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Philadelphia Phillies 2010 Minor League Review
Overall Farm Rankings via Baseball America (2010)
2010 (5) | 2009 (12) | 2008 (22) | 2007 (21) | 2006 (22) | 2005 (20) | 2004 (21)

Record of Major and Minor League Teams
MLB: [97 – 65] NL East
AAA: [58 – 86] International League – Lehigh Valley
AA: [69 – 72] Eastern League – Reading
A+: [67 – 72] Florida League – Clearwater
A: [84 – 55] South Atlantic – Lakewood
A(ss): [43 – 33] New York Pennsylvania League – Williamsport
R: [32 – 24] Gulf League

The Run Down
The Phillies 2010 farm system ranking is prior to acquiring Cliff Lee. Their adjusted ranking would be 18 and this year are ranked eleventh. Assume the higher ranking is based upon Domonic Brown’s hype and Jonathan Singleton’s ceiling, not to forget the talented Brody Colvin, Trevor May and Jarred Cosart. Beyond these top names – which are their top five prospects – their system lacks quality depth. They could easily fall hard like the Marlins did in their 2011 ranking (7th to 29th after they graduated Logan Morrison, Gaby Sanchez and Mike Stanton). The broken hamate bone of Domonic Brown definitely puts a damper on his immediate impact; most people know by now that the hamate bone usually takes a full year to fully recover and recoup their power. Singleton is still a couple years from sniffing the majors and with a loaded rotation, most of their young pitchers should be able to develop without being rushed.

Graduating Prospects
(OF) John Mayberry Jr.; (RHP) David Herndon

Arizona Fall League Players Mesa Solar Sox
Pitchers – (RHP) Tyson Brummett; #29 (RHP) Justin De Fratus; (RHP) Chris Kissock; #24 (RHP) B.J. Rosenberg; (RHP) Josh Zeid
Hitters – (C) Tim Kennelly; (1B) Matt Rizzotti

Players of Interest for 2010
Hitters
#1 Domonic Brown | RF | D.o.B: 9-3-87 | Stats (AA/AAA): .327/.391/.589 | 343 AB | 46 XBH | 20 Hr | .262 ISO | 17/7 SB/CS | 74:37 K:BB | .345 BABIP (AA); .395 BABIP (AAA)
At this point, everyone should know what to expect with Brown. Just keep expectations in check when he does return as a broken hamate bone usually takes a full year to recoup the lost power. See Grey’s 2011 Fantasy Outlook for more information on Domonic Brown’s fantasy value. A dated, but still informative Scouting the Unknown article provides more details on his minor league career. Current BA ranking is number one.

#8 (SEA) Tyson Gillies | CF | D.o.B: 10-31-88 | Stats (AA): .238/.286/.333 | 105 AB | 5 XBH | 2 Hr | .095 ISO | 2/2 SB/CS | 24:5 K:BB | .291 BABIP
Struggled with a hamstring issue all season that limited him to only 105 at-bats. He was also arrested with possession of cocaine but charges were later dropped. Gillies has a slap-hitting approach, plays good defense and struggles to use his plus-plus speed efficiently on the base paths. If several injuries are sustained at the major league level, Gillies is the closest minor league outfielder – after Brown – to being ready for the majors. Could be Michale Bourn II. Current BA ranking is number 16.

Harold Garcia | 2B | D.o.B: 10-25-86 | Stats (A+/AA): .305/.365/.441 | 410 AB | 35 XBH | 5 Hr | .136 ISO | 29/11 SB/CS | 94:27 K:BB | .399 BABIP (A+); .353 BABIP (AA)
Has gap-power, solid defense and can play everywhere on the field besides catcher, center field and pitcher. Profiles as a utility player. With Utley injured with an unknown time table, Garcia could be an intriguing play if he’s called up. Reminds me of Chris Coghlan with a bit more speed. Current BA ranking is number 22.

Pitchers
#18 Vance Worley | RHP | D.o.B: 9-25-87 | Stats (AA/AAA): 6.8 K/9 | 2.6 BB/9 | 158 IP | 3.36 ERA | 3.80 FIP (AA); 3.20 FIP (AAA) | 1.30 WHIP | .7 Hr/9 | 9.1 H/9 | .303 BABIP (AA); .313 BABIP (AAA)
Fastball sits between 88 and 92 MPH that can touch 94 MPH. He also throws a slider, a curveball and a changeup at different parts on the average spectrum. I stated in the 2009 Minor League Review that, “I don’t really like Worley.” Still don’t. In limited time in the majors in 2010, Worley had a 12 strikeouts in 11 innings pitched. He’s not a high-strikeout pitcher and his ceiling is an back-end of the rotation pitcher. In Philly that just isn’t gonna cut it this year or the next. Could be a bullpen filler come middle of the season. Current BA ranking is number 11.

#18 (SEA) J.C. Ramirez | RHP | D.o.B: 8-16-88 | Stats (A+/AA): 7.3 K/9 | 2.6 BB/9 | 142 IP | 4.82 ERA | 3.06 FIP (A+); 4.50 FIP (AA) | 1.36 WHIP | .8 Hr/9 | 9.6 H/9 | .319 BABIP (A+); .321 BABIP (AA)
Throws a consistent 92 to 94 MPH fastball but can top out at 98 MPH. Slider isn’t very tight and his changeup needs a lot of refinement. Projects best as a power reliever but could be a solid number three starter if pitches can become more consistent. Current BA ranking is number 17.

#4 (SEA) Phillippe Aumont | RHP | D.o.B: 1-7-88 | Stats (A+/AA): 8.5 K/9 | 5.9 BB/9 | 122 IP | 5.68 ERA | 4.14 FIP (A+); 5.37 FIP (AA) | 1.71 WHIP | .7 Hr/9 | 9.5 H/9 | .351 BABIP (A+); .331 BABIP (AA)
No longer a starter, Aumont’s 91 to 97 MPH fastball and sharp curveball projects better as a closer.  See Phillipe Aumont’s Scouting the Unknown article for further details. Current BA ranking is number 14.

Austin Hyatt | RHP | D.o.B: 5-23-86 | Stats (A+/AA): 11.1 K/9 | 2.7 BB/9 | 146 1/3 IP | 3.32 ERA | 2.13 IP (A+); 4.65 FIP (AA) | 1.13 WHIP | .6 Hr/9 | 7.4 H/9 | .317 BABIP (A+); .293 BABIP (AA)
With a 88 to 92 MPH fastball and a changeup that breaks/fades like a screwball, Hyatt needs to always be on his A-game to be successful – his “stuff” isn’t going to win any outings. Both Sickels and BA state that Hyatt’s high strikeouts are a product of inexperienced hitters struggling with his deceptive changeup, but more experienced hitters will produce better results. Good thing that in 2011 Hyatt should be pitching in Double-A where he only had thrown 22 innings in his career before (all in 2010) to test his true potential. Current BA ranking is number 24.

Honorable Mentions
Hitters
#20 Jonathan Singleton | 1B/LF | D.o.B: 9-18-91 | Stats (A): .290/.393/.479 | 376 AB | 41 XBH | 15 Hr | .189 ISO | 9/7 SB/CS | 74:62 K:BB | .321 BABIP
He has “uncanny balance and rhythm at the plate,” and good pitch recognition. With a simple swing that is compact, he has above-average raw power. Not athletic. Reminds me of Delmon Young with more patience. That is a compliment. Young was a great prospect and still maturing into a solid big leaguer. Still needs to repeat to provide solid footing to build confidence. Should receive a Scouting the Unknown article during the 2011 summer. Current BA ranking is number two.

#7 Sebastian Valle | C | D.o.B: 7-24-90 | Stats (A): .255/.295/.430 | 485 AB | 45 XBH | 16 Hr | .175 ISO | 3/2 SB/CS | 101:27 K:BB | .289 BABIP
Good power, average defense, pull-happy and young. Valle has all the tools of the perfect fantasy baseball catcher. Now his defense will need to bring him to the majors in due time. ETA would be 2013. Current BA ranking is number six.

Pitchers
#5 Trevor May | RHP | D.o.B: 9-23-89 | Stats (A/A+): 12.1 K/9 | 5.4 BB/9 | 135 IP | 4.0 ERA | 1.94 FIP (A); 4.76 FIP (A+) | 1.37 WHIP | .7 Hr/9 | 6.9 H/9 | .331 BABIP (A); .295 BABIP (A+)
May throws a 91 to 95 MPH fastball, a near plus-curveball (77 to 79 MPH) and a 81 MPH changeup. Mechanically, he needs to improve and refine to become more consistent. Ceiling is a low end number one starter or number two starter. Do note that his walk rate tripled when moving from Low-Single-A to High-Single-A (A = 2.4 BB/9; BB/9 at A+= 7.8 BB/9 in 70 innings). Innings were split fairly evenly between the two levels. Look for May to receive a September call-up. Current BA ranking is number five.

#12 Brody Colvin | RHP | D.o.B: 8-14-90 | Stats (A): 7.8 K/9 | 2.7 BB/9 | 138 IP | 3.39 ERA | 3.23 FIP | 1.30 WHIP | .5 Hr/9 | 9.0 H/9 | .315 BABIP
A 92 to 94 MPH fastball that touches 97 MPH with a upper 70s curveball and a 83 to 85 MPH changeup. Has a large frame to fill into, was arrested on three misdemeanors in February 2010, and ceiling is number two starter. ETA 2013/14. Current BA ranking is number three.

#8 Jarred Cosart | RHP | D.o.B: 5-25-90 | Stats (A): 9.7 K/9 | 2.0 BB/9 | 71 1/3 IP | 3.79 ERA | 2.47 FIP | 1.10 WHIP | .4 Hr/9 | 7.6 H/9 | .297 BABIP
Fastball between 94 and 98 MPH with good life. Also throws an average 77 to 79 MPH curveball and a average changeup. Ceiling is a number one starter but has history of nagging injuries – no significant injuries to note. Does have scouts questioning maturity and work ethic. The talent is there, but the consistency and health need to be more stable. Current BA ranking is number four.

  1. Stinky Cheese Man says:
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    Hey Grey/Poon/etal –

    Please pick 2 of these middle infielders:

    Reid Brignac
    Sean Rodriguez
    Danny Espinosa
    JJ Hardy
    Cliff Pennington
    Orlando Cabrera
    Jack Wilson
    Mark Ellis

    puke

  2. If Ben keeps raking what will become of Brown this year? Do you see Charlie giving Brown significant AB’s no matter how well Francisco is mashing?

  3. @Stinky Depending on your needs:
    Espinosa and S-Rod

  4. A Hill O' Beans says:
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    How would you rank these guys for a utility spot, all things being equal, Belt, Freeman, Alex Gordon.

  5. A Hill O' Beans says:
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    Sorry, forgot a guy.

    How would you rank these guys for a utility spot, all things being equal, Belt, Freeman, Alex Gordon, Austin Jackson. I have to pick 3 of them. Thanks!

  6. Stephen

    Stephen says:
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    @Stinky Cheese Man: Personally, Espinosa and Brignac
    @Dr. Stats: I would expect 125 AB
    @A Hill O’Beans: Personally, Jackson, Freeman, Gordon, Belt

  7. Eric C. says:
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    Do you guys think Pineda for Walden is a good deal? I’m in need of a closer more than a SP.

  8. Stephen

    Stephen says:
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    @Eric C.: I think it’s fair in a 5×5.

  9. Manny's Shrunken Nads says:
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    Hey SAGNOF man, time for a Willie Bloomquist apology post. Yet another SB today.

  10. ken plane says:
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    Early drop of Phil Hughes, his early schedule is brutal in addition to his placement on risky pitcher list. I would not draft him but picking him up off of waivers is a no brainer – or is it? Comments

  11. GrandSlamSingle says:
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    Why would May get a September call-up?

  12. GrandSlamSingle says:
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    DOH! Never mind, I guess that was supposed to be a joke.

  13. Stephen says:
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    @GrandSlamSingle: Ha.

  14. Karl says:
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    Considering all their big prospects (excluding Brown) are in A, A+ or AA, I don’t understand the ‘They could easily fall hard’ comment. They should go nowhere but up.

    And no mention of Biddle? You should be ashamed!

    @Dr. Stats — No. The likely outcome here is that Brown’s wrist heals, they send him to AAA to rehab and find his swing. He’s struggled since last year, so they’ll want to build his confidence against AAA pitching under the guile of ‘rehab.’ If Francisco continues to play well and Ibanez doesn’t shit the bed, Brown may very well stay in AAA until September while Mayberry plays the role of 4th OF.

    Of course, if Ibanez or Francisco struggle, this is a totally different story.

  15. Stephen

    Stephen says:
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    @Karl: I rarely, if ever, mention prospects that haven’t pitched at, or above Low-Single-A. Biddle pitched primarily in Rookie ball.

    re: To falling hard: If Brown graduates and even one of their young pitchers struggle or Jonathan Singleton struggles, they don’t have the depth to garner a high(er) ranking. The Farm System rankings are so fickle year-to-year. Case in point, Eric Hosmer and Mike Moustakas. Look at how Baseball America evaluates them from 2009, to 2010 to 2011. It’s quite interesting.

Comments are closed.