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I mean, is there any other photo that more represents the name Phelps this summer? Wait. (Checks the photo again). Hang on.

There we go! Haha, sorry about that. Who’s that other dude? HE’S NO DAVID PHELPS! I tell ya that much…

Now, in all seriousness, David is no Michael, but in Week 20 he has the potential of bringing your fantasy baseball some significant value. And we’re not talking GOLD-TONED value, for all you Razzball Podcasters (thanks for that one, @Grey). While only starting two games this year, Phelps is producing a career year. By far. With a K/9 over 11 the Marlins have used him in multiple situations leaving to his 5 W and 3 SV. He’s been valuable in his role, but moving into the rotation for this week could bring great things. The Marlins are in the playoff hunt and need some fresh breath to get some elusive wins of late. Enter Phelps. And enter the Reds and Pirates lineups.

Phelps LOB% (Left on-base %) is a large reason his stats look so great (88.5%), but all the peripherals match up to his impressive surface stats of ERA (2.40) and strikeouts (11.03 K/9). It will be interesting to see how he translates his success through a lineup a second and then, hopefully, a third time, and he’ll need to do better than his history as a starter, but I have every reason to believe he can. The Reds are a porous team with a few traditional bright spots in the lineup, and the Pirates offense has tried its best to suck enough to rival the Braves in season-long numbers. Phelps is on the road for both, but has a good defense behind him and features a great shot at scoring some W.

Lastly, unlike many of the pitchers highlighted in this series, David Phelps is ACTUALLY AVAILABLE FOR PICKUP! He’s only owned in 10.2% of leagues. He won’t go past 6 or 7 innings, but it’ll be enough to bring great value.

Here’s how the rest of Week 20 stacks up!

Pitchers are listed in order by rank. Colors represent worst 8 or best 8 opponents according to team wOBA for last 14 days.

THE BEST – Don’t worry about Jose’s last start, he could strike out 14 Pirates. And that’s conservative. Seriously, how does a SP have a full K per inning higher than Scherzer? Man crush activated. Well, not on Jose, I guess. It’s still on Verlander for the proximity rule of the lady he goes home to each night.

Player Team Opponents ERA/FIP K9/BB9
Jose Fernandez MIA @CIN, @PIT 2.57/2.20 12.94/2.68
Max Scherzer WAS @COL, @ATL 2.80/3.29 11.44/2.14
Corey Kluber CLE CHW, TOR 3.21/2.97 8.94/2.06
Noah Syndergaard NYM @ARI, @SF 2.75/2.15 10.92/1.88
Justin Verlander DET KC, BOS 3.42/3.49 9.54/2.41
Jon Lester CHC MIL, @COL 2.93/3.83 8.85/2.48

THE REPLICAS – Quintana’s been an ace for the White Sox, but he needs more K’s to truly gain that recognition in fantasy. And c’mon Keuchel! You’re better than this!

Player Team Opponents ERA/FIP K9/BB9
Jose Quintana CHA @CLE, OAK 2.85/3.42 7.89/2.09
Ervin Santana MIN @ATL, @KC 3.62/3.86 6.61/2.20
Dallas Keuchel HOU STL, @BAL 4.56/3.88 7.66/2.74
Kenta Maeda LAD @PHI, @CIN 3.31/3.59 8.89/2.34

THE STANDARDS – Love me some Duffy, but I want to see him sprint through the tape rather than tarry off. Not tarrying off? Bartolo Colon. We need a Lifetime Achievement Award for him. And yes, Felix is that low, just like my view of his value.

Player Team  Opponents ERA/FIP K9/BB9
Danny Duffy KC @DET, MIN 2.82/3.15 9.99/1.81
David Phelps MIA @CIN, @PIT 2.40/2.98 11.03/3.68
Bartolo Colon NYM @ARI, @SF 3.35/3.98 6.10/1.54
Drew Pomeranz BOS @CLE, @DET 3.03/3.64 9.94/3.81
Jason Hammel CHC MIL, @COL 2.90/4.16 7.49/2.76
Felix Hernandez SEA @LAA, MIL 3.39/4.46 7.53/3.86

THE KNOCKOFFS – Ride them over the names below them, but each of these six could/should be performing at a better rate.

Player Team  Opponents ERA/FIP K9/BB9
Drew Smyly TB SD, TEX 5.04/4.28 8.98/2.42
Vince Velasquez PHI LAD, STL 3.94/3.77 10.06/3.44
Robbie Ray ARI NYM, @SD 4.57/3.66 10.97/3.30
Matt Moore SF PIT, NYM 3.99/4.41 7.80/3.23
Anthony DeSclafani CIN MIA, LAD 3.11/3.92 7.84/2.22
Daniel Norris DET KC, BOS 4.00/4.02 9.50/2.50

THE 8c65e5de808ec301754508366480250c – Call a plumber…we have ourselves a whole lotta poop this week. And now I’ll apologize for my horrendous attempt at a joke and go watch ‘Roast Battle.’

Player  Team Opponents ERA/FIP K9/BB9
Gio Gonzalez WAS @COL, @ATL 4.24/3.90 8.55/3.16
Ian Kennedy KC @DET, MIN 3.91/4.99 9.02/3.03
Ryan Vogelsong PIT @SF, MIA 2.67/3.85 7.22/3.21
Jeff Samardzija SF PIT, NYM 4.23/4.35 6.57/2.39
Josh Tomlin CLE BOS, TOR 4.18/4.87 6.47/1.18
Braden Shipley ARI NYM, @SD 2.96/5.35 6.29/4.44
Ricky Nolasco LAA SEA, NYY 5.14/4.35 6.78/1.98
Edwin Jackson SD @TB, ARI 4.19/4.41 5.65/3.98
Christian Friedrich SD @TB, ARI 4.84/4.29 6.70/3.71
Martin Perez TEX OAK, @TB 4.22/4.62 4.34/3.72
Brandon Finnegan CIN MIA, LAD 4.45/5.68 6.61/4.52
Jhoulys Chacin LAA SEA, NYY 5.84/4.50 7.11/3.84
Yovani Gallardo BAL BOS, HOU 5.17/4.95 6.55/4.71
Wade LeBlanc SEA @LAA, MIL 4.71/5.64 6.19/1.98
Joel De La Cruz ATL MIN, WAS 4.09/5.31 4.36/3.27
Chase Anderson MIL @CHC, @SEA 4.93/5.20 7.19/3.31
Ross Detwiler OAK @TEX, @CHW 2.13/4.32 3.55/2.84
Jorge de la Rosa COL WAS, CHC 5.25/4.99 6.75/4.22

All pitchers are projected for two-starts as of Friday night.

DROP A COMMENT, good luck in Week 22, and GO USA!!! And David Phelps, too! Only some quarter-century more medals to accumulate.

 
  1. Marvin the Martian says:
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    Kershaw or Thor for 2017?

    • @Marvin the Martian: Kershaw. No reason to think he’ll end up anywhere but #1 again in 2017, whereas Thor still needs to show he can sprint through the tape of a full season this year. He could be Top 5 tho.

  2. Hmmm says:
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    Who do you like better for tomorrow?

    Chatwood @Phi
    Or
    Severino Vs. Tb

    • @Hmmm: Chatwood. Haven’t trusted Severino all year, Chateood outside of Coors has a solid upside.

  3. Dan says:
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    Which 2 SP would you prefer ROS?

    Shoemaker
    Skaggs
    ERod
    Rodon
    Homer Bailey

    • @Dan: Ugh. At first glance I’d say Shoemaker fa sho, but his past month has really made that tricky. Even still, he’s the best option of this crew. Gimme Shoemaker and Rodon (he’s been solid since coming back, high K upside).

  4. True and Correct says:
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    Duffy isn’t sprinting? He’s tarring off ?
    Are we talking about the same guy ?
    I’m probably jinxing him, but he’s the #1 or 2 starting pitcher not named Kershaw or Scherzer over the last 3 1/2 months and threw a 98 pitch complete game in his last start.
    I know he’s on the road this week at Detroit and Minn. but he sure looks good.

    • @True and Correct: Haha, you’re absolutely right that he HAS been overwhelmingly incredible (have him for $2 in an AL-Only and I’m giddy about it), But the comment about sprinting through the tape means what he HASNT done…finish a season off strong. I believe he will, but it’s worth noting he’s yet to truly do that. A lot of options tarry off (man, love that word) as the innings mount, and I want to ensure Duffy maintains his electric pace through the end.

      • True and Correct says:
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        @[email protected]: Well put. All true. Hope he continues. Such a good guy and he was a huge prospect.

        • @True and Correct: Me too. I’m a huge fan. Don’t know who he is as a man, but hearing that makes me like him more. Don’t even care. Elevates the fandom.

  5. Mike says:
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    I’m chasing era and whip today and need to stream. Need to drop either bundy or Velasquez. I’m leaning big Vince.

    Of these choices, who would you feel comfortable starting: severino (v TB), Koehler (v CWS), volquez (@MIN) or Santiago (vKC)?

    • @Mike: Sorry I missed this before games started, but I agree to drop VV instead of Bundy. I love me some Dylan Bundy.

      I would have chosen Santiago, solely based upon the matchup (Royals offense has been abysmal). What did you choose to do?

      • Mike says:
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        @[email protected]: I opted for Koehler. I’m hoping between him and fulmer, they can lower my ERA by a run

  6. Turn Two says:
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    If your free agent options in an NL only 4×4 are:
    Vogelsong, Edwin,Jake Thompson, Betts.. Do I take 1, hoping for a win or 2, or play it safe with my ratios and pick up Trienen?
    (I could also just keep Junior Guerra active and take a chance he pitches next weekend)

    • @Turn Two: I’d rather ride with Guerra potentially coming back than risk the negative value of any of the other names.

  7. Pipa says:
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    Would you trade Cutch for Hammel? Or you think Cutch is about to go off?

    • @Pipa: I’d trade him, but not for Hammel. Even if he doesn’t go off that’s not enough.

      However, I am about to drop him in the Top 100 Hitters ranks that come out tomorrow. Be on the lookout. But…more than Hammel.

  8. Pipa says:
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    I need to trade for a SP, and today is our deadline. This is my team.

    C. Sanchez
    1B. Belt
    2B. Altuve
    3B. Donaldson
    SS. Seager
    OF. JBJ
    OF. Fowler
    OF. Beltran
    UT. Cutch
    UT. Benitendi
    B. Soler
    B. Altherr
    B. Judge

    Sp. Price
    Sp. Hendricks
    Sp. Stroman
    Sp. A Sanchez
    Sp. G Gonzalez
    Sp. Happ
    Sp. Koehler
    Sp. Vogelsong

    I’m trying to trade an OF or two for a SP. My league mates are really stingy with SP. My Cutch for Hammel trade was rejected. I’ve also been trying to move Beltran. Who would you try and move?

    Also, Soler is not getting PT, you think I should drop in favor of Pederson or Orlando?

    • @Pipa: WHAT?!? Someone turned down getting Cutch? Geez. That is stingy. Because you have some situational depth at OF I’d be fine trading any of them for a SP. Trade Benintendi’s hot prospect name, Beltran’s savvy veteranness, Fowler’s inflated start to the year, Judge’s potential. Haha, if you get the right SP trade JBJ. The problem, though, is that you’re essentially trading a top 30 OF for a top 60 SP (If it’s someone like Hammel) that will only get you maybe 8 more starts this year.

      I would rather have Joc than Soler…

  9. points league says:
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    Floundering….slim lead in my h2h12 team al/nl points league. Thor has been having troubles and of course he has a 2 start this week so how could I bench him. Could you help suggest my starting 5 and hope I hold onto the wild card. Keep in mind Estrada is scheduled for 1 start but his 2nd start of the week would be his 5th day on sunday so not sure if that will happen. well here are my guys pick my 5 starters, THANK YOU !!

    Carrasco vs CHW TBA
    Estrada vs @ NYY Pinedia and possibly CLE on sunday
    sydergaard vs @ ARZ Shipley vs @ SF Jeff Smarj,
    tanaka vs @ weaver
    lackey vs @ COL Chatwood
    musgrove vs @BALT Bundy
    skaggs vs Sea Miranda
    jon gray vs WAS Strasburg
    luke weaver —–
    TOP 5 !! Thx again

    • @points league: Yeah, some struggles in the guys you’re counting on, like Thor and Carlos, but here are the 5 I’d roll with (and thank you for writing out their matchups in the comment!):

      Carrasco
      Estrada
      Thor
      Tanaka
      Musgrove

      Jon Gray may not be a bad choice you feel bad about any of those 5, but that’s who I would go with. lackey at Colorado naturally scares me, Skaggs has been bad since a hot come back start, Weaver is too unproven.

      Good luck!

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