If you lurk in the comments section of any fantasy baseball blog, you’ll see a plethora of “who should I keep” type questions. Keeper leagues – no matter how many players you can protect – are eventually going to require you to choose between players on the fringe of your roster. Who you decide to keep and who you decide to set free is important, especially when your team is competing. You can always trade your fringe guys for draft picks or something like that, but then you’re still choosing between who to put on your block and who to keep for yourself. I used to agonize over these decisions. But after a while I started to see some patterns in the good choices versus the bad ones, and now it’s not such a big deal. I also started taking a lot of downers at that time, but I’m sure the two events are in no way related. If you want to ignore this and do your zag thing, go ahead. I’m just going to try to explain how I personally decide on keepers when there’s a “tie” on my list and only one seat at the table.

  • Upside trumps everything

Upside – the positive or favorable aspect of something. Upside – the potential amount by which a market or stock could rise. Upside – that tingly feeling you get deep in your nether regions when you see a player. Mr. Durst did it all for the nookie. We do it all for the upside. This would be a good time to tell you that I try not to select my keepers based on an assumed need or position scarcity but rather just keep who I feel are my best players.

  • Hitters trump pitchers

There’s some debate over this, but I still plant my flag firmly on the side of hitters. It’s been my experience in just about every format that the gap between the arms on rosters and the arms on waivers isn’t as large as the same gap between rostered hitters and free agent hitters. In other words, I place my premium on hitting because I feel it’s harder to find. Personally I also think it’s more reliable. So in the case of keepers, when I’m looking at two players of basically equal “value” I lean towards the bat.

  • Power trumps speed

Both power and speed help your fantasy team, which is why we covet the guys who can do both. But if I had to choose between a power bat with flaws and a speedster with flaws I’d take the power. Every homer ticks four of the five standard fantasy cats (so that’s good) but more importantly, power seems to peak a little later and last a little longer. The speed guys are a fun ride, but that ride can end abruptly.

  • Youth trumps…not youth?

This should be fairly obvious. If you’re looking at players for their long term value, it makes sense to go younger. The trap some fantasy owners fall into is going too young or completely ignoring veterans, but for the most part when I’m trying to decide between two similar players I take the one entering his prime instead of exiting it.

  • Starters trump relievers

I say this a lot in the minor league previews, but relievers make terrible long term investments. In any format where I have to look beyond the current year, I’m basically viewing relievers as a luxury my team will invest in when its competitive window is wide open. Otherwise, starters seem to hold their value longer. It’s why scouting reports for pitchers say “bullpen risk” instead of “bullpen upside”.

  • MLB* trumps MiLB

I put the little asterisk after MLB because sometimes I look at prospects who are really close to the majors as basically MLB players. A.J. Reed and Corey Seager are examples of these types this year. But otherwise, all else being equal, I’ll go with the player who’s already in the majors over the one who could get jammed in AAA, or heaven forbid AAAA. Prospects are a lot of fun and they’re obviously my bread and butter here on the site, but man it doesn’t change the fact that a majority of them still fail.

  • A+/AA/AAA trumps Rk/A(ss)/A

This one’s pretty straightforward. I don’t trust the lower level performances as much as the upper level ones. Bad defenders and extreme parks can kill pitchers. Straight pitches and those same parks can inflate hitters. Shorter seasons make sample sizes smaller. Higher levels means better competition, more plate appearances/experience, and therefore a more reliable stat line.

  • Tools trump stats

Sometimes players are really young for their level. Sometimes their power or control – tools that can develop late – haven’t kicked in yet. Sometimes they have a nagging injury, or a personal problem, or got traded, or…well you get the idea. The stats provide a snapshot of a player’s year and are valuable. But a scouting report can talk to us about what a player’s tools look like now and what they can become. It’s that “can become” part that we’re the most interested in.

  • Strikeouts trump control

Control is really important, but it’s not the first thing pitching prospects tend to develop. I’d rather take the guy with the better chance for strikeouts, which is usually a fantasy cat, and run the risk he never polishes things up. The alternative is a player who helps my WHIP and stays out of trouble with a very vanilla K/9, and that’s just meh to me in most fantasy leagues.

  • Arsenal trumps velocity

If pitcher A can throw heat but that’s his only pitch and pitcher B throws 3 MPH less but has another plus pitch, I’m going with the more developed arsenal. Diverse arsenals can lead to better starting chances, which in turn leads to more fantasy value. Velo is sexy, but you need more than one pitch to get it going.

There you have it. Just remember UHPYSMATSA…it’s that easy!

 
  1. Speedy McGreedy says:
    (link)

    Only 4 spots left in a new 16 team Fantrax dynasty league. We’ve already got some solid Razzballers in the league and would love for more to join us.

    -16 teams.
    -rotisserie
    -6×6 scoring (AVG, OBP, SLG, R, RBI, NSB, QS, ERA, WHIP, K, NS, HLD)
    -30 MLB roster spots incl. C, 1B, 2B, SS, 3B, CI, MI, 5 OF, 12 P, 6 reserves
    -10 Minor League roster spots
    – Snake draft with 12 hour picks
    – STRICT enforcement of active managers. Good opportunity to get in on a great league on the ground floor.

    If you’re interested, email me at [email protected] and tell me a little bit about yourself and why you want to join this league. Also tell me who your top 2 favorite minor leaguers (1 offensive player and 1 pitcher) are right now and why.

    • Speedy McGreedy says:
      (link)

      @Speedy McGreedy: We’re finally full. Thanks everyone for the overwhelming response. We probably had about 50 people total apply for the 16 spots.

  2. I'mgettingsomeHeadley says:
    (link)

    Thanks, Mike.

    • Mike

      Mike says:
      (link)

      no problem! thanks for reading

  3. Baggiejohn says:
    (link)

    Happy days are here again, with Mike and Grey posting regularly – thanks to you both!

    Mike – I probably need to drop 2 Bats and 1 Pitcher in a Dynasty League, where my batting is much stronger than my Pitching

    2 of Bradley Jr, Burns, Baez, Gyorko, Herrera, LeMahieu and Olivera

    1 of Duffey, Heaney and Odorizzi

    I’m thinking Gyorko and Olivera, but I’m really stuck on the Pitching – any thoughts?

    • Mike

      Mike says:
      (link)

      haha anytime

      I’d agree with the bats…probably Duffy of the arms

      • Baggiejohn says:
        (link)

        @Mike: Thanks, Mike – you’re a gentleman

        • Mike

          Mike says:
          (link)

          anytime…you too!

  4. JoeG414 says:
    (link)

    The Ties that bind / The River Tour got frozen at MSG today :(

    • Mike

      Mike says:
      (link)

      lousy Smarch weather!

  5. Yescheese says:
    (link)

    Nice article Mike.

    How’s this for a AAAA keeper question – Jon singleton, Greg bird, Byong Park.

    • Mike

      Mike says:
      (link)

      thanks! my nether regions rank them Bird, Park, Singleton

      • Yescheese says:
        (link)

        @Mike: ah, Maikel. Ranking razzball prospects by the nether regions since 2014. Thanks!

        • Mike

          Mike says:
          (link)

          anytime

  6. Jbona3 says:
    (link)

    Thanks Mike, helpful as always. A couple questions:
    –Kolten Wong ($13) vs schoop ($5) – who’s the better keep, I’m leaning schoop.
    –Is Khris Davis ($5) worth hanging on to? Leaning yes here as well.

    • Mike

      Mike says:
      (link)

      no problem. I agree Schoop and Davis are yeses

  7. JP says:
    (link)

    Mike-6×6 Roto-r, hr, rbi, sb, obp, AVG/W, IP, S, Holds, ERA and Whip. It is a dynasty with no contracts. It is all AL teams plus NY Mets, Atlanta, Brewers, D-Backs and Cardinals. Here are the guys I am considering I can keep 8. I have no brainers like Trout, Correa, etc..but want you thoughts on all 8.
    T dArnaud, Correa, Machado, Olivera, K Davis, S Souza, Trout, Braun, M Sano, Matt Harvey C Kluber and Danny Salazar.
    We play 2C, 3MI, 3CI, 5 OF, U, and 9 pitchers.
    Thank you for your thoughts.

    • Mike

      Mike says:
      (link)

      Correa, Trout, Sano, Davis, Braun, Harvey, Kluber, Machado

      • JP says:
        (link)

        @Mike: Thanks can you see considering Souza over Davis? Age, speed and less chance Souza gets traded out of my league? I had all the others pegged exactly like you and have been flip flopping on Souza V Davis.

        • Mike

          Mike says:
          (link)

          sure, they’re close

          • JP says:
            (link)

            @Mike: Thanks again Mike

            • Mike

              Mike says:
              (link)

              anytime

  8. Ryan DeLeo says:
    (link)

    Good article. On the subject, who do you keep? 10 team, standard 5×5, keep 6 with $5 inflation per year.

    Inflation included in prices.
    I have 5 easy choices:
    Correa-$5
    Marte-$15
    Arenado-$11
    Arrieta-$10
    Sano-$5

    And need 1 more:
    Maikel Franco-$5
    Dozier-$20
    Stroman-$5

    Thanks for any help!

    • Mike

      Mike says:
      (link)

      thanks! $5 Franco is solid

    • The discarded head of Ted Williams says:
      (link)

      @Ryan DeLeo: asking the philly Phan if you should keep Franco? What did you think he would say?!?

      • Mike

        Mike says:
        (link)

        lol

        • Ryan DeLeo says:
          (link)

          @Mike:

          Didn’t even put 2+2 together with the Schmidt picture… I’m a Mets fan living in Philly but I guess I can swallow ny pride and keep him.

          • Mike

            Mike says:
            (link)

            haha no problem

  9. Joebob says:
    (link)

    Hi Mike–

    Prospect question: I have second and eighth picks in upcoming NL only minors draft. Could you rank these available guys in a vacuum? Is it close for top two? From what I gather these are the top 9 available…
    B Rogers, D Swanson, deLeon, Robles, S Newcomb, Nick Williams, Margot, Arias, y Diaz … Thanks!

    • Mike

      Mike says:
      (link)

      Rodgers, Williams, Margot, Swanson, Robles would be my top 5. Yeah those top three are pretty close actually

      • Joebob says:
        (link)

        @Mike: ok thanks–and DeLeon or Newcomb ?

        • Mike

          Mike says:
          (link)

          hmmm, prolly Newcomb

  10. Rasta says:
    (link)

    Awesome read! Would you keep Lindor or Yelich in a forever keeper league.

    • Mike

      Mike says:
      (link)

      thanks! tough one…I’d go Lindor

  11. Alcibiades Escobar says:
    (link)

    Thanks for the post Mike. Looking forward to reading your stuff again this year.

    Who do you think I should keep in my 10 team, 6×6 (OBP and Holds), H2H league. The first five rounds are the keeper rounds, so if I keep less than 5 I will basically get compensation picks before the start of the actual draft (which is round 6).

    I have three no-doubt keepers:

    Goldy
    Machado
    Mookie Betts

    The rest:
    Corey Dickerson
    Puig
    Xander
    Schwarber
    Gomez
    Buxton
    Jose Fernandez

    I’m tempted to just keep the three and see what is left in the pool, but is there anyone there you think I should lock up? Much appreciated!

    • Mike

      Mike says:
      (link)

      thanks!

      I like Puig and Bogey there

      • Alcibiades Escobar says:
        (link)

        Thanks Mike. Puig is a tough one for me. So frustrating to own. The talent is there, though.

        I assume you are bullish on Maikel Franco this year. I’m looking forward to owning him everywhere.

        • Mike

          Mike says:
          (link)

          de nada…yup, I love Franco

  12. Dan says:
    (link)

    Thanks Mike. Great article. Based on your article, would you go Springer in 4 or Cruz in 5?

    Rest of my keepers are set, unless I ditch McCullers in round 25 or Franco in 24 for both Cruz and Springer.

    1- Kershaw
    2- Abreu
    3- Arrieta
    4/5 – Springer/ Cruz
    7 – C Davis
    25 – Franco
    24 – McCullers

    • Mike

      Mike says:
      (link)

      thanks! I’d go Springer

      • Dan says:
        (link)

        @Mike: thank you sir!

        • Mike

          Mike says:
          (link)

          anytime

  13. Sparty Scott says:
    (link)

    In a keep forever league, I am keeping Trout, Rizzo, K. Bryant, and Arenado for sure. I have to choose 2 of the following guys – Pollock, Arrieta, or Bogaerts. I’m leaning towards the hitters based on your column, but I feel like Bogey’s stats weren’t great even if he was one of the highest rated SSs last year. But pitchers seem more unreliable from year to year. Any thoughts?

    • Mike

      Mike says:
      (link)

      both are solid. I’d lean Bogey if it was my team

  14. Shill Team 6 says:
    (link)

    Hey Mike! Has anyone on your mid season top 50 moved up or down? I’m drafting an NL only. Trying to get out ahead of some sharks.

    • Mike

      Mike says:
      (link)

      Robles up. I’m second guessing how high I was on Rosario so probably down there. Maybe Meadows up.

      • Shill Team 6 says:
        (link)

        @Mike: Thanks!

        • Mike

          Mike says:
          (link)

          no problem

        • Ralph Lifshitz

          Ralph Lifshitz says:
          (link)

          @Shill Team 6: Good to know Shill…..:)

          • Shill Team 6 says:
            (link)

            @Ralph Lifshitz: haha. I’m asking for a friend.

  15. oldmanoldman says:
    (link)

    Won my dynasty auction league last yr. loaded w undervalued hitters: trout, Harper, rizzo, c Seager, c Davis, pollack, etc. got some solid pitching values too: Kluber, Aroldis, stroman, Liriano, k Giles.
    Every year at the auction there is obviously inflation. Last year I nabbed bumgarner $41, price $37, Kimbrel $16. I hit on all these guys and squeezed out the championship on the last day of the season. I am assuming a similar but sliiiiigtly less amount of inflation this year. Do I keep the gang together and keep all these guys and look to repeat or do I toss back bum/price/possibly Kimbrel. And give myself more flexibility come draft day? I’ll have a little Money to spend already due to some contracts coming off the books and my MO has always been to release the bad values, but I already h ave a championship caliber squad and it should be slightly better than last year anyway. $260 budget, 11 teams, 5×5. Thx for your input.

    • Mike

      Mike says:
      (link)

      nice! I’d hold them and try to rinse and repeat

  16. Bo says:
    (link)

    Manny Machado, Nolan Arenado and Jake Arietta are obvious choices for me. I can keep two more out of this group: Lorenzo Cain, Buster Posey and Chris Sale. Based on your guidelines, Cain and Posey probably should be keepers over Sale. At the same time, Sale is a Top 10 pitcher, while Cain and Posey are somewhere between 20 and 40 in the hitters rankings. Would this be a case where I should keep the highest ranked player, also if he is more risky than both hitters?

    • Mike

      Mike says:
      (link)

      I’d still take Sale…I think his T10 SP upside trumps their bats in this case

  17. scott steelers says:
    (link)

    Awesome. Love this article! Picking my keepers in a H2H 12 teams. All basic 5 hitting 5 pitching categories. Basic lineup with 3 OF and 1 Util. Looking for 5 keepers. Think I got em pegged but I wanted to see what you think. Options are. Springer rd 13, Scherzer rd 7, Sano rd 11, Polanco rd 18 (feel like those first 4 are given) Pence rd 9, Salazar rd 10, Smyly rd 10, Baez rd 10. Thanks!!

    • Mike

      Mike says:
      (link)

      thanks! tough one…a healthy Pence could go 20/10/.275. To me it’s between him and Salazar and I’d prolly lean Pence if it was my squad

  18. Herb says:
    (link)

    Great article Mike. I too am trying to select my last 3 keepers for a 12 team keeper forever league. It’s h2h 5×5 with obp. Here are the choices: Daniel Norris, Andrew Heaney, Jimmy Nelson, Aaron Hicks, Jackie Bradley, Domingo Santana, B Burns, and Marcus Semien. Not an easy selection.

    • Mike

      Mike says:
      (link)

      thanks! yeah, tough choices…I think I’d go with Burns, Hicks, and either Norris or Santana. Leaning Santana if he has a job, Norris if he gets boxed out.

  19. Ryan says:
    (link)

    Hi Mike. Great article. Dynasty keeper league. H2H 5×5 with OBP. My 6 keepers are: Bryant, Correa, Freeman, Yelich, Dickerson and Matz.

    I have an offer for Correa (who I wasn’t planning on dealing until this offer)

    Corey Seager and Chris Sale for CarLos Correa.??

    Thanks is advance.

    • Mike

      Mike says:
      (link)

      whoa, big trade. With only 6 kept you want the very best 6 guys…I’d probably hold Correa although that’s really tempting

  20. Adam says:
    (link)

    12 team head to head with ops,

    Keep rizzo for $38 or marte for $25.

    Already keeping Harper $21, and arenado $24

    Thanks,
    Adam

    • Mike

      Mike says:
      (link)

      he’s expensive, but I’d still rather have Rizzo

  21. Al says:
    (link)

    I’m struggling with who to keep as my keepers. I’m definitely trying to maximize potential based on where they are drafted and I did some roster purging so I have 2 first round picks and 3 second rounders. You can keep people for a max of 2 years and then they go back into the draft pool. I get 5 keepers.

    Harper – 1st (can keep 2 years)
    Rizzo – 8th (1 year left)
    Springer – 15th (1 year left)
    Gausman – 19th (2 years left)
    Stroman – 20th (2 years left)
    Giles – 21st (2 years left)
    Rendon – 22nd (1 year left)

    • Mike

      Mike says:
      (link)

      Harper, Rizzo, Springer, Rendon, and Stroman/Gausman (I like both)

      • Al says:
        (link)

        @Mike:

        Is it completely ridiculous for me to want to keep Rizzo, Springer, Stroman, Giles and Rendon and hope that I can draft Harper with one of my 2 first round picks? I feel like the value of keeping Giles in the second to last round is hard to give up.

        • Mike

          Mike says:
          (link)

          I wouldn’t let Harper go

  22. Bruuuuce says:
    (link)

    Mike, thanks for all of this. One general question: How and how much do you weigh health in your decisions?

    For me, for example, I have to choose between a $7 Jung Ho Kang and a $15 CJ Cron (already keeping Lindor and Arenado). Leaning Cron partly because he’ll be starting, partly because he turned it on in the second half, and partly because Kang isn’t guaranteed to be healthy even though he’s projected back by May. But Kang’s positional flexibility, price, and upside are really appealing. What do you think?

    • Mike

      Mike says:
      (link)

      no problem…it’s certainly a factor

      I’d take Kang

    • Joey Jo Jo Jr Shabadoo says:
      (link)

      @Bruuuuce: i’d be very leery (Leery David leery) about cron’s playing time.

  23. SwaggerJackers says:
    (link)

    Mike! My Man!

    Given the nature of this article, I have some tough choices for my keepers. Care to weigh in on the 5 that should make the cut?

    10 Team Roto, $260 auction
    OBP instead of AVG, QS instead of W
    Weekly roster lock
    Keepers increase in price by $3 each year. Please pick 5:

    Rizzo ($26)
    Chris Davis ($24)
    Dee Gordon ($20)
    Abreu ($17)
    Bautista ($16)
    Arrieta ($16)
    Bogaerts ($11)
    Pollock ($9)
    Salazar ($4)

    Any commentary would be appreciated. Thanks!

    • Mike

      Mike says:
      (link)

      Rizzo, Davis, Bogey, Abreu, Pollock would be my five

  24. Keegan says:
    (link)

    just curious what your thoughts are on Lance McCullers? I personally love his upside and I am torn between my last keeper spot with him, schwarber, and corey seager. I know you said bats trump arms but there is just something about that dude.

    • SwaggerJackers says:
      (link)

      @Keegan: I know you didn’t ask me , but I’d say keep Seager and redraft McCullers. Both will continue to get hyped as draft season approaches but Seager will go higher.

      In early NFBC ADP data (money leagues that have already drafted), Seager is going 55 overall and McCullers is going 128.

    • Mike

      Mike says:
      (link)

      he’s a sexy pick…I’d rather have the bats though

  25. J-FOH says:
    (link)

    Thanks for the Sunday morning tickle of my nether regions. *wipes brow *

    As we have discussed before, I don’t mind keeping some arms if they have completed AA or were a high picked college arm with an arsenal. My approach feels like I’m doing a 3 to 1 or 4 to 1 hitter to pitcher keep ratio in the rebuild mode. But for the love of god and good would people stop trying to trade me jhrel cotton. Cotton is no longer king

    • Mike

      Mike says:
      (link)

      ha anytime…it’s the fabric of our lives!

      • J-FOH says:
        (link)

        @Mike: we should start a banzai pool where we pick a habdful of guys who are destined for the land of the rising sun. Like Jon “Sayonara” Singleton.

        • Mike

          Mike says:
          (link)

          haha sounds good

  26. Tigres says:
    (link)

    Mike, how’s Polanco for Lester sounds? For this year and next.

    • Mike

      Mike says:
      (link)

      I like it

  27. Chucky says:
    (link)

    Writing to you while I’m watching playoffs football, I’m sure that’s against the law somewhere. 14 team 5 keeper 3 year max. 6×6 Obp and holds, h2h. Down to my final slot…Marte who would be my DH or Schwarber with C-OF eligible

    • Mike

      Mike says:
      (link)

      haha I’d take Marte

  28. Our league is 12 team H2H 8×8 (R, 2B, 3B, HR, RBI, SB, AVG, OPS; W, QS, K, SV, HLD, ERA, WHIP, K/BB).

    I’m definitely keeping Harper and Stanton in the first two rounds, just trying to think about what to do with my next two keepers. I totally agree with all you’ve said above, but my league is a little different setup. Long story but basically I’m only planning on keeping these guys for this year. If I were to keep longer they would move into first 2 rounds where I already have Harper and Stanton (barring injury, no way).

    What 2 of these guys would you keep going into only next year?
    Bogaerts 13th
    Polanco 15th
    Wade Davis 15th
    Giles 16th
    Eaton 21st
    Iglesias 22nd

    I think Bogaerts and Iglesias are my best bets, but I’m also not really sold yet. I know Iglesias is getting a ton of hype so I think I can trade him at that price for a pretty significant bat. I also think those relievers could offer a great return on their price but not living the idea of keeping a RP

    • Mike

      Mike says:
      (link)

      Bogey and Polanco and trade Iggy for something nice like you mentioned

  29. Spindr says:
    (link)

    Since joining dynasty leagues….I am addicted to your posts. Appreciate the time, effort and insight you provide. It is appreciated.

    Joined a 20 team dynasty league. Replacement owner. Just completed a 3 team orphan draft. Had the first pick. Got Mike Trout….score one for the good guys.

    Sharks are swimming. Have two offers for Trout. Keep forever league.

    First offer: Yoan Moncada, Maikel Franco, Lewis Brinson and JT Realmuto (owner will probably give 1-2 lesser prospects). Also, this is a 2 catcher league.

    Second offer: Mookie Betts, Noah Syndergaard and AJ Reed.

    Both are at least what I would consider offers that make you pause and not reject right away.

    I like the second offer….a lot really.

    Looking for some feedback.

    Thanks.

    • mindi cohn says:
      (link)

      @Spindr:
      Damn…getting trout in a replacement…betts/syndergaard/reed seems like the one id pull. ..

    • Mike

      Mike says:
      (link)

      thanks for the kind words Spindr! glad they help out

      hmmm, I’d hold Trout on both. They aren’t bad offers though.

  30. FantasyHelp says:
    (link)

    Was offered Conforto, Wheeler, and Shields or Conforto, Wheeler and Orlando Arcia for Cole. Part of me loves Conforto and thinks he is a .290/.400/.475 guy with 25 HR’s in his prime. Wheeler is a question mark though and Arcia I don’t need because I have Tim Anderson and Story as up and comers.

    You wouldn’t accept this for Cole would you? Is it even close?

    • Mike

      Mike says:
      (link)

      it’s tempting, but I could see holding yeah. I like the second one but if you don’t need Arcia it doesn’t really help you

  31. james says:
    (link)

    Getting late in a prospect draft (13 rounds deep), so far have plenty of OF, plenty of SS, and 2 SP (De Leon, Reynaldo Lopez)..

    I have 3 picks left and the best available look llike :
    Zach Davies
    Josh Hader
    Bobby Bradley
    Josh Naylor
    Demi Orimoloye
    Roman Quinn
    Derek Fisher
    Jorge Alfaro

    how would you rank these guys?

    • Mike

      Mike says:
      (link)

      Fisher, Bradley, Alfaro, and Quinn look solid

  32. Softtossaces says:
    (link)

    Hey mike great article as usual. In a dynasty league h2h keep 25 who would you keep reynaldo lopez or josh hader and neil walker or dilson herrera. Havent heard much about dilson this offseason. I was thinking hader and walker

    • Mike

      Mike says:
      (link)

      thanks! I think I’d go Lopez but the other two it’s more about your window.

  33. JJ says:
    (link)

    Hey Mike

    Which 10 would you keep out of this group?
    12 team H2H 5X5 keeper league(keep 10)

    E.Hosmer, B.Dozier, T.Frazier, M.Sano, H.Ramirez, M.Kemp, AJ Pollock, K.Calhoun, C.Seager, B.Buxton
    M.Bumgarner, J.Fernandez, C.Hamels, C.Kluber, G.Cole, D.Salazar, M.Stroman, Y.Darvish, A.Chapman, J.Familia

    Pretty loaded with talent here. Going to be tough to cut it to 10. Any players in particular you would try to deal?

    Thanks

    • Mike

      Mike says:
      (link)

      Frazier, Sano, Pollock, Seager, Buxton, JFer, Cole, Dozier, Kluber, and either Hosmer or Calhoun looks solid. I’d trade the relievers and the other arms

      • JJ says:
        (link)

        @Mike:
        How do you like a deal of Bumgarner and Frazier for Arenado? should I jump at that?

        • Mike

          Mike says:
          (link)

          I like that, yeah. It’s fair

          • JJ says:
            (link)

            @Mike:
            So you would prefer to deal Bum over Kluber, JFer or G.cole?

            He said he would take any of those 4

            • Mike

              Mike says:
              (link)

              him or Kluber, yeah

  34. Jeff P says:
    (link)

    In a 12 teamer (QS, OBP) I’m keeping Blackmon, Frazier, Ross (Tyson) and Buxton.
    I can keep 4 more of the following (costs are roughly equivalent, 12-14 rounds):
    Franco, Iglesias, Liriano, Matz, Kyle Hendricks, Inciarte, Andrew Miller
    or Urias in the 26th (which let me keep him much longer than the guys above due to round
    penalty every year).
    I’m leaning Franco, Iglesias, Matz, Urias, but Inciarte now has an everyday job, and Liriano is generally higher ranked than either of my other pitchers.
    What say you?

    • Mike

      Mike says:
      (link)

      I agree with your four

  35. Dude says:
    (link)

    Love the article! Keep 30 total (no contracts) and these are current personal rankings of fringe keepers. Any suggestions?

    21-25
    S Souza
    R Zimmerman
    K Gausman
    A Miller
    B Burns

    26-30
    R Devers
    V Robles
    A Espinosa
    S Piscotty
    J Peralta

    Projected cuts
    M Teixeira
    S Kazmir
    T Story
    R Osuna
    R McMahon
    F Martes

    • Mike

      Mike says:
      (link)

      thanks! I feel like Story or Osuna might be interesting to find a way to keep

  36. Jay says:
    (link)

    Mike. Whatta you do with rendon this year? I have Stanton Lorenzo Cain Harvey rendon Soler braun Franco. I can keep 5 but the fifth goes into an unprotected slot that expansion teams can grab. Thoughts

    • Mike

      Mike says:
      (link)

      I still like him…in your case I’d prolly go Stanton, Cain, Harvey, Soler, Franco though

  37. scott steelers says:
    (link)

    I wrote earlier. Just looked at my team and realized I have J Abreu as 3rd rd too if I want. So my first 4 were springer, polanco, scherzer, sano then my final was pence 9 or salazar 10. You picked pence. Would you take abreu at 3rd rd over pence 9th? Thanks!

    • Mike

      Mike says:
      (link)

      yeah I like Abreu more there

  38. M says:
    (link)

    Excellent read!

    • Mike

      Mike says:
      (link)

      thanks M!

  39. Herb says:
    (link)

    Thanks Mike! Who would you rather keep if you HAD to? B Crawford or M Semien in an obp league

    • Mike

      Mike says:
      (link)

      def Crawford

  40. Wild Thing says:
    (link)

    Thanks for the article!

    Which side do you prefer?

    AJ Reed $1 this year and then $21 for 4 years and Velasquez $1 this year or Buxton $21 for 3 years and Josh Bell $1 this year (and could be signed after for $5 annually per year of contract?

    • Mike

      Mike says:
      (link)

      hmmm, prolly Buxton/Bell combo

  41. Wild Thing says:
    (link)

    Thanks for the article!

    Which side do you prefer?

    AJ Reed $1 this year and then $21 for 4 years and Velasquez $1 this year or Buxton $21 for 3 years and Josh Bell $1 this year (and could be signed after for $5 annually per year of contract?

  42. Connor says:
    (link)

    Enjoying the articles, Mike. You’re almost there with the prospect lists.

    I’m trying to rid myself of Giles because I think RP’s are overvalued in my league. Can you suggest some bats that I could ask around for in place of him. 30-team league. I have needs at OF, 3B, and C (but I guess everyone has that).

    • Mike

      Mike says:
      (link)

      thanks!

      You could probably shoot for a top 50 bat with Giles and settle for a top 75

  43. Mike B says:
    (link)

    Mike, love the subject of this writing..in a 10 team league where we can keep each player for up to 7 years. We submit 11 keepers mid-February from which we can trade players/picks before settling on up to 10 keepers by draft. Here is my 11 and their attached round, with question to follow:

    Abreu 5
    Kluber 11
    Machado 11
    Harvey 15
    Puig 18
    Yelich 18
    Springer 18
    K. Seager 20
    JoFer 21
    Buxton 22
    Marte 26

    I plan on shopping Yelich for a pick before draft. I trust in Buxton’s ceiling and tools despite yelich’s seemingly better value for the upcoming season. Thoughts?

    • Mike

      Mike says:
      (link)

      thanks! I think shopping Yelich makes sense with Buxton in the wings

  44. EmJay says:
    (link)

    Great article! One question for a H2H points league. Able to keep players for 2 years and they get put back in the pool . Here is what I have it narrowed down to.

    Bryant- 6th (2 years)
    Abreu- 7th (1 year)
    Correa- 13th(2 years)

    OR

    Springer-4th (2 years)
    Bryant – 6th (2 years)
    Correa- 13th (2 years)

    • EmJay says:
      (link)

      @EmJay:

      Also forgot Carlos Martinez in the 12th round he would be available for 2 years.
      Correa is a lock. Would you consider C Mart with any of the bats from above? Thanks

    • Mike

      Mike says:
      (link)

      thanks! both are great…I guess I like the first one a tad more

  45. Streaming Leake says:
    (link)

    OBP league, keep two forever, two round bump per year.
    Would you keep Miggy in 2 or Mookie in 3? I Have Trout in 1. Thanks.

    • Mike

      Mike says:
      (link)

      man that’s tough…probably Mookie but I’m really torn

  46. Matt says:
    (link)

    Man I was sure to keep Carrasco and Noah over Rendon in 7×7 obp, slg, QS, Q, K/9 league but now am not so sure. You cool with keeping these SPs over Rendon? 11 teams, 5 keeps per team so shallow. Thanks for the advice in this article

    • Mike

      Mike says:
      (link)

      no problem, yeah that makes sense…I still love Rendon though

  47. Wheezy says:
    (link)

    Mike-

    Can keep four guys, all go a round earlier than they were drafted last year. If they were picked up off of waivers they go in the 13th round. Here are the choices (round they will be picked). Can keep each player for 3 years.

    (1) Altuve (2) Arrenado (5) Cespedes (7) C. Davis (12) Correa (13) Schwarber

    Leaning towards (1) Altuve (2) Arrenado (12) Correa (13) Schwarber

    Thoughts?

    • Mike

      Mike says:
      (link)

      I like your choices

  48. Heatcheck3 says:
    (link)

    Hello! I am in a keeper league where I can keep a max of 6 players for 3 years based on where they were drafted. I have a 5 players locked in (Bryant, Springer, Salazar, Archer, Abreu), but I need to choose my last one. They were all picked at the end of the draft or a waiver add, so they are essentially the same draft position. Who would you keep out of: Luis Severino, Andrew Heaney, Carlos Rodon, or Ken Giles?

    Thanks!

    • Mike

      Mike says:
      (link)

      hmmmm, probably Rondon with Sev right behind him

  49. RePete says:
    (link)

    I’m in a 12-team Yahoo Standard H2H League with OBP instead of AVG and we keep 4 this year (goes up 1 every year going forward). I’m planning on keeping Stanton, Betts, Sano, and one of the following:

    Xander Bogaerts
    Kyle Schwarber
    Corey Seager
    Jason Heyward

    How would you ranks these 4? I’m tempted to go with Schwarber since I have 4th pick in the draft and I could just pick Bogaerts or Seager which will most likely be there. Thanks!

    • Mike

      Mike says:
      (link)

      I’d take Heyward and then draft Seager or Bogey if you think you can land them

  50. Clint says:
    (link)

    I think I’m struggling in my roto keeper league with bats vs arms’ choices because my bats after a point (Col’s CarGo could get traded, Adam Jones, Buxton, & Puig) are marginal and I have a VERY deep stud pitcher pool competing with those spots (Strasburg AND Kluber). Only rock solid choices I have so far for 5 of my 8 guys are Rizzo, Machado, Harper, Arrieta, & Scherzer so where do my remaining 3 come from?

    • Mike

      Mike says:
      (link)

      am I picking from the guys in parentheses? Puig, Buxton, and one of your two arms looks solid

      • Clint says:
        (link)

        @Mike:
        Sorry, yes. Assuming Rizzo/Machado/Harper/Arrieta/Scherzer are 5 of my 8, I’d have CarGo, Jones, Buxton, Puig, Strasburg, and/or Kluber to choose a remaining 3 out of. I was leaning toward Puig/Buxton & another arm as you suggested but was wondering if that was too pitcher-heavy.

        • Mike

          Mike says:
          (link)

          nah, I think those two arms are worth a keeper slot, I just would go two bats and just one of the arms

  51. Branta says:
    (link)

    Aw, man. I wish I would’ve seen this post on Sunday. Hopefully you’re still checking these comments, Mike. I got Gray’s opinion but I am still struggling with my keepers:

    I play in a 12 team Yahoo! H2H keeper league with OBP/SLG/HR/SB/RBI/R and NSVH/ERA/WHIP/HR allwoed/K/QS as categories

    This is my team with their keeper costs. I have starred the dudes I’m already pretty much going to keep. We get 9 total, so I need 4 more.

    Prev. Keepers still on my team
    *Joc Pederson – 16th
    *Matt Harvey – 15th
    *Nolan Arenado – 8th
    Prince Fielder – 6th

    Draft picks still on my team
    Albert Pujols – 1st
    Jake Arrieta – 2nd
    Carlos Carrasco – 3rd
    Dee Gordon – 5th
    Trevor Rosenthal – 11th
    Zach Britton – 13th

    Waiver Pickups (these dudes cost their 2016 ADP)
    Yasmani Grandal
    Gary Sanchez
    Greg Bird
    Luis Severino
    Khris Davis
    Tyler Glasnow
    Jackie Bradley Jr.
    Matt Duffy
    Zack Cozart
    Mark Canha

    Trade pickups
    *Kris Bryant (13th)
    *Francisco Lindor (19th)
    Steven Souza (ADP)
    Scott Kazmir (ADP)

    Teams are 10 starters on offense (8 single positions and 2 UTIL), 5 SP, 3 RP, and the rest bench for a total of 24 players.

    • Mike

      Mike says:
      (link)

      yup, still here! busy day :)

      four more…Gordon, Davis, Carrasco, and Arrieta would be my picks. Bird and Fielder are kinda tempting.

  52. The Situation says:
    (link)

    @Mike: Would you deal Encarnacion for JD Martinez in a 12-team, 6×6 (w/BBs + Holds), keeper, keep forever league? Who possesses the greater keeper value going forward? Martinez is 4 years younger than Encarnacion, which is a huge part of the consideration, but Encarnacion doesn’t exactly look like he’s going away anytime soon… Thanks in advance for your opinion.

    • Mike

      Mike says:
      (link)

      you know what? I think I would…I like that

  53. Iron Sheik says:
    (link)

    Mike-
    What do you know about National’s prospect Pedro Avila? He only made one start state side last year. How hard can this kid throw and what’s his ceiling? I’m looking at targeting him in our rookie draft. Thanks

    • Mike

      Mike says:
      (link)

      I don’t know much unfortunately… and I am still searching for a reliable source for velos myself

  54. Left Hangs Lower says:
    (link)

    Hey Mike,

    Baseball Prospectus top 101 2016 prospects list came out, and there are six guys that weren’t drafted in my 16-team, 12-man roster league (192 MiLB players).

    Harold Ramirez, OF (PIT)
    Brandon Drury 2B (ARI)
    Jorge Lopez, SP (MIL)
    Conner Greene, SP (TOR)
    Ahmed Rosario, SS (NYM)
    Daniel Robertson, SS (TB)

    The top three are the most appealing fantasy wise, I think. My three most expendable prospects (none of which made their top 101) are Roman Quinn, Braxton Davidson and Trey Mancini.

    Davidson strikes me as the first guy I’d cut, but I do play in an OBP league and he’s shown immense plate discipline. Quinn is just SAGNOF, but like Grey said today, speed is becoming scarce. I also own Mateo, though. And Mancini looks like mid-teens HR guy that at best is a CI.

    Long intro aside, do any of my three warrant being dropped for any of those guys listed above? I’m leaning Jorge Lopez because I only have 2 SP prospects and I keep seeing his name come up. Drury isn’t exciting, but he’s poised to contribute this season. And I don’t know much about Harold Ramirez past the few blurbs I’ve read.

    • Mike

      Mike says:
      (link)

      cool, I’ll have to check that out! hmmm, I might be tempted to swap Davidson for Drury or Rosario. I like both quite a bit

  55. JakBillie says:
    (link)

    I have Baez in my keeper league….What the hell do I do with him???!!!
    If I recall, you’ve been pretty high on him – as am I, so its hard to cut ties. But he is in limbo.
    I like how he was able to change his approach, and cut back on some Ks and gain a bit of avg…do you think he can put it all together, with the power and speed, anytime soon? Will he even get the chance??

    Thanks Mike

    • Mike

      Mike says:
      (link)

      I hear that…I still like the player but I hate the situation. Unless you have a large number of keepers or keep forever, I could see cutting ties.

  56. Billy beeen says:
    (link)

    Mike – our league has $300 budget and is a league that uses OBA and two AH’s. listed below is my keeper preference list. Would you change any in my order? Too many pitchers? We can only keep 8…
    Harper $29
    Goldy $38
    Jose Fernandez $10
    Wainwright $7
    Harvey $11
    Altuve $29
    Sano $18
    Lindor $9
    D. Peralta $5
    Stroman $7
    Odor $11
    Wong $10
    Dom. Santana $10

    • Mike

      Mike says:
      (link)

      looks solid…I’m inclined to move Odor up though

      • Billy beeen says:
        (link)

        @Mike: would you move Odor into 8th spot and not keep high priced Altuve or a cheap Lindor? Also since it is a forever league, how high would you consider Javier Baez (only three middle infielders)?

        • Mike

          Mike says:
          (link)

          forget Baez if you only keep 8

    • Billy beeen says:
      (link)

      @Billy beeen: Oh yeah, Baez $7 too.

      • Mike

        Mike says:
        (link)

        I think I’d rather have Odor than Wainwright

  57. Danny Baseball says:
    (link)

    Long time, first time…. love the site!

    So, quick keeper question. My pitchers are set, but need to decide on 4 hitters:

    6×6 Roto League (OPS instead of Average)

    I keep 4

    Rizzo
    C. Davis
    C. Seager
    Bautista
    Blackmon
    JD martinez

    Thoughts? and Thanks in advance!

    • Mike

      Mike says:
      (link)

      hmmm…Seager, Davis, Blackmon, and JDMart

Comments are closed.