We have another week’s worth of draft data to work with and only about one week left of the Razzball Commenters League draft season. All public drafts wrap up on Tuesday, March 30th, so if you’ve been waiting to join a league, wait no more! We have plenty of spots to fill, including a league drafting tomorrow night. We have a couple $20 leagues with spots to fill this weekend. Go get that money! You can even draft while you work on Tuesday at 2 ET. The sign-up sheet is linked at the end of this article, just scroll down and you’ll see all the open leagues. While you’re here, we can dive into our RCL ADP and see what Razzball Commenters are drafting so far; handy info for these upcoming drafts.
DRAFT TRENDS
This week we’re going to look at Razzball’s favorite SAGNOF specialists and where you can draft some late steals and saves. For steals, we’ll take a look at every player that Grey has projected for more than 20 SBs. For Saves, I’ll just grab as many closers and potential closers as I can think of. If I miss a name, feel free to open up the RCL ADP SPREADSHEET that I maintain for all of your viewing pleasure. I’ve seen plenty of anonymous animals with that spreadsheet open and I’d consider it a great resource during your RCL drafts. You can also just copy out the data to your own Excel sheet and use it in your own War Room if that tickles your fancy. Enjoy and deity of choice speed.
WE DON’T NEED NO STINKIN’ NFBC ADP
We’ve got RCL ADP! Here’s a list from our 30 league sample of some players whose ADPs I was curious about and some general notes.
| PLAYER | Proj SBs | ADP | HI | LO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ronald Acuna Jr. | 25 | 1.17 | 1 | 2 |
| Fernando Tatis Jr. | 27 | 2.37 | 1 | 6 |
| Mookie Betts | 24 | 3.67 | 2 | 5 |
| Trea Turner | 33 | 7.43 | 5 | 10 |
| Jose Ramirez | 23 | 8.83 | 6 | 15 |
| Bo Bichette | 25 | 19.47 | 12 | 30 |
| Luis Robert | 26 | 26.7 | 21 | 36 |
| Adalberto Mondesi | 51 | 27.5 | 14 | 49 |
| Tim Anderson | 24 | 42.6 | 24 | 59 |
| Whit Merrifield | 22 | 48.6 | 32 | 67 |
| Starling Marte | 24 | 58.4 | 31 | 76 |
| Trent Grisham | 25 | 73.6 | 50 | 99 |
| Victor Robles | 21 | 175.47 | 116 | 216 |
| Leody Taveras | 26 | 194.37 | 128 | 274 |
| Andres Gimenez | 25 | 195.13 | 94 | 300 |
| Garrett Hampson | 23 | 222.37 | 147 | 275 |
| Jonathan Villar | 22 | 224.23 | 131 | 300 |
| Raimel Tapia | 20 | 227 | 162 | 297 |
| Kolten Wong | 21 | 255.37 | 172 | 300 |
| Myles Straw | 29 | 268.57 | 172 | 300 |
| Manuel Margot | 24 | 279.3 | 195 | 300 |
| Roman Quinn | 24 | 297.93 | 238 | 300 |
Within the top 100, we’re not really talking SAGNOF, these guys are the cream of the crop. There is a large ADP gap from ~75 to ~175 where there are no steals to be had. You’re either getting an elite base stealer or you’re digging in the bottom of the barrel for some more SANGOF-ish options.
Hampson and Tapia have been a couple of my favorites to grab late when I am feeling the need for speed. Nick Madrigal didn’t make the list, but he’s another late option to boost those SB numbers. Several of this late group aren’t even being drafted, so there should be some steals available to stream in most leagues if need be.
In order to avoid a 100 player list, I just nabbed Grey’s top 30 for projected saves:
| PLAYER | Proj SVs | ADP | HI | LO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Hader | 36 | 62.43 | 26 | 81 |
| Liam Hendriks | 35 | 63.9 | 47 | 81 |
| Aroldis Chapman | 36 | 84.47 | 49 | 105 |
| Edwin Diaz | 32 | 91 | 64 | 120 |
| Raisel Iglesias | 34 | 100.37 | 62 | 130 |
| James Karinchak | 27 | 108.87 | 60 | 136 |
| Brad Hand | 33 | 113.57 | 94 | 130 |
| Ryan Pressly | 29 | 119.5 | 84 | 143 |
| Kenley Jansen | 34 | 121.8 | 92 | 143 |
| Will Smith | 16 | 129.3 | 83 | 185 |
| Kirby Yates | 29 | 140.47 | 108 | 182 |
| Nick Anderson | 27 | 153.03 | 111 | 216 |
| Trevor Rosenthal | 23 | 162.07 | 103 | 201 |
| Alex Colome | 25 | 169.93 | 78 | 225 |
| Craig Kimbrel | 21 | 170.57 | 117 | 204 |
| Richard Rodriguez | 27 | 174.2 | 110 | 255 |
| Rafael Montero | 27 | 193.4 | 148 | 233 |
| Matt Barnes | 32 | 204.23 | 134 | 257 |
| Amir Garrett | 17 | 230.23 | 174 | 300 |
| Greg Holland | 15 | 242.97 | 180 | 300 |
| Joakim Soria | 22 | 252.57 | 197 | 300 |
| Hector Neris | 22 | 253.33 | 191 | 300 |
| Daniel Bard | 20 | 260.23 | 191 | 300 |
| Anthony Bass | 14 | 263.43 | 197 | 300 |
| Jake McGee | 12 | 273.53 | 179 | 300 |
| Alex Reyes | 12 | 279.77 | 237 | 300 |
| Emilio Pagan | 12 | 289.27 | 182 | 300 |
| Tanner Scott | 14 | 293.53 | 247 | 300 |
| Matt Bush | 12 | #N/A | #N/A | #N/A |
| Joe Jimenez | 11 | #N/A | #N/A | #N/A |
I feel like I say this every year, but the closer market just seems volatile as all heck this year. There’s the top 10 or so that it seems like you can count on for saves and then, it’s just a mess. Now Yates is hurt, I never feel like I can trust Tampa bay to stick to a closer and I really don’t know that Hector Neris is the guy in Philly. Then we have the bottom two closers on this list not even being drafted in leagues yet. Matt Bush is maybe the closer now with Leclrec out. It’s a mess out there folks. My suggestion? Grab a good closer early and then spam the bottom of the barrel and hope you hit on a few.
RECENT TRENDS
Here we have a little chart showing some of the changes in ADP from early in the season to this past week. The bigger the DIFF number the lower the player is currently being drafted and vice versa.
| PLAYER | ADP (3/1-3/11) | ADP (3/15-3/21) | DIFF |
|---|---|---|---|
| Shohei Ohtani | 193.2 | 145.7 | -47.5 |
| Domingo German | 291.7 | 255.4 | -36.3 |
| Greg Holland | 262.7 | 228.9 | -33.8 |
| Aaron Hicks | 261.7 | 228.1 | -33.6 |
| Emilio Pagan | 300 | 268.9 | -31.1 |
| Joc Pederson | 259.4 | 228.4 | -31 |
| Eduardo Rodriguez | 224.2 | 194.7 | -29.5 |
| Chris Sale | 267.6 | 241.1 | -26.5 |
| Anthony Bass | 276.7 | 250.4 | -26.3 |
| Jose Leclerc | 268.2 | 242 | -26.2 |
| Nathan Eovaldi | 240.9 | 215 | -25.9 |
| Austin Riley | 208.7 | 184.8 | -23.9 |
| Ryan McMahon | 261.2 | 240.6 | -20.6 |
| Bobby Dalbec | 273.2 | 253 | -20.2 |
| Jake McGee | 283.4 | 263.3 | -20.1 |
| Daulton Varsho | 248.4 | 269.4 | 21 |
| Wander Franco | 230.9 | 252 | 21.1 |
| Dinelson Lamet | 111.9 | 134.8 | 22.9 |
| Hunter Harvey | 276.3 | 299.5 | 23.2 |
| Mitch Garver | 256.4 | 280.4 | 24 |
| Kwang Hyun Kim | 260.3 | 284.8 | 24.5 |
| Tommy La Stella | 272.8 | 298.6 | 25.8 |
| Jarred Kelenic | 154.2 | 180.3 | 26.1 |
| Cristian Javier | 219.6 | 248.4 | 28.8 |
| Devin Williams | 149.9 | 181.4 | 31.5 |
| Kolten Wong | 231.6 | 265.4 | 33.8 |
| Austin Nola | 244.4 | 278.4 | 34 |
| Nate Pearson | 242.4 | 286.9 | 44.5 |
| Framber Valdez | 213.4 | 278.9 | 65.5 |
| Carlos Carrasco | 60.1 | 169.9 | 109.8 |
Every draft it seems like Ohtani is getting taken earlier and earlier. Spring training is boosting his stock to the moon! So many bad closers are climbing the ranks as more and more RCLs draft and the crappy closer carousel spins. Bobby Dalbec is crushing it this spring and it seems drafters have taken notice.
The bottom four of this list are all injury hits, to be expected. Interesting that Jarred Kelenic is moving up Grey’s draft board, but seems to be falling in the RCLs. Devin Williams is quite a surprise too, there’s no reason I can think of outside of a small sample size that his draft stock should be falling.
Quick note before we hit the sign-up sheet, we still need one manager for the $100 RCL, Night of the Living Zombinos. This is always one of the most competitive RCLs, which means if you win this one, you have a good shot at a top 10 overall finish. Go ahead and shoot me an email: [email protected] if you’re interested or find the commish’s email in the spreadsheet. Also, head to the spreadsheet and sign up for any number of leagues you wish!
TO JOIN A LEAGUE
Click the LINK in the ‘League Link’ column (see below grid) for the time you want and YOU’RE IN. Damn, that’s too easy. Oh, I guess I should also mention make sure you’re joining a league for free or for money, depending on your preference. If you want a league for money, then 1) Click the link. 2) Pay the money. That’s it! No pesky third requirement! Again, Fantrax and Razzball take no money. You can join as many free or paid leagues as you like. To quit a league, go to OTHER –> All Options –> Quit League (located at the bottom). Now go join some leagues!
Want to be Matt’s Twitter pal? That’s kinda creepy, but you can follow him here: @MattTruss
