This is a post for the fantasy baseball drafters who use Excel, Google Docs, or some other war room software that automatically totals a drafted team’s stats while in the middle of a draft.  Or perhaps for those of you who do mock drafts or simulated drafts.

The below grid represents my projected 75% mark in each stat category across AL-only and NL-only 10 and 12 team leagues. These are based on the standard 2 Catcher/1B/2B/SS/3B/CI/MI/5 OF/UTIL/9 P roster format.

These numbers should only be used directionally.  Please note that each projection source projects to a different league average so your team may look great if using a ‘bullish’ source and look poor if using a ‘bearish’ source.

Personally, I ignore team totals throughout a draft and just add up the dollar values per category. Same difference I suppose but find it easier.

League Point Total (75th percentile) R HR RBI SB AVG W SV ERA WHIP K
AL10 7.5 884 223 868 134 0.263 83 63 3.58 1.22 1,173
NL10 7.5 812 208 810 139 0.265 81 63 3.36 1.18 1,229
AL12 9 813 203 798 125 0.263 77 56 3.58 1.22 1,099
NL12 9 723 185 723 124 0.263 76 56 3.38 1.18 1,158
  1. marti says:
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    any adjustment in a 10 team nl league with 1 catcher and 2 utility

    • @marti: probably a minor one. hard to say for sure but i think SB would be the most impacted.

  2. Jim says:
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    Is the 75% percentile threshold the same thing as the “Goal” in the War Room? Or is “Goal” the equivalent of 100% percentile?

    • @Jim: yes. i believe that is set at 75%.

  3. jay says:
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    After drafting Kershaw, who would you keep as a starting pitcher…Zimmerman or Lester? QS instead of wins. Is one a better match for a staff led by Kershaw?

    • @jay: i like zimmermann better. keep him.

  4. mvsean says:
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    Interesting, I base my targets on historical records and trends of my league. Using the past 9 years of AL only keeper league. 2 categories almost exactly the same Avg/ERA. 6 within a the margin of error. And 2 off by a bunch not sure why, RBI/K.

    • @mvsean: Interesting. I’d have thought if Runs and HR were good then so would RBI. What were the differences on RBI and K?

  5. Brian Chrzanowski says:
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    I play in a money league, 12 teams head to head. Our rule is you can keep 2 players 3 draft spots ahead of where they were drafted last year or round 17 if free agent. I am already planning on keeping garret richards at round 17 and was going to stroman at 16, but hes done apparently. So here are my remaining choices and would love some thoughts.
    chris carter at round 11
    yordano ventura at 15
    joc pederson at 16
    thanks!

    • @Brian Chrzanowski: i’d go Chris Carter. Pederson won’t have much value this year hitting 7th/8th. I don’t love Ventura but that is solid value if you do.

  6. Fastpitch says:
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    I will be participating in my first auction draft this year. Can a person print the dollar values page.

    • @Fastpitch: I assume so. Never tried. Might be best to cut/paste into Excel so you can format it as you wish.

  7. Luvdarooks says:
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    3 keeper mixed 5×5 $260 league. Can keep for 3 years max with a 3 dollar raise yearly.

    I’m keeping Puig at 10
    Who are my other two considering salary
    ALL ARE ELIGIBLE TO BE KEPT IN ’16 +$3

    Abreu. 22
    D’Arnaud 6
    D Santana. 5
    Eaton. 9
    Duffy. 5
    Arrieta 5
    Zimmerman. 21 (pitcher)
    S Casilla. 5

  8. Luvdarooks says:
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    NL only. VERY DEEP because after 23 starters we have 15 reserves. 11 teams & 10 KEEPERs/year.( $260). SO OBVIOUS HIGH INFLATION. (McCutch went for 41 & Kershaw was 38 in’14)
    .
    Minor players stay the salary till activated while all others get a $5 yearly raise until the owner feels they are no longer worth keeping.

    I ASK :
    WHICH TWO TO CUT-but may I preface it by noting I hate to release J Gray (trade chip later or hurt my future) at 5
    KEEPERS
    Bryant 5
    J Harrison 7
    Soler 10
    Pederson 5
    Goldschmidt 10
    Storen 10
    TWO GOTTA GO :( WHO?
    Polanco 20
    Giles 7
    Benoit 12
    Cashner 14
    Hanson Pitt 5
    Gray 5

    • @Luvdarooks: Benoit and Cashner are no bargains at that price. Paying full for Giles and Polanco as well.

  9. Maestro says:
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    Rudy –
    Off topic but I respect your opinion and wanted your take. My league’s scoring system for AL & NL only H2H Weekly Points leagues rewards individual hitters & pitchers up to 24 points a week (hitters would have to hit 600 while pitchers need an ERA of 0-499). What is the best way to account for this category when projecting preseason total fantasy points and player rankings?

    Thank you.

    • Maestro says:
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      @Maestro: I forgot to mention… The 24 of course is the maximum # of points rewarded and goes down from there. If the batter hits 301 for the week, I get 13 BA points; if the pitcher’s ERA is 2.50 I get 14 points. Points for all scoring categories (RBI, R, SB, TB, etc.) is added together to get a total points for the player for the week. Also, there are 24 weeks/scoring periods in my league – if that helps. Thanks again.

    • Hmm, hard to say how likely either hitters/pitchers are to hit that total. I can’t see how I’d change player values because of it.

      • Maestro says:
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        @Rudy Gamble: I probably wasn’t clear. Let me give an example using my league’s scoring system and this year’s Razzball/Steamer projections. Next to the BA (end of year projection) is the # of pts. the player would earn in a scoring period. I then multiplied that # by the # of weeks/scoring periods (26) to get a year end total of FPTS.

        V. Martinez = 465 BA-308 = 13 pts x 26 (338) = FPTS: 803
        M. Trumbo = 434 BA-243 = 10 pts x 26 (260) = FPTS: 694
        C. Carter = 430 BA-222 = 9 pts x 26 (234) = FPTS: 664

        As you can see BA has a significant impact on points projections – at least based on the way I’m calculating it over a season – but do you think this is an accurate/reliable method of projecting total points a player will earn to help determine rankings? I realize some weeks will be higher, and net me more BA pts, while other weeks will be less but…. I also realize that ranking players strictly by the total fantasy points a player will earn isn’t the way to go but it’s a great starting point and I can move players around, as appropriate.

        Let me know your thoughts and again, thank you for your time!!

        • Maestro says:
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          @Maestro: The 465 for V-Mart, 434-Trumbo and 430-Carter is the FPTs in a season (based on my league’s scoring system) w/out BA points.
          Thanks again.

        • not sure i get it – but point league rankings more or less start with FPTS descending. i make exceptions for players whose points are depressed because they are projected to miss stretches of games (Bryant in beginning of year, injury guys like Tulo). In those cases, it helps to add some replacement-level points. For roto drafts, I’ve been eying the $/G metric in the player raters to identify things like “Kris Bryant is a $15 player baesd on total stats but at $25/Game. So if he plays 130 games and I get $1 production for 20+ games, I’m looking at a $20+ player.

  10. lookie-loo says:
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    Been trying to find your post where you go over general draft strat for like 25 minutes. The one that was done years ago.

    something like…

    punt these positions, you should have drafted this many pitchers by now if not draft one, take a closer around here.

    can you link me it or give me the title? thanks

  11. Chris says:
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    Hey Rudy, I understand that you are high on Harvey this year. I was wondering what round do you think I should consider drafting him in a 12 team yahoo standard 5×5 Head 2 Head. I would be drafting him as my 1st starter since I like to draft bats early in H2H. I’m thinking I could get him in round 6 hopefully. Is round 5 too early? Also, in this type of league, am I better off taking a zimmerman or hamels as my first pitcher or can I settle for an Arrietta, Samardija, Carrasco, or Cole
    as my #1? Thanks in advance!

    • @Chris: i think 5th/6th round is his going rate right now. I think H2H requires SP depth and aces are devalued. I think waiting is a good strategy unless a zimmermann falls into the 5th/6th round. eh on hamels – just b/c w/ the Phillies he can’t get wins and there’s a 50% chance that, if traded, he goes to the AL.

  12. Chris says:
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    Thanks Rudy!

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