR, R, RBI, SB, Avg, Obp can you rank the following catchers for me. I realize they are all terrible but it is what I have to choose from. Ianetta, J McCann, Casali, Herman, Montero, Gomes, and Phegley. Thank you.

    • Smokey

      Smokey says:
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      @JP: Gomes, Monterey,Herman McCann, casali

  8. Jim says:
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    Thx Smokey
    McGee just went on DL…who to pick up for saves?

    • Smokey

      Smokey says:
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      @Jim: I would love to say Estevez, but think motte quails Logan get first looks. It’s a committee thing

  9. Boomer19 says:
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    Hi Smokey

    You like Rosenthal or Francisco Rodriguez going forward?
    Thanks.

    • Smokey

      Smokey says:
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      @Boomer19: my faith in Rosey is blah. Krod no threat to his job. Give me security all day

  10. chris says:
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    Hey Smoke
    I’ve been offered a trade:
    I give: Dyson and Wright
    I receive: Cozart and Vmart

    This is my team:
    C-Hundley
    1st-Abreu
    2-walker
    ss-Andrus
    3rd Carpenter
    CI-Encarn
    DH-Lind-Duda-Valbuena-Deshields-Pence-Norris
    OF-Polanco-Joc-Conforto-Kemp Saunders-Pence
    Sp-Carrasco-Matz-Liriano-Rodon-Wright-Ray-Mengdhen-Corbin-eickhoff-Gio-Alex Reyes
    RP-Krod-Dyson-Street
    I’m stubborn I still like my team even though I’m in 8th place in a 14 team league. I don’t like the idea of only having 2 closers because of injuries or lost jobs. Does Wright keep this up? I could counter? I have been lacking big time in steals maybe I should ask for some steals?

    Let me know,
    Thanks

    • Smokey

      Smokey says:
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      @chris: I like the trade don’t love it. 2 Closers is a bad idea and Cozart isn’t really a steals guy. See if you can buy in on Ketel Marte before he starts doing more then he has

  11. brett says:
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    Smokey,

    What are the chances Urias becomes the 8th inning guy for the dodgers when other starters are healthy and he gets closer to his inning limit? Wondering if he could eventually be a good holds guy.

    Thanks

    • I got $100 for groceries, $1400 for liquor, and $6,000 for you to bail a couple of shit puppets out of jail says:
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      @brett: probably pretty good chance later in year.

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